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George Bailey
10 Jan 16 20:15
Date Joined: 04 Apr 10
| Topic/replies: 20,794 | Blogger: George Bailey's blog
May just be me but I find it all fascinating. Bernie Sanders is my hero and he's a kind of yank Corbyn....establishment hates him but Democrat activists and a lot of the public love him. Very left wing.  Media have a policy of denying him any coverage and Clinton has tried to ignore him but is now sh1tting herself as the primaries approach.

Iowa and New Hampshire primaries coming up..I think he wins NH comfortably and will win or run Clinton very close in Iowa. Either way once this happens media will have to engage.

Currently 8/1 to win Democrat nomination and about 20/1 for President. Media trying to push Clinton as a cert and the Democrat machine wants her but after early primaries I can see Bernie's prices crashing. May be heart over head but hey ho great fun.

Re the Republicans Jeb Bush has been all but written off but had a small nibble for President at 22/1. Bernie my man though.
Pause Switch to Standard View ###US Election 2016###
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Report George Bailey November 9, 2016 3:24 AM GMT
oompa loompa 1.44 then unoompa loompad at 1.22
Report Tom_Ato November 9, 2016 3:24 AM GMT
did you manage to trade out?
Report RozelKid November 9, 2016 3:25 AM GMT
Anyone think that the young Americans just see Trump as a celebrity and has got the dumb 20/30 year olds votes  - and also the culture of cash money and him being a billionaire etc etc ?
Report Jack Bauer '24' November 9, 2016 3:25 AM GMT
It will be funny watching all these British politicians that have been very critical have to kiss his @rse if be becomes president.
Report George Bailey November 9, 2016 3:25 AM GMT
So much for women not voting for him...all those smug Kay Burley types sneering at him #lmfao
Report RozelKid November 9, 2016 3:26 AM GMT
i watched that George the other night - he told everyone get used to it because he was going to win- he knew ! lol haa
Report George Bailey November 9, 2016 3:26 AM GMT

Nov 9, 2016 -- 3:24AM, Tom_Ato wrote:

did you manage to trade out?

My various books are a bit bizarre....trump winning not a disaster for me by any means

Report Tom_Ato November 9, 2016 3:27 AM GMT
Report RozelKid November 9, 2016 3:27 AM GMT
buying money now on trump 1.2- will you dare ?
Report George Bailey November 9, 2016 3:28 AM GMT
luvvies in meltdown
Report xaar November 9, 2016 3:28 AM GMT
cant go to bed now Happy
Report George Bailey November 9, 2016 3:29 AM GMT
no point
Report RozelKid November 9, 2016 3:29 AM GMT
I had a bet on trump 5 days ago - only a fiver in ladcrookes at 4/1 - didnt think he'd win just thought id back him in case Michael Moore was right lol
Report George Bailey November 9, 2016 3:31 AM GMT
Moore nailed it tbf...and I agreed with every word he said
Report Tom_Ato November 9, 2016 3:31 AM GMT
nice rozelkid, treat yourself to your favourite fast food chain
Report George Bailey November 9, 2016 3:32 AM GMT
Of course the poor people who voted for Trump will be fecked over by him.....but the vote was more a "feck you" one anyway.
Report Tom_Ato November 9, 2016 3:33 AM GMT
beyonce and jay z seething right now
Report George Bailey November 9, 2016 3:33 AM GMT
Be amazing if he wins Nevada given the early lead Shillary had
Report Tom_Ato November 9, 2016 3:34 AM GMT
trump has all this unexpected support and it will only follow suit in other states
Report RozelKid November 9, 2016 3:35 AM GMT
I think Moore was resigned to the fact that he was going to win - jeez i wished i paid moore attention .

So if he is right on the vote - then its frightening if the rest he said comes true - i wouldn't want to be living there if it does
Report George Bailey November 9, 2016 3:36 AM GMT
neck and neck lpm in Nevada...amazing scenes
Report George Bailey November 9, 2016 3:37 AM GMT
Clinton couldn't fool enough blacks at the end of the Trump probably got 25% of the hispanic vote
Report RozelKid November 9, 2016 3:38 AM GMT
hes drifting a bit now - 1.18 back to 1.3 - wont be for long though im sure- market manipulating is getting absurd
Report Angela Rebecchi November 9, 2016 3:39 AM GMT
Can't believe I've not won on this. Well played winners.
Report Tom_Ato November 9, 2016 3:39 AM GMT
bbc need to stop reporting other news such as the prince harry girlfriend, not on election night Angry
Report xaar November 9, 2016 3:40 AM GMT
oh the muslims are on itv they are distraught
Report Spinoza's Ethic November 9, 2016 3:40 AM GMT
I think the money for Pence may be an insurance against an assassination attempt on Trump
Report Jack Bauer '24' November 9, 2016 3:42 AM GMT
The money for Pence is daft because the market is settled on the result of this election.
Report RozelKid November 9, 2016 3:47 AM GMT
you sure Jack? probably right.
Report Jack Bauer '24' November 9, 2016 3:48 AM GMT
This market will be settled according to the candidate that has the most projected Electoral College votes won at the 2016 presidential election. Any subsequent events such as a ‘faithless elector’ will have no effect on the settlement of this market. In the event that no Presidential candidate receives a majority of the projected Electoral College votes, this market will be settled on the person chosen as President in accordance with the procedures set out by the Twelfth Amendment to the United States Constitution.
Report Spinoza's Ethic November 9, 2016 3:49 AM GMT
I agree, Bauers. but I can think of no other plausible rationale. Can you?
Report Jack Bauer '24' November 9, 2016 3:52 AM GMT
People who haven't read the rules and are worried he may die before taking office or may even stand down presumably.
Report Spinoza's Ethic November 9, 2016 3:54 AM GMT
Misguided insurance, then.
Report George Bailey November 9, 2016 3:54 AM GMT
66% chance clinton wins popular vote and loses electoral college.....not sure that has happened in centuries....2000 close?
Report RozelKid November 9, 2016 3:55 AM GMT
wouldnt it be hilarious if Trump turns around tomorrow and say , "Thanks but no thanks " lol
Report RozelKid November 9, 2016 3:56 AM GMT
Report Jack Bauer '24' November 9, 2016 3:56 AM GMT
Al Gore in 2000 won the popular vote and lost the electoral college.
Report George Bailey November 9, 2016 3:57 AM GMT
nyt has trump 65% pennsylvania but he's odds against...value?
Report George Bailey November 9, 2016 3:57 AM GMT

Nov 9, 2016 -- 3:56AM, Jack Bauer '24' wrote:

Al Gore in 2000 won the popular vote and lost the electoral college.

