In the 14.35 at Goodwood I think we can gain a trade from the front running favourite King Of The Danes. He's got a healthy strike rate with 2 victories from his 5 racecourse starts and put in quite a taking performance last time out where he made all and held on to win fairly comfortably. He's been put up 6lbs for that victory however prior to that race he had finished a good 2nd in a class of race higher than today's contest. This gives me the impression that there could still be some more progression left in him as it's hard to tell just how hard he was working last time out in front.
Either way we can expect a bold showing from the 3 year old colt, which should mean he will trade shorter at some point during the run. He has every chance of defying the penalty and going in again in this grade.
Kind Of The Danes can be backed now for 2 points at 4.5 at the books (paddy, victor). If you want 30% profit then lay off 2.6 points at 3.3, or if you want 50% profit then lay off 3.05 points at 2.9 to give you a 1 point profit in all outcomes.
Best of luck.
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