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Escapee
29 Dec 20 14:47
Joined:
Date Joined: 27 Aug 04
| Topic/replies: 5,892 | Blogger: Escapee's blog
I know most people who post on this forum don't actually bet, but for those that do the Trump Exit Date 2 market
appears to coming to a couple of crunch points and with the possibility of being settled in the next 3 or so weeks.

His Scheduled exit date of 2021 is currently 1.05--1.06  which is actually up from yesterdays 1.04--1.05
such is the strangeness of the Trump political betting markets.

2020 has also displayed a little oddness today, with backers backing it at prices from 200 down to 150.
Seeing as there are less than 2 days of 2020 left one would think the layers would be moving the price up not down.


2025 is the other notable market, with the price currently 29-30


The 2 crunch points I speak of are of course the senate rubberstamping the electoral college votes on the 6th January, and the inauguration of Biden on the 22nd Jan.


1.05 on there not being a coup would seem a very good return.

Anyone betting on this?
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Report Timber January 2, 2021 4:27 PM GMT
BREAKING REPORT:  Team of Data Scientists led by Lynda McLaughlin claim VIA TESTIMONY that GA Election Data Identifies 17,650 VOTES SWITCHED from Trump to Biden..
Report politicspunter January 2, 2021 4:27 PM GMT
Timber, This is the market for you, Trump is 29s and coming in all the time.

https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.138799270
Report edy January 2, 2021 4:29 PM GMT
Is Lynda McLaughlin a real scientist this time around, unlike that Bobby guy that had been sold to you as one of the top statisticians in the country?
Report Timber January 2, 2021 4:29 PM GMT
I've seen it, I'm more worried about him dying or getting assassinated than losing this election
Report Timber January 2, 2021 4:30 PM GMT
teddy is always lurking
Report politicspunter January 2, 2021 4:30 PM GMT
Timber, you best get all your money on it now before the price collapses.
Report edy January 2, 2021 4:31 PM GMT
Well...is she?
Report politicspunter January 2, 2021 4:31 PM GMT
He only has to stay alive for eighteen more days, assassination is void bet.
Report Timber January 2, 2021 4:34 PM GMT
A *DOZEN* U.S. Senators are expected to *OBJECT* to 2020 results at the Electoral College proceedings on January 6.

Sen. Josh Hawley (R-MO) adds colleagues to the fight against unlawful state election changes & credible allegations of election fraud.
Report Timber January 2, 2021 4:35 PM GMT
Jake tapper and that fat fiend Brian stelter will be crying their little eyes outGrin
Report dave1357 January 2, 2021 4:36 PM GMT
good I was going to get worried that there would be a 55min embarrassing silence after Hawley used up his five minutes.  No one likes an embarrassing silence.
Report edy January 2, 2021 4:38 PM GMT

Jan 2, 2021 -- 3:44AM, Timber wrote:


Jan  2, 2021 --  9:53AM, A_T wrote:That has absolutely nothing to do with what will happen on the 6thwhat do you believe will happen on the 6th?Nobody knows for sure. Just because the hand wringers poo poo and put their fingers in their ears, doesn't mean something absolutely outrageous isn't going to happenTrump and Pence have a lot more ammo at their disposal than is being reported. Whether it is legal or not or if it holds is another matter. One thing for sure, it's not going to be finished on the 6th. This could end up going into February in fact. And yes there is precedent for that too


Naw, not going to February. We'll be waving you a gentle good bye on January 20th.Sad

Report Timber January 2, 2021 4:38 PM GMT
the forum commies are starting to get worried
Report Charlie January 2, 2021 4:38 PM GMT
Timber the plank seems to believe everything posted on twatter.
Report edy January 2, 2021 4:38 PM GMT
The sooner you accept reality, the less it will hurt come January 20th, Timby.
Report Timber January 2, 2021 4:38 PM GMT
you've already lost teddy, say goodbye to everybody
Report Timber January 2, 2021 4:39 PM GMT

Jan 2, 2021 -- 10:38AM, Charlie wrote:


Timber the plank seems to believe everything posted on twatter.


wrong, you believe everything in the msm

Report edy January 2, 2021 4:39 PM GMT
Who should we believe instead of the MSM, Timby?
Report Timber January 2, 2021 4:40 PM GMT
In the age of information ignorance is a choice
Report edy January 2, 2021 4:41 PM GMT
True, is a choice to believe every random grifter out there because you need your safe space.
Report politicspunter January 2, 2021 4:42 PM GMT
I am happy to accept the decisions of the House and the Senate.
Report Timber January 2, 2021 4:45 PM GMT

Jan 2, 2021 -- 10:42AM, politicspunter wrote:


I am happy to accept the decisions of the House and the Senate.


