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ahorsewithnoname
14 Nov 13 12:24
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Date Joined: 08 Apr 03
| Topic/replies: 2,148 | Blogger: ahorsewithnoname's blog
3 days before launch night (Betfair Back & Lay price, best HS price):

Joey Essex                     2.72 / 2.74,   7/4
Steve Davis                   6.4 / 6.6,   11/2
Kian Egan                      9.4 / 9.6,   8/1
Alfonso Ribeiro            10.5 / 11.5,   12/1
Rebecca Adlington      12.5 / 13,   10/1
Vincent Simone           ----------,   10/1
Lucy Pargeter             14 / 15,   12/1
Matthew Wright         16.5 / 17.5,   14/1
Laila Morse                  29 / 55,   33/1
Annabel Giles               ---------,   33/1
Amy Willerton             46 / 50,   40/1
David Emanuel           55 / 65,   50/1

Amount matched £7,645

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Replies: 338
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 14 Nov 13 12:27
Joey Essex was 5/2 three days ago. Highest HS price looks to be 8/1 a couple of weeks ago.
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 14 Nov 13 12:33
Best HS prices:

King
Joey Essex        6/5
Steve Davis       4/1
Kian Egan         5/1   
Vincent Simone    7/1
Alfonso Ribeiro   15/2
Matthew Wright    11/1
David Emanuel     28/1

Queen
Rebecca Adlington  7/4
Lucy Pargeter      5/2
Laila Morse        6/1
Annabel Giles      15/2
Amy Willerton      9/1
By:
bearcub
When: 14 Nov 13 14:29
12k there waiting to be laid on Joey at 2.7
By:
attitude adjuster
When: 14 Nov 13 15:36
i can feel the jungle drums starting to beat here to get this favourite turned over ExcitedTongue OutDevil
By:
bearcub
When: 14 Nov 13 15:58
I certainly wouldn't be a backer at 2.7
By:
Helmuthian Folds
When: 14 Nov 13 16:18
Just spotted the 12k odd up for Joey at 2.7, are they fecking mental. stupidly rich or do they know some mega info that I dont?

Don't think I've seen a worse value favourite for quite a long time!!! Tongue OutTongue OutTongue Out
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 17 Nov 13 18:53
An hour before launch show:

Joey Essex               2.36 / 2.4
Steve Davis              6.2 / 6.6
Alfonso Ribeiro          11 / 14
Kian Egan                12 / 15
Rebecca Adlington        14 / 14.5
Vincent Simone           ---------- (11/1 HS)
Lucy Pargeter            14 / 15
Matthew Wright           32 / 46
Laila Morse              36 / 46
Annabel Giles            ---------- (40/1 HS)
Amy Willerton            42 / 55
David Emanuel            75 / 100

Amount matched £52,066. The lumps trying to back Joey Essex have been relentless, right now 3.6k is at 2.4 with another 10k at 2.44.
By:
attitude adjuster
When: 17 Nov 13 18:56
absolutely feckin' ridiculous 

presumably one loon Cry
By:
a bitofinterest
When: 17 Nov 13 19:05
Blush
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 18 Nov 13 08:09
Morning after first show:

Joey Essex               2.9 / 2.94
Kian Egan                5.3 / 5.4
Steve Davis              5.8 / 6
Rebecca Adlington      11.5 / 12
Lucy Pargeter           14 / 14.5
Matthew Wright         24 / 25
Amy Willerton           24 / 32
Alfonso Ribeiro         30 / 32
Laila Morse               55 / 65
David Emanuel          65 / 85
Vincent Simone          ---------- (10/1 HS)
Annabel Giles            ---------- (40/1 HS)

Amount matched £156,384
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 21 Nov 13 10:56
After 3 shows:

Joey Essex               1.85 / 1.87
Kian Egan                6.6 / 6.8
Steve Davis              11.5 / 13
Vincent Simone          14.5 / 17.5
Matthew Wright         17 / 19
Rebecca Adlington     21 / 23
Lucy Pargeter           40 / 48
Laila Morse               48 / 50
Amy Willerton           50 / 70
Alfonso Ribeiro         65 / 130
Annabel Giles           80 / 330
David Emanuel          200 / 210
     
Amount matched £280,945
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 25 Nov 13 10:17
After a week:

Joey Essex               1.53 / 1.55
Kian Egan                8.4 / 8.6
Vincent Simone         14.5 / 15
Steve Davis              17.5 / 18
Rebecca Adlington     29 / 30
Matthew Wright         50 / 55
Laila Morse               60 / 75
Amy Willerton           65 / 75
Annabel Giles           70 / 80
Alfonso Ribeiro         120 / 190
Lucy Pargeter           170 / 270
David Emanuel         220 / 260
     
Amount matched £370,157
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 30 Nov 13 07:27
13 days since first show:

Joey Essex               1.88 / 1.9 (lowest hit 1.42)
Kian Egan                2.82 / 2.92
David Emanuel         26 / 30
Steve Davis              34 / 46
Laila Morse               40 / 85
Rebecca Adlington     55 / 65
Amy Willerton           50 / 65
Vincent Simone         80 / 110
150 Bar
     
