Forums
Welcome to Live View – Take the tour to learn more
Start Tour
There is currently 1 person viewing this thread.
mesmerised
27 Aug 22 23:06
Joined:
Date Joined: 10 Nov 10
| Topic/replies: 35,065 | Blogger: mesmerised's blog
ATP
Quarter winners - 1. Kyrgios @ 4.33, 2. Tsitsipas @ 3.75, 3. Sinner @ 4.5 4.Norrie @ 6.5
Value Punts - 1. Auger-Aliassime @ 9, 2.  Fritz @ 5, Berrettini @ 6.5 Van Rijthoven @ 41 3. Coric @ 8, Hurkacz @ 9, Brooksby @ 31, Nakashima @ 31, Goffin @ 51,  4 , Shapovalov @ 15, Tiafoe @ 31,

To reach the final - Tsitsipas @ 8,  Norrie @ 17
Value Punts - Fritz @ 11, Berrettini @ 13, Coric @ 15, Auger-Aliassime @ 17, Van Rijthoven @ 251

To Meet in the Final - Tsitsipas v Norrie @ 151
Value Punts - Tsitsipas v Sinner @ 67, Tsitsipas v Alcaraz @ 29, Medvedev v Norrie @ 41, Medvedev v Norrie @ 41, Medvedev v Sinner @ 21, Medvedev v Rublev @ 51, Norrie v Kyrgios @ 126, Norrie v Fritz @ 201, Sinner v Auger-Aliassime @ 151, Sinner v Kyrgios @ 51,  Sinner v Fritz @ 101, Sinner v Berrettini @ 126, Auger-Aliassime v Alcaraz @ 81, Auger-Aliassime v Norrie @ 201, Fritz v Alcaraz @ 51, Kyrgios v Rublev  @126, Nadal v Kyrgios @ 19, Nadal v Auger-Aliassime @ 50, Nadal v Tsitsipas @ 16, 

Winner - Tsitsipas @ 15
Value Punts - Kyrgios @ 10, Sinner @ 17, Auger-Aliassime @ 29, Norrie @ 36, Shapovalov @ 100/1, Van Rijthoven  @ 750/1
---

WTA
Quarter Winners - 1. Swiatek @ 2.38, 2. Bencic @ 8, 3. Gauff @ 5.5, 4. Fernandez @ 9
Value Punts -  1. Anisimova @ 9, Kvitova @ 10, Fruhvirtova @ 151, 2. Sabalenka @ 6, Osaka @ 9, 3. Garcia @ 6, Keys @ 11, Sakkari @ 11   Haddad Maia @ 12, 4. Kudermetova @ 12, Krejcikova @ 15, Tomljanovic @ 17.

To reach the Final -  Swiatek @ 3.5, Gauff @ 9
Value Punts - Halep @ 5.5, Sabalenka @ 11, Raducanu @ 13,  Sakkari @ 15, Keys @ 17, Kvitova @ 19, Fruhvritova @ 201

To Meet in the Final - Swiatek v Gauff @ 34
Value Punts - Gauff v Sabalenka @ 126, Gauff v Rybakina @ 126,  Gauff v Raducanu @ 151, Gauff v Bencic @ 151, Swiatek v @ Halep @ 21, Swiatek v Fernandez @ 67, Swiatek v Garcia @ 34,  Swiatek v Sakkari @ 51, Swiatek v Keys @ 67, Swiatek v Krejcikova @ 126, Halep v Raducanu @ 81, Halep v Bencic @ 81, Halep v Sabalenka @ 67, Halep v Kvitova @ 126, Halep v Anisimova @ 126, Garcia v Raducanu @ 151, Garcia v Bencic @ 151, Garcia v Sabalenka  @ 126

Winner - Gauff @ 17
Value Punts - Halep @ 9, Garcia @ 17, Bencic @ 26,  Osaka @ 29, Raducanu @ 34, Sakkari @ 34, Anisimova @ 51, Fruhvirtova @ 751
Pause Switch to Standard View US Open predictions 2022
Show More
Loading...
Report Journeyman August 28, 2022 1:23 AM BST
You picked Leylah as quarter winner
Happy

I just don't know what to expect. She seemed to have gone two steps backwads in Cincinatti (but at least was moving freely).

