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GeorgeBrush
19 Jul 12 00:48
Joined:
Date Joined: 16 Jun 02
| Topic/replies: 60,779 | Blogger: GeorgeBrush's blog
Starting early, but noms on Monday seem crucial. If I assume Lauren stays will she get next week off (I always thought eviction survivors ought to be immune for 1 week anyway) ?  Deana back in?

Carol up at last?  I think Carol will struggle to escape this time, maybe in a multi, and if up against an insider she's obviously gone
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Report armagnac July 26, 2012 2:22 PM BST
confirmed the 13th Orlaith
Report hemsby July 26, 2012 2:23 PM BST

Jul 26, 2012 -- 2:11PM, GeorgeBrush wrote:


If you want Deana to win you want both Luke and Adam in the final


Absolutely....and this is the key to who wins.If we do get H2H between 2 of the outsiders,and either Adam or Luke A goes ,the survivor will be Fav IMO.If all 3 remain until the end,then Deana should win.I still have Adam & Deana green,everyone else red,but I plan to cover Luke A if the outsider H2H materialises,as hopefully Luke A drifts in that scenario (knowing my luck it will be Adam v Deana and I'll be screwed)

Report armagnac July 26, 2012 2:24 PM BST
thats if adam maintains his support though.
he's losing fans everyday atm
more tonite
Report armagnac July 26, 2012 2:26 PM BST
the polls come saturday will see adam way off the pace
Report hemsby July 26, 2012 2:26 PM BST
Adam fans and Luke A fans are from the same ball park....if one goes,the other receives a huge increase I suspect.
Report paddletoe July 26, 2012 2:30 PM BST
I have no strong preference or opinion on who will win this year but it would seem this year has been very easy to make money trading. Would that be right?

Just seems from a long way out you could put a pencil through the majority of the housemates.
Report GeorgeBrush July 26, 2012 2:31 PM BST

Jul 26, 2012 -- 2:22PM, armagnac wrote:


confirmed the 13th Orlaith


It's not confirmed. That was on the worthless bbextra

Report GeorgeBrush July 26, 2012 2:33 PM BST

Jul 26, 2012 -- 2:30PM, paddletoe wrote:


I have no strong preference or opinion on who will win this year but it would seem this year has been very easy to make money trading. Would that be right?Just seems from a long way out you could put a pencil through the majority of the housemates.


It's been good, but as often I get in a good position but then struggle to make further headway.

Report armagnac July 26, 2012 2:35 PM BST
yes paddletoe, very much the case.
ive a moderate book that i could easily turn into a nice guaranteed holiday if i so wish.
but could of been 10 times better, ive made some bad calls along the way and lost big greens on bene and lauren
been good fun though
Report armagnac July 26, 2012 2:35 PM BST
of course it was, sorry
Report Henry VIII July 26, 2012 2:37 PM BST
"Adam fans and Luke A fans are from the same ball park....if one goes,the other receives a huge increase I suspect."

Because they sit together? Speculation about vote transference has always been proven wrong unless there is direct causation for it. None of the 3 are marmite, they all are a lot of people's second favourites.

Right now I'd bet on Deana winning a h2h with either of them.
Report paddletoe July 26, 2012 2:43 PM BST
I am no expert in how the public see things but i would have thought Benedict would have appealed a lot more to the housewives.