Yeah by 100,000 or so iirc?

Report George Bailey November 9, 2016 3:58 AM GMT
too tired to google
Report Jack Bauer '24' November 9, 2016 4:00 AM GMT
Bush 50,456,002  Gore 50,999,897
Report Tom_Ato November 9, 2016 4:00 AM GMT
Report RozelKid November 9, 2016 4:00 AM GMT
Hilary 7/1
Report Tom_Ato November 9, 2016 4:02 AM GMT
these saddos cheering that clinton won california
Report Jack Bauer '24' November 9, 2016 4:04 AM GMT
A couple of hours ago it was looking like game over if he lost Florida, now it looks like he could win a landslide. Massive failure for the pollsters.
Report Angela Rebecchi November 9, 2016 4:04 AM GMT
Nate Silver said Trump was a 4.0 shot when the market had him 6.0.
Report Jack Bauer '24' November 9, 2016 4:07 AM GMT
Some models were saying Trump only had a 2% chance.
Report George Bailey November 9, 2016 4:10 AM GMT
nyt 63%trump yet he's 3s Shocked
Report RozelKid November 9, 2016 4:11 AM GMT
all these people talking about this poll , and that poll, its all a load of bollocks !
Report RozelKid November 9, 2016 4:16 AM GMT
its over ! cant believe it.
Report George Bailey November 9, 2016 5:59 AM GMT

Nov 9, 2016 -- 4:10AM, George Bailey wrote:

nyt 63%trump yet he's 3s Pennsylvania Cool

Report George Bailey November 9, 2016 6:00 AM GMT
Lightweightzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz Angry
Report Angela Rebecchi November 9, 2016 7:16 AM GMT
Report Spinoza's Ethic November 9, 2016 7:34 AM GMT
Spot of bad luck for Paddy Power
Report timbuctooth November 9, 2016 7:40 AM GMT
Clinton concedes.
Never in doubt.

When it comes to late nights, I don`t think I`ve ever been accused of being a lightweight, GB2, I`ve been here all night! You might know I`m an Indie bookie, with a large part of my life determined by luck. It`s not a big step from `luck` to `superstition`, and if I find something is `working`, I stick with it. As such, when I was posting earlier, I noticed that every time I posted, events turned against me; as soon as I`d stop posting, things improved. So, I didn`t want to bok anything by posting, even ignoring Tom`s enquiries into my whereabouts. Sorry, Tom, but I just couldn`t risk posting.

Well done all winners, but now it`s bedtime. Good night.
Report Spinoza's Ethic November 9, 2016 7:47 AM GMT
£200m matched...nearly
Report mach November 9, 2016 8:19 AM GMT
well done Tim
Report Angela Rebecchi November 9, 2016 8:36 AM GMT
Unreal night. Another Brexit.
Report sonofshinner November 9, 2016 8:59 AM GMT
put my money where my mouth is at brekky time..£20 Trump...WON 0.80
Report bearcub November 9, 2016 9:10 AM GMT
Well done Tim Cool

#PrayforAmerica Sad
Report VardonVoo. November 9, 2016 10:17 AM GMT
Can someone please explain what the "Popular Vote Winner" market is all about?
It's still active and has Clinton at really short odds. I'm confused!
Report Corbyguy November 9, 2016 10:20 AM GMT
Report Corbyguy November 9, 2016 10:34 AM GMT
Wouldn't surprise me to see the Clinton Supporters blaming FBI Comey for his coming out about Clinton email investigation as the cause for her her not winning POTUS and calling for Comey to be charged under the Hatch Act for influencing the election.
Report George Bailey November 9, 2016 12:09 PM GMT

Nov 9, 2016 -- 10:17AM, VardonVoo. wrote:

Can someone please explain what the "Popular Vote Winner" market is all about? It's still active and has Clinton at really short odds. I'm confused!

They are still counting the votes so you can still bet. Market says Clinton gets most votes but loses the electoral college.

Report George Bailey November 9, 2016 12:19 PM GMT

Nov 8, 2016 -- 11:42PM, George Bailey wrote:

Just think of cabbages and Wayne Rooney...62% - 66% fav now but I would be surprised. Silly odds 54% v 58% worth a daft fiver...58-62 the main bet for me if it drifts to 3.3+...but what do I know? Twatter has it 70%

One for tom...called the turnout right. 54%-58% was 15s when I posted this...lpm 1.1. 58-62 traded odds on from 3s+ too. Trump won because of the low turnout. Like I said all that talk of record turnout was just the raw numbers and there were millions of new voters...the market was betting on % of eligible voters. I said 58% lets see what it was.

Report Jack Bauer '24' November 9, 2016 1:33 PM GMT
Well played, Tim. You were spot on about the polls not picking up the shy Trump vote.
Report George Bailey November 9, 2016 5:40 PM GMT
looks like turnout was about 55.6%...p1ss poor...only a high turnout could win it for Clinton.
Report TimmyRiggins November 9, 2016 6:13 PM GMT
Congrats Tim! Enjoy the profits :)

Enjoyable thread, and plenty of good natured banter.

Having listened to Trump's acceptance speech, he could be a good thing, if he doesn't do an about turn and **** on everyone he has promised to help.

Ironic, but it was definitely the most presidential he has looked, and he has definitely gamed the system, with his TV performances.
Report Jack Bauer '24' November 9, 2016 6:16 PM GMT
The whole email scandal over 18 months and the FBI raising the issue again 10 days before election day ruined her. If Biden had run and gained the nomination over the unlikeable Clinton he would probably be president now.
Report jollyswagman November 9, 2016 7:50 PM GMT
well done tim, i'm loving the superstition. i think ramping may be part of your superstitions too. i had to scrape myself off the floor when you started posting about the 40 people the clintons have allegedly killed. it seems soros' fixing of the vote machines didnt go too well.

fwiw now he's won i dont think trump will be any different to any other insider, if he was tptb would have killed him off. obama  was suppose to be different and once he won he appointed the usual suspects to his team. if trump appoints anyone who has worked at goldman sachs to his economics team then its carry on as usual for those at the top. plus ca change.
Report timbuctooth November 9, 2016 8:05 PM GMT
VardonVoo. 09 Nov 16 10:17 
Can someone please explain what the "Popular Vote Winner" market is all about?
It's still active and has Clinton at really short odds. I'm confused!

