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Danzaa
23 Sep 23 18:23
Joined:
Date Joined: 16 Dec 10
| Topic/replies: 115,176 | Blogger: Danzaa's blog
Just cos no one else has
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Report timbuctooth December 9, 2023 9:09 PM GMT
No, the most exciting betting for a while, you can make a case for at least three of them to be going, fantastic trading being had
Report Cider December 9, 2023 9:12 PM GMT
They don't actually know how who Nigel voters will switch to. Assuming I was correct in thinking he was taking a big enough chunk of them. Probably Anna first in line, followed by Bobby.
Report five leaves left December 9, 2023 9:15 PM GMT
What's pretty certain is bobby will be in the dance off. With either Layton or Annabel
Report Cider December 9, 2023 9:15 PM GMT
Ellie has done nothing much to get voters invested in her, and she's not the most accomplished dancer on the show either. So certainly a test to pass tonight.
Report Cider December 9, 2023 9:19 PM GMT
You don't think there is an outside shot of Anna topping and Bobby in 2nd, Fig? Putting Ellie Bobby and Anna on 5 but she would be lowest based on public. Based tonight alone, that's a runner.
Report Jim Duncan December 9, 2023 9:19 PM GMT
fingers crossed for Annabel - what we need in the PV is:

1) Annabel
2) Ellie
3) Bobby
4) Layton
Report Jim Duncan December 9, 2023 9:20 PM GMT
or

1) Annabel
2) Bobby
3) Ellie
4) Layton
Report Cider December 9, 2023 9:21 PM GMT
Then they would have to boot Ellie. In my dreams Grin
Report Jim Duncan December 9, 2023 9:22 PM GMT
the pleading for votes suggests they know Annabel will top the vote imo
Report five leaves left December 9, 2023 9:22 PM GMT

Dec 9, 2023 -- 9:19PM, Cider wrote:


You don't think there is an outside shot of Anna topping and Bobby in 2nd, Fig? Putting Ellie Bobby and Anna on 5 but she would be lowest based on public. Based tonight alone, that's a runner.


No chance for me, but I've wrong before Grin Bobby is either bottom of the vote or 2nd bottom, on stats and polls

Report five leaves left December 9, 2023 9:23 PM GMT
It's better for him if he's bottom. Then he avoids Layton
Report timbuctooth December 9, 2023 9:23 PM GMT
Layton 4+1, Ellie 3+2, Bobby 2+3 and Annabelle 1+4 is not inconceivable, seeing Ellie booted over Layton. 130 my best, but been matched at 430
Report timbuctooth December 9, 2023 9:25 PM GMT
Sorry boys, I`m so slow at typing, I now see that scenario has been covered
Report five leaves left December 9, 2023 9:26 PM GMT
n1 tim. I had a couple of quid @75. Hugely unlikely but not impossible
Report Cider December 9, 2023 9:26 PM GMT
The fixers usually get what they want, I guess. One thing is for certain, Ellie did not look like a 5's on shot tonight. The get up they put her in not too visually flattering either.
Report five leaves left December 9, 2023 9:28 PM GMT
No, they've somewhat stitched her up for 2 weeks now. They clearly still dream of a Layton win
Report five leaves left December 9, 2023 9:28 PM GMT
Her QS last week was a mess with numerous dance partners
Report timbuctooth December 9, 2023 9:30 PM GMT
Ballard`s plea most telling for me
Report bearcub December 9, 2023 9:37 PM GMT
Ellie tops SS poll, Annabelle in 3rd
Report Jim Duncan December 9, 2023 9:40 PM GMT
boo boo
Report Jim Duncan December 9, 2023 10:55 PM GMT
If Annabel is not top of the public vote, she is likely in the dance-off and will be voted out by the two-faced judges.

