To reach the final - Tsitsipas @ 8, Norrie @ 17 Value Punts - Fritz @ 11, Berrettini @ 13, Coric @ 15, Auger-Aliassime @ 17, Van Rijthoven @ 251
To Meet in the Final - Tsitsipas v Norrie @ 151 Value Punts - Tsitsipas v Sinner @ 67, Tsitsipas v Alcaraz @ 29, Medvedev v Norrie @ 41, Medvedev v Norrie @ 41, Medvedev v Sinner @ 21, Medvedev v Rublev @ 51, Norrie v Kyrgios @ 126, Norrie v Fritz @ 201, Sinner v Auger-Aliassime @ 151, Sinner v Kyrgios @ 51, Sinner v Fritz @ 101, Sinner v Berrettini @ 126, Auger-Aliassime v Alcaraz @ 81, Auger-Aliassime v Norrie @ 201, Fritz v Alcaraz @ 51, Kyrgios v Rublev @126, Nadal v Kyrgios @ 19, Nadal v Auger-Aliassime @ 50, Nadal v Tsitsipas @ 16,
To reach the Final - Swiatek @ 3.5, Gauff @ 9 Value Punts - Halep @ 5.5, Sabalenka @ 11, Raducanu @ 13, Sakkari @ 15, Keys @ 17, Kvitova @ 19, Fruhvritova @ 201
To Meet in the Final - Swiatek v Gauff @ 34 Value Punts - Gauff v Sabalenka @ 126, Gauff v Rybakina @ 126, Gauff v Raducanu @ 151, Gauff v Bencic @ 151, Swiatek v @ Halep @ 21, Swiatek v Fernandez @ 67, Swiatek v Garcia @ 34, Swiatek v Sakkari @ 51, Swiatek v Keys @ 67, Swiatek v Krejcikova @ 126, Halep v Raducanu @ 81, Halep v Bencic @ 81, Halep v Sabalenka @ 67, Halep v Kvitova @ 126, Halep v Anisimova @ 126, Garcia v Raducanu @ 151, Garcia v Bencic @ 151, Garcia v Sabalenka @ 126
I just don't know what to expect. She seemed to have gone two steps backwads in Cincinatti (but at least was moving freely).
I watched a bit of her practising today, I'm hoping the return to New York turbocharges her just as the return to Monterrey did. First couple of rounds are banana-skins but if she can somehow navigate to R3 I'd fancy her against BK. And then who knows. In the second week she'd be a different animal. Chris Evert outed herself as another big Leylah fan.
You picked Leylah as quarter winnerI just don't know what to expect. She seemed to have gone two steps backwads in Cincinatti (but at least was moving freely).I watched a bit of her practising today, I'm hoping the return to New York turbocharges her
Good to see some other picking Leylah. Fernandez is my outright pick for a value punt. Odds of 46 is surely an insult and has plenty of mileage for a decent trade.
Good to see some other picking Leylah. Fernandez is my outright pick for a value punt. Odds of 46 is surely an insult and has plenty of mileage for a decent trade.
there's 103 picks + value punts in the op, too many next time I wont be posting as many 'quarter final value picks' with level stakes I'd need one of these huge 'to meet in the final' picks to come in I've been baited by the 'Nadal is injured' line again, but if he can't find top form than Norrie stands a great chance of reaching the final. I'm feeling Leyla but but Guaff even more (Halep hurdle a big one however), but would like to see a repeat of last years final as well. Expect bigger and better things from Emma next year, the 1st year on tour after her slam win was always going to be the settling in period, new coaches, fame, fortune, pressure, expectations from fans and sponsors alike, covid, etc etc, 2023 we'll find out how her future will really pan out. Talent shouldn't be doubted though, just whether she has learnt to handle everything that's happened, she could drop as low as 85th if it's a shock R1 exit. Kind Regards.
there's 103 picks + value punts in the op, too manynext time I wont be posting as many 'quarter final value picks'with level stakes I'd need one of these huge 'to meet in the final' picks to come inI've been baited by the 'Nadal is injured' line agai
Looking at the names at the top of the field I like Halep over Iga. Now that Iga's hot streak is through and she's starting to rack up some losses I think her price is probably too skinny on this surface and her first week draw doesn't necessarily look like a procession.
Halep is in red hot form and obviously a good few players threw a sickie or eased off in the run up to this slam but swerving a 1000 on the back of winning a 1000 underlines to me the focus and intensity she and Patrick have on winning here.
Looking at the names at the top of the field I like Halep over Iga.Now that Iga's hot streak is through and she's starting to rack up some losses I think her price is probably too skinny on this surface and her first week draw doesn't necessarily loo
French Open R1 ATP - 43/21 French Open R1 WTA - 45/19
Wimbledon R1 ATP - 46/18 Wimbledon R1 WTA - 45/19
Aiming for 50+ correct Round 1 picks in both at the US open.
