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johnnyrant
27 Mar 11 19:18
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Date Joined: 14 Feb 07
| Topic/replies: 21,444 | Blogger: johnnyrant's blog
Well, this has been the trickiest series I've known for trying to get an edge on the markets. Ahead of the show, fwiw I think it's between Chloe and Laura for the crown. I'll just be happy to bow out of this series on a winning note.
Good luck all Grin
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Report fallingRock March 27, 2011 9:13 PM BST
99% Sure Chloe is going.
Report johnnyrant March 27, 2011 9:14 PM BST
ffs, these intelligence-insulting quizzes sum up the level of stupidity ITV likes to appeal to these days
Report GeorgeBrush March 27, 2011 9:15 PM BST
That's pretty challenging for the average ITV viewer tbh
Report Ashley_Young March 27, 2011 9:16 PM BST
I like how every song they choose is always the most obvious generic choice , it's so tacky like everything on itv.
Report Benjy March 27, 2011 9:16 PM BST
:(
Report map March 27, 2011 9:17 PM BST
That perfect score of 30 screwed everything
Report The Kitten March 27, 2011 9:17 PM BST
Bawlocks.
Report Froggitt March 27, 2011 9:17 PM BST
doh
Report Danzaa March 27, 2011 9:18 PM BST
£510 profit :D
Now thinking about using that on the Outright Market...
Report johnnyrant March 27, 2011 9:18 PM BST
another big-priced potential winner bites the dust for me. Recall taking the 40s Chloe on about week 2 or 3 Sad
Report Cider March 27, 2011 9:18 PM BST
Voting from scratch again perhaps gives Laura the slight edge.
Report Froggitt March 27, 2011 9:19 PM BST
trainees doing the suspend button again........
Report fallingRock March 27, 2011 9:19 PM BST
I would wait for the Beleros... If Sam & Laura perform equally, get it on Laura, If Sam shows her up, stick it on him quick!
Report map March 27, 2011 9:20 PM BST
arghh im on Sam
Report peter64 March 27, 2011 9:21 PM BST
doesnt give her slight edge puts her back in it imo
Report Cider March 27, 2011 9:24 PM BST
Sam and Brianne can look mis-matched. I suspected they were clearing the path until that 30! Easier if you write the script.
Report johnnyrant March 27, 2011 9:24 PM BST
McLachlan looks over-priced to me at 1,000. Everyone loves Henry from Neighbours... oh f*ck
Report map March 27, 2011 9:25 PM BST
lol johnny
Report map March 27, 2011 9:26 PM BST
Sam first AGAIN?

Surely Laura's gonna win now?
Report peter64 March 27, 2011 9:26 PM BST
i take it laura skates first?
Report map March 27, 2011 9:27 PM BST
should be peter but nope sam again ..massively unfair
Report GeorgeBrush March 27, 2011 9:29 PM BST
Shame there's no tit there to feel
Report peter64 March 27, 2011 9:30 PM BST
no one giving him credit for winning by 2.0 points shouldn't be skating first again however in no particular order yea right
Report map March 27, 2011 9:30 PM BST
gotta be a 30!!!!
Report map March 27, 2011 9:31 PM BST
yea it seems unfair 3 skates,m 1st all 3 times,

gotta get a 30 now, always saying how good he is but not giving him a 30

come on! 30
Report squares March 27, 2011 9:31 PM BST
no more scores
Report map March 27, 2011 9:32 PM BST
annoying had hoped there would be a score and sam would get a perfect score, drive the price down to 1/3 or somthing
Report GeorgeBrush March 27, 2011 9:33 PM BST
Break -

extra voting time for Sam
Report Cider March 27, 2011 9:33 PM BST
ads Laugh
Report Danzaa March 27, 2011 9:33 PM BST
WHAT?! Laura is skating after the break!? Doesn't that give Sam a ton of more time to get votes?
Sam will win, not that I mind, I don't have any remaining bets :D
Report johnnyrant March 27, 2011 9:33 PM BST
I thought it was rather underwhelming. There is no authenticity between them. They have looked mismatched series-long.
Report GeorgeBrush March 27, 2011 9:34 PM BST
Done and dusted but for a massive Laura ramp

