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the old nanny ;-)
03 Mar 25 14:59
Joined:
Date Joined: 10 Dec 01
| Topic/replies: 9,747 | Blogger: the old nanny ;-)'s blog
This is 100 % unsustainable  ,At this rate by the end of the Year we will be looking at another 1/2 A million

Meanwhile sollox is worried about Ukraines Borders

our country is being run into the Ground

The only Millitary that needs to be Activated is the Navy , These boats need to be blocked and sent back to France
Pause Switch to Standard View 1200 Boating Types arrived over the...
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Report clouded leopard March 3, 2025 3:07 PM GMT
Still looking very Cloward-Piven imo

edy might disagree though Silly
Report saddo March 3, 2025 3:07 PM GMT
It's crazy isn't it. Spend billions protecting other countries,
and spend more billions providing for those who invade here. Crazy
Report edy March 3, 2025 3:10 PM GMT
This is 100 % unsustainable

Good thing then that the milk maiden calculation doesn't work because there is a huge difference between peaks and lows of daily arrivals instead of a steady stream of 1200 or so each two days. A weekly time series of irregular boat migrant arrivals is published by the UK. Without looking it up, how many do you think approximately arrived so far between December 30 2024 and February 23 2025 (8 weeks, 56 days)?
Report saddo March 3, 2025 3:13 PM GMT
Too many. Thank you Mekel.
Report edy March 3, 2025 3:16 PM GMT
Don't think Merkel can really be made responsible for all the Albanians wanting to go to the UK. It's more likely that Russia runs ads and disinformation campaigns there about how glorious the UK is for Albanians and what wonders await. In addition to Russians and their allies directly smuggling people into our lands, they have been known to do such propaganda campaigns as a way to create irregular migration towards the EU to weaponise it against us and to strengthen the quisling parties that simp hard for Russia over their own countries.
Report the old nanny ;-) March 3, 2025 3:17 PM GMT
Thereis certainly a Few you didnt need arriving in Germany Edy , body parts on the streets in Mannheim today , Or was this a Local Villain ?

you seem to have no info on that ?
Report edy March 3, 2025 3:17 PM GMT
Just throw up a number, old nanny.
Report the old nanny ;-) March 3, 2025 3:20 PM GMT
Its THE Russians and the Big Bad Bear Again EDY , sending us Alegerians Laugh

Maybe the Algerians and others know we are are soft Touch Edy . Do you Think they need Putin to tell them That


they are 90% Gangsters Edy that's why they are here Dealing Drugs
Report edy March 3, 2025 3:21 PM GMT
Putting on the blinkers towards what we know about Russia in that regard is of course your choice if you wish to remain in a fantasy world out of ideological reasons, casemoney.
Report saddo March 3, 2025 3:23 PM GMT
edy, Merkel told the third World to come on down, and so they did.
I doubt the Mannheim chap is from Albania.
Report edy March 3, 2025 3:24 PM GMT
The Mannheim chap was also in Mannheim and not in a boat to the UK.
Report the old nanny ;-) March 3, 2025 3:25 PM GMT
What Number EDY , One attack is too many Edy , you have had a Lot more Edy , these attacks seems acceptible to you 

You asked me the odds of you being caught up in one The odds are very Long Until it Happens EDY
Report saddo March 3, 2025 3:26 PM GMT
Difficult when your own leader instigated the downfall of Europe tbf nanny.
Report edy March 3, 2025 3:26 PM GMT
I wasn't talking about attacks. You said 1200 over a weekend was unsustainable as it would lead to half a million arrivals. I asked you to throw up a number of arrivals in the eight weeks between December 30 and February 23 in that connection.
Report edy March 3, 2025 3:28 PM GMT

Mar 3, 2025 -- 3:26PM, saddo wrote:


Difficult when your own leader instigated the downfall of Europe tbf nanny.


Why didn't the UK and France instigate it with their colonies and subsequent migration from them?

