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MartinK
14 May 22 13:40
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Date Joined: 07 Mar 01
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Grand Final Running Order:            You tube views as of today 11-12 this morning for official video and semi-final video - some semi-final videos have been up for 4 days some for 2 days

Czech Republic: We Are Domi – Lights Off -           761,466 views 19 Mar 2022    -      422,417 views12 May 2022
Romania: WRS – Llámame             -         1,975,763 views  8 Mar 2022    -    1,087,674 views12 May 2022
Portugal: MARO – Saudade, Saudade     -         1,429,383 views 17 Mar 2022    -      941,569 views10 May 2022
Finland: The Rasmus – Jezebel         -           813,072 views 10 Mar 2022    -      515,022 views12 May 2022
Switzerland: Marius Bear – Boys Do Cry     -           903,180 views  8 Mar 2022    -      393,291 views10 May 2022
France: Alvan & Ahez – Fulenn         -         2,651,468 views 11 Mar 2022    -      554,465 views10 May 2022
Norway: Subwoolfer – Give That Wolf A Banana -         4,873,915 views 19 Feb 2022 NF    -    1,487,420 views10 May 2022
Armenia: Rosa Linn – Snap         -         2,385,545 views 19 Mar 2022    -      652,827 views10 May 2022
Italy: Mahmood & Blanco – Brividi     -         3,913,150 views  9 Feb 2022 NF    -    1,169,168 views10 May 2022
Spain: Chanel – SloMo             -         5,223,949 views 30 Jan 2022 NF    -    2,101,727 views12 May 2022
Netherlands: S10 – De Diepte         -         4,084,176 views  3 Mar 2022    -    1,179,870 views10 May 2022
Ukraine: Kalush Orchestra – Stefania     -         6,914,344 views 10 Mar 2022    -    4,473,287 views10 May 2022
Germany: Malik Harris – Rockstars     -           658,044 views 12 Mar 2022    -      222,517 views12 May 2022
Lithuania: Monika Liu – Sentimentai     -         1,169,619 views 16 Feb 2022    -      781,280 views10 May 2022
Azerbaijan: Nadir Rustamli – Fade To Black -         1,321,425 views 21 Mar 2022    -      291,590 views12 May 2022
Belgium: Jérémie Makiese – Miss You     -         1,601,291 views 10 Mar 2022    -      307,163 views12 May 2022
Greece: Amanda Georgiadi Tenfjord – Die Together -     1,665,862 views 12 Mar 2022    -    1,407,429 views10 May 2022
Iceland: Systur – Með Hækkandi Sól         -       759,345 views 16 Mar 2022    -      357,736 views10 May 2022
Moldova: Zdob si Zdub & Advahov Brothers – Trenule -     5,144,120 views 10 Dec 2021 OV    -    2,044,737 views10 May 2022
Sweden: Cornelia Jakobs – Hold Me Closer     -     2,912,258 views 13 Mar 2022    -      684,365 views12 May 2022
Australia: Sheldon Riley – Not The Same         -     1,248,533 views  7 Mar 2022    -      312,497 views12 May 2022
United Kingdom: Sam Ryder – SPACE MAN         -     3,384,053 views 10 Mar 2022    -      664,244 views12 May 2022
Poland: Ochman – River                 -     2,414,354 views 20 Feb 2022    -    1,181,485 views12 May 2022
Serbia: Konstrakta – In Corpore Sano         -     2,416,629 views 11 Mar 2022    -    2,807,735 views 12 May 2022
Estonia: Stefan – Hope                 -       650,344 views 12 Mar 2022    -      305,984 views12 May 2022

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By:
MartinK
When: 14 May 22 13:43
First semi final songs ordered by youtube views (11-12 this morning) of their semi-final songs



Ukraine: Kalush Orchestra – Stefania            6,914,344 views 10 Mar 2022    -    4,473,287 views10 May 2022
Moldova: Zdob si Zdub & Advahov Brothers – Trenule?ul    5,144,120 views 10 Dec 2021 OV    -    2,044,737 views10 May 2022
Norway: Subwoolfer – Give That Wolf A Banana        4,873,915 views 19 Feb 2022 NF    -    1,487,420 views10 May 2022
Greece: Amanda Georgiadi Tenfjord – Die Together    1,665,862 views 12 Mar 2022    -    1,407,429 views10 May 2022
Netherlands: S10 – De Diepte                4,084,176 views  3 Mar 2022    -    1,179,870 views10 May 2022
Italy: Mahmood & Blanco – Brividi            3,913,150 views  9 Feb 2022 NF    -    1,169,168 views10 May 2022
Portugal: MARO – Saudade, Saudade            1,429,383 views 17 Mar 2022    -      941,569 views10 May 2022
Lithuania: Monika Liu – Sentimentai            1,169,619 views 16 Feb 2022    -      781,280 views10 May 2022
Armenia: Rosa Linn – Snap                2,385,545 views 19 Mar 2022    -      652,827 views10 May 2022
France: Alvan & Ahez – Fulenn                2,651,468 views 11 Mar 2022    -      554,465 views10 May 2022
Switzerland: Marius Bear – Boys Do Cry              903,180 views  8 Mar 2022    -      393,291 views10 May 2022
Iceland: Systur – Með Hækkandi Sól              759,345 views 16 Mar 2022    -      357,736 views10 May 2022
Belgium: Jérémie Makiese – Miss You            1,601,291 views 10 Mar 2022    -      307,163 views12 May 2022
By:
MartinK
When: 14 May 22 13:45
Second semi final songs ordered by youtube views (11-12 this morning) of their semi-final songs

