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politicspunter
11 Nov 20 14:39
Joined:
Date Joined: 20 Mar 18
| Topic/replies: 394 | Blogger: politicspunter's blog
Multiple markets up now from various firms on 2024 President plus Democratic and Republican candidates.
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Report lfc1971 November 26, 2023 3:28 PM GMT
The Dems don’t have a plan B do they ?

If Biden doesn’t run for whichever reason they’re clueless what to do
Say what you will about the Republicans if Trump isnt in the race they have at least two good alternatives
Report BestShot November 26, 2023 6:34 PM GMT
Exactly, Biden is not the perfect candidate but incumbency counts for a lot. Quite amazing how Trump is way shorter than Biden for respective nominee and the former is in an actual competitive primary.
Report yak hunt November 26, 2023 6:39 PM GMT
Trump is a very risky short price with umpteen pitfalls in the way. Why would you wish to tie up a load of money for a considerable time for a relatively small return minus commission?
Report BestShot November 26, 2023 6:46 PM GMT
The media is pretty much saying Trump has won the primary, he's telling his MAGA cultists that it's over and you don't even need to bother voting. DeSantis has the best endorsements anyone could ask for in Iowa, and in the past 3 primaries even Selzer has underdone the Vander Plaats endorsee, especially Santorum and Cruz who she missed massively.
Report yak hunt November 26, 2023 6:50 PM GMT
The nearer the primaries are, the more focused the electorate are becoming and although Trump has a sizeable (but falling) lead, he currently has the support of less than half GOP voters.
Report yak hunt November 26, 2023 6:51 PM GMT
Trump attacking Kim Reynolds is a massive error, she is a very popular Governor.
Report BestShot November 26, 2023 7:00 PM GMT
Yes, just look at Clinton in 08 and 16, she had name recognition so was far ahead, come the week before and the others start catching up and in 08 start overtaking.

Just seen Sununu is almost ready to endorse someone, Haley is doing well in NH but DeSantis longer term is the better candidate to beat Trump. He's attended events with both of them but Haley would definitely be the risk-free choice for him with her in a clear 2nd there and both being very centrist. Sununu isn't standing again in '24 so I imagine he'll fancy himself to have a role in either's administration if they were to win.
Report BestShot November 26, 2023 7:01 PM GMT
If Trump wins Iowa clearly after trashing Reynolds and Vander Plaats then he'll be unstoppable
Report yak hunt November 26, 2023 7:38 PM GMT
https://smarkets.com/event/42461161/politics/us/donald-trump/donald-trump-to-become-president-before-2025
.

What is the catch in this market please? Surely there can only be one possible result?
Report BestShot November 26, 2023 7:42 PM GMT
Christie: 'Trump deserves blame for rise in anti-semtitism', I swear the bloke's trying to get Trump elected at this point.
Report BestShot November 26, 2023 8:34 PM GMT
https://www.concordmonitor.com/newcm/2023/11/Sununu-campaigns-with-Haley-Chr...
Report BestShot November 26, 2023 8:35 PM GMT
Reynolds will be campaigning with DeSantis all the way through till caucus night, Sununu will do the same so it's an endorsement they'll want to have.
Report yak hunt November 26, 2023 8:37 PM GMT

Nov 26, 2023 -- 2:34PM, BestShot wrote:


https://www.concordmonitor.com/newcm/2023/11/Sununu-campaigns-with-Haley-Chr...


Link doesn't work.

Report BestShot November 26, 2023 8:46 PM GMT
https://www.concordmonitor.com/newcm/2023/11/Sununu-campaigns-with-Haley-Chr...
Report BestShot November 26, 2023 8:46 PM GMT
istie-Desantis-NH-53109250.php
Report yak hunt November 26, 2023 9:00 PM GMT
A good read, thanks.
Report BestShot November 28, 2023 1:19 PM GMT
Would expect Sununu endorsement sometime this week, I'd give Haley 85% chance of getting it, DeSantis 14.9% and Christie 0.1% Wink

If DeSantis gets it that'd be a major boost and would go a long way to showing the polls aren't reflective of what's going on on the ground but I just can't see it, from Covid to Disney, Sununu just doesn't agree with his policies.
Report blank November 28, 2023 1:39 PM GMT
The Iowa endorsements could swing it as it's not good for early states governors to be supporting different alternatives to Trump.
Report blank November 28, 2023 2:03 PM GMT
First Biden lead for a few weeks.

