Cheers jolly. I've been away for a week with no access to Betfair but was checking Oddschecker from time to time

Week 3, 2nd Elimination - Tameka Empson

Saturday afternoon, Anastacia was the 2/1 fav for elimination, Naga 11/4, Ed 4/1, Tameka 8/1, Lesley 9/1, 20s bar. Laura was 40/1
After the show, in the voting window, the best prices I saw were 5/4 Naga, 7/4 Anastacia, 9/2 Ed, 9/1 Tameka, 10/1 Lesley, 16/1 Judge, 25/1 Laura, 100s bar

Laura was the other bottom 2 and was saved by all the judges apart from Darcey

thanks horse

feck me, danny twos on for top male already

Week 4, 3rd Elimination - Naga Munchetty

Anastacia shortened on Friday from 9/4 to a best 13/8. The popular feeling was that they would want her gone due to her previous injury problems and not want another non Caucasian person to go after some articles suggesting the BBC/voters are being racist. Anastacia was indeed in the Bottom 2 but the judges unanimously voted Naga to go (who clearly came off worse in the dance-off)

Anastacia was trading around 2.1/2.3 on Saturday afternoon and traded odds on during the show, lowest matched 1.67, although she kept being matched odds on then odds against
Very little was matched on Naga (The Betfair market is rubbish in play) but she was always 2nd fav to go (most money matched between 3.8 and 4)

Total matched £3,356 (of which £2,823 was matched on Anastacia with a paltry £180 matched on Naga)

great work horse

Week 5, 4th Elimination - Lesley Joseph

Lesley had shortened a little to 5/1 and 6/1 on Saturday afternoon
Around 5pm news broke that Laura had injured her ankle, would not dance and would receive a bye to next week

Anastacia danced with Gorka after Brendan was ill and was marked better than in previous weeks
Ed's dance was notable for a disastrous (but very funny) lift of Katya but he tried again after the dance finished, this time more successfully

Daisy (joint 4th on leaderboard) was the other Bottom 2 but the judges unanimously voted Lesley off
Lesley (joint second bottom on leaderboard) had been matched as low as 2.52 for elimination (high 9, lpm 3.5) but the Betfair elimination markets are so woeful it's not really worth me even mentioning them

Friday morning brief update:

Danny  2.28 - 2.3  (drifted a bit last few days)
Ore  3.8 - 3.9
Louise  7.4 - 7.6  (was 9 on Wednesday before shortening in the evening after looking promising on the ITT show)


5th Elimination high street prices: (bookies VERY slow and seemingly reluctant to price up this year)
6/4  Anastacia (was 2/1 yesterday morning)
3/1  Ed
4/1  Laura (10/1 available yesterday morning)
9/1 Greg, 10/1 Judge, 12/1 Daisy, 33/1 Claudia, 50/1 Louise, 100/1 Ore & Danny

Monday morning, after Anastacia's elimination:

Danny danced 5th and was given a lowly (for him) 30 points, 7th on leaderboard, and was briefly getting matched at 3.5 (and Ore matched at 3) before Danny shortened back to the 2.4 - 2.6 range
Ore danced 7th and himself only received 32 points. Craig was very critical and Ore was matched at 4 at this stage before shortening back to the 3.5 mark after being scored
After Ore's score Danny shortened and was getting matched around 2.2/2.3

Danny Mac.................2.32 - 2.48
Ore Oduba..................3.9 - 4.2
Louise Redknapp.........8.4 - 8.8
Claudia Fragapane........10 - 11
Greg Rutherford..........15 - 17       (27 after the show, 22 at lines closing, been shortening since market reactivated)
Judge Rinder..............34 - 42
Laura Whitmore...........55 - 65       (briefly shortened to 20s during the show)
Daisy Lowe.................70 - 100       (briefly shortened to 30s during the show)
Ed Balls.....................110 - 190       (has been matched below 100 overnight)

Amount matched £298,261


Best High Street prices for:
Top Man.............8/11 Danny, 15/8 Ore, 12/1 Greg, 25/1 Judge, 40/1 Ed
Top Women........6/5 Louise, 7/4 Claudia, 7/1 Laura, 8/1 Daisy
Gender...............2/7 Male, 3/1 Female

Friday morning update:

Danny   2.34 - 2.38
Ore   4 - 4.1
Louise   7.2 - 7.4  (shortened a bit over the week)
Claudia   11 - 12  (had shortened to low s earlier in week but drifted back out yesterday)
Greg   18 - 19.5  (slowly drifting back out a little after the shortenening on Monday/Tuesday)


6th Elimination high street prices:
7/4  Ed
5/2  Laura (9/2 available Wednesday before being cut, 4/1 yesterday morning still available before then shortening in the afternoon/evening)
7/2 Daisy
8/1 Greg, 8/1 Judge, 22/1 Claudia, 33/1 Louise, 66/1 Ore, 100/1 Danny

Week 7, 6th Elimination - Laura Whitmore

6pm Saturday and Laura had steadied at 5/2. Ed was 15/8, Daisy 4/1 but both were higher on Betfair
Both Judge and Greg had been backed in a bit on Saturday, both now as low as 6/1 in places. Ore was 80/1 with one bookie

Laura danced 5th and received 32 points, ultimately placing her joint 2nd bottom (with Greg). Ed was bottom
Laura had £6 matched at 1.8 and £10 matched at 2.04 but otherwise her lowest price matched was 3. LPM 3.3

Ore (joint 3rd on leaderboard) was the other (surprising) bottom 2 but was unanimously saved

£2,597 was matched on the Elimination market. In the Bottom 2 market, a grand total of £40 was matched. Laura had £4 matched, at 1.25. Congratulations to the £2 backer

Friday morning update:

Danny.......2.4 - 2.44
Louise......3.6 - 3.7
Ore.........9.2 - 9.8
Claudia.....9 - 9.8
Judge.......22 - 23
Greg........27 - 34
Ed..........42 - 55
Daisy.......110 - 130


7th Elimination high street prices:
7/5....Daisy   (3/1 early bird opening show Weds morning but shortened to 15/8 by afternoon/evening then 13/8 best price yesterday morning)
3/1....Ed
9/2....Judge   (6/1 yesterday morning)
11/2....Greg
12/1 Claudia, 14/1 Ore, 50/1 Louise, 66/1 Danny

Monday morning, after Daisy's elimination. Danny topped leaderboard on 38, Louise 37, Claudia 36, Ore 35. Blackpool next weekend:

Danny Mac.................2.28 - 2.36       (2.2s pre dancing, briefly Evs end of judges comments, settled 2.1ish, then 2.2s again on Louise's shortening)
Louise Redknapp.........3.9 - 4.1       (drifted to 4.2 after Danny danced, 3.55 matched after dancing, low of 3 matched during voting window)
Claudia Fragapane........7.6 - 7.8       (had shortened to 8.6 pre show, 9s after, opened lower when market reopened)
Ore Oduba.................12.5 - 13
Ed Balls.....................18 - 28       (40 pre show, was 30 to back when market suspended, lower getting matched now, 20 lowest so far)
Judge Rinder..............22 - 27       (strange but persistant plunge during Saturday, 11.5 matched, around 14 pre show, back to around 20 after show)
Greg Rutherford..........50 - 60

Amount matched £352,812


Best High Street prices for:
Top Man.............2/5 Danny, 9/2 Ore, 9/1 Judge, 10/1 Ed, 18/1 Greg
Top Women........1/3 Louise, 9/4 Claudia
Gender...............8/15 Male, 11/8 Female
W/O Danny........Evs Louise, 4/1 Ore, 9/2 Claudia, 9/1 Judge, 9/1 Ed, 18/1 Greg

Friday morning update, Blackpool tomorrow:

Danny.......2.2 - 2.3
Louise......3.65 - 3.85
Claudia.....8.8 - 9.2
Ore.........13.5 - 14.5
Ed..........17.5 - 19     (low of 15 matched earlier this week)
Judge.......26 - 27
Greg........50 - 60


8th Elimination high street prices:
13/8.....Greg
5/2......Judge
3/1......Ed
12/1.....Ore
14/1.....Claudia
33/1.....Louise
50/1.....Danny