I watched a bit of her practising today, I'm hoping the return to New York turbocharges her just as the return to Monterrey did.
First couple of rounds are banana-skins but if she can somehow navigate to R3 I'd fancy her against BK.
And then who knows. In the second week she'd be a different animal.
Chris Evert outed herself as another big Leylah fan.
Report Platini August 28, 2022 7:10 PM BST
Good to see some other picking Leylah. Fernandez is my outright pick for a value punt.
Odds of 46 is surely an insult and has plenty of mileage for a decent trade.
Report mesmerised August 28, 2022 7:44 PM BST
there's 103 picks + value punts in the op, too manyCrazy
next time I wont be posting as many 'quarter final value picks'
with level stakes I'd need one of these huge 'to meet in the final' picks to come in
I've been baited by the 'Nadal is injured' line again, but if he can't find top form than Norrie stands a great chance of reaching the final.
I'm feeling Leyla but but Guaff even more (Halep hurdle a big one however), but would like to see a repeat of last years final as well.
Expect bigger and better things from Emma next year, the 1st year on tour after her slam win was always going to be the settling in period, new coaches, fame, fortune, pressure, expectations from fans and sponsors alike, covid, etc etc, 2023 we'll find out how her future will really pan out. Talent shouldn't be doubted though, just whether she has learnt to handle everything that's happened, she could drop as low as 85th if it's a shock R1 exit. Kind Regards.
Report Journeyman August 28, 2022 10:41 PM BST
Looking at the names at the top of the field I like Halep over Iga.
Now that Iga's hot streak is through and she's starting to rack up some losses I think her price is probably too skinny on this surface and her first week draw doesn't necessarily look like a procession.

Halep is in red hot form and obviously a good few players threw a sickie or eased off in the run up to this slam but swerving a 1000 on the back of winning a 1000 underlines to me the focus and intensity she and Patrick have on winning here.
Report mesmerised August 28, 2022 11:44 PM BST
Full ATP Picks
Spoiler: Show

R1
Medvedev
Rinderknech
Shelton
Basilashvili
Kyrgios
Humbert
Tabilo
Bautista Agut
Carreno Busta
Bublik
Garin
De Minaur
Khachanov
Molcan
Draper
Auger Aliassime
Tsitsipas
Thompson
Davidovich Fokina
Cressy
Murray
Millman
Etcheverry
Berrettini
Fritz
Cachin
Wawrinka
Van de Zandschulp
Paul
Korda
Van Rijthoven
Ruud
Hurkacz
Ivashka
Mannarino
Goffin
Johnson
Nakashima
Eubanks
Sinner
Cilic
Gombos
O'Connell
Evans
Coric
Brooksby
Griekspoor
Alcaraz
Norrie
McDonald
Isner
Rune
Shapovalov
Munar
Kwon
Rublev
Schwartzman
Tseng
Kubler
Tiafoe
Kecmanovic
Daniel
Fognini
Nadal
R2
Medvedev
Shelton
Kyrgios
Bautista Agut
Carreno Busta
De Minaur
Khachanov
Auger Aliassime
Tsitsipas
Cressy
Murray
Berrettini
Fritz
Wawrinka
Korda
Van Rijthoven
Hurkacz
Goffin
Nakashima
Sinner
Cilic
Evans
Coric
Alcaraz
Norrie
Isner
Shapovalov
Rublev
Schwartzman
Tiafoe
Kecmanovic
Nadal
R3
Medvedev
Kyrgios
De Minaur
Auger Aliassime
Tsitsipas
Berrettini
Fritz
Van Rijthoven
Goffin
Sinner
Cilic
Alcaraz
Norrie
Rublev
Tiafoe
Nadal
R4
Kyrgios
Auger Aliassime
Tsitsipas
Van Rijthoven
Sinner
Alcaraz
Norrie
Nadal
QF
Kyrgios
Tsitsipas
Sinner
Norrie
SF
Tsitsipas
Norrie
F
Tsitsipas


Full WTA picks
Spoiler: Show

R1
Swiatek
Stephens
Bronzetti
Alexandrova
Anisimova
Niemeier
Liu
Zheng
Tauson
Fruhvirtova
Pera
Kvitova
Mertens
Yuan
Sasnovich
Pegula
Badosa Gibert
Gracheva
Kostyuk
Azarenka
Pliskova
Qualifier 7
Cirstea
Bencic
Raducanu
Townsend
Juvan
Osaka
Rybakina
Van Uytvanck
Martincova
Sabalenka
Halep
Frech
Podoroska
Teichmann
Keys
Giorgi
Saville
Gauff
Haddad Maia
Andreescu
Kalinskaya
Garcia
Riske
Li
Parry
Sakkari
Jabeur
Manasse
Sorribes Tormo
Rogers
Kudermetova
Zanevska
Galfi
Kasatkina
Fernandez
Samsonova
Krunic
Krejcikova
Trevisan
Tomljanovic
S. Williams
Kontaveit
R2
Swiatek
Alexandrova
Anisimova
Zheng
Fruhvirtova
Kvitova
Mertens
Pegula
Badosa Gibert
Kostyuk
Pliskova
Bencic
Raducanu
Osaka
Rybakina
Sabalenka
Halep
Teichmann
Keys
Gauff
Haddad Maia
Garcia
Riske
Sakkari
Jabeur
Rogers
Kudermetova
Kasatkina
Fernandez
Krejcikova
Tomljanovic
Kontaveit
R3
Swiatek
Anisimova
Kvitova
Mertens
Badosa Gibert
Bencic
Raducanu
Sabalenka
Halep
Gauff
Garcia
Sakkari
Jabeur
Kudermetova
Fernandez
Tomljanovic
R4
Swiatek
Mertens
Bencic
Sabalenka
Gauff
Sakkari
Jabeur
Fernandez
QF
Swiatek
Bencic
Gauff
Fernandez
SF
Swiatek
Gauff
F
Gauff



Round 1 in the last 2 slams

French Open R1 ATP - 43/21
French Open R1 WTA - 45/19

Wimbledon R1 ATP - 46/18
Wimbledon R1 WTA - 45/19

Aiming for 50+ correct Round 1 picks in both at the US open.
Report Wesdag August 29, 2022 1:06 AM BST
Forget Emma.