Serbia: Konstrakta – In Corpore Sano            2,416,629 views 11 Mar 2022    -    2,807,735 views12 May 2022
Spain: Chanel – SloMo                    5,223,949 views 30 Jan 2022 NF    -    2,101,727 views12 May 2022
Poland: Ochman – River                    2,414,354 views 20 Feb 2022    -    1,181,485 views12 May 2022
Romania: WRS – Llámame                    1,975,763 views  8 Mar 2022    -    1,087,674 views12 May 2022
Sweden: Cornelia Jakobs – Hold Me Closer        2,912,258 views 13 Mar 2022    -      684,365 views12 May 2022
United Kingdom: Sam Ryder – SPACE MAN            3,384,053 views 10 Mar 2022    -      664,244 views12 May 2022
Finland: The Rasmus – Jezebel                  813,072 views 10 Mar 2022    -      515,022 views12 May 2022
Czech Republic: We Are Domi – Lights Off          761,466 views 19 Mar 2022    -      422,417 views12 May 2022
Australia: Sheldon Riley – Not The Same            1,248,533 views  7 Mar 2022    -      312,497 views12 May 2022
Belgium: Jérémie Makiese – Miss You            1,601,291 views 10 Mar 2022    -      307,163 views12 May 2022
Estonia: Stefan – Hope                      650,344 views 12 Mar 2022    -      305,984 views12 May 2022
Azerbaijan: Nadir Rustamli – Fade To Black        1,321,425 views 21 Mar 2022    -      291,590 views12 May 2022
Germany: Malik Harris – Rockstars              658,044 views 12 Mar 2022    -      222,517 views12 May 2022
By:
stu
When: 14 May 22 14:01
Subtract from the Spain views all the viewers who had their pants down IMO. Laugh
By:
MartinK
When: 14 May 22 14:03
So Ukraine racked up 4,473,287 views of their semi-final performance in 3 and a half days but Serbia managed 2,807,735 views in one and a half days and Spain managed 2,101,727 views in one and a half days which is impressive. I'm not sure what the juries made of Serbia, but Spain probably did quite well and if the YouTube views is an indicator of public support then the 8.0 for Spain to win without Ukraine might not be bad value.
By:
MartinK
When: 14 May 22 14:04
Yes Stu, the Spain views could well be gender biased!!
By:
MartinK
When: 14 May 22 14:04
Yes Stu, the Spain views could well be gender biased!!
By:
Escapee
When: 14 May 22 14:51
based on those Youtube figures, I backed Moldova to make the top 5 @ 8.01