Monday morning, after Greg's elimination

- On Saturday Danny had drifted a little, was 2.3s pre show whilst Louise had shortened to 3.2 to 3.5 range. Ed had been consistantly trading around 15 & 16
- Claudia danced first, received 36, was 9.6 after. However, by the end of the show she was getting matched as high as 15
- Ore danced 2nd, received 38. 10.5 was getting matched when the dance finished but then drifted back out during the rest of the show
- When the market had gone in play £42 was matched on Ed at 10. However, about 15 minutes into the show there was a big layer around, a ton put up at 20 which even caused him to be getting matched as high as 29
- Louise danced 3rd, also receiving 38 points. She was still low 3s when the danced finished but then was matched at 2.9 during the judges comments
- Danny danced 4th, 2.12 - 2.38 pre dance, 2 matched when the dance finished, 1.92 matched during Judges comments (Louise now 3.7). Danny received the first 40 of the series
- Ed danced next, 29 lpm pre dance, 25 then 23 matched when the dance finished
- Greg was trading 44 - 60 pre dance, matched at 65 as danced finished
- Judge, dancing last, was 26 - 42 pre dance, 55 matched as dance finished but then shortened with 25 getting matched during the judges comments before drifitng back out again
- At the end of the show Danny was in the 2 - 2.1 range, Louise 3.4 - 3.8 range

Prices right now:

Danny Mac.................2.02 - 2.06       (1.9 still the lowest price matched)
Louise Redknapp.........3.05 - 3.2       (£9 at 2.8 matched when market reopened then low 3s since)
Ore Oduba.................14.5 - 17.5
Ed Balls.....................17.5 - 19.5       (initially trading around 14 to 15 when market reopened)
Claudia Fragapane........20 - 21       (obviously trading higher now bottom 2 confirmed)
Judge Rinder..............24 - 25

Amount matched £381,201


Best High Street prices for:
Top Man.............4/11 Danny, 11/2 Ed, 7/1 Ore, 14/1 Judge
Top Women........1/5 Louise, 4/1 Claudia
Gender...............1/2 Male, 7/4 Female
W/O Danny........5/6 Louise, 9/2 Ed, 11/2 Ore, 7/1 Claudia, 11/1 Judge

Week 10, 9th Elimination - Ed Balls

6pm Saturday Ed was best priced 6/5 on the high street. Judge was 7/4, Claudia 6/1, Ore 8/1

Ed was bottom of the leaderboard with Judge 2nd bottom

Ed was matched at a high of 2.66 (+ £17 at 2.88 & £4 at 3), a low of 1.75 (+ £3 at 1.71) with lpm 1.92. He had shortened to lows during/after dancing before bouncing back out to evens area
Judge was matched at a high of 2.88 (+ £11 at 3.2), a low of 2 (+ £20 at 1.92, £3 at 1.89 & £20 at 1.82) with lpm also 1.92
Judge was the other bottom 2, as expected. He was unanimously saved

£6,559 matched on the elimination market. Ed's lpm in the outright market was 25

Friday morning update:

Danny.......1.76 - 1.8
Louise......3.25 - 3.45
Ore.........14 - 15.5     (has at times been getting matched around 20 this week)
Claudia.....15.5 - 16.5
Judge.......90 - 130     (matched up to 150 this week)


10th Elimination high street prices:
3/10......Judge (best price earlier in the week was 2/5 I think)
5/1......Claudia
6/1......Ore
28/1.....Louise
50/1.....Danny

Monday morning, after Movies weekend and Judge's elimination

- On Friday evening Danny was backed down to 1.67, a new low, I think coinciding with the Goggleboxers raving about him, before his price went back out again
- 6pm Saturday Danny was 1.72 - 1.77, Louise 3.25 - 3.35, Claudia 13.5 - 14.5, Ore 17 - 21, Judge 65 - 90
- Ore danced 1st and drifted to 25 after the judges comments
- Judge danced 2nd and was getting matched at 140 afterwards
- Louise danced 3rd, was 3.15 - 3.5 beforehand, briefly matched at 2.88 whilst dancing, was 3.05 - 3.25 when finishing, 2.94 - 3.05 after scored (37)
- Claudia danced 4th, was 12.5 - 14.5 (Louise had already drifted to 3.5 during Claudia's VT). She also received 37 and her price didn't change much afterwards
- Danny danced last, was 1.58 - 1.7 with 1.58 having been matched, 1.62 - 1.7 when finishing dancing, 1.58 again matched after judges comments and top score of the night (38)
- At the end of the show Danny was 1.6 - 1.65, Louise 3.4 - 3.65, Claudia 12 - 15, Ore 22 - 36, Judge 150 - 200

Prices right now:

Danny Mac..................1.54 - 1.57       (new low of 1.54 matched since market reopened)
Louise Redknapp..........3.6 - 3.7
Claudia Fragapane........15 - 16
Ore Oduba..................32 - 40

