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five leaves left
16 Oct 11 00:24
Joined:
Date Joined: 24 Dec 05
| Topic/replies: 62,054 | Blogger: five leaves left's blog
Back by popular demand and some interesting results.

Week 1.

Positive tweets for each contestant over a certain time after the XtraFactor.

1. The Risk 123
2. Misha  71
3. Marcus 43
4. Rhythmix 40
5. Sophie 36
6. Janet 22
7. Kitty 21
8. Frankie 13
9. Craig 8
10. Johnny 6
11. Sami 4
12 Nu Vibe 2

Make of it what you will.

For me it makes Janet the lay of the century.

Nu Vibe likely to go and maybe Craig a touch of value for B2.

Pity the weekly markets are so bereft of liquidity
Pause Switch to Standard View ** Figgy's Twitter Stats Thread **
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Report J.O.TOBIN. October 23, 2011 9:25 PM BST
Well done backers, I had an absolute disarrrster backed Frankie bottom 2 and elimination, laid Sami bottom 2 and elimination. Got absolutely everything wrong never mind, onto next week.
Report jack12321 October 23, 2011 9:27 PM BST
Unlucky Tobin Sad

Fraid not Cider, other than on here - I try price up a decent market during the week and will take reasonable offers Happy
Report GeorgeBrush October 23, 2011 9:27 PM BST
In retrospect lays of Frank and Sami b2, covered by backs to go could barely fail. I should have pushed that further
Report johnnyrant October 23, 2011 9:27 PM BST
Yes, a top shout jack - great analysis.
Report jack12321 October 23, 2011 9:28 PM BST
Thanks guys Grin
Report johnnyrant October 23, 2011 9:28 PM BST
I had a week like that last week JOT with Strictly. I'm sure you'll have more profitable weeks than losing ones over course of series.
Report J.O.TOBIN. October 23, 2011 9:35 PM BST
Yes just told the Mrs I wont beat myself up over it. Worst thing is I was 1st to respond to seebees daily star article and had too small a bet on Kitty bottom 2 got too carried awy with backing Frankie if Im honest. Do have a decent book and all peripheral markets are good my 1st instinct last night was to back Johnny top over which should be ok.
Report hemsby October 23, 2011 9:48 PM BST
Many thanks for the info this morning guys.....Seebee,JOT,fll and Jack.Special thanks to Jack and Fll... to spend the time and effort you do,and then to freely share your findings with the rest of us is a great credit to you both.

Just on a seperate issue,fll....I haven't posted on the credibility thread because I don't want to give that fool the oxygen of a response,but suffice to say any sane reader of these threads know who the good guys and the bad guys are.
Report J.O.TOBIN. October 23, 2011 9:48 PM BST
.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=teNgQTrv6pE

just cheered myself up watching this from the chase the other dayHappy
Report LOU MACARIS TARTAN B October 23, 2011 9:50 PM BST
Jack

Well done with the figures.  Nice work.
Report seebee October 23, 2011 10:38 PM BST
Cheers for the stats guys, saved me at the end...even if I wasn't convinced by the Star!
Report five leaves left October 23, 2011 10:45 PM BST
cheers hemsby. much appreciated.
Report George Bailey October 24, 2011 1:30 AM BST
Tellymix poll...shocking     Who is your X Factor favourite?
    Janet Devlin (21%, 271 Votes)
    Kitty Brucknell (15%, 191 Votes)
    Misha B (12%, 156 Votes)
    Marcus Collins (9%, 117 Votes)
    Sophie Habibis (8%, 106 Votes)
    Johnny Robinson (8%, 102 Votes)
    The Risk (8%, 97 Votes)
    Craig Colton (7%, 87 Votes)
    Rhythmix (5%, 60 Votes)
    Sami Brookes (3%, 40 Votes)
    Frankie Cocozza (4%, 40 Votes)

Total Voters: 1,267


Read more: http://xfactor.tellymix.co.uk/judges/54102-x-factor-2011-kelly-rowland-and-t...
Report Asparagus Man October 24, 2011 8:48 AM BST
Another excellent week for this thread. Thanks to fll, jack and of course The Star!
Report Dizzy42 October 24, 2011 9:14 AM BST
Well done Jack - spot on with the stats.  And it shows that the Daily Star source is still one of the best to follow too...

Like Katie, TPTB will be desperate to get Kitty on the live tour, but they'll struggle to keep her out of the bottom two now.

She's yet to perform in the front half - and if she finished third from bottom by just half a percent when in the pimp slot, Kitty looks immune from 'The Bounce'.
Report stringerbell October 24, 2011 9:46 AM BST
v impressive jack the lad, well done sir....now that is good work..
Report platinni October 29, 2011 9:21 PM BST
be very interested in this this week
Report five leaves left October 30, 2011 1:29 AM BST
I've messaged you platinni.