The `Popular Vote` is simply how many people have voted for each of them; given the Electoral Votes are all that matters, the Popular Vote is meaningless. Full counting of the votes hasn`t finished, so you can still bet on it.

Thanks all round, chaps, especially to those who questioned my sanity. (Rather like Trump himself, that includes pretty much everybody!)
Report Henry VIII November 9, 2016 8:06 PM GMT
Classic Tim, I wish I'd got involved.
Report timbuctooth November 9, 2016 8:20 PM GMT
You missed a classic, Henry. For me, a nine-month market, £200m liquidity, and a `nailed-on` being turned over on the final night. Pretty much the trifecta of what an RTV market should be, following the.exact same route Brexit took, and even more fun!
Report George Bailey November 9, 2016 8:29 PM GMT
Brexit and Trump were gifts from the gods for RTV backers. Soooo perfect....full of fish with loads of money but not a just plain so slow to move it was almost embarrassing (almost) previous form so the good old fashioned RTV virtues of research, insight and good old fashioned gut feeling came to the fore.

Three cheers for Brexit and Trump...we may never see their likes again Sad
Report George Bailey November 9, 2016 8:30 PM GMT
Brexit and Trump were gifts from the gods for RTV backers. Soooo perfect....full of fish with loads of money but not a just plain so slow to move it was almost embarrassing (almost) previous form so the good old fashioned RTV virtues of research, insight and good old fashioned gut feeling came to the fore.

Three cheers for Brexit and Trump...we may never see their likes again Sad
Report Fallen Angel November 10, 2016 11:58 AM GMT
Anyone spoken to betfair regarding the settlement of the remaining markets? I got no joy yesterday as to when it would be settled in full.
Report timbuctooth November 10, 2016 5:01 PM GMT
There are a few places where the votes haven`t been fully counted, none of which will change the overall result. Until they`re done, Betfair can`t settle any markets that are affected..
Report LendUsAFiver November 10, 2016 7:38 PM GMT
some of us made a fortune from this market. Was buzzing that night! The market was slow to react, it was at least a minute behind in some of the key swing states.
Report armagnac November 11, 2016 9:21 PM GMT
very well done tim, great stuff and thoroughly deserved from billy big balls
you stick by your guns and good on you for it
hope you smashed it mate
the uneducated rednecks won it for him, the council estates of america, just like brexit
Report timbuctooth November 11, 2016 9:33 PM GMT
Thanks, army; decent winner for sure, but a far more pleasing result than any red or green was to me.  After the result , thought you`d had a thread on him, went to look for it, but couldn`t find it. Your reappearance tonight jogged me into looking for it again, and I found it! Knew it was lurking somewhere, but now see you`ve posted here, as I was looking.

After being fairly vociferous on here for months, all that remains now is the long slog back to being socially acceptable with my former forum friends...

As for `sticking to my guns` don`t know if you saw it, but I was recently accused of being one of your alter egos!
Report armagnac November 11, 2016 9:34 PM GMT
lol i did read it mate and had a chuckle
Report George Bailey November 12, 2016 9:20 AM GMT
Said 58% and its currently 57.6%. Was 55% at first count so may get there yet. Better for me if it does. Market still trading if anyone interested. Final result called about two weeks after election.

Report George Bailey November 12, 2016 9:20 AM GMT talking to himself again I see Wink
Report armagnac November 12, 2016 9:22 AM GMT
you alright bails, glad too see you still chipping away Cool
Report George Bailey November 12, 2016 9:33 AM GMT
I come and go like a ghost in the night.....
Report armagnac November 12, 2016 9:40 AM GMT
Report Froggitt November 15, 2016 4:13 PM GMT
well done tim. that smug smiling democrat fvvvcker to the right of andrew neill......he wasnt looking so smug a few hours on was he
Report timbuctooth November 15, 2016 5:47 PM GMT
I watched it all on CNN, Frog, not wanting any over-enthusiastic Fox reporters to be giving me false hope. I knew if CNN weren`t happy, then he really was winning. As it turned out after Florida, with ever increasing levels of mutual reassuring going on, `he CAN NOT win Penn, Mich, etc.`, the desperation turned to full on SEETHE!!! I know I shoudn`t have enjoyed it so much, but phuck me, it was fantastic! Beyond spluttering, that Van Jones cap declared he would now wake up afraid of his phucking breakfast!!!
Report timbuctooth November 15, 2016 5:48 PM GMT
Report George Bailey November 15, 2016 8:17 PM GMT

Nov 8, 2016 -- 11:24PM, George Bailey wrote:

Talk of huuuuuuge turnout but I reckon it will be similar to last time...58%ish

Still an interesting market on turnout. Its now flipped with 58%-62% odds on fav. Initial projection was about 55% but with millions of California votes to come latest projection is 58.1%. Plenty of sites out there for anyone wanting to do some homework. Market won't be settled for ages yet though.

Report timbuctooth March 25, 2019 9:25 PM GMT
Aaaah, fond memories, re-reading my favourite thread of all time! Full of good debate based on informed opinions and phuck me, what fun I had! Nothing to do with anything as grubby as money, but because the subject matter was sooooo serious, the horror of Hillary`s World too dangerous to even bear contemplation. Acquired my first stalker, abused the worst of my 15 years on here, and even lost friends. Loved every minute of it!

Funny how life works out, as I knew nothing at all about US politics when I saw GB2 had started this thread, yet my whole life became very much changed by it, after I posted on the first page that `Trump romps it`. Looking back, I suspect I was being a little provocative, but it lead to a developing interest in the election, one which has grown and grown, to the point that US news is on my telly for 6-8 hours a day. And, yes, I do mean mostly Fox! Forget Corrie, forget Dallas, US politics is the best soap opera ever! Even better, it`s live and unscripted, anything can happen, and storylines that would be beyond the best scriptwriters emerge and evolve on a daily basis. Stories that actually affect you, me, this planet`s very existence. It really is The Greatest Show On Earth!

