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armagnac
07 Sep 18 20:42
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Date Joined: 28 Aug 04
| Topic/replies: 55,922 | Blogger: armagnac's blog
Cool
Pause Switch to Standard View ***Friday CBB - im predicting no more...
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Report hemsby September 7, 2018 10:07 PM BST
WP Hardeep backers
Report bearcub September 7, 2018 10:07 PM BST
Nick wins Cool
Report sofiakenny September 7, 2018 10:08 PM BST
CryCryCryCryCryCryme.
Report mach September 7, 2018 10:08 PM BST
clean market at least, if it had gone the other way it could have looked other wise
Report hemsby September 7, 2018 10:08 PM BST
Yep....looked a clean market tbf
Report bearcub September 7, 2018 10:08 PM BST
**** thought he was gonna win the whole thing Laugh
Report armagnac September 7, 2018 10:09 PM BST
thank feck that miserable tw't is out
Report hemsby September 7, 2018 10:09 PM BST
I’m cheering on Sally for Top 3 now Cry
Report armagnac September 7, 2018 10:09 PM BST
hems Love
Report hemsby September 7, 2018 10:10 PM BST
Grin
Report bearcub September 7, 2018 10:10 PM BST
Vile man imo
Report bearcub September 7, 2018 10:10 PM BST
And Hardeep
Report armagnac September 7, 2018 10:10 PM BST
lol
Report J.O.TOBIN. September 7, 2018 10:10 PM BST
Yes people just tired of his same old behaviour, will be a happy house now.
Report hemsby September 7, 2018 10:11 PM BST
Day of mourning for all us hairy backs Sad
Report armagnac September 7, 2018 10:12 PM BST
unlucky to the hardeep 'deep'
Report Henry VIII September 7, 2018 10:13 PM BST
repulsive individual. he thinks gabby will want to meet him on the outside and strangers will like him crossing the street to say how wonderful they look.
Report armagnac September 7, 2018 10:15 PM BST
sally has the hidden vote Wink
Report VardonVoo. September 7, 2018 10:16 PM BST
It would have been interesting to see where he placed in the VtW if he'd scraped through tonight.
Report Henry VIII September 7, 2018 10:16 PM BST
got in trouble with glasgow council for being a "slum lord", big property owner and treats his tenants like dirt.
Report mach September 7, 2018 10:16 PM BST
Hardeep acting like a knob in the interview imo
Report armagnac September 7, 2018 10:17 PM BST
top 3 vv imo
Report armagnac September 7, 2018 10:17 PM BST
i read that H
Report armagnac September 7, 2018 10:18 PM BST
stop moaning, i'd only need 30 seconds with gabby
Report mach September 7, 2018 10:22 PM BST
Gabby has a very poor body
Report Henry VIII September 7, 2018 10:23 PM BST
she's quite cute isn't she. just a bit short maybe.
Report Henry VIII September 7, 2018 10:23 PM BST
good figure
Report Henry VIII September 7, 2018 10:23 PM BST
no duck lips
Report hemsby September 7, 2018 10:24 PM BST
Good value HM
Report mach September 7, 2018 10:25 PM BST
her body has nothing going for it
Report Henry VIII September 7, 2018 10:25 PM BST
nice to end on a happy note.... but we've got natalie coming back. mistake imo, we've had the biggest natural drama, no need for some actress to come in and have a go at dan.
Report armagnac September 7, 2018 10:26 PM BST
kirstie got the biggest cheers
Report VardonVoo. September 7, 2018 10:26 PM BST
JMdP Set1 £400 traded at 1.05 on set point, but got fairly level in the tie-break.
Report bearcub September 7, 2018 10:27 PM BST
Dan ok
gab ok
kirst big
Nick ok to big
Ryan big
sally ok
Report timbuctooth September 7, 2018 10:27 PM BST
Kirstie momentum snowballing, gimp boy drifting lie phuck, because we saw him! Prices still way wrong, flip flop by Sunday
Report armagnac September 7, 2018 10:29 PM BST
every time we see kirstie shes just amazing, ryan on the other hand is annoying as fook
Report Henry VIII September 7, 2018 10:30 PM BST
what does the thread title mean army, who is singing?
Report bearcub September 7, 2018 10:31 PM BST
Singh ing
Report BB 3rd Cousin twice removed September 7, 2018 10:31 PM BST
ot. Nadal lost the 1st set on the tie break. I layed my stake and have £24 free bet on Juan Martin Del Potro Cool
Report bearcub September 7, 2018 10:31 PM BST
Armys attempt at RACIST humour  Angry
Report bearcub September 7, 2018 10:31 PM BST
and it's been reported
Report Henry VIII September 7, 2018 10:32 PM BST
ah
Report armagnac September 7, 2018 10:33 PM BST
i thought is was quite clever Blush
Report bearcub September 7, 2018 10:36 PM BST
Tbf getting the right day was clever for you
Report BB 3rd Cousin twice removed September 7, 2018 10:36 PM BST
army, don't let them wind you up.