There's been a changed of plan.

I think I've messaged most people in the thread but if I've missed you give me a shout.
Report downandout October 30, 2011 1:42 AM BST
I'm always interested in ur Twitter count FL...until it goes premium rate of course. Can u add me on - downandout490 at the hot place dot com, if its no trouble. Cheers.
Report seebee October 30, 2011 1:55 AM BST
Hi fll, can you add me on to your stats list, or let me know where I can find it? Do you need an email address or does the one here work? Thanks
Report five leaves left October 30, 2011 1:03 AM GMT
Messaged you both.....
Report five leaves left October 30, 2011 1:03 AM GMT
on here btw the dao.
Report seebee October 30, 2011 1:09 AM GMT
cheers fll
Report Freddie_B October 30, 2011 1:14 AM GMT
Hi fll, would be very grateful if you could add me too.  Many thanks.
Report five leaves left October 30, 2011 1:23 AM GMT
messaged you freddie.

off for some kip now......
Report Freddie_B October 30, 2011 1:26 AM GMT
many thanks, fll
Report mythical prince October 30, 2011 1:32 AM GMT
is this a cyber sex room Grin
Report lazygit October 30, 2011 1:33 AM GMT
still loads of love for Sophie on twitter
Report George Bailey October 30, 2011 1:45 AM GMT
Definitely lazy. Almost nothing for the risk etc. I'm sure she will be safe.
Report Dizzy42 October 30, 2011 10:03 AM GMT
I did try to warn you GB2!
Report Dizzy42 October 30, 2011 10:03 AM GMT
Figgy, please add me to the list too.  Cheers.
Report aljohnson October 30, 2011 10:10 AM GMT
Figgy,add me too please for your list. Thanks.
Report five leaves left October 30, 2011 10:21 AM GMT
I think a couple of people may have messaged you already Dizzy. Check your messages.

Al, I don't want to make them exclusive. Just to stop the trolls and the tosspots benefiting from the hardwork I put in, when they add nothing to the forum.

I'm not saying you're one of the latter, but I don't recognise the name, so unless one of the other regulars can vouch for you I'm reluctant to just invite anyone willy nilly
Report attitude adjuster October 30, 2011 10:21 AM GMT
and me Happy
Report five leaves left October 30, 2011 10:22 AM GMT
I've messaged you already aa Silly
Report attitude adjuster October 30, 2011 10:27 AM GMT
i need to be told everything twice these days SadTongue Out
Report five leaves left October 30, 2011 10:29 AM GMT
I've just messaged you again btw aa
Report squares October 30, 2011 10:53 AM GMT
am i a troll and a tosspot Sad
Report five leaves left October 30, 2011 11:00 AM GMT
ofc not mate.

Are you about on MSN?
Report GeorgeBrush October 30, 2011 11:02 AM GMT
seek and ye shall find sq Cool
Report Froggitt October 30, 2011 11:03 AM GMT
defo not both of them squares....Cool
Report melv October 30, 2011 11:09 AM GMT
Whats going on. It sounds like people are starting their own planet.

Can any one touch down?

Whats the mission? to explore strange new systems, to seek out new gambling forms and and to boldly bet where no man has bet before.
Report GeorgeBrush October 30, 2011 11:20 AM GMT
pm sent melv
Report Dizzy42 October 30, 2011 11:25 AM GMT
FLL checked my messages now, thanks.
Report budgiebird. October 30, 2011 11:35 AM GMT
figgy, do I fall into the tosspot or troll category? Shocked

If not, would appreciate you sharing.
Report squares October 30, 2011 11:35 AM GMT
Cheers Frogg, but for some reason I can never access those mailings.  Confused
Report noveltybettingaddict October 30, 2011 11:38 AM GMT
Please could I be added to the list, I find your stats v interesting. Thanks
Report five leaves left October 30, 2011 11:39 AM GMT
hmm tricky one budgie ;) We've not agreed much on XF, but I'd put you in the catergory of a decent chap :)

We don't want it to become one big love in anyway.

I'll message you.

.and ofc we need melv on our new planet Grin
Report budgiebird. October 30, 2011 11:44 AM GMT
LOL.. thanks (I think) Grin

You need people like me who disagree with you, if only to take my cash. :)

And I don't know about you, but I would much prefer to listen to points of view from people who disagree with me, than people who totally agree with me. If I keep an open mind, I can learn more from the former.
Report five leaves left October 30, 2011 11:46 AM GMT
Novelty, rather as I said al, I don't really know you.

