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armagnac
12 Dec 18 11:03
Joined:
Date Joined: 28 Aug 04
| Topic/replies: 55,202 | Blogger: armagnac's blog
Ladbaby currently 8/1
Celebrity dad of the year and YouTube sensation Mark Hoyle is releasing a charity song this Friday which will go viral
Wins easily imo
Pause Switch to Standard View Christmas Number One
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Report Cider December 19, 2018 6:40 PM GMT
It's misleading scampi but they don't compile the charts for betting and I doubt the public in general would care.

In my experience it's radio that has more impact on actual sales, rather than for example a news item or a brekky telly appearance.

He's circa 30K after today at best and the winner will be over 50K so will need 20K+ tomorrow to stand any chance.
Report armagnac December 19, 2018 6:42 PM GMT
An actual semi famous person will hopefully get the twitter ball running now, as companies was having no affect
Just need a few biggies to jump on board plus a slot on a breakfast show and he surely picks up 20,000+ sales
It can’t be that fecking hard surely
Report Cider December 19, 2018 6:44 PM GMT
6K followers is not exactly twitter royalty.
Report armagnac December 19, 2018 6:46 PM GMT
No but it’s the 1st person who’s actually tweeted support, others might follow now
Report armagnac December 19, 2018 7:01 PM GMT
Iceland foods now

.
https://mobile.twitter.com/LadBabyOfficial/status/1075464167287607296?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Etweet
Report armagnac December 19, 2018 7:14 PM GMT
One huge sports star to tweet support would help
Report scampi December 19, 2018 8:46 PM GMT
Noticed on Ladbaby's twitter he said he had 150,000 Spotify streams. I've checked out the spotify charts on Kworb and other sources and can't find any such data. Anyone know where he might have got that figure from?
Report Cider December 19, 2018 9:11 PM GMT
There's no evidence.
Report scampi December 19, 2018 9:28 PM GMT
Thanks Cider, thought I was looking in the wrong places. Just LB's way of trying to keep momentum up I guess.
Report armagnac December 19, 2018 9:47 PM GMT
Vid just gone up, he reckons he’s 2000 behind Ava from a source at the BBC, plus he’s doing the BBC breakfast show in the morning
Report armagnac December 19, 2018 9:51 PM GMT
.
https://mobile.twitter.com/LadBabyOfficial/status/1075507192483233792?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Etweet
Report armagnac December 19, 2018 9:53 PM GMT
The source at the BBC showed him that article in the tweet
Report armagnac December 20, 2018 9:04 AM GMT
Trussell have tweeted this morning

.
https://mobile.twitter.com/TrussellTrust/status/1075665906645258241

On BBC1 now
Report bearcub December 20, 2018 9:12 AM GMT
She comes across a lot better than him
Report armagnac December 20, 2018 9:51 AM GMT
Wonder how many people have waited till the last day to download it ?
Guessing most women would of done it on day one, well us men like with Christmas shopping leave till the last second
Suppose I should do my 3 downloads at some point today, it is for charity after all LoveCool
Report armagnac December 20, 2018 10:01 AM GMT
Sales are over 5 figures for the last 24 hours, according to this sales model

,
http://www.digitalsalesdata.com/diydsd.php?Region=143444
Report bearcub December 20, 2018 10:38 AM GMT
2.4 matched Shocked
Report armagnac December 20, 2018 10:40 AM GMT
.
https://mobile.twitter.com/LadBabyOfficial/status/1075701424691007488
Report armagnac December 20, 2018 10:50 AM GMT
Vid up, apparently he’s gonna try and get on CBeebies later
Looks like the BBC are proper going out of there way to get this to number one, after publishing that crap article from James McMugface the other day
Report armagnac December 20, 2018 11:09 AM GMT
Full BBC vid posted on Facebook now, many comments saying they struggle to survive on a day to basis even with both parents working and what there doing to help is a wonderful thing
Many comments of women crying while watching