Amount matched £439,907


Best High Street prices for:
Top Man.............1/20 Danny, 10/1 Ore
Top Women........2/9 Louise, 7/2 Claudia
Gender...............8/15 Male, 6/4 Female
W/O Danny........2/7 Louise, 7/2 Claudia, 8/1 Ore

Week 12, semi-final, 11th Elimination (4th place finisher) - Claudia Fragapane

The leaderboard ended up Ore 77, Danny 76 with Claudia & Laura tied bottom on 73

Apart from £38 matched at 3.6 and £3 at 3.55 (when the market was first loaded), Claudia traded next highest at 2.64. She had shortened to around 2.1 leading up to the show and went odds on during it, as low as 1.41. She traded higher towards the end and before suspension though on Louse's shortening. Lpm 1.8

Louise, available at 16/1 during the week, was matched up to 17.5 (+ £3 at 21) but plunged during the show. She had £200 matched at 2.2 after the show but otherwise next lowest was 2.6 which was also the lpm

Ore traded odds on during last week, as low as 1.5 but during the show, as he received high scores, he was matched as high as 8 (+ £4 at 9.8 & £4 at 12). Lpm 9.8

Danny, available at 50/1 during the week, was matched between 75 and 20 with lpm 48

Danny was the other bottom 2 and was unanimously saved
£5,967 matched on the elimination market
Claudia's lpm in the outright market was 12.5

thanks as always horse

Winner - Ore Oduba

Joint 2nd/3rd - Danny Mac / Louise Redknapp


Just the one show for the final with 3 contestants which ran from 6:40pm to 8:55pm (due to Will Young skiving off earlier in the series)

1pm     Danny 1.9s, Louise 2.7, Ore 10
4pm     Danny 1.92, Louise 2.6s, Ore 9
6pm     Danny 1.84, Louise 2.82, Ore 9.6
6:39pm   Danny 1.7, Louise 3.7, Ore 9.8,  £703,601 matched

6:49pm   Ore to dance 1st, was trading 10-11 but immediately moved to 12, back to 10 at end of dance, 39 scored, trading 11 with Danny 1.64 & Louise 3.2
6:58pm   Louise to dance 2nd, trading 3.15 - 3.25, hit 3.4 during VT, 3.3 middle of dance (Danny 1.58), 3.35 end of dance, 3.55 during judges comments (Danny 1.52), 3.8 end of judges comments
7:06pm   Danny to dance 3rd, trading 1.49 - 1.52, new low of 1.44 matched during VT, still 1.4s by end of dance but then went 1.5s then 1.6s then 1.7s as judges mentioned mistakes made and only scored 36
7:16pm   end of round 1, Danny 1.66 - 1.7, Louise 3.05 - 3.25, Ore 9.4 - 9.6, £762,018 matched

7:18pm   Ore up, 9.4 - 9.6, went into 8s during dance, 6s by end of dance (Danny 1.8, Louise 3.25), 5s during judges comments, 5 end of comments, 4.6 as scored 40 (Danny 1.9s, Louise 3.75)
7:27pm   Louise up, 3.6 at start of dance (Danny mid 1.9s, Ore 5), 3.5 end of dance, (Danny mid 1.7s, Ore 7), 4 end of judges comments and 38 scored
7:35pm   Danny up and 1.56 (Louise now 4.5, Ore 6.8), 1.5s start of dance, 1.52 at end, high 1.4s during judges comments, 1.45 end of comments and 40 scored
7:42pm   end of round 2, Danny 1.48 - 1.5, Louise 5 - 5.1, Ore 8.2 - 8.4, £830,864 matched

7:47pm   Ore's last dance, trading 5.8 - 6 (Danny 1.55, Louise 5), 5.3 during VT, 4.8 end of VT, 4.6 end of dance, 4.4 end of judges comments, 4.9 as scored a second 40
7:56pm   Louise's last dance, trading 5 - 5.2, 4.5 during VT, similar during and after dancing, 4.2 after scored 40 (Danny 1.5, Ore 8)
8:04pm   Danny's last dance, 1.5 during VT, 1.51 at end of dance
8:13pm   end of all dancing, Danny 1.5, Louise 5.2, Ore 6.6, £905,244 matched