After he went and the divide became very clear it seemed just a matter of getting all of the outsiders onside in the knowledge that you have to accept losing a few of them along the way.
Report armagnac July 26, 2012 2:45 PM BST
pretty much paddletoe, if i can do it anyone can Wink
Report TheMadness July 26, 2012 2:46 PM BST
He could have appealed were it not for the fact he was a creepy self promoting porn star who liked to contact school kids via facebook
Report armagnac July 26, 2012 2:48 PM BST
of course then its to decide which of the outsiders you think will win, or be boring and have them all level green.
cant see adam at all myself, luke a will run deana close but he has hinted at flipping out at someone.
if he does, deana wins by a country mile
Report paddletoe July 26, 2012 2:49 PM BST
As if you have not had a sneaky look at his porn videos Madness!
Report TheMadness July 26, 2012 2:49 PM BST
His popularity seems to go up the nastier he gets because it's directed towards the right people
Report GeorgeBrush July 26, 2012 2:50 PM BST
A w@nking obnoxious creep appeals to housewives?
Report paddletoe July 26, 2012 2:51 PM BST
I think i would level up on the outsiders and say job done and then watch the olympics.
Report armagnac July 26, 2012 2:52 PM BST
im too much of gambler paddletoe, i'll leave that for the all out traders
Report paddletoe July 26, 2012 2:53 PM BST
GB you use the word w@nking as if its a bad word. Everyone is at it.
Report armagnac July 26, 2012 2:55 PM BST
yep, GB the biggest w@nker on here Wink
Report armagnac July 26, 2012 2:55 PM BST
spray proof pc
Report hemsby July 26, 2012 3:07 PM BST

Jul 26, 2012 -- 2:37PM, Henry VIII wrote:


"Adam fans and Luke A fans are from the same ball park....if one goes,the other receives a huge increase I suspect."Because they sit together? Speculation about vote transference has always been proven wrong unless there is direct causation for it. None of the 3 are marmite, they all are a lot of people's second favourites.Right now I'd bet on Deana winning a h2h with either of them.


They are playing the same role.It is a perfectly logical assumption to make that supporters of one will switch to the other.Although Deana is now in their "gang" her hardcore support was gained when she was playing the "Lone Ranger" part.Sure vote transference isn't a science,and I'm sure some will suggest it hardly exists,but that's my reading of the situation rightly or wrongly.

Report armagnac July 26, 2012 3:13 PM BST
thing is, if one goes the other is not going to get 100% of the transfer
just coz some like adam, that dont mean there gonna like luke as well, and vice versa
deana would get a portion of the support and i suspect other memebers of the house would as well
yes, they may get a fair chunk, but not as much as being exaggerated here
Report armagnac July 26, 2012 3:16 PM BST
just the normal sh1t going on here as it does every year and i know coz im usually in the thick of it
people trying to get the fav beat or make her price drift so there big greens come in to trade
scaremongering
Report GeorgeBrush July 26, 2012 3:20 PM BST

Jul 26, 2012 -- 2:53PM, paddletoe wrote:


GB you use the word w@nking as if its a bad word. Everyone is at it.


You just read it as a bad word. To female voters from someone creepy like Bene of course it really is

Report hemsby July 26, 2012 3:28 PM BST
Agree army...not 100% but a higher ratio than anyone else.Its all guesswork but my guess would go something like this.........

Just for arguments sake,let's say Adam/Luke A are polling 20% each.If one goes,that 20% gets redistributed.Again,just for argument sake,let's guess 25% of the evicted HM's supporters decide not to vote again.This leaves 15% of the OR vote to be redistributed.My guess in this scenario is 8% to the Adam/Luke survivor,3% Deana and 4% the others,meaning a 5% swing.

I'd be the first to admit this is total guesswork,but we are all guessing to one degree or other.
Report BB 3rd Cousin twice removed July 26, 2012 3:33 PM BST
Bene started the week that he was evicted, way behind Lauren. It was probably 80/20 in her favour before the Monday highlights show. He then attacked Caroline which won him favour on ds, but not enough to close the gap.
I know Caroline was not popular at the time, and she is still struggling on all but one of the polls.. but I keep looking at that poll on DS Reality news page (not BB forum). I know fll said she had a big jump in votes early on. Could that have been a facebook group hitting the poll? If so, did this group help keep Lauren over Bene? Is Caroline's support underestimated?
Report armagnac July 26, 2012 3:40 PM BST
hemsby