Report the old nanny ;-) March 3, 2025 3:29 PM GMT
Edy we are in March the start of the High Season for Boaters Edy

We need our Navy in the Channel , Not the Baltic Sea
Report edy March 3, 2025 3:31 PM GMT
Does the UK have lots and lots of its navy in the baltic sea without reason?
Report edy March 3, 2025 6:54 PM GMT

Mar 3, 2025 -- 3:23PM, saddo wrote:


edy, Merkel told the third World to come on down, and so they did.I doubt the Mannheim chap is from Albania.


Alexander S., 40 year old German. Why can't you guys ever wait?

From casemoney I expect it at this point. I know it is pure torture for him to wait, to do research and to ever write from a position of knowledge. That is all very well established and part of what makes him so very truly special and unique.

....but from you, saddo, it should be expected better. It's not the first time either with you...sadly.

Report SirNorbertClarke March 3, 2025 7:12 PM GMT
Get them in the European Army
Report sageform March 3, 2025 7:26 PM GMT
Until France are willing to stop them leaving, it will keep getting worse. France does not want the migrants there so they look the other way so long as they head for UK. Public opinion here will not support sinking the boats when they enter UK waters and France won't allow them back so it will continue.
Report edy March 3, 2025 7:28 PM GMT
Sinking them would also kind of violate international marine law and such.
Report edy March 3, 2025 7:41 PM GMT
the old nanny ;-) • March 3, 2025 3:29 PM GMT
Edy we are in March the start of the High Season for Boaters Edy

We need our Navy in the Channel , Not the Baltic Sea


That might well be, but your post about half a million is still laughable. In each of the past years you never cracked even a tenth of that in irregular boat migration. There was a very similar thread from tobermory a few years ago where he also took some peak day and made a most glorious calculation of how many this means over a full year. He of course ended up being wrong by a factor of 10 or so.

Now, it is of course a valid position that 35k to 50k boat people is also (far) too much, but why the ultra silly calculations? You are bound to also be off by a factor between 5 to 15 at least. Off by like 400k (out of the 500k prediction) or more.

Just...why? You must know that there is literally no chance for that many boat people to the UK unless maybe Russia conquers the rest of Ukraine. Though those would probably not get to the UK as irregular boat people. You must know your prediction is going to way, way, way off.

Feel free to bump this early next year when the numbers are released and you were not way, way, way off with your half a million boat people.
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- March 3, 2025 7:46 PM GMT
They are just repeating guff they have been fed elsewhere

These guys can't extrapolate they just regurgitate
Report tobermory March 3, 2025 9:26 PM GMT
There was a very similar thread from tobermory a few years ago where he also took some peak day and made a most glorious calculation of how many this means over a full year. He of course ended up being wrong by a factor of 10 or so

What 'peak day' did I extrapolate from? I'm sure you have the date Edy
Report the old nanny ;-) March 3, 2025 9:57 PM GMT
Until France are willing to stop them leaving

I heard the Germans are getting Rid of a Few , be straight through france to good old blighty

yes half a Million  over the top edy ,prob nearer 100 K
Report lapsy pa March 3, 2025 10:00 PM GMT
You gonna stop them going through the North to get to the Republic TON? Be great if you could from what i am hearing.
Report lapsy pa March 3, 2025 10:07 PM GMT
It is kinda like you are France and we are Britain!
Report edy March 3, 2025 10:45 PM GMT

Mar 3, 2025 -- 9:26PM, tobermory wrote:


There was a very similar thread from tobermory a few years ago where he also took some peak day and made a most glorious calculation of how many this means over a full year. He of course ended up being wrong by a factor of 10 or soWhat 'peak day' did I extrapolate from? I'm sure you have the date Edy


tobermory • November 12, 2021 9:25 PM GMT
1,000 on a day in November makes 500,000 next year quite likely.

The only limit is the hassle of getting here, so the numbers will be ultimately be determined by people in the Asia/Africa.


https://community.betfair.com/politics/go/thread/view/94150/31734457/1000-refugees-arrived-on-english-beaches-thursday

Comparing the date of the thread with the data of the time series that the UK government provides you were probably referring to the 1250 arrivals on November 11, but...really it should probably be kind of up to you to know what date ...well....you were referring to.