Only won 2 in a row twice since last USO.

Permanently injured from carting all her dough around.
Report Journeyman August 30, 2022 3:40 PM BST
Really interesting match second up on Court 17. Erika Andreeva versus Kvitova.

Erika is one of my tripod of hot prospects for the next 10 years (along with Leylah and Linda N.) She's a super exciting player, admits to a very simple life with few distractions, just utterly focussed on tennis. Kvitova is on paper a terrible first round draw. Petra is good form can take out anyone but this is not a done deal because Petra has been throwing in some bonkers results this year (losing in straights at SW19 to Badosa anyone!?) and if she lets Erika into this it could be interesting. Erika can soak up power, has a great all round game and to me has echoes of McEnroe (stay with me here) Not so much in her playing style but J Mac was a Superbrat on the surface but had a great tennis mind under the surface and Erika has the makings of both these sides.

Andreeva to beat Kvitova a massive 5.5
Andreeva to win a set 2.58. Andreeva longshot outright 1000s Silly
Report mesmerised August 30, 2022 4:00 PM BST
literally never seen her play before, big step up from the ITF's. Good luck with that pick.

Tsitsipas much like Jabeur at the French, has completely ruined my men's prediction, he must have deliberately come in to the match knowing he was injured for a quick 50 grand. I'd do the same.

Come on Van Rijthoven at 750/1Plain
Report Journeyman August 30, 2022 4:13 PM BST
Come on Van Rijthoven at 750/1


Saving SEVEN matchpoints in Round 1 Shocked Might free him up or give him a sense that destiny is behind him
Report Journeyman August 30, 2022 7:00 PM BST
Oh Erika. Got on top early, served at *5-4. DF at breakpoint then DF in the tb.
The set that got away!


Petra screaming there at the end knows she is in a match though.
Report Journeyman September 6, 2022 5:50 PM BST
So what is your take (or anyone's take) on where things stand just before the QFs start?

Filtering through your zillion picks to the main ones, you're in good shape.
Two live Quarter winners in both the mens and the womens and your main final pick which is looking promising now.
To Meet in the Final - Swiatek v Gauff @ 34

In the Cincinatti thread I was asked to put up three title winners. What I said at the time

Journeyman • August 22, 2022 2:18 PM BST
Halep, assuming the thigh injury is the most illusory leg injury since Christopher Reeve in Above Suspicion.
Pliskova who is slipping under the radar but is rejuvenated and loving tennis again under Friedl. At some point that pays out.
Keys if she can stay in the same mindset. Petra was a bad matchup but she really blew everyone else away.


Pliskova has transformed under her new coach and two key elements are clearly back in a player who has always been a class act.
1 The fight. She is time after time able to grit out wins
2 Her clear refound love of playing. She just seemed to have lost the joy in it all for a long while but the fire is back.

So I'm sticking with her as the tournament winner (currently at 12s).

Picking a final at the QF stage I'd go for Pliskova vs Garcia. Garcia shutting down Riske who she'd never beaten was a clear indicator of where she's at rn. Although Gauff looks sensational and is a clear future slam winner, I think Garcia will get the upper hand this time. She's ready (and I think canniness/experience will tell). But both Pliskova and Garcia need that career-bookending slam whereas JPeg for example doesn't really have that same need, clever player as she is. I think fight and sheer need will decide this.
Report mesmerised September 6, 2022 6:41 PM BST
I don't know what I was thinking posting all these value picks, it was late and I got carried awayGrin definitely would not bother at the Aussie open, keep it simple, quarter winners picks, 4 value quarter winners picks, winners, 1 value winner pick but probably keep the same number of 'to meet in the final', will think about it more thoroughly next time. Having said  that, 4 of the 8 main pick quarter winners still standing.

still believe Gauff will win the tournament, and assuming Berrettini goes out, Kyrgios to win the tournament, I had not given Pliskova a seconds thought so well done on that one thus far but can only see Swiatek getting through to the final but I haven't even watched a Pliskova match only highlights so may well be underestimating her again.

So Gauff v Swiatek final still, and Kyrgios v Alcaraz, which would be a shame because this final match up was not in one of million different value picks, though if it's Kyrgios v Rublev, it'd land a 125/1 shot. Sabalenka v Gauff or Garcia would do the same thing.
Post Your Reply
<CTRL+Enter> to submit
Please login to post a reply.

Wonder

Instance ID: 13539
www.betfair.com