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Replies: 360
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 13 Sep 17 07:28
Launch show was last Saturday with pairings officially announced. First live show is Saturday week (23rd)

Current Betfair prices:

Aston Merrygold..........4.1 - 4.3     (lowest matched 3.8, had drifted as high as 5.5 (+ small amounts up to 6) since previous post, low 5s pre launch show before shortening since)
Mollie King.................6.2 - 6.6     (shortened as low as 4.4 last week, low 5s pre launch show before then drifting back out, highest matched 7.4)
Alexandra Burke..........7.2 - 8     (lowest 5.5 (when market opened), highest 8.8)
Gemma Atkinson..........7.4 - 7.8     (shortened as low as 6.2 last week, highest matched 12)
Jonnie Peacock............11 - 11.5     (matched between 15.5 (+ £4 at 17) and 8.8)
Davood Ghadami...........13.5 - 15     (matched between 16.5 and 10)
Joe McFadden..............16 - 16.5     (backed as low as 13.5 in early days, drifted as high as 27, around 23 pre launch show, shortened since)
Debbie McGee.............22 - 28     (opening trades at 50 & 55, shortened to 20s, £199 matched at 15)
Richard Coles..............42 - 50     (small amounts matched at 25 & 26 when market opened, then matched at 80 before shortening back to 40s, sometimes higher)
Charlotte Hawkins.........65 - 120     (wow, some drift, was trading high teens, lowest 14, steady drift to mid 20s leading up to launch show, £8 matched at 250 since)
Ruth Langsford...........85 - 110     (matched between 140 and 38)
Simon Rimmer.............100 - 120     (matched between 120 and 40)
Chizzy Akudolu............100 - 160     (ignoring tiny amounts, matched between 160 and 42)
Susan Calman.............150 - 170     (matched between 300 and 50)
Brian Conley...............110 - 240     (ignoring tiny amounts, matched between 200 and 34)

Amount matched £36,673   Back 103.9%, Lay 95.1%
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 13 Sep 17 07:34
Best High Street prices for:

Top Male
Evs   Aston
4/1   Davood
4/1   Jonnie
8/1   Joe
14/1   Brian
16/1   Richard
33/1   Simon

Top Female
7/4   Mollie
5/2   Alexandra
3/1   Gemma
9/1   Charlotte
10/1   Debbie
33/1   Ruth
33/1   Chizzy
33/1   Susan

Winning Gender
8/11   Female
Evs   Male
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 23 Sep 17 07:24
Morning of the first (marathon) live show where everyone will dance, then same again the following Saturday before the first elimination. Current Betfair prices:

Aston Merrygold..........5.2 - 5.3
Alexandra Burke..........6.2 - 6.6     (mid 7s a few days ago before shortening to 6)
Mollie King..................6.6 - 7
Gemma Atkinson..........7 - 7.2
Jonnie Peacock............11 - 11.5
Davood Ghadami..........11.5 - 12
Debbie McGee.............14 - 18     (trading 25 three days ago, shortened two days ago to 19/20, shortened further yesterday evening, new low 13.5 matched)
Joe McFadden..............16 - 19
Charlotte Hawkins.........55 - 75
Simon Rimmer.............65 - 70
Ruth Langsford............70 - 85
Richard Coles...............65 - 100
Chizzy Akudolu............90 - 95
Susan Calman.............120 - 150
Brian Conley...............320 - 380

Amount matched £58,997   Back 104.6%, Lay 96.9%
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 24 Sep 17 09:19
A sunny Sunday morning after the first live show. Aston top scored with 31, then Debbie 30, Joe 29, Davood 27 then 24 & lower the rest (thanks squares). Current prices:

Aston Merrygold..........3.85 - 4.1     (£70 matched at 3.4 by an excited backer during his dance otherwise 3.6 lowest matched)
Alexandra Burke..........5.3 - 5.6     (backed down to new low of 4.7 immediately after her dance)
Debbie McGee.............7.6 - 8     (quickly shortened as low as 7.2 during/after dancing)
Joe McFadden..............11.5 - 12.5     (matched as low as 9.8 during the show)
Mollie King..................11.5 - 13     (drifted towards 10 after dancing before later drifting higher)
Gemma Atkinson..........11.5 - 13     (steady and sustained drift after dancing)
Davood Ghadami.........12 - 12.5
Jonnie Peacock............16 - 16.5
Charlotte Hawkins........38 - 70     (matched down to 25 after dancing before drifting back out some)
Chizzy Akudolu............120 - 220
Richard Coles...............150 - 280
Susan Calman.............150 - 300
Simon Rimmer.............200 - 500
Ruth Langsford............200 - 800
Brian Conley...............240 - 500

Amount matched £84,953   Back 105.2%, Lay 95.3%
By:
Froggitt
When: 24 Sep 17 09:40
good job horse
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 29 Sep 17 10:52
Friday morning before the second live show weekend and first elimination