In the words of Tim for the 2nd time

THIS IS ALL OVER !!!!!!
Report armagnac December 20, 2018 11:09 AM GMT
Day to day*
Report armagnac December 20, 2018 11:11 AM GMT
Hope it was Tim who got the 100/1 LoveCool
Report bearcub December 20, 2018 11:15 AM GMT
Flipped
Report bearcub December 20, 2018 11:45 AM GMT
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lg2CXkJVCHk
Report armagnac December 20, 2018 11:47 AM GMT
Hilarious bear, proper sat here laughing
Report armagnac December 20, 2018 11:48 AM GMT
Ava 0.1464 on kworb, holy sh1t
Report bearcub December 20, 2018 11:49 AM GMT
The deep green for Ladbaby is impressive
Report armagnac December 20, 2018 11:52 AM GMT
Lol on both fronts Cool
Report bearcub December 20, 2018 11:57 AM GMT
I sent you a message an hour ago and you've not replied Angry

FOTY gone to your head Sad
Report Cider December 20, 2018 12:03 PM GMT
Well done army, a Xmas miracle Love
Report armagnac December 20, 2018 12:15 PM GMT
Lol sorry bear, still use classic mostly
Report armagnac December 20, 2018 12:17 PM GMT
Thanks cider Love one crazy market this one at times
Report THEMONEYSHOT December 20, 2018 1:12 PM GMT
GTFI Army ! G.O.A.T Cool
Report armagnac December 20, 2018 1:42 PM GMT
Lol cheers TMS Cool
Report armagnac December 20, 2018 1:55 PM GMT
Apparently streams no longer count, they stopped at midnight
only downloads count today says Ladbaby on his latest video
Report scampi December 20, 2018 2:06 PM GMT
Amazing shout Army (easy to green up at these prices - just in case) and great start of your tenure as FOTY.
Report Cider December 20, 2018 2:34 PM GMT
Today's streaming counts as well, cut off midnight.

Start the car now though, there are people on the pitch.
Report armagnac December 20, 2018 3:20 PM GMT
Thanks scampi Grin

Yes Cider, I get the feeling Ladbaby hasn’t a clue what he’s on about most of the time
Report armagnac December 20, 2018 3:46 PM GMT
Bookies will be paying out very soon

.
https://mobile.twitter.com/LadBabyOfficial/status/1075778257042104321
Report armagnac December 20, 2018 4:06 PM GMT
Must be on with grimmy, not sure Ladbaby knows his arse from his elbow
Roxy definitely the one with the brains
Report armagnac December 20, 2018 4:11 PM GMT
What a plonker CryLaugh

.
https://mobile.twitter.com/LadBabyOfficial/status/1075784571722059776
Report bardo December 21, 2018 7:40 AM GMT
looks like it  really is all over... all i can say is wow !

Armagnac.. Hats off to you Sir... you beat the drum on this one alone... but you never lost faith.. It was an absolutely brilliant call

that mug from the BBC Masterson has cost me an absolute packet coz when he wrote that article saying ladbaby had no chance I lost my nerve and traded out of some very nice green

GRRR... im just absolutely raging that I didn't back it more.. although i did get some at 12 and 10.5 so still make a nice few quid

for those who got on this early doors at big odds... This has to be the specials bet of the year

Happy Christmas to you All
Report armagnac December 21, 2018 10:01 AM GMT
Cheers bardo, happy Christmas to you as well Grin
JM is not a fan of **** music or campaigns imo so written it off early when no one outside Ladbaby’s army got on board, it only won coz this wider public support finally arrived with a few days to go. After wrongly being called 2nd in the midweek update, Ladbaby jumped on this and the begging began.
These campaigns have a history of really gathering pace on the last day so was banking on that the whole time, things fell into place nicely but as with all betting you need that bit of luck.
Glad you made something in the end, always best to go with your gut and never forget specials markets are the most wrong on the planet
Report CLYDEBANK29 December 21, 2018 10:29 AM GMT
well done army.  I just heard this was going to be number One.  What price was it when it was featured on BBC Breakfast?
Report armagnac December 21, 2018 10:48 AM GMT
Thanks Clyde, I’m not to sure tbh I was only half awake. 3/4 ish I think, bear will know
Report CLYDEBANK29 December 21, 2018 10:57 AM GMT
Not been following the market at all army, just searched YouTube for the song and came across the BBC Breakfast segment.  Foodbanks and family poverty is a huge issue and an indictment on modern society.  It's a very emotive subject.  Sadly I think BREXIT is going to make the problem significantly worse.
Report hemsby December 21, 2018 11:00 AM GMT
FOTY nomination and selection justified within a couple of days Cool