Amount matched £451,947
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 02 Dec 13 09:17
After first elimination (Annabel), 7 more shows left:

Joey Essex               1.69 / 1.71
Kian Egan                3.3 / 3.35
David Emanuel         24 / 30
Steve Davis              29 / 48
Amy Willerton           36 / 44
Rebecca Adlington     42 / 50

Triple figures the rest
     
Amount matched £483,636
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 02 Dec 13 09:20
Queen of the Jungle, best High Street prices:

Amy        6/4
Rebecca    9/4
Laile      9/4 (5/2 one online bookie)
Lucy       9/1
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 04 Dec 13 23:09
After five eliminations, 4 more shows left:

Joey Essex               1.63 / 1.64
Kian Egan                3.35 / 3.55
David Emanuel         23 / 26
Rebecca Adlington     29 / 34
Amy Willerton           46 / 48
Alfonso Ribeiro         120 / 150
Lucy Pargeter           170 / 250
     
Amount matched £526,076
By:
stu
When: 05 Dec 13 10:17
David a huge price now.
By:
stu
When: 05 Dec 13 10:17
But was lot huger price earlier! Laugh
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 06 Dec 13 12:05
5 left, 3 more shows:

Joey Essex               1.77 / 1.81
Kian Egan                2.54 / 2.6 (in from 3 in last 12 hours)
David Emanuel         26 / 30
Amy Willerton           60 / 70
Lucy Pargeter           120 / 150
     
Amount matched £560,276

Queen of the Jungle, best HS prices, Amy 2/5, Lucy 9/4.
Yesterday, the best prices were Rebecca 11/10, Amy 5/4, Lucy 8/1 (10/1 one online bookie).
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 06 Dec 13 22:52
At the start of tonight's show, Joey was around 1.9 and Kian around 2.3.

After Amy & Joey's eliminations:

Kian Egan                1.28
David Emanuel         6.2
Lucy Pargeter           18
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 08 Dec 13 22:27
On the start of the final show, Kian was around 1.2. He drifted a bit to mid 1.2s during the final. Last price matched on him was 1.22 and 5.1 for David.

Lowest (& highest) matched on Kian:
1.12      £166
1.15      £364
1.16      £1,366
1.17      £9,747
1.18      £18,902
1.19      £17,133
1.20      £30,941
1.21      £22,693
1.22      £15,781
1.23      £11,293
1.24      £15,830
1.25      £22,678
-----------------
10.00     £1,435
10.50     £1,644
11.00     £1,550
11.50     £156
12.00     £126
13.50     £36
14.00     £33
14.50     £15
15.00     £14


Lowest (& highest) matched on David:
4.40      £5
4.50      £20
4.60      £46
4.70      £121
4.80      £177
4.90      £255
5.00      £1,486
----------------
150.00    £190
160.00    £94
170.00    £117
180.00    £47
190.00    £27
200.00    £124
210.00    £49
220.00    £19
230.00    £9
250.00    £13
260.00    £9
270.00    £1
280.00    £4
290.00    £6
330.00    £0
630.00    £0


Lowest matched on Joey:
1.42      £201
1.43      £1,650
1.44      £1,692
1.45      £1,079
1.46      £3,177
1.47      £2,242
1.48      £2,785
1.49      £1,649
1.50      £2,965
1.51      £2,590
1.52      £1,471
1.53      £2,565
1.54      £2,815
1.55      £2,277


Lowest prices (ignoring very small amounts) matched on all the others:

Steve Davis              4.4
Rebecca Adlington     9.8
Vincent Simone          10
Alfonso Ribeiro         10
Lucy Pargeter           12 (£30 matched at 7.4)
Matthew Wright         14.5
Amy Willerton           17
Laila Morse               25
Annabel Giles           50
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 14 Nov 14 06:51
I'm A Celeb - Series 14 - 2014


2 days before launch night. Market been up on Betfair for 3 days. Betfair Back & Lay price (best HS price):

Jimmy Bullard.........3.05 / 3.1     (7/4, 2/1 avail. online)
Craig Charles.........6.4 / 6.8     (11/2)
Melanie Sykes.........8.6 / 9.6     (8/1)
Tinchy Strider........12.5 - 13.5     (10/1)
Carl Fogarty..........17.5 - 18     (14/1)
Gemma Collins.........18 - 18.5     (14/1)
Michael Buerk.........19 / 20     (12/1, 14/1 avail. online)
Nadia Forde...........20 / 23     (20/1)
Kendra Williamson.....26 / 29     (16/1)
Vicky Michelle........40 / 48     (25/1)

Additionally, 2 bookies quoting Jake Quickenden (who may be one of the late entries) at 20/1

Amount matched £28,674


Best HS Prices

King
Jimmy Bullard.........Evs
Craig Charles.........9/2
Tinchy Strider........6/1
Carl Fogarty..........8/1
Michael Buerk.........8/1

Queen
Melanie Sykes.........7/4
Gemma Collins.........7/2
Kendra Williamson.....4/1
Nadia Forde...........4/1 (6/1 & 7/1 avail. online)
Vicky Michelle........7/1