Anyway, here we are three years later, in defiance of those who thought he`d have nuked us all by now! What has he done, though, what has he achieved? Well, let`s take a look, shall we?

4 million new jobs have been created since the election, and more than 3.5 million since Trump took office.
    More Americans are employed now than ever before in our history.
    Jobless claims at lowest level in nearly five decades.
    The economy has achieved the longest positive job-growth streak on record.
    Job openings are at an all-time high and outnumber job seekers for the first time on record.
    Unemployment claims at 50 year low
    African-American, Hispanic, and Asian-American unemployment rates have all recently reached record lows.
        African-American unemployment hit a record low of 5.9 percent in May 2018.
        Hispanic unemployment at 4.5 percent.
        Asian-American unemployment at record low of 2 percent.
    Women’s unemployment recently at lowest rate in nearly 65 years.
        Female unemployment dropped to 3.6 percent in May 2018, the lowest since October 1953.
    Youth unemployment recently reached its lowest level in more than 50 years.
        July 2018’s youth unemployment rate of 9.2 percent was the lowest since July 1966.
    Veterans’ unemployment recently hit its lowest level in nearly two decades.
        July 2018’s veterans’ unemployment rate of 3.0 percent matched the lowest rate since May 2001.
    Unemployment rate for Americans without a high school diploma recently reached a record low.
    Rate for disabled Americans recently hit a record low.
    Blue-collar jobs recently grew at the fastest rate in more than three decades.
    Poll found that 85 percent of blue-collar workers believe their lives are headed “in the right direction.”
        68 percent reported receiving a pay increase in the past year.
    Last year, job satisfaction among American workers hit its highest level since 2005.
    Nearly two-thirds of Americans rate now as a good time to find a quality job.
        Optimism about the availability of good jobs has grown by 25 percent.
    Added more than 400,000 manufacturing jobs since the election.
        Manufacturing employment is growing at its fastest pace in more than two decades.
    100,000 new jobs supporting the production & transport of oil & natural gas.

American Income
Median household income rose to $61,372 in 2017, a post-recession high.
    Wages up in August by their fastest rate since June 2009.
    Paychecks rose by 3.3 percent between 2016 and 2017, the most in a decade.
    Council of Economic Advisers found that real wage compensation has grown by 1.4 percent over the past year.
    Some 3.9 million Americans off food stamps since the election.
    Median income for Hispanic-Americans rose by 3.7 percent and surpassed $50,000 for the first time ever in history.
        Home-ownership among Hispanics is at the highest rate in nearly a decade.
    Poverty rates for African-Americans and Hispanic-Americans have reached their lowest levels ever recorded.

Economic Growth
4.2 percent growth in the second quarter of 2018.
    For the first time in more than a decade, growth is projected to exceed 3 percent over the calendar year.

American Optimism
Small business optimism has hit historic highs.
        NFIB’s small business optimism index broke a 35 year-old record in August.
        SurveyMonkey/CNBC’s small business confidence survey for Q3 of 2018 matched its all-time high.
    Manufacturers are more confident than ever.
        95 percent of U.S. manufacturers are optimistic about the future, the highest ever.
    Consumer confidence is at an 18-year high.
    12 percent of Americans rate the economy as the most significant problem facing our country, the lowest level on record.
    Confidence in the economy is near a two-decade high, with 51 percent rating the economy as good or excellent.

American Business
Investment is flooding back into the United States due to the tax cuts.
        Over $450 billion dollars has already poured back into the U.S., including more than $300 billion in the first quarter of 2018.
    Retail sales have surged. Commerce Department figures from August show that retail sales increased 0.5 percent in July 2018, an increase of 6.4 percent from July 2017.
    ISM’s index of manufacturing scored its highest reading in 14 years.
    Worker productivity is the highest it has been in more than three years.
    Steel and aluminum producers are re-opening.
    Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, and NASDAQ have all notched record highs.
        Dow hit record highs 70 times in 2017 alone, the most ever recorded in one year.

Achieved massive deregulation at a rapid pace, completing 22 deregulatory actions to every one regulatory action during his first year in office.
    Signed legislation to roll back costly and harmful provisions of Dodd-Frank, providing relief to credit unions, and community and regional banks.
    Federal agencies achieved more than $8 billion in lifetime net regulatory cost savings.
    Rolled back Obama’s burdensome Waters of the U.S. rule.
    Used the Congressional Review Act to repeal regulations more times than in history.

Tax Cuts
Biggest tax cuts and reforms in American history by signing the Tax Cuts and Jobs act into law
        Provided more than $5.5 trillion in gross tax cuts, nearly 60 percent of which will go to families.
        Increased the exemption for the death tax to help save Family Farms & Small Business.
        Nearly doubled the standard deduction for individuals and families.
        Enabled vast majority of American families will be able to file their taxes on a single page by claiming the standard deduction.
        Doubled the child tax credit to help lessen the financial burden of raising a family.
        Lowered America’s corporate tax rate from the highest in the developed world to allow American businesses to compete and win.
        Small businesses can now deduct 20 percent of their business income.
        Cut dozens of special interest tax breaks and closed loopholes for the wealthy.
    9 in 10 American workers are expected see an increase in their paychecks thanks to the tax cuts, according to the Treasury Department.
    More than 6 million of American workers have received wage increases, bonuses, and increased benefits thanks to tax cuts.
    Over 100 utility companies have lowered electric, gas, or water rates thanks to the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act.
    Ernst & Young found 89 percent of companies planned to increase worker compensation thanks to the Trump tax cuts.
    Established opportunity zones to spur investment in left behind communities.

Worker Development
Established a National Council for the American Worker to develop a national strategy for training and retraining America’s workers for high-demand industries.
    Employers have signed Trump’s “Pledge to America’s Workers,” committing to train or retrain more than 4.2 million workers and students.
    Signed the first Perkins CTE reauthorization since 2006, authorizing more than $1 billion for states each year to fund vocational and career education programs.
    Executive order expanding apprenticeship opportunities for students and workers.

Domestic Infrastructure
Proposed infrastructure plan would utilize $200 billion in Federal funds to spur at least $1.5 trillion in infrastructure investment across the country.
    Executive order expediting environmental reviews and approvals for high priority infrastructure projects.
    Federal agencies have signed the One Federal Decision Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) streamlining the federal permitting process for infrastructure projects.
    Rural prosperity task force and signed an executive order to help expand broadband access in rural areas.