2024 Presidential Election Poll

(D) Biden: 43% [+2]
(R) Trump: 42% [-2]
---
Another candidate 11% [+1]

[Change vs November 19]

@MorningConsult
  | 6,527 RV | 11/25-26
Report blank November 28, 2023 2:05 PM GMT
Ceasefire started on Nov 24
Report lfc1971 November 28, 2023 2:06 PM GMT
Do incumbent presidents lose elections ?
The only one that comes to mind is George Bush senior
( perhaps Americas last truly great President )
Seems rare
Report blank November 28, 2023 2:30 PM GMT
Not recently. There was 3 elections in a row in which the incumbent lost, Ford-Carter-Bush, before that LBJ withdrew in the primaries because he was going to lose.
Report Jack Bauer "24" November 28, 2023 2:55 PM GMT
You have missed out Reagan in between. There was also another one that lost recently I seem to recall.
Report Jack Bauer "24" November 28, 2023 2:55 PM GMT
You have missed out Reagan in between. There was also another one that lost recently I seem to recall.
Report blank November 28, 2023 3:04 PM GMT
Ah yes I forgot about Reagan. Koch brothers backing Haley.
Report yak hunt November 28, 2023 4:27 PM GMT

Nov 28, 2023 -- 8:06AM, lfc1971 wrote:


Do incumbent presidents lose elections ?The only one that comes to mind is George Bush senior ( perhaps Americas last truly great President )Seems rare


Did that Trump guy not lose? Laugh

Report yak hunt November 28, 2023 4:28 PM GMT

Nov 28, 2023 -- 9:04AM, blank wrote:


Ah yes I forgot about Reagan. Koch brothers backing Haley.


Yes, that will be very helpful to her. They are very well organised and financed.

Report BestShot November 28, 2023 5:57 PM GMT
Sununu's endorsement -

https://www.politico.com/newsletters/massachusetts-playbook/2023/11/28/the-courting-of-chris-sununu-00128826
Report BestShot November 28, 2023 6:06 PM GMT
Haley (with Pence and Scott) is on the Nevada Primary ballot but the rest of the candidates are on the Caucus ballot, delegates are only given to those on the Caucus ballot, what is she doing Crazy
Report BestShot November 28, 2023 6:33 PM GMT
Christie has got till the 4th to get a 6% in a National poll, I'm sure Trafalgar will come out of nowhere on the 3rd/4th to give him that 6%. Shame Vivek is going, only reason Haley is doing well is because of him.
Report yak hunt November 28, 2023 6:38 PM GMT
You would think that Sunumu is only likely to endorse either Christie or Haley, with DeSantis struggling in New Hampshire. If Haley became President (I know, I know) then Sunumu could be a likely candidate to be in the administration.
Report BestShot November 28, 2023 6:42 PM GMT
Think Christie has no shot, Sununu hates Trump so he wants someone who can actually beat him. If DeSantis and Haley were tied in NH I think he could've leant to DeSantis but with Haley so far ahead there I think he'll more than happily endorse her.
Report blank November 28, 2023 7:07 PM GMT
Sounds like he has already made up his mind but is now building anticipation for maximum impact on the reveal, he criticized Reynolds announcement for not having that impact and getting overshadowed by other news.
Report blank November 28, 2023 7:10 PM GMT

Nov 28, 2023 -- 12:06PM, BestShot wrote:


Haley (with Pence and Scott) is on the Nevada Primary ballot but the rest of the candidates are on the Caucus ballot, delegates are only given to those on the Caucus ballot, what is she doing


At first I thought she was living up to the birdbrain nickname, but she has probably figured she can spin it as a state primary win and hope some voters think she beat Trump & DeSantis.

Report BestShot November 28, 2023 7:23 PM GMT
You'll know if Trump thinks Haley is a threat if he calls Nimarata Randhawa, Haley is doing Trump's dirty work at the minute in stopping DeSantis.
Report blank November 28, 2023 11:12 PM GMT
I'm surprised Vivek hasn't brought that up at the debates yet.
Report blank November 28, 2023 11:17 PM GMT
2 polls since the ceasefire, Morning consult and Yougov, both showing a swing back to Biden, green shoots maybe.
Report yak hunt November 29, 2023 5:19 AM GMT
https://s3.documentcloud.org/documents/24176628/11-20-23-sc-rpv-survey-memo.pdf

Haley up to 24% in South Carolina poll by Trump pollster Fabrizio. Not sure why this poll conducted November 12th-14th is being released now?
Report blank November 29, 2023 12:54 PM GMT
Mark Cuban leaving shark tank after 16 years and selling the Dallas Mavericks. I wonder what he is planning.
Report blank November 29, 2023 1:32 PM GMT
Koch brothers numbers.