Current prices - Aston 3.85, Burke 5.9, TLDM 8.8, Joe 9.8, Mollie & Gemma 10.5, Davood 13.5, Jonnie 15, Charlotte 34. 102k matched

First Elimination - 5/2 Simon, 11/4 Brian, 6/1 Susan, Richard, 8/1 Ruth, 12/1 Chizzy, 16/1 Charlotte, 25/1 Gemma, 50/1 Davood, Jonnie, Mollie, 100/1 bar

Top Man - 4/5 Aston, 5/1 Joe, Davood, 11/2 Jonnie, 33/1 Richard, 50/1 Brian, Simon

Top Women - 2/1 Burke, 100/30 TLDM, 9/2 Mollie, 5/1 Gemma, 16/1 Charlotte, 33/1 Chizzy, 40/1 Susan, 50/1 Ruth

Winning Gender - 4/5 Female, Evs Male
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 02 Oct 17 09:39
Week 2, 1st Elimination - Chizzy Akudolu

Just before the show started, Chizzy was available 14/1 on the high street
She danced first, scored a lowly 16 and was backed in to around the 6 mark. She ended up 6th bottom on the combined scores leaderboard from shows 1 and 2
On Betfair Chizzy had traded between 12 and 3.2 (+ £16 at 2.2) with lpm 3.4. This market had been open for a long time, before show 1
Brian traded between 10 and 2.36 (someone was trying to back at 2.36 just as the show was about to start). Lpm was that 10
Simon traded between 8.6 and 2.4 with lpm 4.3
Charlotte traded between 18 and 4.5 (+ £18 at 3.25) with that 3.25 the lpm
Susan traded between 10.5 and 7.2 (ignoring small amounts matched) with lpm 8
Richard traded between 15.5 and 4.5 with lpm 9.2
Annoyingly, Betfair suspended all markets just as the show was finishing, when the voting lines had just opened. £5,577 was matched

Brian was the other bottom 2. Craig saved Chizzy but the remaining judges all saved Brian. The Bottom 2 market had £139 matched
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 02 Oct 17 09:59
Monday morning after the second live show and first elimination
Alex top scored on show 2, receiving 36. Debbie scored 34, Aston 32. Poor Charlotte received 12

Aston Merrygold..........4.2 - 4.4     (matched at 3.45, near previous low, during the show before subsequently drifting to 4s)
Alexandra Burke..........5 - 5.2     (6.2 pre show, backed down to 4.6 during, drifted back out to mid 5s before shortening again)
Debbie McGee.............5.4 - 5.8     (was back trading 7s just before show, shortened more to 6s during, before she danced, then hit new low of 4.8 afterwards)
Mollie King..................12.5 - 13     (matched as high as 14.5 during last week, back to 10 pre show before drifting back out again since)
Gemma Atkinson..........12 - 14     (trading 10 pre show, lower during, matched as high as 15 during or after)
Jonnie Peacock............12.5 - 14
Joe McFadden..............14.5 - 16.5     (around 10 pre show, drifted to 14 during/after dancing, higher matched since)
Davood Ghadami.........15.5 - 17
Charlotte Hawkins........90 - 100     (trading around 30 pre show, obviously drifted hugely during/after dancing)
160 bar the 5 rags. Doesn't look like this year one of them will go on a run

Amount matched £118,147   Back 104.2%, Lay 95%
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 07 Oct 17 06:11
Saturday morning of the third live show weekend and second elimination

Current prices - Aston 4.6, Alex 4.8, Debbie 5.5, Gemma 9.2, Jonnie 12.5, Mollie 13, Joe 14, Davood 16, 143k matched

Second Elimination - 7/4 Brian, 5/2 Richard, 5/1 Charlotte, 6/1 Simon, 14/1 Ruth, 14/1 Susan, 40/1 Bar

Top Man - 8/11 Aston, 11/2 Jonnie/Joe/Davood, 50/1 Rags

Top Women - 11/8 Burke, 2/1 Debbie, 5/1 Gemma, 6/1 Mollie, 66/1 Rags

Winning Gender - 8/11 Female, 11/10 Male
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 09 Oct 17 11:56
Week 3, 2nd Elimination - Rev Richard Coles

Simon danced first, scored 19 and shortened to around 4 for elimination then as the show progressed he continued to shorten to odds on. Ignoring small amounts he was matched between 6.8 and 1.75. In the last few minutes before the market suspended he drifted and lpm was 2.5
Richard danced 4th and propped up the leaderboard with 14 points. He had £16 matched at 14, £4 at 8, £25 at 7.6 then between 6.8 and 4.1. Lpm was 4.8
Brian, the pre show jolly to go at 7/4, danced 6th and scored a respectable 22. He had £43 matched at 2.28 during Saturday but otherwise was matched between 2.68 and only as high as 3 before dancing. Afterwards, he had £22 matched at 11.5, £15 at 12 and £7 at 12.5 which was the lpm
Charlotte was matched between 9 and 3, which was the lpm
Ruth was matched between 20 and 4 with lpm of 15

