Forums
There is currently 1 person viewing this thread.
luckystar670
11 May 12 00:49
Joined:
Date Joined: 31 Aug 07
| Topic/replies: 174 | Blogger: luckystar670's blog
Any thoughts on who will win the match (May 11, 2012)?

• Li is ranked #8. Azarenka is #1.
• Li is 30 years old. Azarenka is 22.
• Li is 172 cm tall. Azarenka is 183 cm.
• Li won the French Open (clay) in 2011 and is probably preparing to defend that title.
Azarenka won the Australian Open (hardcourt) in 2012 and is probably best on that surface?
• Li was recently beaten by Kerber (world #19), Sharapova (#2) and Radwanska (#4).
Azarenka was recently beaten by Bartoli (#7) and Sharapova (#2).
• When Azarenka lost the final of her previous tournament (Stuttgart Open) to Sharapova, there was talk of Azarenka having a wrist injury.
• Both Li and Azarenka has played three matches each in the current tournament (Madrid Open). Neither one has lost a set. Azarenka has however had two tie-break sets (vs #28 Kuznetsova and #117 Hlavackova).

Personally I have bet on Azarenka at odds around 1.5 since I think she is basically the better player of the two. But might Li have a surprise win if she can play aggressively without too many unforced errors?

Post your reply

Text Format: Table: Smilies:
Forum does not support HTML
Insert Photo
Cancel
Page 1 of 7  •  Previous 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | Next
sort by:
Show
per page
Replies: 261
By:
luckystar670
When: 11 May 12 01:09
In Madrid Open 2011 (last year) Li reached the semifinal, and lost there to then #18 Kvitova.
Azarenka reached the final and lost there to Kvitova.

In Madrid Open 2012, both probably want to reach at least as far as they did in 2011.

The match Azarenka vs Li tomorrow (May 11, 2012) is one of the four quarter finals of Madrid Open 2012.
By:
Tytfaen
When: 11 May 12 01:23
Li is a "on and off" player, last match she stayed "on" , giving Kerber no chance. Azarenka has not been playing too good the last matches, so this could be real tight.
By:
luckystar670
When: 11 May 12 02:27
Tytfaen:

Ok. I saw the match Li vs Kerber in March 2012 (om hardcourt in Indian Wells tournament), and Li didn't really seem to be in form in that match and made quite a lot of unforced errors when pressured by Kerber who had a pretty easy win that time (6-4, 6-2).

But now I see that Li played Kerber in the third of her three matches so far in this tournament (Madrid Open), and this time Li won (7-5, 6-4).

So the impression is that Li is in form now, while Azarenka is maybe not playing at 100%.

As mentioned Azarenka lost the final in her previous tournament (Stuttgart Open) to Sharapova who won that match easily (6-1, 6-4).

And I read that Azarenka's second match in this tournament was not all that easy vs #117 Hlavackova: http://blogs.tennis.com/racquet_reaction/2012/05/madrid-azarenka-d-hlavackova.html

For example it says there that Azarenka might well have lost the second set in that match, but won it in a tie-break.

However I felt it was a good sign that Azarenka beat #15 Azarenka (6-4, 6-4) in Aza's third match in this tournament. That showed that Aza seems to be in pretty good form after all?
By:
luckystar670
When: 11 May 12 02:31
Correction in my previous comment:

"However I felt it was a good sign that Azarenka beat #15 Azarenka (6-4, 6-4) in Aza's third match in this tournament."

It should have said "#15 Ivanovic".
By:
luckystar670
When: 11 May 12 05:22
Previous encounters (in 2011 and 2012)

2011
January: Australian Open (4th round), Li won 6-3, 6-3
May: French Open (quarter finals), Li won 7-5, 6-2
October: WTA Championships (1st round), Azarenka won 6-2, 6-2

2012
January: Sydney (final), Azarenka won 6-2, 1-6, 6-3

So if you look at 2011 and 2012 Azaranka and Li have met four times and won two matches each.

