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armagnac
01 Dec 19 21:20
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Date Joined: 28 Aug 04
| Topic/replies: 55,203 | Blogger: armagnac's blog
Grin
Pause Switch to Standard View IAC 2019 Day 15 Second Eviction
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Report bearcub December 1, 2019 8:36 PM GMT
Weirdo
Report armagnac December 1, 2019 9:03 PM GMT
*****************
Report J.O.TOBIN. December 1, 2019 9:03 PM GMT
**************
Report timbuctooth December 1, 2019 9:05 PM GMT
Excellent! A-Star!
Report bearcub December 1, 2019 9:06 PM GMT
****** ****** *******************
Report bearcub December 1, 2019 9:07 PM GMT
Caitlyn telling a woman she don't look like a woman Cool
Report Cider December 1, 2019 9:10 PM GMT
top bloke that Ian Wright Plain
Report Angela Rebecchi December 1, 2019 9:10 PM GMT
Ray of sunshine Laugh
Report mach December 1, 2019 9:11 PM GMT
Myles or Nadine going would be a good result for my book
Report bearcub December 1, 2019 9:11 PM GMT
shut up mach
Report Cider December 1, 2019 9:12 PM GMT
he's the type where the bottom lip comes out when it doesn't go his way Cool
Report timbuctooth December 1, 2019 9:12 PM GMT
Kate`s fantastic
Report Angela Rebecchi December 1, 2019 9:12 PM GMT
Nadine's shower shots are the best thing about this programme at the moment, so she needs to stay.
Report mach December 1, 2019 9:14 PM GMT
No Roman,  the guy is teflon
Report Cider December 1, 2019 9:15 PM GMT
No Andy either
Report Capt__F December 1, 2019 9:16 PM GMT
please James go he such a turd

have to agree Nadine superb nipple shotsDevil
Report Cider December 1, 2019 9:17 PM GMT
There's another t1t coming right up
Report J.O.TOBIN. December 1, 2019 9:23 PM GMT
Ian thinks he has thisCool
Report J.O.TOBIN. December 1, 2019 9:26 PM GMT
Votes gonna close soon must have who they wanted at bottom overnight.
Report bearcub December 1, 2019 9:28 PM GMT
Insiders say Andrew
Report mach December 1, 2019 9:37 PM GMT
Kate having a cracker
Report Cider December 1, 2019 9:38 PM GMT
Andy Cool
Report mach December 1, 2019 9:41 PM GMT
The more of Roman I see the less I like, a Instagram post is like buying flowers Crazy
Report Danzaa December 1, 2019 9:42 PM GMT
Spoiler up
Report timbuctooth December 1, 2019 9:42 PM GMT
Kate`s MASSIVE value, by far the best in a field of non-entities, boring grumps and bullies
Report J.O.TOBIN. December 1, 2019 9:43 PM GMT
Cliffs bum crackLaugh
Report mach December 1, 2019 9:47 PM GMT
I'm guessing ian for it might be you
Report armagnac December 1, 2019 9:48 PM GMT
I GUESS ANDREW
Report bearcub December 1, 2019 9:48 PM GMT
Nadine again for the imby
Report bearcub December 1, 2019 9:49 PM GMT
I'll lay you 10/1 Army
Report armagnac December 1, 2019 9:49 PM GMT
ok 1 jellybean
Report bearcub December 1, 2019 9:50 PM GMT
You're on Cool
Report Angela Rebecchi December 1, 2019 9:51 PM GMT
Shock Laugh
Report armagnac December 1, 2019 9:53 PM GMT
yumyum 10 beans for me
Report bearcub December 1, 2019 9:53 PM GMT
lol
Report bearcub December 1, 2019 9:53 PM GMT
Army never read the rules Cry
Report armagnac December 1, 2019 9:55 PM GMT
ffs small print
Report five leaves left December 1, 2019 9:56 PM GMT
Insiders say Roman doing well in the vote
Report bearcub December 1, 2019 9:57 PM GMT
Rampers saying the same
Report timbuctooth December 1, 2019 9:59 PM GMT
Anyone who believes that was a real IMBY really shouldn`t be betting on this. (And yes, you can rub it in my face if the official figures prove me wrong!) Great news that the market`s likely to believe it, more opportunities to snaffle amazing value.
Report armagnac December 1, 2019 10:00 PM GMT
he can do as well as he wants, andy will smash him up the straight
his personality is on another level
Report timbuctooth December 1, 2019 10:06 PM GMT
Sorry, army, but he`s got no personality at all, that`s his very problem; if he had, and given his profile, he`d be 1.5 or less. Especially with the severe dearth of rivals.
Report armagnac December 1, 2019 10:10 PM GMT
he's hardly had a look in tim and when he does he's gold, bridal job
Report Angela Rebecchi December 1, 2019 10:11 PM GMT
Caitlyn Andy and Kate are my favourites. Market loves Roman though, wonder if someone is privvy to the results.
Report Angela Rebecchi December 1, 2019 10:12 PM GMT
Not to win, but people I'd like to be in there with*
Report Lifter December 1, 2019 10:13 PM GMT
Romans price is bizzare! Maybe someone is seeing the votes. But then again, his price has been held down the whole time, so maybe not.
Report armagnac December 1, 2019 10:15 PM GMT
considering roman has been in since day one and has not put a foot wrong, been genuine, nice blah blah funny etc and has been in most scenes, never out of the bush telegraph he's every right to be fav imo
the market is probably realising this, andy has not done enough YET !!!
would be no shock if roman goes fav at some point, i still see andy smashing him when numbers decline
Report timbuctooth December 1, 2019 10:17 PM GMT
And the panel LOVING the delectable Kate! They know, get on before they do!
Just gotta hope she knows the IMBYs are often fake, that she doesn`t lose the sparkling spirit she`s shown since opening night; would be a travesty for a lie to cost her the crown
Report Angela Rebecchi December 1, 2019 10:18 PM GMT
Kate is great. Would be a very deserving winner for sure tim, though the most deserving often don't collect
Report Cider December 1, 2019 10:19 PM GMT
Would be nice to see Cliff beat one of the chumps
Report Cider December 1, 2019 10:21 PM GMT
This is not an event to oppose the cash once the vtw has started.
Report timbuctooth December 1, 2019 10:23 PM GMT
No need for anyone to be fretting about insiders knowing the vote, as Kemp`s price has been ridiculously low for the entire series, long before we (or any insiders!) had a clue as to votes. That only started last night, with previous BTT votes not being popularity polls
Report Capt__F December 1, 2019 10:29 PM GMT
how is kate in bottom 2 ?