Will you be happy when Trump is reelected?

Report politicspunter January 2, 2021 4:48 PM GMT
I will be happy to accept their decision, irrespective of the outcome.
Report Timber January 3, 2021 10:27 AM GMT
The simps on here are always talking about NO evidence

Here is a low loader full

https://got-freedom.org/evidence/
Report Timber January 3, 2021 10:28 AM GMT
It's 3rd January and Harris STILL has not resigned from being a senator

Inaugural parade viewing stands were taken down yesterday Laugh
Report politicspunter January 3, 2021 10:32 AM GMT
Does Kamala Harris not remain a senator until Biden inauguration? Covid means inauguration will be very low key this year.
Report A_T January 3, 2021 10:35 AM GMT
Timber-types please keep betting against Biden. Thank you Grin
Report Timber January 3, 2021 10:44 AM GMT

Jan 3, 2021 -- 4:32AM, politicspunter wrote:


Does Kamala Harris not remain a senator until Biden inauguration? Covid means inauguration will be very low key this year.


Laugh

Report Timber January 3, 2021 10:45 AM GMT
iden's Inaugural Parade Viewing Stands Taken Down - Parade in Doubt - They're Afraid it Will Turn into a Massive MAGA Rally
Report dave1357 January 3, 2021 10:51 AM GMT
biden said that it was going to be a low key event weeks ago and obv harris doesn't resign until the last moment.
Report Timber January 3, 2021 10:53 AM GMT
Laugh
Report Timber January 3, 2021 10:54 AM GMT
Obama resigned from the Senate in November
Report Timber January 3, 2021 10:55 AM GMT
Everything about Biden is low key, using this covid nonsense as a predicate
Report edy January 3, 2021 10:57 AM GMT

Jan 3, 2021 -- 4:27AM, Timber wrote:


The simps on here are always talking about NO evidenceHere is a low loader fullhttps://got-freedom.org/evidence/


Simp
Someone who does way too much for a person they like


Oh hey there, Timber and other trump cultists! Happy

Report dave1357 January 3, 2021 11:06 AM GMT
Timber • January 3, 2021 10:54 AM GMT
Obama resigned from the Senate in November


the dems still had control of senate after he resigned, so his vote was irrelevant, but harris's vote could be relevant over something when the likes of Romney wouldn't pi55 on trump if he was on fire.
Report Timber January 3, 2021 11:19 AM GMT

Jan 3, 2021 -- 5:06AM, dave1357 wrote:


Timber • January 3, 2021 10:54 AM GMTObama resigned from the Senate in Novemberthe dems still had control of senate after he resigned, so his vote was irrelevant, but harris's vote could be relevant over something when the likes of Romney wouldn't pi55 on trump if he was on fire.


>like what??

Report Escapee January 3, 2021 11:24 AM GMT
I've asked Timber a couple of times what his bets are, and if he doesn't have any I've invited him
to 'paper trade' a £10k bet.

He seems to be over whelmed with the thought of it.

No worries Timber, It takes gumption and guts to put up real money, or even paper trade.
Not everyone is suited to it, Not everyone has what it takes, it's a rare skill.


There's no shame in being just a groupie Timber, maybe we could promote you to teaboy if that would make you happy?
Put the kettle on and we'll think about it.
Report dave1357 January 3, 2021 11:26 AM GMT
who knows what louis gobmuck and teddy boy have got cooked up to embarrass their country and party.
Report Timber January 3, 2021 11:31 AM GMT

Jan 3, 2021 -- 5:24AM, Escapee wrote:


I've asked Timber a couple of times what his bets are, and if he doesn't have any I've invited himto 'paper trade' a £10k bet.He seems to be over whelmed with the thought of it.No worries Timber, It takes gumption and guts to put up real money, or even paper trade.Not everyone is suited to it, Not everyone has what it takes, it's a rare skill.There's no shame in being just a groupie Timber, maybe we could promote you to teaboy if that would make you happy?Put the kettle on and we'll think about it.