Health Care
Signed an executive order to help minimize the financial burden felt by American households Signed legislation to improve the National Suicide Hotline.
    Signed the most comprehensive childhood cancer legislation ever into law, which will advance childhood cancer research and improve treatments.
    Signed Right-to-Try legislation, expanding health care options for terminally ill patients.
    Enacted changes to the Medicare 340B program, saving seniors an estimated $320 million on drugs in 2018 alone.
    FDA set a new record for generic drug approvals in 2017, saving consumers nearly $9 billion.
    Released a blueprint to drive down drug prices for American patients, leading multiple major drug companies to announce they will freeze or reverse price increases.
    Expanded short-term, limited-duration health plans.
    Let more employers to form Association Health Plans, enabling more small businesses to join together and affordably provide health insurance to their employees.
    Cut Obamacare’s burdensome individual mandate penalty.
    Signed legislation repealing Obamacare’s Independent Payment Advisory Board, also known as the “death panels.”
    USDA invested more than $1 billion in rural health care in 2017, improving access to health care for 2.5 million people in rural communities across 41 states
    Proposed Title X rule to help ensure taxpayers do not fund the abortion industry in violation of the law.
    Reinstated and expanded the Mexico City Policy to keep foreign aid from supporting the global abortion industry.
    HHS formed a new division over protecting the rights of conscience and religious freedom.
    Overturned Obama administration’s midnight regulation prohibiting states from defunding certain abortion facilities.
    Signed executive order to help ensure that religious organizations are not forced to choose between violating their religious beliefs by complying with Obamacare’s contraceptive mandate or shutting their doors.

Combating Opioids
Chaired meeting the 73rd General Session of the United Nations discussing the worldwide drug problem with international leaders.
    Initiative to Stop Opioid Abuse and Reduce Drug Supply and Demand, introducing new measures to keep dangerous drugs out of our communities.
    $6 billion in new funding to fight the opioid epidemic.
    DEA conducted a surge in April 2018 that arrested 28 medical professions and revoked 147 registrations for prescribing too many opioids.
    Brought the “Prescribed to Death” memorial to President’s Park near the White House, helping raise awareness about the human toll of the opioid crisis.
    Helped reduce high-dose opioid prescriptions by 16 percent in 2017.
    Opioid Summit on the administration-wide efforts to combat the opioid crisis.
    Launched a national public awareness campaign about the dangers of opioid addiction.
    Created a Commission on Combating Drug Addiction and the Opioid Crisis which recommended a number of pathways to tackle the opioid crisis.
    Led two National Prescription Drug Take Back Days in 2017 and 2018, collecting a record number of expired and unneeded prescription drugs each time.
    $485 million targeted grants in FY 2017 to help areas hit hardest by the opioid crisis.
    Signed INTERDICT Act, strengthening efforts to detect and intercept synthetic opioids before they reach our communities.
    DOJ secured its first-ever indictments against Chinese fentanyl manufacturers.
    Joint Criminal Opioid Darknet Enforcement (J-CODE) team, aimed at disrupting online illicit opioid sales.
    Declared the opioid crisis a Nationwide Public Health Emergency in October 2017.

Law and Order
More U.S. Circuit Court judges confirmed in the first year in office than ever.
    Confirmed more than two dozen U. S. Circuit Court judges.
    Followed through on the promise to nominate judges to the Supreme Court who will adhere to the Constitution
        Nominated and confirmed Justice Neil Gorsuch and Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court.
    Signed an executive order directing the Attorney General to develop a strategy to more effectively prosecute people who commit crimes against law enforcement officers.
    Launched an evaluation of grant programs to make sure they prioritize the protection and safety of law enforcement officers.
    Established a task force to reduce crime and restore public safety in communities across Signed an executive order to focus more federal resources on dismantling transnational criminal organizations such as drug cartels.
    Signed an executive order to focus more federal resources on dismantling transnational criminal organizations such as drug cartels.
    Violent crime decreased in 2017 according to FBI statistics.
    $137 million in grants through the COPS Hiring Program to preserve jobs, increase community policing capacities, and support crime prevention efforts.
    Enhanced and updated the Project Safe Neighborhoods to help reduce violent crime.
    Signed legislation making it easier to target websites that enable sex trafficking and strengthened penalties for people who promote or facilitate prostitution.
    Created an interagency task force working around the clock to prosecute traffickers, protect victims, and prevent human trafficking.
    Conducted Operation Cross Country XI to combat human trafficking, rescuing 84 children and arresting 120 human traffickers.
    Encouraged federal prosecutors to use the death penalty when possible in the fight against the trafficking of deadly drugs.
    New rule effectively banning bump stock sales in the United States.

Border Security and Immigration
Secured $1.6 billion for border wall construction in the March 2018 omnibus bill.
    Construction of a 14-mile section of border wall began near San Diego.
    Worked to protect American communities from the threat posed by the vile MS-13 gang.
        ICE’s Homeland Security Investigations division arrested 796 MS-13 members and associates in FY 2017, an 83 percent increase from the prior year.
        Justice worked with partners in Central America to secure criminal charges against more than 4,000 MS-13 members.
        Border Patrol agents arrested 228 illegal aliens affiliated with MS-13 in FY 2017.
    Fighting to stop the scourge of illegal drugs at our border.
        ICE HSI seized more than 980,000 pounds of narcotics in FY 2017, including 2,370 pounds of fentanyl and 6,967 pounds of heroin.
        ICE HSI dedicated nearly 630,000 investigative hours towards halting the illegal import of fentanyl.
        ICE HSI made 11,691 narcotics-related arrests in FY 2017.
        Stop Opioid Abuse and Reduce Drug Supply and Demand introduced new measures to keep dangerous drugs out the United States.
        Signed the INTERDICT Act into law, enhancing efforts to detect and intercept synthetic opioids.
        DOJ secured its first-ever indictments against Chinese fentanyl manufacturers.
        DOJ launched their Joint Criminal Opioid Darknet Enforcement (J-CODE) team, aimed at disrupting online illicit opioid sales.
    Released an immigration framework that includes the resources required to secure our borders and close legal loopholes, and repeatedly called on Congress to fix our broken immigration laws.
    Authorized the deployment of the National Guard to help secure the border.
    Enhanced vetting of individuals entering the U.S. from countries that don’t meet security standards, helping to ensure individuals who pose a threat to our country are identified before they enter.
        These procedures were upheld in a June 2018 Supreme Court hearing.
    ICE removed over 226,000 illegal aliens from the United States in 2017.
        ICE rescued or identified over 500 human trafficking victims and over 900 child exploitation victims in 2017 alone.
    In 2017, ICE Enforcement and Removal Operations (ERO) arrested more than 127,000 aliens with criminal convictions or charges, responsible for
        Over 76,000 with dangerous drug offenses.
        More than 48,000 with assault offenses.
        More than 11,000 with weapons offenses.
        More than 5,000 with sexual assault offenses.
        More than 2,000 with kidnapping offenses.
        Over 1,800 with homicide offenses.
    Created the Victims of Immigration Crime Engagement (VOICE) Office in order to support the victims and families affected by illegal alien crime.
    More than doubled the number of counties participating in the 287(g) program, which allows jails to detain criminal aliens until they are transferred to ICE custody.

