Tonight in the 20.15 at Ripon Yeeoow is rightly favourite after a victory at Ascot last time out in a race where the form has worked out fairly well. The issue is that this race today is a competitive enough handicap and his price is plenty short enough given the list of potential dangers. The one I'd like to take him on with is the 4 year old fillie Love Island, she has a strong traveling style which has enabled her to trade at the prices required in 12 of her last 14 races. She was victorious on her reappearance this year and looked to have progressed when being involved in a 4 way go at the line in a very similar race over course & distance just 2 weeks ago.
Since that race the ground has firmed up which should be in her favor and she has every chance of being right in the mix again come the finish line. She's likely to sit in mid field for the early part of her race before producing her effort between 2f & 1f. At this point as she makes her challenge I'd expect her price to at the very least shorten up in running.
Love Island can be backed for 2 points at 11.0 widely at the books. If you want 30% profit then lay off 2.6 points at 8.0, or if you want 50% profit then lay off 3.05 points at 7.0 to give you a 1 point profit in all outcomes.
Best of luck.
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