>
posted my bets, do keep up
Between 3.5 and 4s on NO senate majority
Dems have already stolen it, it's a done deal.

Report Timber January 3, 2021 11:31 AM GMT

Jan 3, 2021 -- 5:26AM, dave1357 wrote:


who knows what louis gobmuck and teddy boy have got cooked up to embarrass their country and party.


>enough to make you very very angry....hopefully

Report politicspunter January 3, 2021 11:46 AM GMT
Between 3.5 and 4s on NO senate majority

That looks a good value price at the moment.
Report dave1357 January 3, 2021 11:54 AM GMT
where and when was that price available?
Report dave1357 January 3, 2021 11:56 AM GMT
(my ? is post nov election obv)
Report politicspunter January 3, 2021 12:00 PM GMT

Jan 3, 2021 -- 5:54AM, dave1357 wrote:


where and when was that price available?


https://graphs.betfair.com/#/1.170351353/1111905/0

20s has been traded on that market.

Report dave1357 January 3, 2021 12:01 PM GMT
I know but that would have been pre-runoffs.
Report politicspunter January 3, 2021 12:04 PM GMT
True, but I wish I had noticed it. The best price I got was 6s with a bookie pre election.
Report Timber January 3, 2021 12:04 PM GMT
It was 1.3 to 1.4 for ages
Report Timber January 3, 2021 12:04 PM GMT

Jan 3, 2021 -- 6:04AM, Timber wrote:


It was 1.3 to 1.4 for ages


REp majority that is

Report politicspunter January 3, 2021 12:05 PM GMT

Jan 3, 2021 -- 6:04AM, Timber wrote:


It was 1.3 to 1.4 for ages


No it wasn't. The lowest price traded has been 1.9.

Report Timber January 3, 2021 12:06 PM GMT

Jan 3, 2021 -- 6:05AM, politicspunter wrote:


Jan  3, 2021 --  1:04PM, Timber wrote:It was 1.3 to 1.4 for agesNo it wasn't. The lowest price traded has been 1.9.


rep majority

Report dave1357 January 3, 2021 12:06 PM GMT
admittedly I have only looked in the last two or three weeks, but I didn't see 3.5 much less higher
Report politicspunter January 3, 2021 12:06 PM GMT
ok
Report Escapee January 3, 2021 12:07 PM GMT
Timber,

So you don't believe in your own research & posts enough to actually back them with money?

You've been banging on about Trump staying president so much, I thought you must either have
money on it or be a groupie/teaboy type.
Report A_T January 3, 2021 12:08 PM GMT
why isn't Timber betting against Biden?
Report politicspunter January 3, 2021 12:08 PM GMT
Timber did have money on Trump, which lost.
Report Timber January 3, 2021 12:08 PM GMT
What I want personally and what I bet on are two different things

Happy to bet against anything to make money, only fools bet with their hearts
Report Timber January 3, 2021 12:09 PM GMT

Jan 3, 2021 -- 6:08AM, politicspunter wrote:


Timber did have money on Trump, which lost.


Only on electoral college votes, still think he got 330+
I traded the next president market

Report politicspunter January 3, 2021 12:10 PM GMT

Jan 3, 2021 -- 6:08AM, Timber wrote:


What I want personally and what I bet on are two different thingsHappy to bet against anything to make money, only fools bet with their hearts


But ou bet on Trump to get 56% of the national vote and over 330 in the electoral college, both virtually impossible to happen.

Report A_T January 3, 2021 12:10 PM GMT
What I want personally and what I bet on are two different things


as suspected your posts are just wishful thinking
Report A_T January 3, 2021 12:11 PM GMT
I traded the next president market

how much did you lose?
Report Timber January 3, 2021 12:19 PM GMT

Jan 3, 2021 -- 6:11AM, A_T wrote:


I traded the next president markethow much did you lose?


i won on that, posted many times

Report Timber January 3, 2021 12:20 PM GMT

Jan 3, 2021 -- 6:10AM, politicspunter wrote:


Jan  3, 2021 --  1:08PM, Timber wrote:What I want personally and what I bet on are two different thingsHappy to bet against anything to make money, only fools bet with their heartsBut ou bet on Trump to get 56% of the national vote and over 330 in the electoral college, both virtually impossible to happen.