dont think your far off reality mate.
luke a has the best chance of running deana close but only if adam goes out very early and if he dont flip out.
still think deana has enough for a cosy win though
Report armagnac July 26, 2012 3:43 PM BST
BB

i think caroline is safe this week
cant see past ash or luke s, tight call
luke s is not going to get the tweeny vote, conor will have all of that
plus his treatment of ash and just being a general boring kooont wont help
Report GeorgeBrush July 26, 2012 3:46 PM BST
The DS poll has been hacked BB
Report BB 3rd Cousin twice removed July 26, 2012 3:47 PM BST
how?
Report BB 3rd Cousin twice removed July 26, 2012 3:48 PM BST
why would anyone bother?
Report BB 3rd Cousin twice removed July 26, 2012 3:49 PM BST
I agree army, but is Caroline just safe, or very safe? I wouldn't be surprised to see her as one of the last 5 in the house.
Report GeorgeBrush July 26, 2012 3:53 PM BST
Who knows. But Carol rocketed from nowhere to 20% within a few hours. Ignore it
Report armagnac July 26, 2012 3:54 PM BST
well no-one reallly knows do they, but my gut is saying luke s and my head says ash
Report armagnac July 26, 2012 3:55 PM BST
i cant see caroline going, shes entertainment..but that didnt stop chris or arron leaving
Report GeorgeBrush July 26, 2012 3:56 PM BST
People don't vote for these characters. But then neither do they vote for dullards
Report BB 3rd Cousin twice removed July 26, 2012 3:56 PM BST
ok Grin.. I no longer see Sara as a threat to my big bet (big for me, anyway) on Deana as top female. I was just wondering if Caroline is a threat.
Report armagnac July 26, 2012 3:59 PM BST
top female Laugh, she p1sses the whole thing.
Report BB 3rd Cousin twice removed July 26, 2012 4:01 PM BST
yes, also my biggest green for winner. Grin
Report BB 3rd Cousin twice removed July 26, 2012 4:02 PM BST
but I have no other green for top female.. cost a lot to keep Lauren level at the time.
Report armagnac July 26, 2012 4:06 PM BST
WinkCool book yourself a nice holiday
Report BB 3rd Cousin twice removed July 26, 2012 4:08 PM BST
Cool I would if I could.. but I don't get out much these days.. bad leg.
Report armagnac July 26, 2012 4:11 PM BST
Sad fill the fridge up then and savor every moment of deana's victory
Report GeorgeBrush July 26, 2012 4:11 PM BST
Get a mobility scooter and drive into younsters
Report GeorgeBrush July 26, 2012 4:11 PM BST
youngsters
Report BB 3rd Cousin twice removed July 26, 2012 4:11 PM BST
lol
Report George Bailey July 26, 2012 4:48 PM BST

Jul 26, 2012 -- 2:50PM, GeorgeBrush wrote:


A w@nking obnoxious creep appeals to housewives?


A w@nking obnoxious creep with an eight inch d1ck probably does appeal to housewives...certainly appealed to lauren's mam and nan iirc.

tbf not sure bene was a creep...

Report GeorgeBrush July 26, 2012 5:19 PM BST
It's only because he subsequently fell on the right side of the divide that anyone remotely likes him now
Report paddletoe July 26, 2012 6:34 PM BST
I dont think Benedict happened to fall on the right side of the crowd by luck. He seemed a nice person with good values and he had the courage to stand up for those values when they might not have seemed popular.
Report GeorgeBrush July 26, 2012 6:38 PM BST
The nation's favourite pompous pr1ck
Report paddletoe July 26, 2012 6:54 PM BST
A male porn actor is never going to be a favourite on a male dominated forum but its not a coincidence that guys with big willies have a very good record at winning big brother.
Report Hamsterdam July 26, 2012 8:29 PM BST
I'm wondering if they'll announce the vote order. They usually do on C5 but with so many up and being so close to the final surely it would be too much of a hint? Queen Deana will top the votes here btw.
Report paddletoe July 26, 2012 9:40 PM BST
I assume they must have made some official statement or advertisement previously that the votes would be announced from most to least as everyone seemed to know thats the way it would be. If they have not said anything different this week then they cant change things. I know they can make up the rules as they see fit but surely they cant change things with regard to phone votes when people voted on the basis of knowing the voting order on eviction night.
Report armagnac July 26, 2012 9:41 PM BST
would be funny, deana would go 1.30
Report GeorgeBrush July 26, 2012 9:43 PM BST
You assume what PT?  Nothing I have seen suggest anything other than they get rid of 1
Report armagnac July 26, 2012 9:43 PM BST
soldiers Cool

