Nov 9, 2016 -- 4:24AM, Tom_Ato wrote:
did you manage to trade out?
My various books are a bit bizarre....trump winning not a disaster for me by any means
Nov 9, 2016 -- 4:56AM, Jack Bauer '24' wrote:
Al Gore in 2000 won the popular vote and lost the electoral college.
Yeah by 100,000 or so iirc?
Nov 9, 2016 -- 5:10AM, George Bailey wrote:
nyt 63%trump yet he's 3s
Nov 9, 2016 -- 11:17AM, VardonVoo. wrote:
Can someone please explain what the "Popular Vote Winner" market is all about? It's still active and has Clinton at really short odds. I'm confused!
They are still counting the votes so you can still bet. Market says Clinton gets most votes but loses the electoral college.
Nov 9, 2016 -- 12:42AM, George Bailey wrote:
Just think of cabbages and Wayne Rooney...62% - 66% fav now but I would be surprised. Silly odds 54% v 58% worth a daft fiver...58-62 the main bet for me if it drifts to 3.3+...but what do I know? Twatter has it 70%
One for tom...called the turnout right. 54%-58% was 15s when I posted this...lpm 1.1. 58-62 traded odds on from 3s+ too. Trump won because of the low turnout. Like I said all that talk of record turnout was just the raw numbers and there were millions of new voters...the market was betting on % of eligible voters. I said 58% lets see what it was.
Nov 9, 2016 -- 12:24AM, George Bailey wrote:
Talk of huuuuuuge turnout but I reckon it will be similar to last time...58%ish
Still an interesting market on turnout. Its now flipped with 58%-62% odds on fav. Initial projection was about 55% but with millions of California votes to come latest projection is 58.1%. Plenty of sites out there for anyone wanting to do some homework. Market won't be settled for ages yet though.