Negotiating and renegotiating better trade deals, achieving free, fair, and reciprocal trade for the United States.
        Agreed to work with the European Union towards zero tariffs, zero non-tariff barriers, and zero subsides.
        Deal with the European Union to increase U.S. energy exports to Europe.
        Litigated multiple WTO disputes targeting unfair trade practices and upholding our right to enact fair trade laws.
        Finalized a revised trade agreement with South Korea, which includes provisions to increase American automobile exports.
        Negotiated an historic U.S.-Mexico-Canada Trade Agreement to replace NAFTA.
        Agreement to begin trade negotiations for a U.S.-Japan trade agreement.
        Secured $250 billion in new trade and investment deals in China and $12 billion in Vietnam.
        Established a Trade and Investment Working Group with the United Kingdom, laying the groundwork for post-Brexit trade.
    Enacted steel and aluminum tariffs to protect our vital steel and aluminum producers and strengthen our national security.
    Conducted 82 anti-dumping and countervailing duty investigations in 2017 alone.
    Confronting China’s unfair trade practices after years of Washington looking the other way.
        25 percent tariff on $50 billion of goods imported from China and later imposed an additional 10% tariff on $200 billion of Chinese goods.
        Conducted an investigation into Chinese forced technology transfers, unfair licensing practices, and intellectual property theft.
        Imposed safeguard tariffs to protect domestic washing machines and solar products manufacturers hurt by China’s trade policies
    Withdrew from the job-killing Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP).
    Secured access to new markets for America’s farmers.
        Recent deal with Mexico included new improvements enabling food and agriculture to trade more fairly.
        Recent agreement with the E.U. will reduce barriers and increase trade of American soybeans to Europe.
        Won a WTO dispute regarding Indonesia’s unfair restriction of U.S. agricultural exports.
        Defended American Tuna fisherman and packagers before the WTO
        Opened up Argentina to American pork experts for the first time in a quarter-century
        American beef exports have returned to china for the first time in more than a decade
    OK’d up to $12 billion in aid for farmers affected by unfair trade retaliation.

Presidential Memorandum to clear roadblocks to construction of the Keystone XL Pipeline.
    Presidential Memorandum declaring that the Dakota Access Pipeline serves the national interest and initiating the process to complete construction.
    Opened up the Alaska National Wildlife Refuge to energy exploration.
    Coal exports up over 60 percent in 2017.
    Rolled back the “stream protection rule” to prevent it from harming America’s coal industry.
    Cancelled Obama’s anti-coal Clean Power Plan and proposed the Affordable Clean Energy Rule as a replacement.
    Withdrew from the job-killing Paris climate agreement, which would have cost the U.S. nearly $3 trillion and led to 6.5 million fewer industrial sector jobs by 2040.
    U.S. oil production has achieved its highest level in American history
    United States is now the largest crude oil producer in the world.
    U.S. has become a net natural gas exporter for the first time in six decades.
    Action to expedite the identification and extraction of critical minerals that are vital to the nation’s security and economic prosperity.
    Took action to reform National Ambient Air Quality Standards, benefitting American manufacturers.
    Rescinded Obama’s hydraulic fracturing rule, which was expected to cost the industry $32 million per year.
    Proposed an expansion of offshore drilling as part of an all-of-the above energy strategy
        Held a lease sale for offshore oil and gas leases in the Gulf of Mexico in August 2018.
    Got EU to increase its imports of liquefied natural gas (LNG) from the United States.
    Issued permits for the New Burgos Pipeline that will cross the U.S.-Mexico border.

Foreign Policy
Moved the U.S. Embassy in Israel to Jerusalem.
    Withdrew from Iran deal and immediately began the process of re-imposing sanctions that had been lifted or waived.
        Treasury has issued sanctions targeting Iranian activities and entities, including the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps-Qods Force
        Since enacting sanctions, Iran’s crude exports have fallen off, the value of Iran’s currency has plummeted, and international companies have pulled out of the country.
        All nuclear-related sanctions will be back in full force by early November 2018.
    Historic summit with North Korean President Kim Jong-Un, bringing beginnings of peace and denuclearization to the Korean Peninsula.
        The two leaders have exchanged letters and high-level officials from both sides have met resulting in tremendous progress.
        North Korea has halted nuclear and missile tests.
        Negotiated the return of the remains of missing-in-action soldiers from the Korean War.
    Imposed strong sanctions on Venezuelan dictator Nicholas Maduro and his inner circle.
    Executive order preventing those in the U.S. from carrying out certain transactions with the Venezuelan regime, including prohibiting the purchase of the regime’s debt.
    Responded to the use of chemical weapons by the Syrian regime.
        Rolled out sanctions targeting individuals and entities tied to Syria’s chemical weapons program.
        Directed strikes in April 2017 against a Syrian airfield used in a chemical weapons attack on innocent civilians.
        Joined allies in launching airstrikes in April 2018 against targets associated with Syria’s chemical weapons use.
    New Cuba policy that enhanced compliance with U.S. law and held the Cuban regime accountable for political oppression and human rights abuses.
        Treasury and State are working to channel economic activity away from the Cuban regime, particularly the military.
    Changed the rules of engagement, empowering commanders to take the fight to ISIS.
        ISIS has lost virtually all of its territory, more than half of which has been lost under Trump.
        ISIS’ self-proclaimed capital city, Raqqah, was liberated in October 2017.
        All Iraqi territory had been liberated from ISIS.
    More than a dozen American hostages have been freed from captivity all of the world.
    Action to combat Russia’s malign activities, including their efforts to undermine the sanctity of United States elections.
        Expelled dozens of Russian intelligence officers from the United States and ordered the closure of the Russian consulate in Seattle, WA.
        Banned the use of Kaspersky Labs software on government computers, due to the company’s ties to Russian intelligence.
        Imposed sanctions against five Russian entities and three individuals for enabling Russia’s military and intelligence units to increase Russia’s offensive cyber capabilities.
        Sanctions against seven Russian oligarchs, and 12 companies they own or control, who profit from Russia’s destabilizing activities.
        Sanctioned 100 targets in response to Russia’s occupation of Crimea and aggression in Eastern Ukraine.
        Enhanced support for Ukraine’s Armed Forces to help Ukraine better defend itself.
    Helped win U.S. bid for the 2028 Summer Olympics in Los Angeles.
    Helped win U.S.-Mexico-Canada’s united bid for 2026 World Cup.

