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my vanguard 60/40 world index finished up 10.40% on the year
pound -cost - ave monthly |
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visual history of dow 1876 - 2016
https://mobile.twitter.com/WSJ/status/814529854272114688/photo/1 |
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Still rising but for how long?
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Today's trading session definitely confirmed it for me.
No sleep til 6400 for the FTSE100 |
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That's 10% lower than today.
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No santa rally this year!
The FTSE lost 4.8% in December. Even the normally more reliable December options expiry week saw the FTSE lose .75% |
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If the market follows last year, all of the gains to date will be wiped out and more by the end of the year followed by a big rally in the first 3 months of next year but politics will continue to intervene.
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Tory win: end of Jan ftse 7500, no overall maj: 6800, Labour Majority: 5000.
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The santa rally has been a no-show so far this December:
FTSE 100 up 0.1% S&P 500 is doing better up 0.9% Monday sees the start of options expiry week (expiry: Friday) which as mentioned above can be the week that kicks the rally off. Closing prices Friday were: FTSE 100 : 7353 S&P 500 : 3171 Futures are already pointing to a strong opening for the FTSE on Monday |
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Apologies. Closing prices should be:
FTSE 100 : 7353.44 S&P 500 : 3168.80 |
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It took 2 trading days to get the ftse above 7500 and the 250 is flying again today. Who said that a certain Brexit would be a disaster? The fear of Corbyn was a black cloud and the US China talks are another. Plenty of upside still. My fairly modest portfolio is up £5000 already and the trust funds will revalue tomorrow.
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Close on Friday:
FTSE 100: 7582.48 S & P 500: 3221.22 So options expiry week saw gains of 3.15% for the FTSE and 1.65% for the S&P 500. Not bad. |
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Presumably, the bigger gain for the FTSE was partly caused by a Corbyn relief rally.
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I was expecting a bigger fall this morning after the Iran situation developed. I can see 500 points off the FTSE this week.
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