Simon, the other Bottom 2, was unanimously saved
£5,172 was matched in total but there are very slim pickings in running and just one bookie betting in running I think
Bottom 2 market had £234 matched
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 09 Oct 17 12:11
Monday morning after the second elimination
Aston top scored with 35, Alex next on 33 with Debbie only getting 29 which placed her 6th

Aston Merrygold..........3.85 - 3.95     (trading 4.3 - 4.8 as about to dance, shortened to 3.9 after judges comments then lower matched before market suspended)
Alexandra Burke..........4.1 - 4.4     (£420 matched at a new low of 4.3 during the show before she danced, then 4 matched when dancing)
Debbie McGee.............5.9 - 6.2     (5.6 as about to dance, drifted to 6s after)
Mollie King..................13 - 13.5
Joe McFadden..............13 - 14
Gemma Atkinson..........13.5 - 14     (9.2 as about to dance, drifted after)
Jonnie Peacock............17 - 19.5
Davood Ghadami.........18.5 - 20
200 Bar

Amount matched £156,009   Back 103.4%, Lay 96.6%
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 14 Oct 17 08:50
Saturday morning of the fourth live show weekend and third elimination

Current prices - Aston 4, Alex 4, Debbie 7 - 8 (lpm 7.2), Gemma 9.6, Joe 13, Mollie 15.5, Jonnie 16, Davood 21, 180k matched

Third Elimination - 13/8 Simon, 11/4 Brian, 5/1 Charlotte, 13/2 Ruth, 10/1 Susan, 40/1 Bar

Top Man - 8/13 Aston, 5/1 Joe, 5/1 Jonnie, 6/1 Davood

Top Women - 5/4 Burke, 9/4 Debbie, 6/1 Gemma, 6/1 Mollie

Winning Gender - 8/11 Female, 6/5 Male
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 16 Oct 17 06:32
Week 4, 3rd Elimination - Charlotte Hawkins

Just before the show, Simon was trading 2.4 - 2.66, Brian 3.15 - 3.55 & Charlotte 5.1 - 5.9
As the show finished, Simon was 1.6 - 1.8, Brian 3 - 6, Charlotte 4.9 - 6
Brian was 3rd bottom of the leaderboard with 21 points whilst Simon & Charlotte was joint bottom on 19
Simon was matched between 2.72 and 1.57 with lpm 1.6
Brian had £32 matched at 6 then was matched between 4.9 and 2.26 with lpm 4.4
Charlotte was matched between 6.6 and 2.96 with lpm 4.4
Ruth had bits matched in the 8s

Davood (6th on leaderboard) was the other, surprise, Bottom 2 and was unanimously saved
£5,942 was matched in total with £114 matched on the Bottom 2 market
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 16 Oct 17 06:59
Monday morning after the third elimination

Alex top scored on 39 with a jive, Gemma second on 35 with a PD
Debbie danced 1st, only scored 27 and drifted to 9s before later drifting more. Both Aston & Alex shortened to 3.3 & 3.4 after Debbie's dance
Aston danced 8th and drifted back to 4 after only receiving 32
Gemma danced 10th, was 9.2 pre dance, 8 after, then 5.6 was matched after being scored
Alex danced 11th, had drifted to 4 after Gemma's dance but shortened again to 3.5 whilst dancing, then down to 3.2 when getting emotional after receiving 39 points saying she wished her Mum was still around to have seen it
At the end of the show Alex was 3.4 - 3.7, Aston 3.85 - 4, Gemma 6.4 - 7.8, Debbie 11.5 - 12

Current prices:

Alexandra Burke..........3.4 - 3.5
Aston Merrygold..........3.8 - 4
Gemma Atkinson..........5 - 5.5     (opened last night 5.8, shortened overnight, 4.9 been matched)
Debbie McGee.............11 - 12
Jonnie Peacock............16.5 - 17.5
Mollie King..................18.5 - 19
Joe McFadden..............18.5 - 20
Davood Ghadami.........38 - 48     (was a surprise Bottom 2)
Susan Calman...........85 - 90     (danced last, receiving 30, maybe a "duffer" will have a run after all)
Ruth lpm 750, Brian & Simon 1000

Amount matched £194,344   Back 106.4%, Lay 99.4%
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 20 Oct 17 20:39
Friday evening before the fifth live show weekend and fourth elimination

Current prices - Alex 3.65, Aston 4.1, Gemma 5.1, Debbie 10, Jonnie 15, Joe 20, Mollie 20, Davood 34, Susan 55 (backed down earlier in the week to 46), 216k matched

Fourth Elimination - 13/8 Simon, 2/1 Brian, 5/1 Ruth, 10/1 Susan, 12/1 Davood, 25/1 Mollie, 33/1 Joe, 50/1 Jonnie, 100/1 Bar