8:19pm   Danny 1.45, Louise 5.4, Ore 7 then a minute later Danny matched at 1.4
8:22pm   Danny 1.39, Louise 6.6, Ore 7.6
8:25pm   LINES CLOSED. Last prices matched...Danny 1.38, Louise 7.6, Ore 7. £942,609 final amount matched



Lowest & highest matched for Ore Oduba   (lows matched during week 5 or 6, highs matched leading up to week 12)
2.90    £13
2.92    £5
3.00    £388
3.05    £143
3.10    £27
3.15    £16
3.20    £52
3.25    £50
3.30    £30
3.35    £4
3.40    £55
3.45    £312
3.50    £1,290
-------------------------------
40    £111
42    £830
44    £145
46    £26
48    £41
50    £17
55    £17
70    £0

Lowest & highest matched for Danny Mac   (lows matched during final)
1.36    £450
1.37    £804
1.38    £2,003
1.39    £2,399
1.40    £1,573
1.41    £3,514
1.42    £2,106
1.43    £1,002
1.44    £7,249
1.45    £4,544
1.46    £2,137
1.47    £2,486
1.48    £2,134
1.49    £7,325
1.50    £12,088
---------------------------------
13.0    £624
13.5    £723
14.0    £333
14.5    £282
15.0    £124
15.5    £101
16.0    £70
16.5    £80
17.0    £76
17.5    £10

Lowest & highest matched for Louise Redknapp   (lows matched Sunday evening after the semi final show on Danny's bottom 2)
2.18    £101
2.24    £42
2.26    £20
2.30    £168
2.32    £193
2.34    £665
2.36    £411
2.38    £137
2.40    £2,132
2.42    £2,622
-------------------------------
9.0    £1,504
9.2    £514
9.4    £486
9.6    £735
9.8    £603
10.0    £582
10.5    £128
11.0    £171
11.5    £80
12.0    £78
14.5    £3

Lowest matched for Claudia Fragapane   (lows matched pre launch show)
3.70    £6
3.90    £62
3.95    £40
4.0    £533
4.1    £158
4.2    £72
4.3    £162
4.4    £111
4.5    £163
4.6    £288

Lowest matched for Robert "Judge" Rinder
7.8    £28
8.0    £44
8.2    £49
8.4    £122
8.6    £36
8.8    £75
9.0    £154
9.2    £68
9.4    £194
9.6    £203

Lowest matched for Ed Balls
10.0    £42
12.0    £87
12.5    £19
13.5    £71
14.0    £56
14.5    £206
15.0    £356
15.5    £241
16.0    £940
16.5    £850

Lowest matched for Greg Rutherford
8.6    £32
8.8    £68
9.0    £235
9.2    £75
9.4    £150
9.6    £546
9.8    £580
10.0    £682
10.5    £732
11.0    £551

Lowest matched for Daisy Lowe
8.6    £4
9.8    £20
11.0    £14
11.5    £34
12.0    £96
12.5    £130
13.0    £119
13.5    £215
14.0    £625
14.5    £607

Lowest matched for Laura Whitmore
9.0    £167
9.2    £65
9.4    £14
9.6    £59
9.8    £84
10.0    £148
10.5    £156
11.0    £235
11.5    £116
12.0    £332

Lowest matched for Anastacia
13    £5
21    £4
28    £26
29    £25
30    £95
32    £232
34    £140
36    £83
38    £100
40    £233

Lowest matched for Lesley Joseph
10    £4
21    £4
22    £2
30    £10
32    £8
36    £12
40    £25
42    £12
44    £9
46    £18
48    £120
50    £77

Lowest matched for Naga Munchetty
8.8    £20
14.0    £70
14.5    £129
15.0    £400
15.5    £190
16.0    £265
16.5    £306
17.0    £615
17.5    £279
18    £525

Lowest matched for Tameka Empson
22    £10
25    £21
26    £7
27    £16
28    £27
29    £65
30    £120
32    £154
34    £228
36    £291

Lowest matched for Will Young   (lows matched pre launch show)
4.1    £90
4.2    £177
4.3    £105
4.4    £222
4.5    £482
4.6    £354
4.7    £2,107
4.8    £2,418
4.9    £2,038
5.0    £2,636

Lowest matched for Melvin Odoom
20    £2
21    £6
22    £8
23    £10
25    £4
26    £10
27    £61
28    £55
30    £63
32    £73
34    £189
36    £139

Appreciate the blood sweat and tears horse...very good to have it all documented. More money chasing for Danny last night than I thought.