Full ATP PicksSpoiler:
Show
R1MedvedevRinderknechSheltonBasilashviliKyrgiosHumbertTabiloBautista AgutCarreno BustaBublikGarinDe MinaurKhachanovMolcanDraperAuger AliassimeTsitsipasThompsonDavidovich FokinaCressyMurrayMillmanEtcheverryBerrettini
Really interesting match second up on Court 17. Erika Andreeva versus Kvitova.
Erika is one of my tripod of hot prospects for the next 10 years (along with Leylah and Linda N.) She's a super exciting player, admits to a very simple life with few distractions, just utterly focussed on tennis. Kvitova is on paper a terrible first round draw. Petra is good form can take out anyone but this is not a done deal because Petra has been throwing in some bonkers results this year (losing in straights at SW19 to Badosa anyone!?) and if she lets Erika into this it could be interesting. Erika can soak up power, has a great all round game and to me has echoes of McEnroe (stay with me here) Not so much in her playing style but J Mac was a Superbrat on the surface but had a great tennis mind under the surface and Erika has the makings of both these sides.
Andreeva to beat Kvitova a massive 5.5 Andreeva to win a set 2.58. Andreeva longshot outright 1000s
Really interesting match second up on Court 17. Erika Andreeva versus Kvitova.Erika is one of my tripod of hot prospects for the next 10 years (along with Leylah and Linda N.) She's a super exciting player, admits to a very simple life with few distr
literally never seen her play before, big step up from the ITF's. Good luck with that pick.
Tsitsipas much like Jabeur at the French, has completely ruined my men's prediction, he must have deliberately come in to the match knowing he was injured for a quick 50 grand. I'd do the same.
Come on Van Rijthoven at 750/1
literally never seen her play before, big step up from the ITF's. Good luck with that pick.Tsitsipas much like Jabeur at the French, has completely ruined my men's prediction, he must have deliberately come in to the match knowing he was injured for
Oh Erika. Got on top early, served at *5-4. DF at breakpoint then DF in the tb. The set that got away!
Petra screaming there at the end knows she is in a match though.
Oh Erika. Got on top early, served at *5-4. DF at breakpoint then DF in the tb. The set that got away!Petra screaming there at the end knows she is in a match though.
So what is your take (or anyone's take) on where things stand just before the QFs start?
Filtering through your zillion picks to the main ones, you're in good shape. Two live Quarter winners in both the mens and the womens and your main final pick which is looking promising now. To Meet in the Final - Swiatek v Gauff @ 34
In the Cincinatti thread I was asked to put up three title winners. What I said at the time
Journeyman • August 22, 2022 2:18 PM BST Halep, assuming the thigh injury is the most illusory leg injury since Christopher Reeve in Above Suspicion. Pliskova who is slipping under the radar but is rejuvenated and loving tennis again under Friedl. At some point that pays out. Keys if she can stay in the same mindset. Petra was a bad matchup but she really blew everyone else away.
Pliskova has transformed under her new coach and two key elements are clearly back in a player who has always been a class act. 1 The fight. She is time after time able to grit out wins 2 Her clear refound love of playing. She just seemed to have lost the joy in it all for a long while but the fire is back.
So I'm sticking with her as the tournament winner (currently at 12s).
Picking a final at the QF stage I'd go for Pliskova vs Garcia. Garcia shutting down Riske who she'd never beaten was a clear indicator of where she's at rn. Although Gauff looks sensational and is a clear future slam winner, I think Garcia will get the upper hand this time. She's ready (and I think canniness/experience will tell). But both Pliskova and Garcia need that career-bookending slam whereas JPeg for example doesn't really have that same need, clever player as she is. I think fight and sheer need will decide this.
So what is your take (or anyone's take) on where things stand just before the QFs start?Filtering through your zillion picks to the main ones, you're in good shape.Two live Quarter winners in both the mens and the womens and your main final pick whic
I don't know what I was thinking posting all these value picks, it was late and I got carried away definitely would not bother at the Aussie open, keep it simple, quarter winners picks, 4 value quarter winners picks, winners, 1 value winner pick but probably keep the same number of 'to meet in the final', will think about it more thoroughly next time. Having said that, 4 of the 8 main pick quarter winners still standing.
still believe Gauff will win the tournament, and assuming Berrettini goes out, Kyrgios to win the tournament, I had not given Pliskova a seconds thought so well done on that one thus far but can only see Swiatek getting through to the final but I haven't even watched a Pliskova match only highlights so may well be underestimating her again.
So Gauff v Swiatek final still, and Kyrgios v Alcaraz, which would be a shame because this final match up was not in one of million different value picks, though if it's Kyrgios v Rublev, it'd land a 125/1 shot. Sabalenka v Gauff or Garcia would do the same thing.
I don't know what I was thinking posting all these value picks, it was late and I got carried away definitely would not bother at the Aussie open, keep it simple, quarter winners picks, 4 value quarter winners picks, winners, 1 value winner pick but