Big Brother Live ‏@BBUKLive
9.40pm: Deana, Adam and Luke A are smiling at last. They're in the Living Area taking stock. #bbuklive
Report paddletoe July 26, 2012 9:46 PM BST
Maybe i am wrong but i thought people on here knew the voting order would be announced in advance of the last few times more than two housemates were up for eviction.
Report mach July 26, 2012 9:46 PM BST
the outsiders bore me, no chance I would want to be friends with any of them in the real world, deanaLove would get it of course
Report armagnac July 26, 2012 9:49 PM BST
mach is on the deana ftw bus Laugh
Report GeorgeBrush July 26, 2012 9:50 PM BST
I doubt they will reveal the order this time PT.  Maybe unless they want the leader beaten. It could be dangerous for them
Report paddletoe July 26, 2012 9:54 PM BST
So was it a surprise when they started to announce the voting order when multiple evictees were up. Or did people know in advance thats what they would do.
Report GeorgeBrush July 26, 2012 9:54 PM BST
No warning was ever given
Report GeorgeBrush July 26, 2012 9:55 PM BST
There might have been a multi last year without an order?
Report BB 3rd Cousin twice removed July 26, 2012 9:56 PM BST
Last year they were desperate to avoid housemate's conspiring to put everyone up in the Halloween face to face nominations which was, I believe, the final nominations before the vote to win. It does seem to be ch5's 'thing' to reveal the order.
Report GeorgeBrush July 26, 2012 9:57 PM BST
Sounds like they were desperate not to reveal the order
Report Orlaith July 26, 2012 9:57 PM BST
In the last CBB in that multi housemate vote in the week before the final, they revealed who was safe in "no particular order". Although saying that, other than Frankie and Denise being the wrong way round it actually was in order
Report Orlaith July 26, 2012 9:58 PM BST
*of where they placed in the final
Report paddletoe July 26, 2012 9:59 PM BST
Well if they have never officially said any weeks results would be announced in order of votes then they can do what they like.

I assumed they had at some point in which case they could not return to announcing the result in no particular order without giving notice.
Report mach July 26, 2012 10:03 PM BST
last time deana was up it suited to send a message to the house, deana is popular.
this time it does not suit to send a message, would be very odd to give the order with 8 up,  this close to the end
Report Hamsterdam July 26, 2012 10:12 PM BST
I agree I don't think they'll give an order. Or they may just give a bottom 3 order or some other variation that doesn't reveal who's top.
Report GeorgeBrush July 26, 2012 10:22 PM BST
Prolly random, with a fake b3 for a bit of drama...
Report mach July 26, 2012 11:23 PM BST
my eviction book colors to the mast, will make ash a bigger green if I can and cazza a bigger red







