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George Bailey
10 Jan 16 21:15
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Date Joined: 04 Apr 10
| Topic/replies: 62,054 | Blogger: George Bailey's blog
May just be me but I find it all fascinating. Bernie Sanders is my hero and he's a kind of yank Corbyn....establishment hates him but Democrat activists and a lot of the public love him. Very left wing.  Media have a policy of denying him any coverage and Clinton has tried to ignore him but is now sh1tting herself as the primaries approach.

Iowa and New Hampshire primaries coming up..I think he wins NH comfortably and will win or run Clinton very close in Iowa. Either way once this happens media will have to engage.

Currently 8/1 to win Democrat nomination and about 20/1 for President. Media trying to push Clinton as a cert and the Democrat machine wants her but after early primaries I can see Bernie's prices crashing. May be heart over head but hey ho great fun.

Re the Republicans Jeb Bush has been all but written off but had a small nibble for President at 22/1. Bernie my man though.

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Replies: 1,104
By:
bearcub
When: 10 Jan 16 21:20
☁ ☂
☁ ☂
☁ ☂
☁ ☂
☁ ☂
☁ ☂
☁ ☂
By:
George Bailey
When: 10 Jan 16 21:25
Can't argue with that Plain
By:
bearcub
When: 10 Jan 16 21:38
By:
George Bailey
When: 10 Jan 16 21:47
I have posted on the Politics forum for a laugh [color=blue]
By:
George Bailey
When: 10 Jan 16 21:48
Couldn't even get the colour thing right Laugh
By:
George Bailey
When: 10 Jan 16 21:56
[color=red**** and piss[\color]
By:
George Bailey
When: 10 Jan 16 21:57
Cry
By:
Froggitt
When: 10 Jan 16 22:06
sanders load has been shot a few months ago. more chance of villa staying up than him winning the dem nom. im on marco rubio for republican nom. will push clinton close. the nutters like trump and cruz havent a hope against clinton.
By:
timbuctooth
When: 10 Jan 16 22:18
[color=red] [color =red] add message here[/color =red][/color=red]
Just take out the space that I`ve put in after the `r` in `color`, both of them.
By:
timbuctooth
When: 10 Jan 16 22:20
Seems I`ve forgotten how to do it.
[color=red] abc [color/red]
By:
timbuctooth
When: 10 Jan 16 22:21
{color=red}red{color/red}
{color=red} red {/color=red}
By:
timbuctooth
When: 10 Jan 16 22:24
Remind me, BB3?
[color=red]red[/color=red]
[color=red]red[color=/red]
By:
Froggitt
When: 10 Jan 16 22:25
like this?
By:
timbuctooth
When: 10 Jan 16 22:28
yes
By:
timbuctooth
When: 10 Jan 16 22:32
OK, GB2
[color =red]add message here[/color ]
You have to remove the spaces after the `r`, in both `color`s
By:
George Bailey
When: 10 Jan 16 23:11

Jan 10, 2016 -- 10:06PM, Froggitt wrote:


sanders load has been shot a few months ago. more chance of villa staying up than him winning the dem nom. im on marco rubio for republican nom. will push clinton close. the nutters like trump and cruz havent a hope against clinton.


Thinking of him as a trade as the machine will probably get him in the end...but what fun if it doesn't? Rubio probably the bet tbh.

By:
timbuctooth
When: 10 Jan 16 23:15
Trump romps it, he`s hitting the zeitgeist.
By:
Froggitt
When: 11 Jan 16 11:02
trumps like sanders and corbyn.......no hope of getting elected but a bit of fun for the rabids after years on the subs bench
By:
Froggitt
When: 11 Jan 16 11:12
saw interesting take on corbyns reshuffle......gets rid of northern working class background shadow ministers, and promotes millionaire islington mp lady nugee.....keir hardie spinning in his grave at whats become of the LP.......farage rubbing his hands with glee
By:
George Bailey
When: 11 Jan 16 19:25
Bernie Love...Clinton is old news people and its 2008 all over again for her except its Bernie instead of Obama

With just 21 days until the presidential primaries officially begin in Iowa, Hillary Clinton's support among Democrats nationally has taken a serious tumble, falling eight points to 43%, according to the latest IBD/TIPP Poll. Support for her chief rival, Bernie Sanders, climbed six points to 39%.

As a result, Clinton's lead over Sanders, which had been 18 points, is now just 4 points.
By:
Jack Bauer '24'
When: 11 Jan 16 21:21
Sanders winning the nomination would probably hand the election to the Republicans and is unlikely to happen.
By:
George Bailey
When: 11 Jan 16 21:24
No Sanders beats all of them easily in H2H polls...does better than Clinton by some distance.
By:
Froggitt
When: 11 Jan 16 21:26
wheres your evidence bails?
By:
George Bailey
When: 11 Jan 16 21:39
Just search "bernie sanders polls" on twitter and its virtually every tweet
By:
George Bailey
When: 11 Jan 16 21:43
Sanders cited a Quinnipiac Poll released last month showing he fares better than his main Democratic opponent Hillary Clinton against Republican front-runner Donald Trump. The poll shows Sanders beating Trump by 13 points, compared to Clinton’s smaller margin of 7 points.
By:
George Bailey
When: 11 Jan 16 21:48
See page 7 down for h2h's. This 22nd December before Bernie's recent surge

.https://www.quinnipiac.edu/images/polling/us/us12222015_Uhkm63g.pdf
By:
George Bailey
When: 11 Jan 16 21:49
Jack was just being lazy in his post Wink
By:
Angela Rebecchi
When: 11 Jan 16 21:52

Jan 11, 2016 -- 9:21PM, Jack Bauer '24' wrote:


Sanders winning the nomination would probably hand the election to the Republicans and is unlikely to happen.