It's not just my decision tho, so if anyone else does know you and can vouch for you I'm they'll send you a message.
Report five leaves left October 30, 2011 11:47 AM GMT
Absolutely agree budgie.
Report lazygit October 30, 2011 12:08 PM GMT
Twitter followers;-
F Cocozza 255K
Janet 170K
Marcus 120K
Craig 115K
Misha 90K
Sophie 90K
The Risk 72K
Little Mix 50K
JR 30K
Kitty 30K
Report Steve11 October 30, 2011 12:23 PM GMT
Hi FLL, can I do a trade with you, if I message you all your stats from the last series, can I be added to the list for any future stats?
Report lol@the_experts October 30, 2011 12:27 PM GMT
Nice to see that I've had such a big effect on the vile liars on here.

Although that there are only about 10 of you begging for the info i'm surprised that you haven't got the brainpower to get it for yourself.

The only thing that is disappointing about this for me is that I can't make fll look silly when he contradicts himself.
Report five leaves left October 30, 2011 12:51 PM GMT
All my stats are in the link steve, so I'm not sure what that tells me.

If you one of the regs message them. If not I'm afraid as you only have 8 posts I don't know you from adam and could easily be an alias of one of the trolls.

If you're not then I apologise.
My thoughts on the B2 are in the B2 prediction thread. As are Jacks and GB2's based on their findings.

The whole stats won't tell you much more than is in there.
Report five leaves left October 30, 2011 12:52 PM GMT
If you know* one of the regs
Report roach October 30, 2011 12:53 PM GMT
Figgy, can I be added pls mate? interested as ever Happy
Report five leaves left October 30, 2011 1:01 PM GMT
messaged you roach
Report cjhornet October 30, 2011 1:02 PM GMT
so have I Crazy
Report roach October 30, 2011 1:24 PM GMT
Cheers chaps
Report mugptr October 30, 2011 1:32 PM GMT
any chance i can have a look as well fig.
Report five leaves left October 30, 2011 1:46 PM GMT
done.
Report mugptr October 30, 2011 1:49 PM GMT
cheers mate
Report TennisMan66 October 30, 2011 2:56 PM GMT
Hello fll, any chance you could add me to your email?
Report Danzaa October 30, 2011 2:58 PM GMT
Dunno if I'm classed as 'reg' enough but I'm definitely one of the bigger spenders, would appreciate being added to this.
Report aljohnson October 30, 2011 3:36 PM GMT
Figgy, I don't post much occasionally on the General Betting Forum, but have always found your comments noteworthy and also Squares. I understand where you are coming from and agree that you don't want all the tosspots and trolls being added to your list. Having said that I do not contribute much so I will understand if you do not add me.
Report five leaves left October 30, 2011 3:52 PM GMT
Apart from laughing at Little Mix when someone called them the Puppyfat dolls Silly, you do seem a genuine guy. So check your messages.
Report GAMBLINGJOCKEY October 30, 2011 3:54 PM GMT
do i qualify for a pvt message??
Report squares October 30, 2011 4:01 PM GMT
this aljohnson seems a thoroughly decent chap and good judge of character Mischief
Report Froggitt October 30, 2011 4:18 PM GMT
LaughLaughLaughLaughLaughLaughLaughLaugh@sq
Report aljohnson October 30, 2011 4:21 PM GMT
Thanks again Figgy
Squares
I agree I am a thoroughly decent chap and good judge of character!!WinkCool
Report five leaves left October 30, 2011 4:27 PM GMT
np al.

Have you signed up yet squares? Get a move on!Silly

GJ, I've asked all the regs I know well enough. That's it now for me. If you know a reg well then maybe they'll message you.
Report lol@the_experts October 30, 2011 4:39 PM GMT
Anyone with a high enough IQ will be able to work out that those that use these stats have a shocking book and that their only hope of a winning series is a 20/1 shot coming home in front as oppose to myself and a few others on here who have huge greens on all of the front runners who use their own stats.
Report Henry VIII October 30, 2011 4:56 PM GMT
Just a note of caution - people who have mainly been lurkers and suddenly ask for inclusion have a good chance of being bookies, which defeats the purpose. No point in having them if they haven't contributed anything anyway.

Sounds mean, but just trying to be practical.
Report five leaves left October 30, 2011 5:01 PM GMT
That's certainly what we've agreed on Henry.

Reading al's posts on General Betting I'm pretty certain he's not a bookie.

As I said though, that's it's for now for me.

If you or anyone else can vouch for someone obvious I've missed then mention it elsewhere.
Report squares October 30, 2011 5:11 PM GMT
Not yet Blush
Report George Bailey October 30, 2011 5:22 PM GMT
How did GB1 get an invite? Laugh
Report lol@the_experts October 30, 2011 5:31 PM GMT
Just to point out that whilst I'm being labeled as a troll and someone who hasn't 'contributed' I am the one who pointed Misha out at 25/1, Marcus at top boy 9/2, made the forum aware that Sophie had no chance and have advised maximum lay on The Risk whilst they were 3/1.