Enjoy your Xmas ....looks like it’s going to be a good one in the army household Love
Report CLYDEBANK29 December 21, 2018 11:00 AM GMT
It already has made the problem worse of course pushing up food prices because of the weak pound
Report bearcub December 21, 2018 11:01 AM GMT
3.5 @ 9.18
4.2 @ 10.07

So the market wasn't impressed with his appearance
Report Cider December 21, 2018 11:10 AM GMT
It wasn't the Breakfast appearance that triggered the gamble. It was reasonable, but didn't inform viewers how to purchase the download and didn't seem a game changer by itself. ITunes had hardly reacted to it at all an hour later. Much more important was the (not freely available to the public) daily sales update, which put LB 4K ahead against the market  assumption that he was not ahead. It meant that he only needed to beat Ava by around 6K on the last day rather than 10K. As it turned out he may well have been able to turn around a 6K deficit anyway, if downloads from yesterday are as high as anticipated.
Report armagnac December 21, 2018 11:14 AM GMT
So true Clyde, lots think food banks are only there/available to people on benefits. The cost of living and average wage amongst the lower classes and upto middle classes even are totally out of line. I’m not an expert on this but it don’t take a brain scientist to see there is no give in the system, so many people working to live with nothing left after bills for just one night out a month.
It’s broken beyond repair the world we live in unfortunately, just gotta play the best hand you can with the cards you’re  dealt Sad
Report armagnac December 21, 2018 11:17 AM GMT
Thanks hems, have a good one to LoveCool
Report CLYDEBANK29 December 21, 2018 11:26 AM GMT
I was looking at the graph and saw that it drifted to the teens and then rapidly shortened thereafter. That wasn't a last day plunge?  I can't see any logic in the market drifting because of the segment on BBC Breakfast show myself, unless it was completely expected and the market moved because of prior knowledge of the segment and people were trying to trade out of short term positions on the back of that prior knowledge quickly before updated sales figures emerged.
Report CLYDEBANK29 December 21, 2018 11:28 AM GMT
thanks for the info Cider.  Just curious
Report CLYDEBANK29 December 21, 2018 11:39 AM GMT
Yeah army.  Inequality is a globalalisation issue.  Impossible for one country to fight it on it's own, as that country will just get undercut, by other countries effectively buying the rich and talented with higher wages and lower taxation.  The UK is probably pretty good at that game tbf.
Report Cider December 21, 2018 11:40 AM GMT
No worries CB. I have read that iTunes have recently changed the algorithm for the calculation of their popularity bars, and it's possible that there was a delay to the impact of the TV appearance. However I've not seen that trend for anything else this year. But soon after the sales 'leaks', iTunes had a huge update for LB, then he became a true 1.05 shot.
Report CLYDEBANK29 December 21, 2018 11:40 AM GMT
Better to get 10% of summat than 50% of nothing
Report armagnac December 21, 2018 11:42 AM GMT
Is that why the premier league was invented lol
Report Cider December 21, 2018 11:47 AM GMT
It was a feeding frenzy, I think many of the books suspended and LB taken to 1.06 with the only danger out to 30. They were the true prices but it settled down a bit with some people happy to take cheap bets I guess. 1.06 was being matched again just before the midnight suspension.
Report five leaves left December 21, 2018 12:05 PM GMT
Top tipping army Cool Have a great Christmas Love
Report armagnac December 21, 2018 12:07 PM GMT
You to fig, thanks mate Love
Report CLYDEBANK29 December 21, 2018 12:16 PM GMT
The PL is a very good example of the extremes of a global market pushing up the prices and wages of the most talented players.  The wages are obscene and anyone buying Sky or BT sport subscriptions is paying for their huge salaries (I wish I had the option to buy a sports package that doesn't include football).