Hoever, if Annabel is top of the public vote, she is on 5 points 1 + 4 = 5 and would mean the possible/likely scenarios are as follows:

===============================

Ellie 3 + 3 = 6
Annabel 1 + 4 = 5
------------------
Layton 4 + 1 = 5
Bobby 2 + 2 = 4 (Bobby out)

===============================

Ellie 3 + 3 = 6
Layton 4 + 2 = 6
------------------
Annabel 1 + 4 = 5 (Annabel out)
Bobby 2 + 1 = 3

===============================

Layton 4 + 3 = 7
Annabel 1 + 4 = 5
------------------
Ellie 3 + 2 = 5
Bobby 2 + 1 = 3 (Bobby out)

===============================

Layton 4 + 3 = 7
Annabel 1 + 4 = 5
------------------
Bobby 2 + 2 = 4  (Bobby out)
Ellie 3 + 1 = 4

===============================

Annabel 1 + 4 = 5
Bobby 2 + 3 = 5
------------------
Ellie 3 + 2 = 5 (Ellie out!!!) - this is the very scenario Bollard was warning against
Layton 4 + 1 = 5

===============================

Layton 4 + 2 = 6
Annabel 1 + 4 = 5
------------------
Bobby 2 + 3 = 5 (Bobby out)
Ellie 3 + 1 = 4

===============================
Report five leaves left December 9, 2023 11:28 PM GMT
Option 2 for me

Annabel out Sad v Bobby
Report Cider December 10, 2023 12:42 AM GMT
Prods got exactly what they wanted again, alas.
Report five leaves left December 10, 2023 8:00 PM GMT
It all came down to one pivot. If you believe that you believe anything

Annabel and Johannes Love
Report TheBorg December 10, 2023 8:01 PM GMT
Missing a trick,  would have been a much more feelgood final with Annabele in it.
Report five leaves left December 10, 2023 8:04 PM GMT
Yep, very strange. Johannes heartbroken Sad
Report squares December 13, 2023 1:58 PM GMT
Bobby and Dianne:

Favourite Dance: Couple’s Choice to This Woman’s Work by Maxwell

Show Dance: La La Land Medley

Judges’ Pick: Samba to Young Hearts Run Free by Candi Staton



Ellie and Vito:

Favourite Dance: American Smooth to Ain’t That A Kick In The Head by Robbie Williams

Show Dance: Jennifer Lopez Megamix

Judges’ Pick: Paso Doble to Insomnia by 2WEI



Layton and Nikita:

Favourite Dance: Argentine Tango to Tattoo by Loreen

Show Dance: Friend Like Me by Ne-Yo

Judges’ Pick: Quickstep to Puttin’ On The Ritz by Gregory Porter
Report Cornelia December 16, 2023 6:30 PM GMT
Sorry, not a specific reply but just want to know how Top Male is settled when the girl wins and they never say who is second
Report Cornelia December 16, 2023 6:30 PM GMT
Sorry, not a specific reply but just want to know how Top Male is settled when the girl wins and they never say who is second
Report Cornelia December 16, 2023 6:30 PM GMT
Sorry, not a specific reply but just want to know how Top Male is settled when the girl wins and they never say who is second
Report squares December 16, 2023 6:55 PM GMT
settled as DH
Report squares December 16, 2023 7:02 PM GMT
Good Evening Cool

assume a lot of padding tonight
Report five leaves left December 16, 2023 7:08 PM GMT
Evening all Love
Report squares December 16, 2023 7:10 PM GMT
Ellie first
Report five leaves left December 16, 2023 7:10 PM GMT
Winners going first again
Report five leaves left December 16, 2023 7:18 PM GMT
Craig saving his 10
Report squares December 16, 2023 7:19 PM GMT
yes, the others probably only need 10 paddles
Report five leaves left December 16, 2023 7:22 PM GMT
Preferred Annabel's samba
Report squares December 16, 2023 7:23 PM GMT
Laugh
Report five leaves left December 16, 2023 7:24 PM GMT
Grin
Report squares December 16, 2023 7:25 PM GMT
Bobby is such a joyous kid
Report five leaves left December 16, 2023 7:26 PM GMT
yep, he's a lovely guy
Report squares December 16, 2023 7:27 PM GMT
assume Craig's 10 comes out for Layton
Report five leaves left December 16, 2023 7:28 PM GMT
nailed on. Lisa Snowden treatment
Report squares December 16, 2023 7:30 PM GMT
hopefully not such an inappropriate show dance Shocked
Report five leaves left December 16, 2023 7:31 PM GMT
the quickstep bits not great
Report five leaves left December 16, 2023 7:32 PM GMT
lol yes, squares
Report squares December 16, 2023 7:35 PM GMT
JUDGES' PICK
(1) Ellie & Vito PD 9 10 10 10 = 39
(2) Bobby & Dianne Samba 9 10 10 10 = 39
(3) Layton & Nikita QS 10 10 10 10 = 40
Report squares December 16, 2023 7:41 PM GMT
everyone else must be out at Christmas parties Laugh