HTH
Report lol@the_experts October 30, 2011 5:33 PM GMT
So good luck with your stats....I'll stick to my own methods!
Report five leaves left October 30, 2011 5:35 PM GMT
WD lol. Some excellent tips,

I wouldn't argue that you're not a good judge of this show. Just that your attitude towards others stinks.
Report lol@the_experts October 30, 2011 5:40 PM GMT
As I found years ago, people with diffrerent opinions aren't welcome on this forum and you've said as much on this very thread. I won't let anyone try and belittle me when it's patently cear that I know what I'm talking about.
Report noveltybettingaddict October 30, 2011 5:43 PM GMT
Lol, who has told u that u don't know what ur talking about? 3 questions for u - what's the b2 tonight, who's goin tonight and who will win
Report lol@the_experts October 30, 2011 5:53 PM GMT
There's 4 questions there btw...

Lol, who has told u that u don't know what ur talking about?

Virtually everyone on this forum bar about 4 or 5 posters.

Bottom 2

Not a big player of the elims market so don't put your mortgage on my advice. I'd say Sophie and Kitty.

Gone tonight

Sophie

Who will win

Anyone of Misha, Marcus or Janet.
Report noveltybettingaddict October 30, 2011 5:59 PM GMT
Well I haven't told u that u don't know what ur talking about. With this series there r so many possible outcomes that there's bound to be disagreements. So wudnt let it bother u. It's not as if uv made daft predictions like jonjo to win! If u. Said misha, Janet and Marcus from start of love shows then well done. Marcus was a slow burner but I'd say everybody else has let him right back into the equation.
Report bexley October 30, 2011 6:14 PM GMT
Disagreeing with one or more of your opinions doesn't equate to saying you don't know you are talking about. I'm with leaves, (I'm sure you will be surprised to read Silly), its your attitude since you came on here that I have most problem with... oh and your selective memory.

Correct me if I'm wrong but didn't you join the Sophie Spaceship at one point? Only a small bet I remember you saying but you are now making out you are and always have been the sole champion of the 'anti - Sophie' brigade. Well thats how I read it anyway.
lol@the_experts
09 Oct 11 15:23
Joined:
07 Oct 11
| Topic/replies: 530 | Blogger: lol@the_experts's blog
I've entered the spaceship in a small way.

Placed £50 at 20/1 with Bald Coont Fred.

Makes her a small green for me and intend to pile into her if she survives tonight. I make her one of four acts that can win the X Factor.
Report hemsby October 30, 2011 6:58 PM GMT
LOL

You joined the forum on 7th October.On that date the best odds on Misha was 10/1.Could you point out please where you mentioned her at 25/1 please Confused
Report lazygit October 30, 2011 7:01 PM GMT
Caroline Flack just posted 'who have you voted for' on her twitter feed, interesting seeing the responses flying in, it'll be close.
Report five leaves left October 30, 2011 7:08 PM GMT
Lots of Marcus, Little Mix and quite a few Sophie & Frankie.

Not many Risk, Misha or Janet.

Only speed read them and didn't do an actual count.
Report lazygit October 30, 2011 7:11 PM GMT

Oct 30, 2011 -- 8:08PM, five leaves left wrote:


Lots of Marcus, Little Mix and quite a few Sophie & Frankie.Not many Risk, Misha or Janet.Only speed read them and didn't do an actual count.


I'd agree, not a huge amount for Johnny or Craig either, but speed reading, difficult to count.

Report squares October 30, 2011 7:19 PM GMT
get better at it for next time please.
Report squares October 30, 2011 7:19 PM GMT
Silly
Report Froggitt October 30, 2011 7:20 PM GMT
slacker
Report Froggitt October 30, 2011 7:21 PM GMT
no credibility LaughLaughLaugh
Report lazygit October 30, 2011 7:33 PM GMT
Sorry chaps,note to self 'must do better' :-), defo tho most for Little Mix and lots of negs for Frankie
Report five leaves left October 30, 2011 7:34 PM GMT
Little Mix way clear. Hardly any for Johnny.

Maybe it's the demographic of her followers. Lots of young girls.
Report squares October 30, 2011 7:47 PM GMT
and old pervs
Report five leaves left October 30, 2011 7:54 PM GMT
lol yes, was going to say that. I follow her.

all the old pervs seem to like Johnny on here.
Report Froggitt October 30, 2011 7:54 PM GMT
and chubby chasers
Report George Bailey October 30, 2011 7:59 PM GMT
can someone post a link to the responses to the flack question? I'm looking at her page but don't know how to access the live responses feed. My keyboard doesn't seem to have a hash symbol if that is needed. Ta and sorry for being a techno idiot.
Report five leaves left October 30, 2011 8:03 PM GMT
search @carolineflack1
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