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frog1000
03 Sep 21 19:42
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Date Joined: 25 Jan 01
| Topic/replies: 2,800 | Blogger: frog1000's blog
No overrounds allowed.

I will start...

Yes 1.2
No 6.0

With Boris looking to push through extreme Covid powers onto March 2022 and Gove still lurking in the background after letting off some steam last weekend I am concerned they might try this to 'protect the NHS'.

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Replies: 91
By:
Dr Crippen
When: 03 Sep 21 19:47
He's almost confirmed it already by saying there won't be another lockdown.

His word is worthless.
By:
Giuseppe
When: 03 Sep 21 19:47
will depend on what happens in Israel

still unclear what waning protection actually means

deaths are still low there

they may pick up, or they may not
By:
sixtwosix
When: 03 Sep 21 19:51
Well as Christmas is a popular and much loved British tradition and all politicians appear to despise Britain and working class people ....I would say it is a cert.
By:
A_T
When: 03 Sep 21 19:57
with so many not having a vaccine and not wearing masks in crowded places it's almost a cert
By:
SontaranStratagem
When: 03 Sep 21 20:00
I would say yes but the only places being closed this time will be pubs, nightclubs and gyms

Everywhere else will be open, and the fact they'll still call it a "lockdown" tells you how stupid it all is at this point

And they are ramping up the none sleevered being to blame for a possible rise in cases and deaths

Australia are at the end of their patience, which is perfectly timed because they will open up again over their summer

Plain
By:
antony_27
When: 03 Sep 21 20:00
The government will use any excuse it can to try and bully us all into another lockdown, how long will it be before this new 'Afghan' variant of covid suddenly starts infecting everyone
By:
SontaranStratagem
When: 03 Sep 21 20:01
The next one is the "mu variant"
By:
SontaranStratagem
When: 03 Sep 21 20:01
That'll be why they will stop international travel again for the peasants Plain
By:
SontaranStratagem
When: 03 Sep 21 20:06
Delta was just a way to tip toe through summer with a weaker variant that was more infectious

I think this winter could be similar to the 2017/18 one, if we get misty and damp weather (grey skies and just general depressing grey weather) wrap up warm and make sure you wear a snood to cover the mouth and nose, you don't want to be ill at any point during this one, esp with them ramping up the fear and people being fooking paranoid
By:
SontaranStratagem
When: 03 Sep 21 20:07
2017-18 was the worst winter for illnesses we've had in about 30 years

Nasty that one
By:
Dr Crippen
When: 03 Sep 21 20:10
There's always one strain that's dominant, which probably explains why regular flu hasn't had a look it for some time.

It can't compete with covid.
By:
Dr Crippen
When: 03 Sep 21 20:11
Well not yet anyway.
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 03 Sep 21 20:12
Hospitals likely being cleared to
cope with winter rush.

Masks helped keep flu away too,

Add flu back into the mix and
all that underfunding of hospitals
could come back to bite.
By:
Cider
When: 03 Sep 21 20:14
Depends what you mean by lockdown. It's implausible they will do the whole hog one. You could see them fooking over the night time industry, restaurants etc again.
By:
PorcupineorPineapple
When: 03 Sep 21 20:14
What do you mean by lockdown?


Schooling and working from home, police intervention on people exercising etc or whingeing because the cinema's shut?
By:
Giuseppe
When: 03 Sep 21 20:15
flu and covid didn't coexist last year

why would it be any different this time round?
By:
SirNorbertClarke
When: 03 Sep 21 20:15
There's about 110 deaths a day at the mo. I reckon the public will tolerate 250 a day before the grumbling starts.

What we need is how many of these deaths are people who haven't had one or two jabs. If it's just anti-vaxers dying then Boris is not going to order another lockdown imho.
By:
Cider
When: 03 Sep 21 20:16
The daily average is 75 (covid mentioned on death cert)
By:
Cider
When: 03 Sep 21 20:17
There's as many, if not more dying due to previous interventions.
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 03 Sep 21 20:19
It's about hospital capacity not deaths
, but obviously deaths do clear
a space for next covid victim.
By:
Dr Crippen
When: 03 Sep 21 20:20
If it's just anti-vaxers dying

There are more vaxxed people dying.

Which is explained by far more vulnerable people have been jabbed than haven't.
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 03 Sep 21 20:21
Crippen do you understand the word "if"
By:
Cider
When: 03 Sep 21 20:25
It's about whatever variable they choose to push whatever narrative they want to push.
By:
Dr Crippen
When: 03 Sep 21 20:26
The sentence before was a question laugh.

Put the two together and there you go.

Try and keep up.
By:
frog1000
When: 03 Sep 21 20:28
Was expecting some odds guys. Not a running commentary. This is betting site.
By:
Cider
When: 03 Sep 21 20:29
lol you need more definitive and less ambiguous rules than bf.
By:
Dr Crippen
When: 03 Sep 21 20:30
Sorry.
By:
frog1000
When: 03 Sep 21 20:33
Ok Cider sorry for lack of clarity.

Another national lockdown to include a restriction that makes it illegal to have people outside your 'bubble' into your own private residence for a few beers.
By:
frog1000
When: 03 Sep 21 20:34
My prices:

Yes 1.2
No 6.0
By:
Giuseppe
When: 03 Sep 21 20:41
i'd probably lay that

bear in mind there is still no lockdown in israel
By:
frog1000
When: 03 Sep 21 20:44
Israel got rid of their radical pro-lockdown leader. The new was against lockdown so would be hard for him to bring one in. They also have privately organised healthcare

Boris and Gove have been very eager to press the lockdown button if the polls support it.

Latest polls have 70% supporting another lockdown.
By:
Cider
When: 03 Sep 21 20:45
a bag on @ No 6.0
By:
frog1000
When: 03 Sep 21 20:46
Ok. We are getting somewhere.

If 6.0 for no is too big what is your price for NO?
By:
Cider
When: 03 Sep 21 20:49
I feel restricting mixing in private homes by law is a long shot. No 1.25
By:
Cider
When: 03 Sep 21 20:49
It might be advised against, but not unlawful.
By:
Giuseppe
When: 03 Sep 21 20:50
i'd want close to evens for yes
By:
frog1000
When: 03 Sep 21 20:53
So Cider has it:

Yes 5.0
No 1.25
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 03 Sep 21 20:54
So you do understand the word if

But were going off piste

Cheers
By:
Cider
When: 03 Sep 21 20:54
One element to consider is there would be widespread non compliance. Not sure the political government would want to be embarrassed.
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