Miss our old regular Frogg, and sadly no sign of MD this season
Report squares December 16, 2023 7:43 PM GMT
ooh, bit of a mess up at the end
Report five leaves left December 16, 2023 7:44 PM GMT
Some amazing lifts, til the last one
Report timbuctooth December 16, 2023 7:44 PM GMT
Cornelia Joined: 16 Sep 01
Replies: 516 Dec 23 18:30 
Sorry, not a specific reply but just want to know how Top Male is settled when the girl wins and they never say who is second

Who is backing Layton TM at 1.8? He has to actually win for this to pay off, loses if Ellie wins, does his boll0x if Bobby does; far better value to back him for the outright
Report five leaves left December 16, 2023 7:44 PM GMT
Yep, it's very quiet
Report squares December 16, 2023 7:45 PM GMT
yes, it was extraordinary until the last lift just went a bit shaky
Report five leaves left December 16, 2023 7:46 PM GMT
helps her if anything
Report squares December 16, 2023 7:48 PM GMT
would have been 10s
Report five leaves left December 16, 2023 7:50 PM GMT
for sure. Craig almost in tears? Wanted to get his 10 out
Report J.O.TOBIN. December 16, 2023 7:56 PM GMT
Being very kind to Bobby and rightly so, nice lad,
Report five leaves left December 16, 2023 8:02 PM GMT
Layton doing the same dance again
Report squares December 16, 2023 8:03 PM GMT
Ha,Nikita and the hat
Report J.O.TOBIN. December 16, 2023 8:08 PM GMT
Ten Ten Ten is farcical
Report squares December 16, 2023 8:08 PM GMT
JUDGES' PICK
(1) Ellie & Vito PD 9 10 10 10 = 39
(2) Bobby & Dianne Samba 9 10 10 10 = 39
(3) Layton & Nikita QS 10 10 10 10 = 40

SHOWDANCE
(4) Ellie & Vito J-Lo Megamix 9 9 9 9 = 36 (75)
(5) Bobby & Dianne La La Land Medley 9 10 10 10 = 39 (78)
(6) Layton & Nikita Friend Like Me 9 10 10 10 = 38 (79)
Report J.O.TOBIN. December 16, 2023 8:08 PM GMT
Ten Ten Ten its farcical
Report five leaves left December 16, 2023 8:13 PM GMT
wonderful dance and vt
Report J.O.TOBIN. December 16, 2023 8:21 PM GMT
Yes 40 deffo the script as was Craigs speech TBF. She deserves the win been a great partnership,
Report five leaves left December 16, 2023 8:23 PM GMT
this song is all about the vocal and sadly the singer doesn't do it justice
Report squares December 16, 2023 8:24 PM GMT
yes, that detracts
Report squares December 16, 2023 8:29 PM GMT
all great dancers and partnerships this final tbf
Report five leaves left December 16, 2023 8:30 PM GMT
It's been a great final tbf. Even if from a betting pov it seems a forgone conclusion
Report five leaves left December 16, 2023 8:30 PM GMT
snap squares Grin
Report squares December 16, 2023 8:33 PM GMT
that was a bit underwhelming.  Charleston last week was the best of theirs
Report timbuctooth December 16, 2023 8:34 PM GMT
Excellent post-dance stuff from Bobby and family
Report squares December 16, 2023 8:36 PM GMT
Jeff has done a terrific job with those kids.
Report squares December 16, 2023 8:38 PM GMT
JUDGES' PICK
(1) Ellie & Vito PD 9 10 10 10 = 39
(2) Bobby & Dianne Samba 9 10 10 10 = 39
(3) Layton & Nikita QS 10 10 10 10 = 40