Top Man - 4/9 Aston, 5/1 Jonnie, 7/1 Joe, 10/1 Davood

Top Women - Evs Alex, 23/10 Gemma, 5/1 Debbie, 10/1 Mollie, 50/1 Susan, 66/1 Ruth

Winning Gender - 4/7 Female, 6/4 Male
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 23 Oct 17 07:19
Week 5, 4th Elimination - Brian Conley

Brian was joint bottom of the 3 judge leaderboard on 16 along with Simon, Ruth & Susan
As the show finished, Simon was 1.8s/1.9s, Brian 3.5 - 4, Ruth 7.2 - 10

Brian was matched between 4.2 (+ £3 at 5.7) and 2.62 with lpm 3.45
Simon was matched between 2.98 and 1.63 (+ £10 at 1.55) with lpm 2.1
Ruth was matched between 9.6 and 3 (+ £66 at 2.5, £6 at 2.24 & £13 at 2) with lpm 9.6
Susan had some very small amounts matched in 8s with lpm 11
Davood lowest matched was 10 with lpm also 11

Simon was the other Bottom 2 and was unanimously saved
£3,914 was matched in total with £228 matched on the Bottom 2 market
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 23 Oct 17 07:37
Monday morning after the fourth elimination

Only 3 judges scored on Saturday, Bruno was absent
Debbie top scored on 27 (Rumba) and was emotional about missing Paul. Joe was second, 26 (PD). Alex scored 23 (Samba), Aston 24 (Waltz)

Current prices:
Alexandra Burke..........3.8 - 4     (new low of 3.15 matched during the show but was last matched at 3.7 on suspension)
Aston Merrygold..........4.4 - 4.5     (drifted slightly during the show)
Gemma Atkinson..........5 - 5.1     (new low of 4.4 matched during the show, was 4.5 at suspension)
Debbie McGee.............9.2 - 10.5
Jonnie Peacock............13 - 16
Joe McFadden..............17 - 18
Mollie King..................21 - 24
Davood Ghadami..........55 - 80
Susan Calman.............60 - 80
Ruth 420 - 900, Simon 850

Amount matched £230,188   Back 102.6%, Lay 94.9%
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 27 Oct 17 07:43
Friday morning before the sixth (Halloween Sad ) live show weekend and fifth elimination

Current prices - Alex 3.6, Aston 4, Gemma 5.7 (slowing drifting all week), Debbie 10, Jonnie 15.5, Joe 18.5, Mollie 19, Davood 44, Susan 70, 239k matched

Fifth Elimination - 8/11 Simon, 100/30 Ruth, 8/1 Davood, 8/1 Susan, 25/1 Mollie, 33/1 Joe, 40/1 Jonnie, 100/1 Bar

Top Man - 1/2 Aston, 4/1 Jonnie, 5/1 Joe, 11/1 Davood

Top Women - Evs Alex, 2/1 Gemma, 9/2 Debbie, 10/1 Mollie, 33/1 Susan

Winning Gender - 1/2 Female, 13/8 Male
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 30 Oct 17 10:35
Week 6, 5th Elimination - Simon Rimmer

Don't think Simon was ever available bigger than 8/11
He was 8/13 best price just before the show started and 1.6 to back on here having been matched as low as 1.38
He propped up the leaderboard on 16 points and was trading 1.2s/1.3s when the show finished

Simon was matched between 1.78 (+ £4 at 1.89) and 1.19 with lpm 1.2
Ruth was matched between 8 and 5 with lpm 6
Davood was matched between 9 and 7 (+ £5 at 3) with lpm 7.4
Susan had £4 matched at 40, £3 at 38 then between 11.5 and 9.8 with lpm 10
Mollie was matched at 28, 26 & 25

Mollie was the other Bottom 2 and was unanimously saved
£2,888 was matched in total with £58 matched on the Bottom 2 market
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 30 Oct 17 11:03
Monday morning after the fifth elimination

Debbie top scored for the second week running with 39 (Charleston), Aston received 38 (PD) then Alex 35 (Tango)

Current prices:
Alexandra Burke..........3.75 - 3.95     (3.5 when about to dance, 3.35 matched after before settling back around 3.6)
Aston Merrygold..........3.85 - 3.95     (4.2 pre show, 4 matched during judges comments, 3.8 matched after being scored)
Debbie McGee.............5.9 - 6     (9.6 pre show, 8 matched as dance ended, shortened to 6s after judges comments)
Gemma Atkinson..........7 - 7.4     (5.4 - 5.8 as dance about to start, 6s by end of show, drifted more when market reopened)
Joe McFadden..............15 - 15.5
Mollie King..................25 - 32     (shortened during last week, 16 pre show, 20 afterwards, higher now as Bottom 2)
Jonnie Peacock............30 - 44     (15 pre show, matched at 30 after his dance, only received 20 for his CCC)
Davood Ghadami..........42 - 55
Susan Calman..............80 - 190
Ruth Langsford...........250 - 740