Gender
Male...............1/2
Female.............7/4
By:
five leaves left
When: 14 Nov 14 11:57
Bullard this years Essex
By:
Platini
When: 14 Nov 14 21:26
Don't think Bullard will get anything like the help Essex got last year tho.
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 17 Nov 14 07:47
Monday morning after first show:

Melanie Sykes.........4.1 - 4.2     (highest matched 11.5 on market opening, 7s yesterday, shortened swiftly during the show, lowest matched 3.75)
Jimmy Bullard.........4.5 - 4.6     (backed into just under 3 on Saturday, drifted during the show to a high of 6 then shortened to current price)
Craig Charles...........6.8 - 7     (had traded between 6 and 7, shortened during the show to a low of 4.3, then big drift to 7.8 before shortening a little)
Tinchy Strider.........10 - 10.5     (£338 matched at 7.6 on market opening but has then traded between 13.5 and 8.6)
Carl Fogarty............10 - 10.5     (matched as high as 25 days ago, was around 20 early Sunday, been as low as 9.4 during first show)
Gemma Collins.........16 - 16.5     (highest matched 22, lowest 10.5. Shortened during Sunday and at show beginning but drift since)
Michael Buerk..........17.5 - 18.5     (highest matched 27, lowest 12. started the show well, hit lows but drift set in before show end)
Nadia Forde............36 - 38     (market opened between 20 and 25, bit drift since to a high of 60, shortened during show briefly to around 22 then drift again to current price)
Vicky Michelle..........50 - 55     (highest matched 70, lowest 22)
Kendra Williamson.....55 - 60     (highest matched 65, lowest 20 with £9 at 19 and £4 at 15)

Additionally, Jake Quickenden being quoted at 20/1 and Edwina Currie 33/1 (who may be the late entries) on the HS

Back % 99.4, lay % 96, Amount matched £153,860
By:
stu
When: 17 Nov 14 08:49
five leaves left 14 Nov 14 12:57

Bullard this years Essex


If that's true he's a great trading price now!
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 17 Nov 14 10:31
Best HS Prices

King
Jimmy Bullard.........7/4
Craig Charles..........3/1
Carl Fogarty...........4/1
Tinchy Strider........4/1
Michael Buerk.........7/1

Queen
Melanie Sykes..........2/5
Gemma Collins.........6/1
Kendra Williamson....10/1
Nadia Forde............12/1
Vicky Michelle.........20/1

Gender
Male...............8/15
Female.............11/8
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 17 Nov 14 10:37
First Elimination best HS prices:

3/1   Vicky Michelle
7/2   Nadia Forde
9/2   Kendra Williamson
9/1   Carl Fogarty
9/1   Gemma Collins
12/1  Michael Buerk
12/1  Tinchy Strider
25/1  Craig Charles
33/1  Melanie Sykes
50/1  Jimmy Bullard
By:
five leaves left
When: 17 Nov 14 12:39

Nov 17, 2014 -- 3:49AM, stu wrote:


five leaves left 14 Nov 14 12:57 Bullard this years EssexIf that's true he's a great trading price now!


Depends how he does tonight. If he wimps out then he'll drift further. If he's amusing and does well then he'll no doubt shorten

By:
bearcub
When: 17 Nov 14 12:43
WOW, ever thought about writing a blog fig? you're insight is wasted on here Cool
By:
five leaves left
When: 17 Nov 14 12:49
Laugh I did write one once
I gave up after a few months. My one tip was Gethin Sad
By:
five leaves left
When: 17 Nov 14 12:50
14/1 into evens tho
By:
five leaves left
When: 17 Nov 14 12:50
Cool
By:
five leaves left
When: 17 Nov 14 12:56
I've just found it Laugh
By:
bearcub
When: 17 Nov 14 12:56
I think I used to read it Laugh
By:
five leaves left
When: 17 Nov 14 12:58
What a tipCool
http://jacomo-fruit-tree.blogspot.co.uk/2007/07/4th-eviction-laura-looks-value.html
By:
bearcub
When: 17 Nov 14 13:07
I didn't get round to posting my thoughts on the last 3 evictions on here, too busy on betfair. Talking of which, thanks to all the regulars on betfair for making the 13 weeks a generally enjoyable experience. The banter was great.
A few name checks.
Kitten Love , Missnikki Love , MissP Love ...and thanks for all the info :) , MrsSmurfy...for the nice prices ;) , Lori, Pakey, aa, Ricky, DD, sadako, I da Boss, Journeyman, Coddie, Fluffs, layz, redbag, O&S, bunnyman, Laughing Gravy ....who had the last laugh, I guess....and finally AVFC :p Though he was a pain at times, It was mostly light-hearted, I think.
Hope I haven't missed too many.
On to the X-factor


MischiefLove
By:
five leaves left
When: 17 Nov 14 13:09
Weren't you AVFC? and Missnikki? Laugh
By:
five leaves left
When: 17 Nov 14 13:10
MissP was a hairy Irishman too
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