seems value, I dunno


Eurovision 2022 -- Top 5                    £198,791 Matched


Ukraine    1.01 1.03 1.04   1.05   1.06   1.07   £41,206
        £1,003 £827 £1,181     £1,064 £406 £2,702  
Sweden    1.17 1.22 1.23   1.25   1.26   1.27   £15,071
        £25 £68 £439     £47 £163 £191  
Spain    1.47 1.48 1.49   1.5   1.59   1.61   £25,175
        £128 £246 £61     £329 £4 £15  
United Kingdom    1.47 1.48 1.49   1.5   1.52   1.54   £63,579
        £90 £154 £252     £1,186 £1,385 £260  
Italy    1.54 1.55 1.6   1.61   1.62   1.65   £15,944
        £150 £221 £8     £43 £811 £1,019  
Netherlands    3.8 3.9 4   4.3   4.5   4.9   £4,876
        £125 £62 £63     £9 £40 £46  
Poland    4.4 4.5 4.6   4.9   5.8   6   £8,911
        £31 £321 £8     £51 £1 £13  
Serbia    3.8 3.9 3.95   4.4   4.5   4.8   £4,131
        £89 £2 £2     £43 £28 £13  
Greece    6.6 6.8 7   7.2   9.8   10   £5,270
        £47 £31 £8     £59 £11 £10  
Norway    6 6.4 6.6   6.8   8.8   9   £4,674
        £26 £47 £54     £2 £2 £20  
Moldova    6.6 6.8 7   10.5   11   11.5   £1,596
        £25 £18 £12     £2 £5 £4  
Australia    7.4 12.5 13   14   17   940   £1,479
        £4 £9 £31     £153 £2 £5  
Estonia    29 30 32   40   55   1000   £722
        £3 £15 £4     £6 £4 £3  
Portugal    21 24 25   28   55   -   £1,459
        £4 £25 £11     £5 £2      
Armenia    38 40 42   55   -   -   £304
        £3 £5 £6     £2        
Finland    44 46 48   60   100   1000   £525
        £4 £13 £3     £10 £2 £3  
France    46 48 50   70   100   1000   £2,376
        £6 £2 £6     £8 £2 £3  
Czech Republic    44 46 50   90   95   100   £226
        £3 £2 £5     £2 £1 £83  
Belgium    90 110 130   200   1000   -   £209
        £1 £3 £3     £2 £3      
Switzerland    75 100 110   200   670   -   £568
        £1 £8 £6     £2 £1      
Lithuania    110 120 130   430   450   -   £58
        £5 £11 £3     £2 £1      
Iceland    100 110 130   500   -   -   £106
        £5 £3 £3     £2        
Germany    110 150 180   500   1000   -   £189
        £3 £7 £2     £3 £2      
Romania    34 120 130   290   300   600   £51
        £6 £3 £3     £3 £2 £4  
Azerbaijan    200 210 220   250   470   1000   £84
        £4 £3 £3     £5 £1 £3  
By:
Lifter
When: 14 May 22 15:18

May 14, 2022 -- 2:03PM, MartinK wrote:


So Ukraine racked up 4,473,287 views of their semi-final performance in 3 and a half days but Serbia managed 2,807,735 views in one and a half days and Spain managed 2,101,727 views in one and a half days which is impressive. I'm not sure what the juries made of Serbia, but Spain probably did quite well and if the YouTube views is an indicator of public support then the 8.0 for Spain to win without Ukraine might not be bad value.


Just take the 25 with Ukraine. That's where the value is.

By:
MartinK
When: 14 May 22 15:21
Here is an article about voting blocks - https://www.vox.com/2016/5/14/11667716/eurovision-song-contest-2016-logo-timberlake
By:
MartinK
When: 14 May 22 15:28
I'm sure there are enough sheep amongst the juries such that Ukraine will get plenty of second and third placing to get a comfortable jury score, and if Ukraine don't win the tele vote comfortably there will be a chewed up fedora in my household!!
By:
Vince_Bluett
When: 14 May 22 15:36
Lay UK for top 10 finish 1.17.

I remember our entry being hyped up in previous years, only to finish well down the field, so I can't go along with this widely-held view that because Sam is popular on Tiktok, he must have a great chance of winning.
By:
Corbyguy
When: 14 May 22 17:55
Source: https://tinyurl.com/bdfwusyz

The voting order for the final of the Eurovision Song Contest has been revealed for 2022, in the rehearsals on May 13th for the jury show.

The below list is the voting order for the national juries in this year’s final;

1. Netherlands
2. San Marino
3. North Macedonia
4. Malta
5. Ukraine
6. Albania
7. Estonia
8. Azerbaijan
9. Portugal
10. Germany
11. Belgium
12. Norway
13. Israel
14. Poland
15. Greece
16. Moldova
17. Bulgaria
18. Serbia
19. Iceland
20. Cyprus
21. Latvia
22. Spain
23. Switzerland
24. Denmark
25. France
26. Armenia
27. Montenegro
28. Romania
29. Ireland
30. Slovenia
31. Georgia
32. Croatia
33. Lithuania
34. Austria
35. Finland
36. United Kingdom
37. Sweden
38. Australia
39. Czech Republic
40. Italy
By:
MartinK
When: 14 May 22 19:52
Using the voting list above and voting groups in the link - https://www.vox.com/2016/5/14/11667716/eurovision-song-contest-2016-logo-timberlake - after about 16 countries - Moldova, the group which had most hits includes these top betting countries - Ukraine, Poland, Moldova ( 6 matches - 5 because they will have already voted) - and the group which 5 matches has as it's top in the betting - UK, Sweden, Netherlands.

All that this means is that if the charts are still relevant, these countries may well be in a better (or same) position in the chart than they will be after all juries have voted.