Amount matched £257,556   Back 102.5%, Lay 95.1%
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 04 Nov 17 07:42
Saturday morning before the 7th live show weekend and 6th elimination

Yesterday morning Debbie was around 5.7 to back. She then proceeded to shorten all day and in the evening was matched as low as 4 (even though 5/1 was still available on the high street). She has since drifted out a bit. Joe has also shortened over the week

Current prices - Aston 4, Alex 4.3, Debbie 4.7, Gemma 6, Joe 12, Mollie 23, Jonnie 44, Davood 55, Susan 180, Ruth 400, 275k matched

6th Elimination - 15/8 Ruth, 9/4 Davood, 5/1 Susan, 7/1 Jonnie (was 20/1 Thursday morning), 10/1 Mollie, 25/1 Joe, 50/1 Gemma, 66/1 Debbie, 150/1 Aston, 200/1 Alex

Top Man - 1/2 Aston, 4/1 Joe, 7/1 Jonnie, 16/1 Davood

Top Women - 5/4 Alex, 11/4 Debbie, 3/1 Gemma, 12/1 Mollie, 33/1 Susan, 66/1 Ruth

Winning Gender - 8/15 Female, 6/4 Male
By:
jollyswagman
When: 04 Nov 17 19:03
thanks horse Cool
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 06 Nov 17 08:02
Week 7, 6th Elimination - Aston Merrygold  Shocked

Aston going has to be the biggest priced runner for any elimination/eviction on any RTV show ever
At some stage on Thursday or Friday he was 200/1 with PP. He was top priced with them at 150/1 Saturday morning
Just as the show was about to start, the nowadays crap liquidity on here meant he was 38 - 500
Aston scored a lowly 25 which put him second bottom of the leaderboard and 200/1 was still briefly available with one bookie during the show

Aston was matched between 55 (+ small amounts above, see end of post) and 8 with lpm 28
Mollie was matched between 17.5 and 2.8 with lpm 3
Ruth was mainly matched between 6.6 and 2.5 with lpm 4.6
Davood was matched between (+ pence at 95, £10 at 12 & £20 at 6.4) and 2.7 with lpm that 95
Susan was matched between 6.4 (+ £10 at 10 & £56 at 8) and 2 (+ £16 at 1.77) with lpm 8
Jonnie was matched between 9.4 (+ £1 at 25) and 3 (+ £4 at 2.02 & £16 at 2) with lpm 4.2
Gemma was mainly matched between 75 and 4 with lpm 5.5
Joe's lowest matched was 75 & Alex's lowest was 60

Mollie was again the other Bottom 2 and was saved by Craig and Shirley
£5,733 was matched in total with £261 matched on the Bottom 2 market (none on Aston)

All amounts matched on Aston for Elimination
8.00    £20
10.0    £73
10.5    £3
11.5    £4
12.0    £60
12.5    £18
14    £6
24    £22
25    £8
26    £20
28    £4
38    £4
42    £5
44    £6
55    £7
190    £3
220    £1
240    £0
250    £0
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 06 Nov 17 08:31
^^^ Davood was matched between 4 (+ pence at 95, £10 at 12 & £20 at 6.4) and 2.7 with lpm that 95

Monday morning after the shock 6th elimination of Aston

Debbie scored 40 (Tango), earliest ever 40 in a series, said Claudia
Alex scored 39 (CCC) and Joe was third on 36 (Charleston)
Aston was trading 3.95 - 4.3 just as the show was about to start. Alex was 4 - 4.3, Debbie 4.9 - 5.1, Gemma 6 - 6.6, Joe 11.5 - 12.5
Aston's last price matched in the Outright at suspension was 5.4

Some comments about the show:
•After Debbie's dance, Craig got up to worship and bow in front of her and Giovanni. The general consensus on the forum though was that Debbie had been overmarked a tad
•Aston wore a ridiculous afro wig
•Ruth, who propped up the leaderboard, fell on top of Anton as their dance finished and then started humping him. It was all very amusing, as was a lot of Anton's backchat

Current prices:
Debbie McGee.............2.84 - 2.88     (obviously shortened lots during/after her dance, 2.9 low matched, 3.15 at suspension, new low 2.68 matched yesterday evening but since drifted a little)
Alexandra Burke..........3.75 - 3.8     (4.3 at suspension)
Joe McFadden..............8 - 8.4     (13.5 at suspension, has shortened the most, as male front runner now, post Aston's elimination)
Gemma Atkinson..........7.8 - 9.6
Mollie King..................22 - 24     (30 at suspension)
Jonnie Peacock............22 - 32
Davood Ghadami..........29 - 32
Susan Calman..............100 - 140
Ruth Langsford...........150 - 200

Amount matched £301,832   Back 102.3%, Lay 95%
By:
hemsby
When: 06 Nov 17 08:46
Sterling work as always my equine friend.