It's a word play on a name. How is that racist?
Report bearcub September 7, 2018 10:36 PM BST
Love
Report armagnac September 7, 2018 10:36 PM BST
early tibb and DS polls have 40% ahead LoveCool
Report bearcub September 7, 2018 10:36 PM BST
bb3 don't take things so serious Cry
Report armagnac September 7, 2018 10:37 PM BST
kirstie
Report mach September 7, 2018 10:37 PM BST
The forum is going to sikh it's revenge on you now for your casual racism Devil
Report BB 3rd Cousin twice removed September 7, 2018 10:37 PM BST
Blush
Report Henry VIII September 7, 2018 10:37 PM BST
it is quite clever, i just forgot his surname so it passed over me. be less intellectual in future pls.
Report armagnac September 7, 2018 10:38 PM BST
thanks bb3, i think our FOTY should do the right thing and say sorry
Report armagnac September 7, 2018 10:38 PM BST
aa would of been proud of me Love
Report armagnac September 7, 2018 10:39 PM BST
lol mach, good one Cool
Report armagnac September 7, 2018 10:40 PM BST
H

how can you forget his surname you've been playing the eviction market all night LaughCry
Report hemsby September 7, 2018 10:40 PM BST
* Ex FOTY
Report armagnac September 7, 2018 10:41 PM BST
lol hems
Report Henry VIII September 7, 2018 10:42 PM BST
brain lapse. i was trying to work out if you meant singing or signing.
Report armagnac September 7, 2018 10:43 PM BST
lol H, i suspect most thought i mispelt again
Report armagnac September 7, 2018 10:52 PM BST
kisrtie p1ssing up on tm poll early doors
Report timbuctooth September 7, 2018 10:55 PM BST
Ryan 1.95 matched. YOU WERE WARMED!
Report armagnac September 7, 2018 10:56 PM BST
tim is da man Cool
Report BB 3rd Cousin twice removed September 7, 2018 11:00 PM BST
why is Dan's price so much shorter then Sally and Nick's?
Report timbuctooth September 7, 2018 11:02 PM BST
Aaaah! One of the finest sights in Specials betting, watching the panic just after the moment the market realises it`s got the wrong fav. Love it!
Report J.O.TOBIN. September 7, 2018 11:08 PM BST
Well done tim for sticking with itCool
Report timbuctooth September 7, 2018 11:12 PM BST
Thanks, JOT and army, but even foolhardy idiots get lucky sometimes. Besides, I`ve not been alone, there has been a handful of posters with me.
Report BB 3rd Cousin twice removed September 7, 2018 11:14 PM BST
Cool tim
Report armagnac September 7, 2018 11:15 PM BST
Love
Report Henry VIII September 7, 2018 11:19 PM BST
Here's a fun one for you: Ryan's sister, on behalf of the family, is trying to get Ryan's formal warning rescinded. Of course it should be rescinded but BB are ignoring them. If Ryan didn't win it would be more convenient for them and the warning would be more easily forgotten. Best give Kirstie great edits.
Report BB 3rd Cousin twice removed September 7, 2018 11:23 PM BST
ot. Del Potro took the 2nd set and Nadal retired with injury. Cool
Report armagnac September 7, 2018 11:24 PM BST
wd bb3 Cool
Report armagnac September 7, 2018 11:25 PM BST
kirstie had 3 cracking edits in a row H, she only needs to be shown to carry that on..shes one of the most natural house mates we've ever had and so down to earth considering her status
Report BB 3rd Cousin twice removed September 7, 2018 11:27 PM BST
ty. Who do you fancy in the other semi final: Novak Djokovic VS Kei Nishikori?
I think Djokovic should win that easy.
Report bearcub September 7, 2018 11:28 PM BST
WD bb3 Cool
Report armagnac September 7, 2018 11:29 PM BST
yes bb3, hes looking best to his best again
Report armagnac September 7, 2018 11:29 PM BST
back
Report bearcub September 7, 2018 11:29 PM BST
Jack of all trades army
Report armagnac September 7, 2018 11:30 PM BST
master of none Cry
Report BB 3rd Cousin twice removed September 7, 2018 11:30 PM BST
you're not wrong, army. Cool
Report BB 3rd Cousin twice removed September 7, 2018 11:30 PM BST
^ about Djokovic, not master of none.
Report armagnac September 7, 2018 11:31 PM BST
lol
Report timbuctooth September 7, 2018 11:32 PM BST
Not sure anyone really mentioned it on here, but surely Kirstie`s `reveal` is a Golden Moment in CBB history. I mean, WTF! Who expected THAT from 67 year-old Hollywood Royalty???
Report armagnac September 7, 2018 11:33 PM BST
no sh1t tim
Report armagnac September 7, 2018 11:33 PM BST
or plenty in this case
Report BB 3rd Cousin twice removed September 7, 2018 11:35 PM BST
Laugh. Kirstie has done her reasearch. She's played this well and given herself a great chance of winning.
Report VardonVoo. September 7, 2018 11:39 PM BST

Sep 7, 2018 -- 5:12PM, timbuctooth wrote:


Thanks, JOT and army, but even foolhardy idiots get lucky sometimes. Besides, I`ve not been alone, there has been a handful of posters with me.