Will be interesting to see the score board after 16 countries have voted.
By:
five leaves left
When: 14 May 22 19:59
evening
GL all Cool
By:
Danzaa
When: 14 May 22 20:00
GL all
By:
five leaves left
When: 14 May 22 20:02
Ukraine ramp!
By:
Escapee
When: 14 May 22 20:02
Eurovision 2022 -- Winner                    £5,667,360 Matched


Ukraine    1.36 1.37 1.38   1.39   1.4   1.41   £3,874,275
        £1,304 £3,200 £888     £443 £1,971 £4,108  
United Kingdom    12 12.5 13   13.5   14   14.5   £306,244
        £258 £465 £176     £151 £318 £31  
Sweden    10 10.5 11   11.5   12   12.5   £344,092
        £431 £373 £155     £29 £79 £97  
Spain    23 24 25   26   28   29   £122,795
        £397 £29 £78     £53 £28 £43  
Italy    23 24 25   27   28   29   £555,586
        £29 £304 £140     £11 £30 £2  
Serbia    120 130 140   150   160   170   £17,631
        £25 £38 £7     £7 £14 £7  
Greece    200 210 220   240   250   260   £83,307
        £32 £19 £9     £4 £9 £4  
Netherlands    140 150 160   180   190   210   £33,239
        £46 £37 £12     £1 £9 £1  
Poland    140 160 170   190   200   210   £73,682
        £4 £3 £11     £1 £11 £22  
Norway    180 200 220   230   240   250   £43,287
        £16 £2 £6     £13 £1 £4  
Moldova    330 350 400   420   450   470   £5,675
        £10 £23 £5     £1 £2 £5  
Australia    660 670 700   770   780   790   £68,013
        £3 £5 £3     £2 £4 £2  
Finland    590 600 620   820   910   940   £13,443
        £2 £24 £2     £3 £2 £5  
Armenia    950 990 1000   -   -   -   £11,948
        £3 £3 £51              
Czech Republic    550 600 640   860   870   910   £5,571
        £21 £6 £3     £4 £1 £1  
Portugal    830 860 900   990   -   -   £20,033
        £2 £5 £2     £3        
Estonia    860 870 1000   -   -   -   £6,060
        £3 £1 £1              
Lithuania    900 990 1000   -   -   -   £3,605
        £2 £2 £198              
Belgium    900 990 1000   -   -   -   £13,568
        £2 £2 £206              
Romania    900 990 1000   -   -   -   £1,250
        £2 £2 £325              
Azerbaijan    900 990 1000   -   -   -   £7,615
        £2 £2 £103              
Iceland    900 990 1000   -   -   -   £3,223
        £2 £2 £165              
Switzerland    900 990 1000   -   -   -   £19,705
        £2 £2 £151              
Germany    910 990 1000   -   -   -   £7,597
        £3 £3 £131              
France    910 990 1000   -   -   -   £25,917
        £5 £2 £71              
By:
Cider
When: 14 May 22 20:05
the bozos have forgotten to go in play
By:
five leaves left
When: 14 May 22 20:07
lol oh yes
By:
Cider
When: 14 May 22 20:07
top baltic is in play thankfully
By:
Corbyguy
When: 14 May 22 20:08
suspended
By:
Cider
When: 14 May 22 20:09
fixed
By:
Cider
When: 14 May 22 20:09
it's not improved my cash out
By:
Cider
When: 14 May 22 20:10
suspended again Cry
By:
five leaves left
When: 14 May 22 20:12

May 14, 2022 -- 8:07PM, Cider wrote:


top baltic is in play thankfully


oh good  Laugh

By:
RUN4FUN
When: 14 May 22 20:13
How do they continue to get so much wrong?
By:
five leaves left
When: 14 May 22 20:14
completely fooking useless
By:
Escapee
When: 14 May 22 20:15
"How do they continue to get so much wrong?"

practice Laugh
By:
MartinK
When: 14 May 22 20:15
Maybe some bozo thinks it starts with the first song .... surely not!!!
By:
Cider
When: 14 May 22 20:18
open t10 bets have not even been cancelled, what a fooking beautiful mess
By:
MartinK
When: 14 May 22 20:18
what's the email to get betfair's support attention ?
By:
pandora1963
When: 14 May 22 20:18
CZECHS TOP 10 WHat do we reckon??
By:
Cider
When: 14 May 22 20:19
main market back
By:
bearcub
When: 14 May 22 20:19
It's on
By:
bearcub
When: 14 May 22 20:19
It's on
By:
pandora1963
When: 14 May 22 20:19
not a bad song for a 600/1 shot
By:
Schraderbrau
When: 14 May 22 20:20
can't have it Pandora. I've not heard any others though. that's my tactic.
By:
MartinK
When: 14 May 22 20:20
I bet czech for top 10 before final draw, but opening isn't so good - but at this price it might be worth it
By:
pandora1963
When: 14 May 22 20:20
backed the czechs for top 10 before i heard it, so you never know
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