Take only the legal votes and he would have got over 330

Report politicspunter January 3, 2021 12:22 PM GMT
Ah, now you are betting with your heart again instead of your head.
Report politicspunter January 3, 2021 12:23 PM GMT
If you and timbuctooth had asked me on the day you made those bets, I would have given you twice the highest odds elsewhere.
Report politicspunter January 3, 2021 12:24 PM GMT
To be fair, it was timbuctooth that suggested it, you just followed him in I remember.
Report Angoose January 3, 2021 12:29 PM GMT
Come on Timber, stick up a table that shows the legal and illegal votes on a state by state basis Crazy
Report Timber January 3, 2021 12:37 PM GMT

Jan 3, 2021 -- 6:22AM, politicspunter wrote:


Ah, now you are betting with your heart again instead of your head.


HE won all those swing states plus NM.
God knows what the real outcome would be if you audited all 50 states.
Dems might just about cling onto NY and CA

Report politicspunter January 3, 2021 12:39 PM GMT
You are still betting with your heart instead of your head. If you continue to do that, like timbuctooth and his followers, you will lose all your money, as he was warned many times.
Report Timber January 3, 2021 12:41 PM GMT
It was massive odds and not much money
Report Angoose January 3, 2021 12:42 PM GMT
Come on Timber, back up your claim with data, not with more baseless claims.
Give us the figures, surely you have them available.
Report Timber January 3, 2021 12:44 PM GMT

Jan 3, 2021 -- 6:42AM, Angoose wrote:


Come on Timber, back up your claim with data, not with more baseless claims.Give us the figures, surely you have them available.


I posted fathoms of fraud earlier

Report politicspunter January 3, 2021 12:47 PM GMT
Funnily enough, about a year before the election I gave Trump a serious chance of winning New Mexico. However, all the polls said he was behind and falling further behind every week. The final thing that made up my mind was this...

https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/NM.html

98% of the New Mexico voters from 2016 had already voted early by 2nd November and the Democrats were over 100K votes ahead in a relatively small populated state. Despite these early pre election day figures, which made the Democrats a stonewall certainty, folks continued to back Trump on the exchange. I know, because I have their money Grin
Report Angoose January 3, 2021 12:57 PM GMT
So, Timber, you don't have numbers, you just have an endless stream of baseless nothingness.
Report Timber January 3, 2021 1:36 PM GMT
“Vice President Pence shares the concerns of millions of Americans about voter fraud and irregularities in the last election.”
“The Vice President welcomes the efforts of members of the House and Senate to use the authority they have under the law to raise objections and bring forward evidence before the Congress and the American people on January 6th.”

Excited
Report Timber January 3, 2021 1:38 PM GMT

Jan 3, 2021 -- 6:47AM, politicspunter wrote:


Funnily enough, about a year before the election I gave Trump a serious chance of winning New Mexico. However, all the polls said he was behind and falling further behind every week. The final thing that made up my mind was this...https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/NM.html98% of the New Mexico voters from 2016 had already voted early by 2nd November and the Democrats were over 100K votes ahead in a relatively small populated state. Despite these early pre election day figures, which made the Democrats a stonewall certainty, folks continued to back Trump on the exchange. I know, because I have their money


Absolutely massive fraud in NM

They don't need that to win, but it will be uncovered in due course

Report politicspunter January 3, 2021 1:38 PM GMT
https://twitter.com/travisakers/status/1345160893382995969/photo/1

https://twitter.com/travisakers/status/1345160893382995969/photo/2

From Lin Wood, Trumps attorney.
Report Timber January 3, 2021 1:39 PM GMT
He's not Trump's attorney
Report A_T January 3, 2021 1:40 PM GMT
talk is cheap and not even his words. he wasn't so keen on the lawsuit that tried to give him power to overturn the election
Report politicspunter January 3, 2021 1:40 PM GMT
There is no fraud in New Mexico. Every single one of those votes was verified pre election. Feel free to study those official figures that I provided.
Report Timber January 3, 2021 1:40 PM GMT
I've seen all that stuff, he's been posting some wild things recently
I can imagine he will get disbarred if he can't back it up
Report A_T January 3, 2021 1:41 PM GMT
quite a few GOP reps sh1tting bricks that Maga candidates will run against them in future primaries.
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- January 3, 2021 1:41 PM GMT
2023 price drifting out under pressure from 2025 and 2021