The dilemma is when he goes odds against but not by very much. Do you level up for a much smaller loss than before or do you take the chance that the market is still over-estimating his chances?

My gut feeling is the odds, if wrong, will be slow to rise to their true level due to people covering their reds in poor liquidity. Come the final the liquidity ought to be better and the odds more reliable.

O.T. - Did Nadal retire?

Report BB 3rd Cousin twice removed September 7, 2018 11:42 PM BST
ot. yes vv. Nadal called medic about his knee after being broken in 2nd set. Then retired injured when he lost it. Should have been best of 5 sets.
Report VardonVoo. September 7, 2018 11:47 PM BST
Yeah I saw that the Set 3 market closed at 0/0.

I do love it when Emma's "in her cups".
Report timbuctooth September 7, 2018 11:54 PM BST
arny, I wasn`t talking about that reveal, but the one where BB asked her to reveal something (that was written on a card?), only for her to pull her top down! Top stuff!

VV; been thinking of you and other anti-Ryans, wondering how you all deal with these situations. 1.67 to back right now, the market telling us he wins six out of every ten runnings of this; does he phuck! I`m sticking. Quite frankly, I won`t be backing him at any price; he ain`t winning, why back him?
Report armagnac September 7, 2018 11:56 PM BST
oh right tim, yeah that was quality from her
Report Henry VIII September 7, 2018 11:59 PM BST
all it takes is Luke Kempner to say he thinks ryan will win, the audience cheer, and big market moves. i think it's in the right direction but ffs are people so fickle
Report Henry VIII September 7, 2018 11:59 PM BST
all it takes is Luke Kempner to say he thinks ryan will win, the audience cheer, and big market moves. i think it's in the right direction but ffs are people so fickle
Report timbuctooth September 8, 2018 12:05 AM BST
All `want`; this is all over.

TIBB

Kirstie Alley     50.53 % (48)
Ryan Thomas     21.05 % (20)
Nick Leeson     13.68 % (13)
Dan Osbourne     5.26 % (5)
Gabby Allen     5.26 % (5)
Sally Morgan     4.21 % (4)


DS

Kirstie 62% 55 votes
Nick 19% 17 votes
Ryan 13% 12 votes
Gabby 2% 2 votes
Dan 1% 1 vote
Sally 1% 1 vote


TM

Kirstie Alley  39.66%  (140 votes)
Ryan Thomas  30.03%  (106 votes)
Nick Leeson  13.88%  (49 votes)
Dan Osbourne  6.23%  (22 votes)
Sally Morgan  6.23%  (22 votes)
Gabby Allen  3.97%  (14 votes)
 
Total Votes: 353
Report timbuctooth September 8, 2018 12:06 AM BST
Phuck all cheering when Hardeep chooses Ryan the winner.
Report Henry VIII September 8, 2018 12:11 AM BST
here's some "polls" for you - check out the daytime tv vids on yt on punchgate - 200k views. check out the one with ryan's mum, charming and humble woman.
Report VardonVoo. September 8, 2018 12:20 AM BST
If lots of people think  it will be Ryan but would really prefer Kirstie that's a massive incentive for her supporters to vote and a legit reason for non-committed Ryanites to become too apathetic to actually bother.
Report Henry VIII September 8, 2018 12:23 AM BST
something i noticed, just idle curiosity, about bb trying to hide or justify their warning error - the shot they released of the "punch" must literally be the longest shot they had of it. very hard to see anything. they must have had several much closer, much clearer footage.
Report Henry VIII September 8, 2018 12:33 AM BST

Sep 7, 2018 -- 5:19PM, Henry VIII wrote:


Here's a fun one for you: Ryan's sister, on behalf of the family, is trying to get Ryan's formal warning rescinded. Of course it should be rescinded but BB are ignoring them. If Ryan didn't win it would be more convenient for them and the warning would be more easily forgotten. Best give Kirstie great edits.


* gf, not sister

Report VardonVoo. September 8, 2018 1:06 AM BST
Tim - if I'm green across several outcomes I normally use the gearing of the longer odds to make the unlikelier outcomes a lot greener by an amount, above a base level, in the rough proportion to their odds. So if the top three are 1.3, 6, 14 I'd tweak the outer two so that the excess on the 14 is about twice the excess on the 6. If I'm really sure I might not bother but I loathe actually backing odds-on to increase a green. In Test cricket doing such has usually led to trouble for me, as it has in this.

When reducing a red it's a bit different. I just play it by ear and trade any wild swings more. I might go level red even at odds-on if it's a small red, then try to trade again after my head's clearer.

This one I'm not sure. The red is too big to leave as it is even if Kirstie looks a cert. For me making zilch on K but halving my red on Ryan would be a good result. But I won't rush to cover until the momentum against him slows up, especially with these poll results. If Kirstie wasn't such an obvious "without PunchGate" winner then I'd level up sooner.

In terms of importance, preserving capital dwarfs needing to be right if being wrong takes you out of the game.
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