Executive order keeping the detention facilities at U.S. Naval Station Guantanamo Bay open.
    $700 billion in military funding for FY 2018 and $716 billion for FY 2019.
    Largest military pay raise in nearly a decade.
    Ordered a Nuclear Posture Review to ensure America’s nuclear forces are up to date and serve as a credible deterrent.
    Released America’s first fully articulated cyber strategy in 15 years.
    New strategy on national biodefense, which better prepares the nation to defend against biological threats.
    Administration has announced that it will use whatever means necessary to protect American citizens and servicemen from unjust prosecution by the International Criminal Court.
    Released an America first National Security Strategy.
    Put in motion the launch of a Space Force as a new branch of the military and relaunched the National Space Council.
    Encouraged North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) allies to increase defense spending to their agree-upon levels.
        In 2017 alone, there was an increase of more than 4.8 percent in defense spending amongst NATO allies.
        Every member state has increased defense spending.
        Eight NATO allies will reach the 2 percent benchmark by the end of 2018 and 15 allies are on trade to do so by 2024.
        NATO allies spent over $42 billion dollars more on defense since 2016.
    Executive order to help military spouses find employment as their families deploy domestically and abroad.

Veterans affairs
Signed the VA Accountability Act and expanded VA telehealth services, walk-in-clinics, and same-day urgent primary and mental health care.
    Delivered more appeals decisions – 81,000 – to veterans in a single year than ever before.
    Strengthened protections for individuals who come forward and identify programs occurring within the VA.
    Signed legislation that provided $86.5 billion in funding for the Department of Veterans Affairs (VA), the largest dollar amount in history for the VA.
    VA MISSION Act, enacting sweeping reform to the VA system that:
        Consolidated and strengthened VA community care programs.
        Funding for the Veterans Choice program.
        Expanded eligibility for the Family Caregivers Program.
        Gave veterans more access to walk-in care.
        Strengthened the VA’s ability to recruit and retain quality healthcare professionals.
        Enabled the VA to modernize its assets and infrastructure.
    Signed the VA Choice and Quality Employment Act in 2017, which authorized $2.1 billion in addition funds for the Veterans Choice Program.
    Worked to shift veterans’ electronic medical records to the same system used by the Department of Defense, a decades old priority.
    Issued an executive order requiring the Secretaries of Defense, Homeland Security, and Veterans Affairs to submit a joint plan to provide veterans access to access to mental health treatment as they transition to civilian life.
    Increased transparency and accountability at the VA by launching an online “Access and Quality Tool,” providing veterans with access to wait time and quality of care data.
    Signed legislation to modernize the claims and appeal process at the VA.
    Harry W. Colmery Veterans Educational Assistance Act, providing enhanced educational benefits to veterans, service members, and their family members.
        Lifted a 15-year limit on veterans’ access to their educational benefits.
    Created a White House VA Hotline to help veterans and principally staffed it with veterans and direct family members of veterans.
    VA employees are being held accountable for poor performance, with more than 4,000 VA employees removed, demoted, and suspended so far.
    Signed the Veterans Treatment Court Improvement Act, increasing the number of VA employees that can assist justice-involved veterans.

A long list? Isn`t it! Quite simply, he`s The Greatest President This World Has Known. Ever. (Well, maybe except Mandela). You don`t believe me? Stop with the lying MSM, stop with the censoring SM, just read that list again, take in the facts not the hatred from self-proclaimed elitists. These people have been wrong about him since he descended the escalator, they`ll never accept the truths that are there for all but the biased to see.

Vindication from Mueller/Barr leaves him unbeatable for 2020, if he chooses to run. All serious threat of impeachment are gone, and the ever-more-left march of the Dems leave any candidate that can win their Primary as unelectable in a General Election. I never back 2/1 shots, but I`ve made an exception in this case; as I seem to remember stating many times before on this thread, THIS IS ALL OVER.

Ok ok, I also seem to remember one or two of you suggesting I wasn`t being fair and impartial last time round? Fair enough, so I shall offer up the only two people on this planet who might give The Don a bit of a contest; Michelle Obama and Oprah Winfrey, both available at massive prices.
Report Henry VIII March 28, 2019 1:01 PM GMT
"US politics is the best soap opera ever! Even better, it`s live and unscripted,"

Well not really unscripted. Has Trump said he'll definitely run?
Report Henry VIII March 28, 2019 1:07 PM GMT
To please the masses Obama said troops would come home. They increased.
To please the masses Trump promised the wall. Ludicrously expensive, never intended. (Much easier ways to defend borders - the wall non-idea is just to make people think that border control is impossible).

If the masses are still happy with Trump I guess they'll keep him as the pantomime star.
Report timbuctooth March 28, 2019 8:08 PM GMT
`Not unscripted`?????

Don`t think he`s declared in any official sense, but he`s made numerous statements about things like `six more years`, `looking forward to running against `x` Democrat`  or `y` Dem policies`. and who can believe he`d not want it again?

We all already know, and the history books will confirm it, that obama was the worst POTUS of our lifetimes, The Don the greatest; so, we can safely dismiss any comparisons! Without googling, name obama`s Top 10 achievements after eight years in office? Ok ok, that`s impossible, so try Top 5? Can`t name five? Try three? Two? Even one???? And that`s before we take into account that he`ll be in prison soon!