SHOWDANCE
(4) Ellie & Vito J-Lo Megamix 9 9 9 9 = 36 (75)
(5) Bobby & Dianne La La Land Medley 9 10 10 10 = 39 (78)
(6) Layton & Nikita Friend Like Me 9 10 10 10 = 38 (79)

FAVOURITE
(7) Ellie & Vito AmSm 10 10 10 10 = 40 (115)
(8) Bobby & Dianne Couple's Choice 9 10 10 10 (117)
(9) Layton & Nikita AT 10 10 10 10 = 40 (119)
Report squares December 16, 2023 8:39 PM GMT
OC, Ellie would have had 10s for Showdance if not for last lift
Report squares December 16, 2023 8:40 PM GMT
Ollie Alexander doing ESC
Report five leaves left December 16, 2023 8:41 PM GMT
I hope his vocals are better than his It's a sin cover
Report squares December 16, 2023 8:44 PM GMT
Cry
Report five leaves left December 16, 2023 8:50 PM GMT
votes closed
Report GeorgeBrush December 16, 2023 8:51 PM GMT
Time to collect on nikita and annabel fig
Report squares December 16, 2023 8:53 PM GMT
Brushy
Report squares December 16, 2023 8:54 PM GMT
that was great fun
Report five leaves left December 16, 2023 8:54 PM GMT
lol Ellie will do nicely
Report five leaves left December 16, 2023 8:54 PM GMT
lpm, Ellie 1.07, Layton 19.5, Bobby 32
Report five leaves left December 16, 2023 9:01 PM GMT
Yay! Love
Report Danzaa December 16, 2023 9:03 PM GMT
Easy
Report five leaves left December 16, 2023 9:05 PM GMT
You'd imagine so
Report GeorgeBrush December 16, 2023 9:06 PM GMT
Bonny lass actually, you told me she was a big biffer
Report GeorgeBrush December 16, 2023 9:06 PM GMT
Well done winners, unlucky losers of £14  :(
Report timbuctooth December 16, 2023 9:07 PM GMT
Yaay indeed, anyone but Layton
Report squares December 16, 2023 9:07 PM GMT
cheers guys
Report GeorgeBrush December 16, 2023 9:07 PM GMT
In case of any doubt blame fig
Report five leaves left December 16, 2023 9:09 PM GMT
lol I told you Ellie... and Nikita for a laugh Blush
Report five leaves left December 16, 2023 9:10 PM GMT
Always ignore me until I've seen the group dance
Report five leaves left December 16, 2023 9:12 PM GMT
cheers for keeping the scores squares ..and tim when he stood in. Next stop spoty
Report five leaves left December 16, 2023 9:19 PM GMT

Dec 16, 2023 -- 8:54PM, five leaves left wrote:


lpm, Ellie 1.07, Layton 19.5, Bobby 32


Best price matched 42 on Ellie and it was my fiver Cool

Report GeorgeBrush December 16, 2023 9:21 PM GMT
Hello squares, i trust you are well and did better than captain misinformation :)
Report timbuctooth December 16, 2023 9:36 PM GMT
Thanks fll; don`t know if squares does much IR trading but, my word, it`s hard doing the two! Good stuff with the 42, always nice to have backed a winner at the best price, adds a little frisson
Report Jim Duncan December 16, 2023 10:33 PM GMT

Dec 16, 2023 -- 9:19PM, five leaves left wrote:


Dec 16, 2023 -- 8:54PM, five leaves left wrote:lpm, Ellie 1.07, Layton 19.5, Bobby 32Best price matched 42 on Ellie and it was my fiver


Cool wd Figgy!

Report five leaves left December 16, 2023 11:09 PM GMT
Cheers guys. It doesn't happen very often, so nice when it does
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