Lol
Report politicspunter January 3, 2021 1:42 PM GMT

Jan 3, 2021 -- 7:39AM, Timber wrote:


He's not Trump's attorney


He was three days ago...

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/trump-lin-wood-jeffrey-epstein-alive-b1781084.html

Report Timber January 3, 2021 1:42 PM GMT

Jan 3, 2021 -- 7:40AM, politicspunter wrote:


There is no fraud in New Mexico. Every single one of those votes was verified pre election. Feel free to study those official figures that I provided.


I'll have to find the evidence. It was rampant though.
People voting in two states was massive

Report A_T January 3, 2021 1:42 PM GMT
we could be looking at no GOP president for a generation
Report Timber January 3, 2021 1:43 PM GMT

Jan 3, 2021 -- 7:42AM, politicspunter wrote:


Jan  3, 2021 --  2:39PM, Timber wrote:He's not Trump's attorneyHe was three days ago...https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/trump-lin-wood-jeffrey-epstein-alive-b1781084.html


That's wrong, he's not part of the team, he's working independently and is actually a democrat voter

Report politicspunter January 3, 2021 1:43 PM GMT
It was rampant on twitter/ conspiracy theorist websites perhaps but you can't find any real evidence?
Report Timber January 3, 2021 1:44 PM GMT
Rudi, Jenna and Boris are the main 3 with an old guy whose name I can't remember
Report Timber January 3, 2021 1:44 PM GMT

Jan 3, 2021 -- 7:43AM, politicspunter wrote:


It was rampant on twitter/ conspiracy theorist websites perhaps but you can't find any real evidence?


You won't believe anything so I'm not going to spend time finding it again

Report A_T January 3, 2021 1:45 PM GMT
don't forget Sidney - she was in the WH with Flynn advising Donnie just last week
Report politicspunter January 3, 2021 1:47 PM GMT
If you find any concrete evidence and not just ludicrous conspiracy theorists stuff on twitter and the likes, please post it.
Report A_T January 3, 2021 1:50 PM GMT
youtube videos of random bonfires and people putting thumbdrives in their pockets won't cut it I'm afraid
Report politicspunter January 3, 2021 1:55 PM GMT
https://sos.ga.gov/index.php/elections/lin_wood_tossed_out_of_court_again_georgia_rule_of_law_upheld

Another Lin Wood case in Georgia flung out.
Report A_T January 3, 2021 1:57 PM GMT
I'm going to miss all this after the 20th - it's been hilarious and provided light relief in the winter months Grin
Report politicspunter January 3, 2021 2:03 PM GMT
The Georgia runoffs are a pretty mad place. Trump is saying there were multiple frauds and the state was stolen from him. Lin Wood is urging republicans not to vote. There have been multiple court cases accusing the republican governor amongst others of being a traitor and fixing the election. Their have been three counts/recounts, one by hand of every vote, verifying the result. If you were a republican, what would you do?
Report politicspunter January 3, 2021 2:03 PM GMT
Oh, I believe Trump is speaking in Georgia tomorrow.
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- January 3, 2021 2:06 PM GMT
The devil went down to Georgia...
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- January 3, 2021 2:08 PM GMT
The devil went down to Georgia
He was lookin' for a soul to steal
He was in a bind
' Cause he was way behind
And he was willin' to make a deal
Report politicspunter January 3, 2021 2:16 PM GMT
Laugh
Report dave1357 January 3, 2021 2:20 PM GMT
A_T • January 3, 2021 1:45 PM GMT
don't forget Sidney


Sidney's a girl and Lin is a boy - confused? - you won't be when they are all sued and disbarred.
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