Undoubtedly my favourite Pricewatch update ever Wink
By:
timbuctooth
When: 06 Nov 17 11:21
FOTY horse is far too modest to point out that he got the 250 on Aston to go. the highest-price elimination winner any of us can remember. Ever!
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 11 Nov 17 10:13
Cheers jolly, hems & tim. Yes, I did back Aston at 250 but alas only had 28p matched

Saturday morning before the 8th live show weekend and 7th elimination

Current prices  Debbie 3, Alex 3.85, Gemma 6.4 (was 7.6 yesterday morning), Joe 9.2 (drifted yesterday), Mollie 17 (shortened earlier in the week), Jonnie 23, Davood 23, Susan 120, Ruth 190, 328k matched

7th Elimination  2/1 Ruth, 5/2 Susan, 9/2 Jonnie, 6/1 Davood, 8/1 Mollie, 20/1 Joe, 25/1 Gemma, 40/1 Alex, 66/1 Debbie

Top Man  8/11 Joe, 3/1 Davood, 7/2 Jonnie

Top Women  5/4 Debbie, 13/8 Alex, 5/1 Gemma, 16/1 Mollie, 45/1 Susan, 50/1 Ruth

Winning Gender  2/11 Female, 7/2 Male
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 13 Nov 17 06:07
Week 8, 7th Elimination - Ruth Langsford

Ruth was planted firmly at the bottom of the leaderboard on 18. Her lpm in the Outright was 250
Ruth was matched between 4 (+ £6 at 4.4) and 1.75 with lpm 2.6
Mollie was matched between 17.5 and 2.5 with lpm 2.98
Jonnie was matched between 6.8 (few quid higher) and 3.8 (+ £14 at 3) with lpm 4.8
Davood was matched between 15 (+ pennies at 1000) and 6 with lpm that 1000
Susan was matched between 16 and 3 with lpm 14
Gemma lowest matched was 10, Joe 12

Jonnie was the other Bottom 2 and was unanimously saved
£6,780 was matched in total with £392 matched on the Bottom 2 market
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 13 Nov 17 06:29
Monday morning after Ruth's elimination

Davood (Charleston) and Alex (AT) top scored on 38. Debbie (Salsa) was 3rd on 35

Current prices:
Debbie McGee.............2.96 - 3.15       (lpm 3.05 as about to dance in pimp, 2.62 matched after but then back out to 2.8 with judges mentioning mistakes)
Alexandra Burke..........3.5 - 3.65
Joe McFadden..............7.6 - 7.8       (8s after show, gone a little shorter upon market reopening)
Davood Ghadami..........10.5 - 11       (23 pre show, 19 when dance finished, 12 after scored, 14 end of show)
Gemma Atkinson..........11 - 12       (7 when about to dance, 8 after then 12 matched during judges comments)
Mollie King..................23 - 28       (3rd bottom of Leaderboard)
Jonnie Peacock............48 - 55       (2nd bottom of Leaderboard and was Bottom 2)
Susan Calman..............85 - 90

Amount matched £341,434   Back 102.5%, Lay 95.9%
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 18 Nov 17 05:27
Saturday morning before the 9th live show weekend (at Blackpool!) and 8th elimination

Current prices  Debbie 2.9, Alex 3.65, Joe 6.6, Davood 11.5, Gemma 11.5, Mollie 27, Jonnie 85, Susan 90, 366k matched

8th Elimination  7/4 Jonnie, 9/4 Susan (4s here), 4/1 Mollie, 9/1 Davood, 14/1 Gemma, 25/1 Joe, 50/1 Alex, 50/1 Debbie

Top Man  4/5 Joe, 15/8 Davood, 7/1 Jonnie

Top Women  5/4 Debbie, 7/4 Alex, 6/1 Gemma, 16/1 Mollie, 50/1 Susan

Winning Gender  1/5 Female, 7/2 Male
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 20 Nov 17 07:56
Week 9 (Blackpool), 8th Elimination - Jonnie Peacock

A little bit of 2/1 available earlier in the week for Jonnie going but generally he was the 7/4 fav
At the end of the show Jonnie (2nd bottom on leaderboard) was trading 1.8s - 2 ish, Susan (bottom of leaderboard) 2.4s - 2.8
Jonnie was matched between 2.9 and 1.62 with lpm 1.7. His lpm in the Outright was 90
Susan was matched between 4.6 and 2.3 with lpm 2.6
Mollie was matched between 12 and 3.7 with lpm 6.4
Davood was mostly matched between 15 and 7.2 with lpm 42
Gemma was mostly matched between 14 and 10 with lpm 50
Debbie, 40/1 to go before the show, 50/1 if you tried very hard, was matched (ignoring pennies) between 60 and 19 which was the lpm

