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HonkyJoe
30 Aug 21 11:58
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Date Joined: 20 Mar 12
| Topic/replies: 2,414 | Blogger: HonkyJoe's blog
Brady's up against the young British starlet Raducanu, and the market has it down as a 50/50.

Now, I think Raducanu's got a good future ahead of her, but if Brady is in reasonable shape then she surely ought to have too much for Raducanu at this point. Clearly Brady had a difficult season on the clay, and has been struggling very significantly with a foot injury. However, earlier in August, I read an interview where Brady said she had just been nursing the foot back to good health, and was still expecting to have a strong hard court season. Is that little more than hope on her part?

Is the market right to be dubious about her chances, or is it another case of Betfair prices overrating the chances of the British player?

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Replies: 7
By:
SamuelMertensBertens
When: 30 Aug 21 14:04
Jennifer has been struggling with injuries on and off since Miami which was in March and struggled with two injuries in Cincy less than two weeks ago. While I do think the market is overrating Emma due to being both British and young, market loves both these things, I don't trust Jen to be in good condition here. If I were to back Jen I would do it with a void book if you can similar odds to here, to have insurance in case she retires like she did in Cincy.
By:
differentdrum
When: 30 Aug 21 14:21
Who knows?

On the plus side Raducanu has managed to back up her successful Wimbledon. Right now she is used to winning matches.

Whoever is playing on any given day unless you know the player you are guessing as to how close they are to 100%.

These days are those 'at the top' of the women's game really that much better than the rest? It seems to have been a minefield for ages. Camilla Giorgi suddenly popped up to win a Canadian Open, sandwiched between rubbish results. Begu just reached a final out of nowhere.   

Barty is favourite because she is perceived to be the most consistent of what looks a relatively poor lot. She has never gone beyond the 4th Round at the US Open. Osaka is second favourite because she has won 4 Grand Slams. She could just as easily bomb out early. Sabalenka is second seed despite only once getting beyond the 4th round of a Slam.
By:
HonkyJoe
When: 30 Aug 21 14:32
Fair enough. I'll just watch for a bit and see what happens. I doubt she'll drop out as quickly as she has been doing in the less tournaments, but we may get a few hints after the first few points.

I'm certainly with you on WTA being a minefield. I watched several of Emma's Chicago matches, and was reasonably impressed. Her close tussle with Tauson was a good benchmark. She could have been luckier with the draw, but a 50% Brady would definitely be there for the taking.
By:
n88uk
When: 30 Aug 21 16:22
Given Brady's last 3 tournaments have ended in either retirement or walkovers it's not that surprising.
By:
SamuelMertensBertens
When: 30 Aug 21 16:38
Brady just withdrew
By:
SamuelMertensBertens
When: 30 Aug 21 16:38
Voegele will replace.
By:
Wesdag
When: 17 Sep 21 12:59
And the rest is history.
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