... oh hang on Laugh
Report Froggitt March 27, 2011 9:41 PM BST
sam wins.........not enough voting time for laura
Report johnnyrant March 27, 2011 9:41 PM BST
different gravy
Report Ashley_Young March 27, 2011 9:42 PM BST
sams was better
Report fallingRock March 27, 2011 9:46 PM BST
Game, set & match then...?
Report five leaves left March 27, 2011 9:47 PM BST
twitter gives it to sam
Report Danzaa March 27, 2011 9:47 PM BST
Laura was about 33% more popular than Sam before the show started, will it continue now? I don't know. But if you do, Laura is available at about 3/1 in places
Report Cider March 27, 2011 9:47 PM BST
Job done I guess, till next time peeps!
Report map March 27, 2011 9:49 PM BST
fallin you on sam? took sam at 6/5 earlier today, everyone else I backed was already out
Report five leaves left March 27, 2011 9:51 PM BST
Good luck all.

I have Sam to win 2 bob and Laura to win tuppence happenny.
Report fallingRock March 27, 2011 9:51 PM BST
On Laura big. :-(
Report squares March 27, 2011 9:52 PM BST
at suspend,
Sam 1.24 (been as low as 1.19)
Laura 5.4
Report squares March 27, 2011 9:53 PM BST
yep, should have stuck with my first few bets and phecked off for the rest of the series.
Report GeorgeBrush March 27, 2011 9:54 PM BST
I've made 3 figures if Sam wins

Sadly most of them are 1s Laugh

ffs. waste of time of a series for me
Report five leaves left March 27, 2011 9:55 PM BST
lol same here squares.
These 2 were my 1st 2 bets.

The same in SCD with Kara and Matt.
Report johnnyrant March 27, 2011 9:56 PM BST
me too squares. Sam and Laura I both punted on big pre-series and in early weeks. Then eroded away most of my potential profit piling onto others, and convincing myself Sam would be beat after the Heat scandal.
I'm not even sure exactly where I stand now Confused Sam is a definite loser for me, so to conclude a poor series for me I expect he'll win.
Report five leaves left March 27, 2011 9:57 PM BST
2 bob in the money box.
Report GeorgeBrush March 27, 2011 9:57 PM BST
Bad luck jr Plain
Report johnnyrant March 27, 2011 9:58 PM BST
yep, that about sums it up.
Report GeorgeBrush March 27, 2011 9:59 PM BST
Could have been interesting if JBvc had made it to final....

Reality TV dullness overwhelms all
Report map March 27, 2011 10:00 PM BST
well that's that over and done with

what's the next specials for betting lads?
Report GeorgeBrush March 27, 2011 10:00 PM BST
AI is on now map [;)]
Report fallingRock March 27, 2011 10:00 PM BST
Anybody feel like a balloon with all the air let out?...
Report GeorgeBrush March 27, 2011 10:01 PM BST
Just stick a grand on Scotty and collect in 2 months Cool
Report squares March 27, 2011 10:01 PM BST
AI, SYTYCD, ESC

BGT - plenty of potential.

Some of the lesser shows struggling for business these days.
Report Danzaa March 27, 2011 10:02 PM BST
Thank God Chloe went out 3rd place, reclaimed my cash, I've finished this series with an £84 loss after a disastrous week where I lost £1500. All I can say is PHEW.

Fun times, people. See you at BGT!
Report johnnyrant March 27, 2011 10:02 PM BST
agree GB. ITV are total eejits for giving him the bullet in the final 4. So, so predictable. These shows should not always be won by the best. There has to be room for a journey contestant. Otherwise, you may as well not bother.
Report QueSera March 27, 2011 10:03 PM BST
Thanks Squares for the all scores throughout the series
Report fallingRock March 27, 2011 10:03 PM BST
Yea, I'll be back for BGT. I do well on that! To be fair, I would of done well on this had the Fauzmance thing not thrown me the bleeding curve ball of the decade!
Report GeorgeBrush March 27, 2011 10:04 PM BST
They do release figures jr. I dunno if he would have topped the SF, but I might write a nasty letter if he did [;)]
Report fallingRock March 27, 2011 10:07 PM BST
fR Signing out. Goodnight.
Report map March 27, 2011 10:12 PM BST
squares do any firms do AI In running


and SYTYCD - anywhere do that IP?