However, Azarenka won the last two matches which probably is a sign that she has matured and become a better player.
By:
Andrewww
When: 11 May 12 06:55
My bet will be: Lay Azarenka 2-0, I think it might be 3 setter or Li will win.:)
By:
luckystar670
When: 11 May 12 08:07
Andrewww:

Ok. The current set odds are the following:

Azarenka 2-0: 2.12
Azarenka 2-1: 4.4
Li 2-0: 6.2
Li 2-1: 5.7

So the market still seems to think that Azarenka 2-0 is the most likely outcome of the match.

The match odds are the following:

Azarenka to win: 1.46
Li to win 3.15

I.e. the market believes Azarenka is the favourite to win the match.
By:
nicholasdc
When: 11 May 12 08:45
it's nice to see a thread with straight forward facts and neutral opinions without the word mug smeared all over it Happy
By:
jjjjj
When: 11 May 12 09:01
here comes the "mug"word.
its a mug market. this match is a coinflip. li is f*cking great on clay and was strong vs. kerber. if she doesnt spray too many UEs she will win this. 3.25 is incredible value.
By:
Andrewww
When: 11 May 12 09:20
I agree with jjjjj. Li was great with Kerber. A little devil.:) My only concern is about her mental condition in hard situations.
By:
YOMOMMA
When: 11 May 12 09:28
lay azawenka 2-0
By:
disicipline=£££££££££££££sssss
When: 11 May 12 09:52
straight sets win for aza

fan of mrs li
By:
KJPG
When: 11 May 12 09:56
packed to capacity with 8 people there
By:
meltdown
When: 11 May 12 10:01
backed ni to win first set :)
By:
Andrewww
When: 11 May 12 10:08
Li.. is a bit nervous at this moment
By:
Andrewww
When: 11 May 12 10:10
Li is slow...hmm.. strange to me.. maybe she just needs to warm a little bit more
By:
Canaletto .
When: 11 May 12 10:13
Aza will lose this today.
By:
barca111
When: 11 May 12 10:15
you never know let s seee
By:
barca111
When: 11 May 12 10:16
with ivanovic 1 set 1 4 6 4
By:
barca111
When: 11 May 12 10:16
for aza
By:
marquinhos
When: 11 May 12 10:18
LAY AZA 2-0 = FREE MONEY LI WILL GET AT LEAST A SET
By:
bikos
When: 11 May 12 10:20
were do u get your stats, any recommendations will be appreciated
By:
disicipline=£££££££££££££sssss
When: 11 May 12 10:20
gorgeous bird in azas camp
By:
Canaletto .
When: 11 May 12 10:21
If this girl is world number 1 then women's tennis is in big trouble.
By:
marquinhos
When: 11 May 12 10:24
HERE COMES THE BREAK AZA STRUGGLING ON SERVE AS EXPECTEDCool
By:
Canaletto .
When: 11 May 12 10:25
GSM. Next please
By:
KJPG
When: 11 May 12 10:25

May 11, 2012 -- 4:20AM, disicipline=£££££££££££££sssss wrote:


gorgeous bird in azas camp


Blonde girl?? Incredible she is!!

By:
YOMOMMA
When: 11 May 12 10:25
i won.


this clay is **** man.
By:
YOMOMMA
When: 11 May 12 10:27
i wanna bang azarenka.
By:
barca111
When: 11 May 12 10:28
seem li beter
By:
playitsafe
When: 11 May 12 10:28
Aza playing like ****
By:
barca111
When: 11 May 12 10:29
aza lose if play like this
By:
Canaletto .
When: 11 May 12 10:29
World number 101 more like with this effort!!
By:
YOMOMMA
When: 11 May 12 10:30
only mugz wud bak aza at those odds
By:
Andrewww
When: 11 May 12 10:32
It is not over yet ...but i think my bet was good:)
By:
barca111
When: 11 May 12 10:32
aza nadal
By:
YOMOMMA
When: 11 May 12 10:32
li won french open couple of years back + aza is not all that on clay. odds prematch were too short for aza.
By:
icfkev
When: 11 May 12 10:33
li has beaten aza 4-3 in matches why would you back aza at 1.5 ?? should have been evens both ways.
By:
mozzy5
When: 11 May 12 10:33
this isnt clay, it plays like a st hardcourt
Page 1 of 7  •  Previous 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | Next
sort by:
Show
per page

Post your reply

Text Format: Table: Smilies:
Forum does not support HTML
Insert Photo
Cancel
‹ back to topics
www.betfair.com