ash £1,000.32

Caroline -£759.20

Luke S -£646.47

Sara £747.01

Conor -£212.27

Adam -£555.99

Deana -£680.39

Luke A -£627.89

Any Other-£52.99
Report armagnac July 26, 2012 11:31 PM BST
fairplay, balls of steel Shocked
Report attitude adjuster July 26, 2012 11:36 PM BST
Paul = the new king of DS Grin
Report BB 3rd Cousin twice removed July 27, 2012 12:23 AM BST
wow mach.. I think Luke S is at risk. I'm also green on Ash, so for your sake I hope she goes. gl.
Report GeorgeBrush July 27, 2012 12:30 AM BST
Mach is a risky kinda guy. Luke A's DR yesterday might just save him. GL
Report GeorgeBrush July 27, 2012 12:31 AM BST
Luke S I mean OC
Report mach July 27, 2012 12:40 AM BST
no risk it's obvious innit, ash goes
fanciable males get some default votes, and conor and luke s could not have had a better edit, sara tears takes on cazza plus her poll rating see's her safe, luke a, adam , and deana never in danger so that leaves cazza and ash, cazza has been out polling ash for weeks, cazza will have a great moment tomorrow with the shoping(choc) and cazza gets the I don't like her but she's a good housemate vote.
Report Danzaa July 27, 2012 8:06 AM BST
Arron was fanciable, think Luke S has a good chance of going.

I'm green on Luke S and Ashleigh. Caroline max red, of the evictions, I've got only one right so far - lump on Caroline if you want to win.
Report Henry VIII July 27, 2012 8:27 AM BST
Gosh some brave guys here, I think it could be close between Ash, Luke S and Caroline. I took a little of Luke S just because of his price.

I laid you your Sara and Conor Mach, I can’t see them going.
Report Pounf July 27, 2012 8:43 AM BST
Is it a vote to save or a vote to evict ?
Report armagnac July 27, 2012 8:57 AM BST
its vote to save
Report armagnac July 27, 2012 8:59 AM BST
Henry

i also think luke s is the best value, but we want him to stay really.
coz of this white room task.
deana is quite competitive, we dont want her winning the white room and taking the £25,000
luke s stays, hes a stone cold cert to win the white room, infact he'd be right at home in there the boring koont
Report Pounf July 27, 2012 9:00 AM BST
Would have thought the "non enntities" would suffer with that, think voting will be close between all, and the rats are the value
Report armagnac July 27, 2012 9:01 AM BST
yes pounf, vote to save makes it quite a lotto
Report GeorgeBrush July 27, 2012 9:13 AM BST
We have little idea what WR will involve. Surely they must throw in a few things to even up the chances a bit?  Although LukeS even sits their stitching his jeans, so needlework is out
Report armagnac July 27, 2012 9:22 AM BST
any man that can sit and do needle work is not getting beat in an endurance task Laugh

if im right, im thinking its gonna be a way of keeping the outsiders together for the final and the prods getting to ruin the insiders
Report GeorgeBrush July 27, 2012 9:27 AM BST
It does sound like they are going to virtually hand the 25k to Luke S Plain  I suppose Adam is the only one that might challenge him
Report armagnac July 27, 2012 9:31 AM BST
well funny u say that, coz ive just realized the smokers are gonna be at a serious disadvantage for this ??
cant see a smoker winning, they become insanely fidgety when starved of nicotine
Report GeorgeBrush July 27, 2012 9:34 AM BST
Prolly yes, but of course Adam has previous endurance training under duress. 2nd is the best place to finish in this game
Report GeorgeBrush July 27, 2012 9:35 AM BST
You don't know for certain they will be deprived of fa gs
Report armagnac July 27, 2012 9:39 AM BST
well yes, we dont know anything atm
keeping it all under wraps
the little fat ****got prod on BOTS lastnight was bigging it right up
Report Danzaa July 27, 2012 8:08 PM BST
Ashleigh odds rising fast, what's happened?
Report five leaves left July 27, 2012 8:22 PM BST
She's had a very good week.
Report map July 27, 2012 9:08 PM BST
whys it suspended on here?
Report map July 27, 2012 9:10 PM BST
anyone??
Report book July 27, 2012 9:24 PM BST
blatant that bb told her to pick her own shopping list,
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