New Posts For Thread: Tomas Berdych SP in the finalhttps://community.betfair.com/tennis/go/thread/view/94186/30183757/tomas-berdych-sp-in-the-finalI have a big trade going on with Berdych. I was wondering what you guys think his SP would be vs either Rog or Raf. Obviously a lot of variables (one day more rest, length of matches) - lets just assume both semi's are won in 4 sets. I was thinking aI managed to get 500 on Berdych this morning with the NZ bookie at 13. I kid you not. They have since dropped price to 11.https://community.betfair.com/tennis/go/thread/view/94186/30183757/tomas-berdych-sp-in-the-final?post_id=537586783#537586783I managed to get 500 on Berdych this morning with the NZ bookie at 13. I kid you not. They have since dropped price to 11.Wed, 22 Jan 2014 18:46:34 -0600Berdych, has a terrible recent record against Warwrinka. Since the beginning of 2010 Warwrinka has won 6 of the 7 matches played and the one he did win, was a Davis Cup match, not that, that makes a lot of difference.https://community.betfair.com/tennis/go/thread/view/94186/30183757/tomas-berdych-sp-in-the-final?post_id=537585139#537585139Berdych, has a terrible recent record against Warwrinka. Since the beginning of 2010 Warwrinka has won 6 of the 7 matches played and the one he did win, was a Davis Cup match, not that, that makes a lot of difference.Wed, 22 Jan 2014 17:10:25 -0600*Fed_Final = 9.6-6.23 = 3.37 (odds for Berdych in final with FED)https://community.betfair.com/tennis/go/thread/view/94186/30183757/tomas-berdych-sp-in-the-final?post_id=537582903#537582903*Fed_Final = 9.6-6.23 = 3.37 (odds for Berdych in final with FED)Wed, 22 Jan 2014 16:14:40 -0600Berdych outright is 11Berdych vs Waw now 2.28Berdych in final (if he makes it, expected average odds) 11/2.28 = 4.80Now this will be a huge simplification (disregarding matchups, hth, probability of Fed/Rafa making the final etc.), but you can calculhttps://community.betfair.com/tennis/go/thread/view/94186/30183757/tomas-berdych-sp-in-the-final?post_id=537582853#537582853Berdych outright is 11Berdych vs Waw now 2.28Berdych in final (if he makes it, expected average odds) 11/2.28 = 4.80Now this will be a huge simplification (disregarding matchups, hth, probability of Fed/Rafa making the final etc.), but you can calculWed, 22 Jan 2014 16:13:49 -0600I have a big trade going on with Berdych. I was wondering what you guys think his SP would be vs either Rog or Raf. Obviously a lot of variables (one day more rest, length of matches) - lets just assume both semi's are won in 4 sets. I was thinking ahttps://community.betfair.com/tennis/go/thread/view/94186/30183757/tomas-berdych-sp-in-the-final?post_id=537581695#537581695I have a big trade going on with Berdych. I was wondering what you guys think his SP would be vs either Rog or Raf. Obviously a lot of variables (one day more rest, length of matches) - lets just assume both semi's are won in 4 sets. I was thinking aWed, 22 Jan 2014 15:34:34 -0600