And umm when is BGT ? :)

questions galore
Report five leaves left March 27, 2011 10:12 PM BST
Don't you do Eurovision GB?
Report GeorgeBrush March 27, 2011 10:15 PM BST
Nah, haven't bothered fig. Only ever taken a marginal interest, and AI has been fun so far

I think I did market-make on it a couple of years ago. Probably should again but a bit late now
Report five leaves left March 27, 2011 10:16 PM BST
..and yep squares. Thanks for all the updates throughout.
Report five leaves left March 27, 2011 10:17 PM BST
It's only just getting going. Usually a big shake up when we have rehearsals week, but that's not for about 6 weeks.
Report GeorgeBrush March 27, 2011 10:18 PM BST
ah ok cheers. Assumed it was further on
Report GeorgeBrush March 27, 2011 10:19 PM BST
Yep, a specials VC for squares for his services
Report GeorgeBrush March 27, 2011 10:20 PM BST
Cos I haven't a clue when it's on clearly zoom Laugh
Report five leaves left March 27, 2011 10:20 PM BST
Lots of fun and hopefully value as each country reveals it's song.
We know them all now, so I can't see any huge moves til the rehearsals.

For me the front 2 are poor favourites.
Report CLYDEBANK29 March 27, 2011 10:21 PM BST
22k lower profit that the first 3 months of 2010 and the 5th succesive month I've made less than the month before...which is a first in 8 and a half yearsSad
Report five leaves left March 27, 2011 10:24 PM BST
Hard to have much sympathy CB given the size of the figures, but I'm in the same boat, even if it's a significantly smaller one.

Hopeful for AI and ESC though
Report GeorgeBrush March 27, 2011 10:25 PM BST
Yep, but he only made 1k in the first quarter of last year fig [;)]
Report five leaves left March 27, 2011 10:25 PM BST
Streamed on the net zoom. Usually by some loony Turkish journos.
They appear on youtube within minutes, if the feed is down
Report five leaves left March 27, 2011 10:29 PM BST
The feed mysteriously went down when the Greek entry was rehearsing iic Laugh
Report GeorgeBrush March 27, 2011 10:31 PM BST
I think I might make that the last DOI for me

Fvcking hate watching it, and I've never lost, but never had a decent win either

What's the latest on BB fig?
Report map March 27, 2011 10:33 PM BST
lol 'loony turkish journos' haha

vie leaves, do any firms do AI/SYTYCD in running?!

Would be nice if they did - I work nights so AI would be ideal in running
Report Henry VIII March 27, 2011 10:35 PM BST
Which are your biggest markets CB if you don't mind me asking?
Report five leaves left March 27, 2011 10:39 PM BST
DOI has never been any good for me either.
Only slightly down on last year overall and that's after having the worst week I've ever had on the weekly markets.
It was deciding to lay all the favourites in the Brits that has hit me and the lack of CBB.....and no, it's all gone quiet again with regards BB Sad
Report five leaves left March 27, 2011 10:41 PM BST
No ir on AI, map. Very few even bother pricing up the elims.

ir for SYTYCD from a few firms iirc.
Report Henry VIII March 27, 2011 10:43 PM BST
Anybody remember what stage BF put up a SYTYCD market?
Report CLYDEBANK29 March 27, 2011 10:44 PM BST
my yearly schedule is specials athletics swimming and the bdo darts and football Henry.  On any olympic year you can add the winter olympics, commonwealth games and on any election year the US or GB election.

athletics and swimming by far my fave tbh but unfortunately mainly amount to one week each and this year they are both in the far east which means lower turnover

football is 90% trading everything else is 90% betting.
Report Henry VIII March 27, 2011 10:44 PM BST
And after they're through the audition stage do they get voted out one each week?
Report map March 27, 2011 10:44 PM BST
ahh right cheers five mate, shame wish someone would do AI IR the times would be perfect for me :)
I guess its IR on here for OR and elims? but doubt there's much liquidity due to the time it's live?