£7,397 was matched in total
Debbie was the other Bottom 2 and was unanimously saved
£306 was matched on the Bottom 2 market, £32 on Debbie, mostly between 11.5 and 10
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 20 Nov 17 08:21
Monday morning after Jonnie's elimination

Alex (QS) top scored on 39, Gemma (AmSm) 38, Davood (PD) 35, Joe (Salsa) 34 with Debbie (Ginger Spice Samba) only 5th on 33. It was not a total surprise that Debbie was Bottom 2

Current prices:
Alexandra Burke...........3.35 - 3.5       (3.8 pre dance, 3.65 when finished, 3.55 after scored)
Gemma Atkinson............4.6 - 4.8       (matched down to 6 after being scored then shortened further to 5s, now trading 4s after Debbie's drift)
Debbie McGee............4.9 - 5.3       (drifted after dance but only to low 3s, 3.7 at end of show (but low 4s had been matched), opened mid 4s last night but then matched as high as 6)
Joe McFadden...............7 - 7.4       (lpm at suspension 8.4)
Davood Ghadami..........8.2 - 8.8       (trading 9s pre show, matched down to 8 during judges comments and when scored, opened 7 last night but since drifted)
Mollie King...................38 - 48
Susan Calman..............100 - 110

Amount matched £392,001   Back 103%, Lay 96.1%
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 25 Nov 17 07:22
Saturday morning before the 10th live show weekend and 9th elimination

This weekend also includes a Paso-Doble-Thon
After my last post, later on the Monday, Debbie shortened and settled in the low 4s

Current prices  Alex 3.5, Debbie 4.1, Gemma 5.6, Joe 6.6, Davood 8.8, Mollie 25, Susan 100, 421k matched

9th Elimination  6/5 Susan (2.46 here), 7/4 (little bit of 2/1 left) Mollie, 8/1 Davood, 14/1 Gemma, 16/1 Joe, 20/1 Debbie (44 here), 33/1 Alex

Top Man  4/5 Joe, Evs Davood

Top Women  5/4 Alex, 9/4 Debbie, 5/2 Gemma, 14/1 Mollie, 33/1 Susan

Top 3 Finish  1/3 Alex, 4/6 Gemma, 8/11 Debbie, 10/11 Joe, 11/8 Davood, 6/1 Mollie, 12/1 Susan

Winning Gender  3/10 Female, 3/1 Male
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 27 Nov 17 09:04
Week 10, 9th Elimination - Susan Calman

Susan always fav to go but Mollie wasn't far away at times pre show. Just before the show Susan was trading 2.1 - 2.2, Mollie 2.78 - 2.9
By the end of the show Susan was well odds on, trading 1.5s
Susan was mostly matched between 2.5 and 1.51 with lpm 1.7
Mollie was matched between 7 and 2.5 with lpm 4.4
Alex,75 to back pre show, shortened significant;y during the show and was matched down to 6.8 with lpm 13
Davood was mostly matched between 16 and 7.8 with lpm 200 (for pennies)
Gemma was matched between 17 and 7 (+ £24 at 6 & £18 at 5.1) with lpm 8
Joe was mostly matched between 28 and 15 with lpm 1000 (for pennies)
Debbie's lowest matched was 27

£11,353 was matched in total
Alex was the other Bottom 2 and was, unsurprisingly, unanimously saved
Susan's lpm in the Outright was 300
£124 was matched on the Bottom 2 market
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 27 Nov 17 09:28
Monday morning after Susan's elimination

Joe (QS) scored 38, Debbie (AT) also 38, Alex (Rumba) 4th with 32, then they had a PD-a-thon thing which Alex won adding 7 points, Joe 2nd and Debbie 3rd

We have a new fav, Joe (following Aston then Alex then Debbie then Alex again)

Current prices:
Joe McFadden...............3.3 - 3.5       (shortened to near 5 after dancing, in first, then 4s, lpm 4 at suspension, opened just under 4 then shortened further, 3.05 matched overnight)
Debbie McGee...............4.2 - 4.4       (matched at 3 after her dance, lpm 3.4 at suspension, opened mid to high 3s, drifted since)
Alexandra Burke.............5.4 - 5.5       (drifted to 4s during/after dancing, lpm 4.8 at suspension, opened high 4s then higher)
Gemma Atkinson............7.4 - 7.6       (2nd bottom of leaderboard, drifted to lpm 7.8 at suspension, traded 8s last night but now back to 7s)
Davood Ghadami..........9 - 9.4
Mollie King...................20 - 23

Amount matched £450,899   Back 103.3%, Lay 97.6%
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 02 Dec 17 08:06
Saturday morning before the 11th live show weekend (quarter finals, musicals themed) and 10th elimination