Report edy March 3, 2025 10:46 PM GMT
It ended up being a bit fewer than 47,000 recorded channel crossings in 2022 btw.
Report edy March 3, 2025 10:51 PM GMT
The search for that thread would have been so much easier and quicker if the forum search understood and respected umlauts because I know I love to use the word Milchmädchenrechnung on such occasions.
Report tobermory March 3, 2025 11:31 PM GMT
What I didn't appreciate was that November is actually more like the peak of arrivals, rather than a more difficult time.

I guess the need to cross the Med first means that journey has to be done in the late spring/ summer, then they take a while to get up to the channel.

But tens of thousands is way more than enough as it is, and there is no limiting factor that is going to kick in at some point to prevent it getting to the hundreds of thousands at some point.
Report edy March 3, 2025 11:41 PM GMT
With the dismantling of USAID by Musk and Trump, maybe migratory pressure out of Africa will be big enough for hundreds of thousands to go to the UK on small boats in a decade or two indeed. Happy
Report edy March 3, 2025 11:45 PM GMT
Or from German citizens to go to the UK. Scared

We are all sorts skint.
Report edy March 3, 2025 11:50 PM GMT
Our spoken English is generally more intelligible than whatever most people born and bred north of London attempt to speak, so we should integrate reasonably well. At least in the south of England.

We also love to queue and our humour should also be very well received.
Report the old nanny ;-) March 4, 2025 12:52 AM GMT
plenty flying straight in I heard Pa , was coaches picking them up straight to the Hotels , Not enough room in the hotels Now

how many are coming in from NORN  ?

Must be the Benefits are better over there


if they were stopped in the Channel, would probably Make there way to Eire , I thought the Majority of folks were happy with Migration over there ?

We cant stop them going to Norn PA  But I am surprised many even Bother with that Route

Didnt we have a couple of Lunatics Travellled from Dublin to carry out a Jihadai Attack , Im sure one of them was married to a Dublin woman

But i cant remember the facts ,I remember her and him had their photo taken outside a shop called ISIS with the kid in the Pram ,fine Parents
Report saddo March 4, 2025 2:31 PM GMT
Our friends and willing partners just wave them on through to the biggest mugs on the planet Happy.
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- March 4, 2025 2:40 PM GMT
Some folk already moved Norf, should have stayed doon sarf
Nowt wrong with our language oop Norf.
Report the old nanny ;-) March 4, 2025 10:13 PM GMT
774 illegal migrants crossed the Channel in 48 hours.
Report the old nanny ;-) March 4, 2025 10:14 PM GMT
Starmer and Co on Ukraine Duty

as the illegals race  into the UK
Report edy March 4, 2025 10:20 PM GMT
Sounds like someone should travel to France and slit some dinghys (before they are let to sea - making people drown is big time uncool).

Or hand them a map that leads to Guernsey instead of GB.
Report saddo March 5, 2025 12:29 PM GMT
Fear of being seen as 'uncool' is precisely why the continent is sinking.
Report edy March 5, 2025 12:37 PM GMT
Murdering people is also kind of problematic from a legal point in most countries.
Report edy March 5, 2025 12:38 PM GMT
Possibly also from an ethics and moral point of view occasionally.
Report saddo March 5, 2025 12:44 PM GMT
Sending boats back the way they came is not murder, the term is hyperbole used to shame
people into not doing so. I believe the Greeks have broken ranks and send them back.
Report edy March 5, 2025 12:47 PM GMT
I never said sending people back was murder.
Report saddo March 5, 2025 1:52 PM GMT
Good.
1200 at 40k a year is 48 million a year, just for this bunch.
See what gives way first, public acceptance or funds.
Report edy March 5, 2025 1:53 PM GMT
I merely said that murdering people by casemoney getting his diving gear and slitting up dinghys at high sea and making people drown would kind of uncool along with being problematic in legal and murdering aspects.
Report edy March 5, 2025 1:54 PM GMT
Which is why preferrably the slitting happens at shore.
Report edy March 5, 2025 1:54 PM GMT
Slitting of dinghys, not the people!
Report saddo March 9, 2025 12:43 PM GMT
Record numbers this week and it's only march. They are so
confident of staying here that it will never stop.
Gang smashing Keir is apparently worse than the Tories.
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