But on the flip side the players are spending a large portion of their wages and paying tax in the UK, the PL in itself is one huge advert for the UK, bringing in mega rich foreign investors, tourism and tv revenue.  I imagine economically it's a winner for our country, despite the obscene salaries.
Report armagnac December 21, 2018 12:24 PM GMT
Well yeah rather here than Spain, the premier league is the jewel of the world let alone Europe these days,
Report timbuctooth December 21, 2018 1:52 PM GMT
THIS IS ALL OVER!!!
Report armagnac December 21, 2018 2:11 PM GMT
Laugh
Report timbuctooth December 21, 2018 2:50 PM GMT
FAO; CB, anyone else fed up paying £100+ a month to Sky, and all those whose political persuasions might leave them disinclined to contribute to Rupert Murdoch`s pension fund!

Not for the first time on here, may I suggest some form of `Dreambox`? My one has;

EVERY terrestrial, EVERY Sky, EVERY BT Virgin channel. Plus many more.
ALL the sports, ALL the movies. Plus many more, including EVERY Premiership game. Yes, ALL the Saturday 3.00 kick off games
FREE Box Office events, like ALL the big boxing events
Thousands of movies, ALL the box set stuff, radio stations, THOUSANDS of music albums
The VERY latest movies, watch Oscar contenders before they`re even released to the UK cinemas!
LOADS of foreign TV stations, from all around the world
And I`m told there is also LOADS of umm, err, `adult` channels and stored movies
You can download your own stuff onto the box
All the usual `catch-up` `pause` `rewind` stuff
Surf the net

Don`t know how much you can get this for online, but my man charges £70 for the box, and £20 a month, or £240 to include the box and a year`s subscription. £240 isn`t much more than two months of Sky, ffs! And then there`s the ongoing saving of maybe £100 A MONTH!!! For which you`ll be receiving so much more? Bit of a no-brainer, really.

Drawbacks? Well, for most people, there`s none! About the size of twp packets of cigarettes, connect to your tv and wifi, off you go, very user-friendly interface. There is a slight delay in reception, but if you have a reasonable speed of connection to the internet, this delay is only a few seconds. I`m up in the mountains, with terrible speeds, and my delay is about 30 seconds but, unless you HAVE to know a goal has been scored at the exact second it`s scored, this delay is utterly irrelevant.

Here`s the first one up on Google, give you an idea of it;

https://bestiptv4ever.com/iptv-set-top-box-mag322-mag323/
Report timbuctooth December 21, 2018 2:54 PM GMT
Thought of a few more;
ATR and RUK
William Hill/Coral TV etc, so all the dog racing

Most mainstream channels in HD
3D movies
Report armagnac December 21, 2018 5:42 PM GMT
Cool
Report bearcub December 21, 2018 5:43 PM GMT
Well done Army Cool
Report Cider December 21, 2018 5:44 PM GMT
Sold 30K yesterday. Never in doubt Laugh
Report armagnac December 21, 2018 5:50 PM GMT
Thanks bear Love
Report bearcub December 21, 2018 5:54 PM GMT
Another nice psycho blip paying for Christmas

Well done in sticking to your guns in spite of the doubters army

It pays to be ahead of the curve Wink
Report Cider December 21, 2018 5:57 PM GMT
Bear so desperate to do some more aftertiming here Laugh
Report armagnac December 21, 2018 5:57 PM GMT
James Masterton played a part, without the BBC publishing his article they might not of stepped in to help..it looked they was trying to get back on the public’s side, as all of LadBaby’s supporters were pretty annoyed with them.
Report armagnac December 21, 2018 6:03 PM GMT
The support from the giants took its time coming but made the difference
Report armagnac December 21, 2018 6:04 PM GMT
The support from the giants took its time coming but made the difference
Report Cider December 21, 2018 6:04 PM GMT
A combination of freak occurrences army. But that's betting, especially in specials where nearly anything can happen. Though this one is at the more extreme end of the dial! To do 2K on day 3 after release and 30K on the final day has never happened before and will likely never happen again.
Report bearcub December 21, 2018 6:04 PM GMT
Grow up Cider
Report armagnac December 21, 2018 6:13 PM GMT
As said TGBP love an underdog, crap music and sausage rolls..don’t think there that keen on rich yanks much either
All the little things
Report Cider December 21, 2018 6:14 PM GMT
As I said yesterday when we already knew what the result was going to be, it was a Xmas miracle. Army tipped a runner at 8/1 and it ended up winning the prize, so all I can say is well done to him again Love
Report timbuctooth December 21, 2018 6:17 PM GMT
Great start ti your year as FOTY!