Current prices:
Debbie McGee...............3.85 - 3.9       (trading 4.2 yesterday morning)
Joe McFadden...............3.9 - 4.1       (trading 3.6 until Wednesday then started to drift a bit, continuing yesterday)
Alexandra Burke.............4.3 - 4.6       (shortened to high 4s on Weds, shortened more Thurs and Fri, as low as 4 before drifting back out a bit late yesterday)
Gemma Atkinson............8 - 8.4       (7 yesterday and still that in the evening, drifted overnight)
Davood Ghadami..........11.5 - 12.5
Mollie King...................20 - 22       (had shortened to around 18 by Wednesday, drifted back out a bit yesterday)
£492,801 matched, back 102.1%, lay 96.2%

10th Elimination:  4/6 Mollie, 3/1 Davood, 7/1 Gemma, 12/1 Joe, 14/1 Alex, 16/1 Debbie

Top Man:  4/11 Joe, 2/1 Davood

Top Women:  5/4 Debbie, 2/1 Alex, 7/2 Gemma, 12/1 Mollie

Top 3 Finish:  4/11 Joe, 2/5 Debbie, 8/15 Alex, 4/6 Gemma, 6/4 Davood, 3/1 Mollie

Winning Gender:  4/9 Female, 7/4 Male
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 04 Dec 17 07:57
Week 11, 10th Elimination - Davood Ghadami

Mollie was odds on to go before the show but went odds against after dancing, making it a 3 way fight for survival between her, Davood & Gemma
Davood had £32 matched at 8.6, £31 at 6.8, £6 at 6.4 then was matched between 4.9 and 1.65 with lpm 1.8
Mollie was matched between 6 and 1.52 with lpm 4.5
Gemma had £11 matched at 8.4, £8 at 7.4, £6 at 7 then was matched between 6.4 and 2.6 with lpm 4
Alex was matched between 21 and 14 plus pennies at 100, 150 & 690 with lpm 150

£3,374 was matched in total
Alex was the other (surprise this time) Bottom 2 and was again unanimously saved
Davood's lpm in the Outright was 100
£104 was matched on the Bottom 2 market, none on Alex
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 04 Dec 17 08:24
Monday morning after Davood's elimination

Alex (Charleston) & Debbie (AmSm) topped the leaderboard on 39 pts with Joe (Samba) next on 37
Gemma danced first, trading 8s - 9s before, 10 after being scored, 17.5 - 23 end of show, suspension lpm 15
Mollie danced second, 17 matched at end of dance, 21 during judges comments, 20 - 24 end of show, suspension lpm 17
Joe danced third, 3.75 - 4 beforehand, 3.5 matched as dance finished, 3 matched during judges comments, 2.88 matched after being scored, 3.05 - 3.15 end of show, suspension lpm 3
Debbie danced fourth, 3.4 - 3.6 beforehand, went 3.3 to lay during VT, 3.2 matched end of dance, 3 to lay during judges comments, 2.78 matched when judges had finished, 2.9 - 3.1 end of show, suspension lpm 2.9
Davood danced fifth, trading 13 - 19 beforehand with 13 matched, 18.5 was then matched as judges criticised, 18 - 30 end of show, suspension lpm 100
Alex, in another pimp, trading 4.5 - 5 beforehand, 4.5 matched end of dance, 4.2 during judges comments, 4.4 after being scored, 4.6 - 5 end of show, suspension lpm 5

Current prices:
Joe McFadden...............2.4 - 2.66       (opened 2.7s last night, then 2.6s, £16 at 2 & £24 at 2.02 matched overnight, 2.4 matched this morning)
Debbie McGee...............2.96 - 3       (opened 2.8s last night, drifted a little on Joe's continuous shortening)
Alexandra Burke............9.6 - 10.5       (initially settled in 8s after market reopening but has since gone higher, matched up to 11)
Gemma Atkinson............10 - 10.5
Mollie King.....................15.5 - 17

Amount matched £525,127   Back 103.4%, Lay 95.9%
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 09 Dec 17 09:29
Saturday morning before the 12th live show weekend (semi finals) and 11th elimination. Two dances from each tonight

Current prices:
Joe McFadden...............2.2 - 2.34       (steadily shortened all week)
Debbie McGee...............3.15 - 3.2
Alexandra Burke............12 - 12.5
Gemma Atkinson............13 - 14
Mollie King....................14.5 - 16       (had shortened to 12 mid week)
£567,278 matched, back 101.2%, lay 95.4%


11th Elimination:  5/4 Gemma (was 7/4 Thursday morning), 6/5 (but 2.4 here) Mollie, 8/1 Alex, 16/1 Debbie, 20/1 Joe

Top Women:  4/6 Debbie, 4/1 Alex, 9/2 Gemma, 12/1 Mollie

Top 3 Finish:  1/4 Joe, 1/3 Debbie, 4/7 Alex, 4/7 Gemma, 5/6 Mollie

Winning Gender:  4/5 Female, 11/10 Male
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 09 Dec 17 09:36
CORRECTION - Mollie Top Women only 8/1 before anyone gets overly excited
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