The Don, on the other hand, has actually delivered on virtually all of his promises, (Promises made, promises kept!). Deep-stater RINO Ryan gravely disappointed and let down The Don, the Republicans, and the entire US population by not delivering on promises that he would get wall funding and votes when Reps still controlled The House; now they`ve lost The House, things are harder but The Don`s very keen to fulfill this promise, and he`s recently upped gears on this to overcome the loss and Ryan`s treachery. The National Emergency looks likely to finally solve this, so even if the whole wall isn`t built by election time, voters know The Don is and has been doing his best to build it, and that the swamp is still a murky place! Nevertheless, despite Ryan, despite numerous legal issues, they actually have started construction;
Report timbuctooth March 28, 2019 10:55 PM GMT
Anyone doubting such veracity ^^^ need to stop with the BBC, stop with ITV, stop with C4/CNN etc. stop with pretty much all MSM, stop with all SM and get the real facts by watching Fox; you might not like everything they say, but you will get the truth. I spent a lifetime vaguely aware I shouldn`t believe all that I`m told by news outlets, but to eventually learn and see just how eye-wateringly biased they are was a revelation; it`s truly shocking and scandalous. Unfortunately, most of you, most of the world, get your news from these liars, but you will have no other frame of reference with which to compare, with each outlet confirming the untruths that the others are spreading, and readers/viewers have no reason to doubt anything,  Therefore, no real surprise the negativity visited on The Don, but making dealing with such uninformed types quite frustrating!

Anyone wishing to think for themselves, form their own opinion, not be a blindfolded brainwashed sheep, (and who doesn`t have Fox on their TV), can start their education here;

Dob`t miss tonight`s rally from Michigan; these rallies are always great fun, but tonight`s first post-exoneration, with three years of heavy dark clouds removed, really should be a cracker!
Report Henry VIII March 30, 2019 12:03 PM GMT
"Therefore, no real surprise the negativity visited on The Don, but making dealing with such uninformed types quite frustrating!"

If I followed it I'm sure I'd find the "Trump persona" refreshing in the middle of a generally degenerate epoch. I'm glad you're so enjoying the pantomime. It's there to get people involved. We did have Reagan though, who I'd say was fundamentally similar and after Trump, whenever that is, we will need to be fed a "radical" Democrat to give the lefties their turn again ("Radical" to counter Trump's "radicalism").
Report timbuctooth April 18, 2019 6:56 PM BST
Contrary to what the world`s MSM and SM (bar Fox), the truth is he could only be considered `radical` to those left of Marx! Indeed, he`s far too LEFT for many conservatives, especially re. spending and National Debt. One of his main tenets is `Constitutionalism`, the following and enactment of The Constitution; only to pc`ers and SJWs is a desire to uphold 200 years of what`s made America the greatest nation this world has ever seen, `radical`. The fact that, even after two years of unprecedented success, even after three years of unprecedented hounding based on Hillary`s hoax dossier, we still have so many people unaware of the truth is a very frightening insight into the power of control the Deep State globalists have on entire populations, through a lying MSM and SM. To realise how bad it is, just Youtube an episode or two of Tucker Carlson`s and Sean Hannity`s nightly programmes. (If you`re up, Tucker`s on live at 1am, Hannity follows at 2am)

most pleasing to see the market still moves with the same disbelieving slowness we saw with 2016 and Brexit; anyone watching Fox has known for years the Mueller report was a hoax, The Don would be The Man for eight years. Clearly, the market doesn`t watch Fox, didn`t know diddly until Barr`s summary told us, in effect, `full exoneration`, at which point his price went from 3.2ish to 2.5. Today, with Mueller officially declaring `Innocent!`, we`re at 2.3, meaning not far short of halving in price ON NO NEW INFO! (Well, no new info for Fox viewers). He`s a mortgage job to win, and if there`s some socialist up against him, we`ll be approaching Reagan`s margin of victory over Mondale; 49 States to 1. Not to say his price won`t drift at some or even numerous points between now and re-election given how uninformed so many players must be, but the underlying value is massive for a man who will ROMP it.
Report timbuctooth April 19, 2019 7:11 PM BST
Market fluctuations aside, the POTUS market is settled; time, then, to have some fun in the Nom Dem, aka `yes`, I`m stupid enough to spend two years and untold millions selling my soul for the privilege of taking the biggest beating since Mondale, at the hands of The Greatest President Ever presiding over The Greatest America Ever!` Good luck with that one, chaps and chapesses! Nevertheless, we currently have 20-odd aspiring kamikazes;

Creepy Uncle Joe/Mr 1%/two-time previous failure, whatever your preferred name for Biden, he is still the only moderate running with any chance of the nom
Kamala? With that fake laugh? No hoper`
Bernie`s the original leftie, so has claims
Beto`s a busted flush already
Mayor Pete`s the only one of the Young Pretenders with a chance
Pocahantas? Don`t be silly!
Spartacus? Likewise!

Polls show about half of Dems identifying themselves as `moderate democrats`, the other half `progressive liberals`; so, pretty much a 50/50 shoot-out for the nom. Should the moderates prevail, there`s only one plausible choice, Joe, meaning the true prices are something like

Joe 2.0
Bernie 4.0
A/O 4.0
Report timbuctooth June 5, 2019 9:49 PM BST
OK, slight update to that^^^
Half the field for Dem Nom spoke at CADEM this week; two of them, Hickenlooper and Delaney, made obvious moves to distance themselves from the other two dozen nutters, both looking enviously at Biden`s polling, which is all down to the fact he`s the only moderate, he`s got that whole  faction supporting him. Should either/both these continue their lean to a more moderate place, they instantly become runners; in such a weak field,  one of them could actually win! Backed them both yesterday in the 800s, silly prices still available for those who like a decent price; really won`t take much to see eminently tradeable plunges
Report timbuctooth July 9, 2019 3:58 AM BST
All change with market leaders Joe and Bernie both in the act of blowing it. With so long to go, Kamala`s far too short for the nom at around the 2/1 mark, but the 5/1 for POTUS, (implying she`d be even money to beat The Don), is Specials craziness at its finest! She`s lefter than left, getting worse by the day, NFC for POTUS, so utterly unconcerned max red material.
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