armagnac 20 Dec 18 11:11 
Hope it was Tim who got the 100/1

Sorry but only 36 for me; which of you shrewdies did get it?
Report armagnac December 21, 2018 6:23 PM GMT
Cheers Cider Grin

Not to bad Tim, I always forget to leave silly big prices up, have to remember that.
Happens a lot in these thin markets, especially when people use the cash out
Report Cider December 21, 2018 6:24 PM GMT
I didn't mean it was a miracle that you tipped a winner, just to clarify haha!
Report jollyswagman December 21, 2018 6:26 PM GMT
Cool well done army

happy christmas
Report armagnac December 21, 2018 6:27 PM GMT
Lol Cider, think I was due one after that jungle nightmare
Report armagnac December 21, 2018 6:29 PM GMT
Happy Christmas jolly, thanks..it will be now Happy
Report mach December 22, 2018 1:02 AM GMT
Well done army a FOTY like bear but tips a winner every now and then Love
Merry Christmas
Report armagnac December 22, 2018 9:36 AM GMT
Lol, thanks Mach LoveCool
Report armagnac December 22, 2018 9:51 AM GMT
Merry Christmas to, will be now

Just for the record the jungle was my biggest loss ever on specials, which I recovered thanks to this.
Feel I got had on that bigtime after seeing the vote %, I kept topping up on Anne on the drift when people knew she was near the bottom of the vote.
Not just Anne mind, I lost quite a bit on Noel, Malique and James by the end.
As it goes if I’d been a layer in that market, I’d of cleaned up...massive lesson learnt with the whole process.

That’s what it’s all about, learning and the next nice touch is never that far away.
Report equine flew November 16, 2019 11:25 AM GMT
Dan Smith chances at 10/1 ?
Report Froggitt November 16, 2019 5:42 PM GMT
duet with jack grealish?
Report bardo December 6, 2019 6:01 AM GMT
who is this years Ladbaby or NHS ?

seems that all someone needs to do to win this is to come up with a charity record
Report armagnac December 9, 2019 8:32 AM GMT
ladbaby doing another charity track, around 4/1 ive seen
Report armagnac December 9, 2019 8:37 AM GMT
needs adding to market, my 2nd in command bear will deliver this free money to us Cool
Report armagnac December 9, 2019 9:48 AM GMT
any time today !!! Angry
Report armagnac December 9, 2019 10:03 AM GMT
bear did it Love
Report armagnac December 9, 2019 10:38 AM GMT
should p1ss up this year, reckon the UK challengers will get behind it and jump on the charity bandwagon. especially capaldi and robbie.
also think he'll generate much more publicity this year with the media, who will also want to jump on the wagon

cant see any competition from other charity records either this time around
lump on collect friday week
merry christmas innit
Report armagnac December 9, 2019 10:50 AM GMT
oh

LadBaby isn't even the only charity single in the running: Broadchurch actor Shaun Dooley has teamed up with the Grimethorpe Colliery Band to cover Taylor Swift's Never Grow Up in aid of Children In Need; while six-year-old Lyra Cole has recorded a version of When A Child is Born for Brain Tumour Research, which helped her through emergency surgery as a baby
Report mach December 9, 2019 12:31 PM GMT
I wasn't sure about ladbaby but they seem to be getting a good reaction to their youtube announcement

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1B44Vpc1Nfo
Report timbuctooth December 9, 2019 1:35 PM GMT
Doesn`t this year need its own thread?
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