andrew yes and james the cnt 4 me
Report timbuctooth December 1, 2019 10:34 PM GMT
The voting figures are released next Sunday, Capt, and over the years, maybe half the B2s are correct, half of them fake; With the show she had, you can have it in writing that tonight`s was a fake
Report Cider December 1, 2019 10:35 PM GMT
I'm not keen on him but Kemp is clearly going to be a challenger.
Report timbuctooth December 1, 2019 10:39 PM GMT
In the case of Kirk failing to deliver, Kemp`s the obvious default fav. Fair enough, but this particular default really is there for the taking
Report scampi December 1, 2019 11:02 PM GMT
Great to see blind Mikey from Big Brother on the Extra Camp guest panel.
Report scampi December 1, 2019 11:11 PM GMT
Poor old Mikey hit on head with baseball, endured that really really hot chilli and still lost to Rachel Rice.
Report scampi December 1, 2019 11:11 PM GMT
Poor old Mikey hit on head with baseball, endured that really really hot chilli and still lost to Rachel Rice.
Report CLYDEBANK29 December 1, 2019 11:59 PM GMT
"The voting figures are released next Sunday, Capt, and over the years, maybe half the B2s are correct, half of them fake; With the show she had, you can have it in writing that tonight`s was a fake"

Well I'd wager that the b2 is correct nearer 70% of the time than 50%.  I think personally, this one may have been wrong but we'll see at the end of the show.  As far as the first elimination goes, the only time since voting figures were realeased (in 2008) it wasn't the actual b2 was in 2010 (0.23% on that occasion and it was Gillian Mckeith so perhaps understandable), so I'd be surprised if Nadine wasn't b2 (albeit phone votes only)

1st elimination b2 called correct 10/11 times
2nd elimination b2 called correct 8/11 times
Report timbuctooth December 2, 2019 4:36 AM GMT
Vaguely seem to remember collating the IMBY figures from previous series and posting them, but I can`t find them now. Thought it might have been just more than half were correct, (hence the colloquial `maybe`), perhaps 60-40, so wouldn`t argue if you`re saying it`s actually 70-30. Tonight`s was one of the 30%, though!
Report timbuctooth December 2, 2019 5:16 AM GMT
Found the last few years` figures, (courtesy horse);

2014 3 out of 4 correct
2015 3 out of 6 correct
2016 5 out of 6 correct
2017 7 out of 7 correct
2018 2 out of 7 correct

So, no discernible pattern at all, with a 67% `correct` strike rate over those five years
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