Whens SYTYCD and BGT start?!
Report Henry VIII March 27, 2011 10:45 PM BST
SYT.. started yesterday evening.
Report Henry VIII March 27, 2011 10:47 PM BST
It was the first I've seen. Seemed to be same style as XF (and nothing like SCD).
Report map March 27, 2011 10:48 PM BST
what do you do tom trade on football, just curious as you posted 22k lower than last year, must be using big stakes and big liabilties when trading

thanks
Report Henry VIII March 27, 2011 10:49 PM BST
Thanks CB. I do elections too.
Report CLYDEBANK29 March 27, 2011 11:15 PM BST
My profits on football are probably similar to last year map but I've spent a lot more time on it this time round and I'm definitely finding it more difficult.
Report five leaves left March 27, 2011 11:36 PM BST
Note to self "DOI is not big brother"

Very true zoom and it's a mistake I constantly make.

Very hard to win or even get to the final of these shows unless you are one of the best 2 or 3 skaters/dancers/singers. However likeable you are and however unlikeable the good ones are.

For starters you just don't get to see enough of their personality for their annoying traits to be exposed to the majority of viewers.
Report five leaves left March 27, 2011 11:44 PM BST
I suspect alot of the damage was done last week where she was clearly the 3rd best.
This week she had to be at least on a par with Laura, which I thought she was in the showdance but the judges picked up on every tiny error and then in the 2nd dance Laura got the maximum score.

As you say it's not Big Brother and the majority of people tend to vote on merit when it comes to the latter stages. Unless someone is particularly unlikeable or annoying.
Report GeorgeBrush March 27, 2011 11:54 PM BST
The annoying thing is that the most popular can still be removed in this format even if they top the vote....

Not saying he was, but it's perfectly possible
Report GeorgeBrush March 27, 2011 11:54 PM BST
JB would have broken Josie's record had this been BB
Report five leaves left March 28, 2011 12:21 AM BST
I'd have been on the Ice Man plus maybe that Ela who looked a likeble loony.
..and been backing Laura and Sam for an early exit.
Report stu March 28, 2011 11:46 AM BST
Had very little interest in this year's series on the OR market - should have done better as backed both McLaughlen and JB early on at decent prices and should deffo have done better trading the latter. But had a nice win on only other bet of series - male winner. Couldn't bring myself to watch the final (watched a horror film with the missus instead) and turned over to see the result, which was nice little surprise. Interesting to read through this thread after the event, seems there would have been plenty against Sam right until the end, a very tough year IMO.
Report The Vig March 29, 2011 7:01 PM BST
Well a small win here having been all green going into the final, but god it was dull this series. Last DOI for me too, I usually win money, but lose a little bit of my soul watching such insipid televisual crap. I also do politics and rugby, and find rugby gambling a trading joy because of the liquidity and low spread. Politics has a great gambling period ahead with US primaries, POTUS 2012, London mayoral race , AV vote referendum, Welsh referendum, numerous by-elections caused by thieving scum MPs. I think specials gambling is losing its appeal for me: IACGMOOH insider trading, DOI being unwatchable, BB gone. Just SCD and XF left: SCD quite a thin market, XF better but desperately long and tedious to keep track of.
Report johnnyrant March 29, 2011 7:53 PM BST
Too true Vig. We're in danger of becoming an endangerd species betting on 'Specials' Sad Any early thoughts on how the AV referendum is likely to go?
Report Henry VIII March 30, 2011 8:01 PM BST
Vig if you like XF there's Britain's Got Talent coming soon, and it doesn't go on for as long.
Report The Vig April 3, 2011 11:07 PM BST
AV vote referendum is poised on a knife edge, polls put it 50:50. I dont think anyone wants the referendum, not the two main parties, not the electorate. People could well vote no just because AV is insane and way too complicated and expensive. But the low turnout is likely to favour yes2AV, as only the diehards reformists will bother vote at all. Recent referendums have voted yes, and I think there is a natural tendency for people to just agree when offered a proposition, you see this with groupthink in meetings. Tough to call at present, I am waiting for more polling data before lumping on, but I have a stake on yes at present, at good odds.
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