Not necessarily.

By:
Angela Rebecchi
When: 11 Jan 16 21:54
Obama, one of my biggest bets and winners ever that.
By:
Jack Bauer '24'
When: 11 Jan 16 21:56
I have followed this far more closely than you have Bails I suspect. Polls mean very little at this stage. If Sanders wins the nomination the Republicans and media will destroy his chances, they won't allow a Socialist to win.
By:
George Bailey
When: 11 Jan 16 22:01
I have followed it for 676 hours in total which is 143 hours more than you so yah boo sucks to you Laugh Another lazy post backed up without anything other than opinion.

The media have tried to kill off Bernie by ignoring him and he's surging. You overestimate the power of the Republicans and the media. You can't stop an idea whose time has come.
By:
bearcub
When: 11 Jan 16 22:03
I agree with Bails
By:
jollyswagman
When: 11 Jan 16 22:07
for those that say sanders cant win, the following is what i posted on the politics forum on 8 december 2015

I am having trouble picking a winner in the republican field so thought I would look at the democrats.

As a long time mug punter I love a big price so i've had a little on Sanders to win his party's nomination and to win the presidency. 

If there is an anti establishment feeling in america surely it means some on the left will go for an outsider like Sanders just as some Republicans are going for the outsider Trump. I think Clinton has many well known personal  negatives to overcome. The fact that she is a corporate stooge whilst Sanders is raising money at the grass roots level is a plus in my book. Interestingly, Sanders has personal appeal to some on the right in his state, Vermont, as he is seen as principled and for the people over corporations. The corporate media hailed Clinton the winner after one of their hustings recently yet Sanders was mentioned positively on social media much much more (we know who they want to win!). What price was Clinton this time eight years ago?

I also came across an article on the website news.groopspeak, I have never heard of them before. The following are direct quotations;

Western Illinois University has successfully predicted every single presidential election with 100 percent accuracy since 1975. They’ve completed their mock election for the 2016 presidential field and according to their calculations, the 45th President of The United States will be bernie sanders.

Researchers believe Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) is the single “most electable candidate” from either party.

he currently trails clinton by about 30%. at about this time in 2007 they predicted obama would become president, he was 18% behind clinton at the time.

I know their 100% prediction success is only a sample size of nine but this university went for obama when most of us hadnt a clue who he even was. I do also think history repeats itself  and Clinton just doesnt connect with the people. She's failed as the front runner before so I just cant have her as an 8 to 1 on shot.

A fool and his money are easily parted and this fool has backed accordingly Laugh. What do you think?



since when sanders is gaining in the polls and clinton is falling.  he was 38 for the presidency and 14.5 for dem nom on 8 december and is about half those prices now. no doubt those who say he cant win thought obama couldnt beat clinton 8 years ago.
By:
Jack Bauer '24'
When: 11 Jan 16 22:10
We are dealing with opinions here as nothing is set in stone. Sanders may well be doing well in the polls but so was Miliband who was actually favourite on here on election day to be the next Prime Minister but the right wing media successfully destroyed his chances.

Sanders will get the same treatment and unfortunately there are tens of millions of dumb, ignorant Americans who will be convinced not to vote for a Socialist and that is even if he wins the nomination which he probably won't anyway.
By:
bearcub
When: 11 Jan 16 22:12
Cheers for posting Jolly, you should post here more. The Politics forum is full of middle aged men typing one handed with a stiffy

We're a far healthier bunch Cool
By:
Jack Bauer '24'
When: 11 Jan 16 22:14
If Clinton looks like she is losing support Joe Biden and possibly even Al Gore will jump in the race.
By:
jollyswagman
When: 11 Jan 16 22:24
cheers bearcub, this post may take a while as i'm a middle aged man typing one handed ..... Cry

it was that university research that got me to part with my cash. i attempted to start a bernie train (i've seen you lot on here who watch the reality sh*te do the same!). sadly i got not one response on the politics forum as they are all busy shouting abuse at each other.

i dont watch cbb and the like any more. can one of you please tell me what 'mems' are? its like learning a new language on specials!

jb 24 a university with a 9 from 9 record say bernie's the winner thats more than just opinion to me. he may call himself a socialist but he's not exactly calling for the masses to take control of all industries, he's a social democrat swedish style rather than a trot.
By:
bearcub
When: 11 Jan 16 22:27
Middle aged mums
By:
bearcub
When: 11 Jan 16 22:27
#middle England mums
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