.https://afpaction.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/AFP-Action-Internal-Polling-Memo.pdf

In looking below the topline numbers at the second choice for voters, a plurality of DeSantis
voters say they would support Haley as their second choice while DeSantis does not get that
level of support from Haley voters.
• In NH, 34% of DeSantis’s supporters go to Haley, 29% to Trump. For Haley’s
supporters, only 24% go to DeSantis.
• In IA it’s more evenly split, with, 38% of DeSantis’s support going to Haley and 35% to
Trump.
Report yak hunt November 29, 2023 1:36 PM GMT
I think it's clear that the only candidate going up consistently in the polls is Haley. She is still a long way behind though.
Report yak hunt November 29, 2023 1:39 PM GMT
Looking at that just released Fabrizio South Carolina poll...

Hutchison 0%
Burgun 0%
Ramaswany 1%

Honestly, what is the point of them remaining in the race?
Report blank November 29, 2023 1:42 PM GMT
Ramaswamy has decent support in the market but I'm not sure why, I think it's probably his money.
Report BestShot November 29, 2023 5:04 PM GMT
That's some Burgmentum right there, Hutch, Burgum and Binkley are jokes and should drop out, only God knows where Hutch is funding all this. You'd have to think with Haley's rise in NH that Christie's time is almost up too.
Report BestShot November 29, 2023 5:23 PM GMT
Think people are forgetting DeSantis is still the most popular candidate in Iowa, has the Gov endorsement, has the Evangelical endorsement, has the farming endorsement and yet the odds are saying he almost has as much chance as Vivek, keep laying though pls
Report yak hunt November 29, 2023 5:28 PM GMT
I have a gut feeling that DeSantis is busted. He was in a great position much earlier this year but his support has dwindled steadily as more folks got to know him.
Report yak hunt November 29, 2023 7:57 PM GMT
imon Rosenberg
@SimonWDC
·
2h
All 4 natl polls released this week have Biden leading Trump (via
@FiveThirtyEight
):

44-42 Economist/You Gov - 3 pt gain since mid-Nov
43-42 Morning Consult - 4 pt gain since last week
39-37 YouGov
37-35  Leger/The Canadian Press
Report yak hunt November 29, 2023 8:03 PM GMT
Those recent national polls may suggest further movement away from Trump from moderates in upcoming primaries.
Report Journeyman November 29, 2023 8:32 PM GMT
Ron had a clear route to inheriting the base from Trump four years down the line but chose the path of alienating them for reasons that are not very clear. He seems to be easily influenced when out of his comfort zone (instinctive plays at state level) by his consultants, and now by the endorsement of Reynolds which is the thing that will actually sink him, because she'll embolden him to alienate the base that even now still like him and are aligned with his positions.

As of 27th November Deantis' Superpac has spent
$4,500,000 attacking Haley
$  375,000 attacking Trump
Mediaite figures (via The Hill)

Pretty conclusive that he is playing to secure second place and reap the benefit of Trump being removed as a candidate by non electoral means. Three issues being that the base can see exactly what he's doing (opportunist vulturing), he is becoming more despised by Trump every day, and Vivek being still in the race (and who would receive the official nod of approval from Trump if he was successfully removed).

I have a gut feeling that DeSantis is busted.


DeSantis as a candidate for 2024 has been busted for weeks. What he's doing at the moment is carefully and comprehensively busting himself for 2028.
Report BestShot November 29, 2023 8:47 PM GMT
DeSantis is spending against Haley as he knows he has a good shot against Trump h2h, clear the field and pick up the anti-Trump vote. Why has Trump spent over $20 million against DeSantis and $0 against Haley? His team knows this also.

Who's to say if Trump loses again in 24 that he wouldn't run again in 28? I'm sure Trump will need the money more than ever in 28. And Biden is the perfect candidate to run against next year.
Report BestShot November 29, 2023 8:50 PM GMT
If Haley gets within 10pts of DeSantis in Iowa I will be absolutely shocked. Iowa is set up perfectly for him as NH and SC is for Haley.
Report yak hunt November 29, 2023 8:56 PM GMT

Nov 29, 2023 -- 2:50PM, BestShot wrote:


If Haley gets within 10pts of DeSantis in Iowa I will be absolutely shocked. Iowa is set up perfectly for him as NH and SC is for Haley.


I think you are going to be shocked Grin

Report BestShot November 29, 2023 9:06 PM GMT

Nov 29, 2023 -- 2:56PM, yak hunt wrote:


Nov 29, 2023 -- 8:50PM, BestShot wrote:If Haley gets within 10pts of DeSantis in Iowa I will be absolutely shocked. Iowa is set up perfectly for him as NH and SC is for Haley.I think you are going to be shocked


DeSantis has 9pts better fav than Trump, 13pts better than Haley and has since got the Reynolds endorsement and BVP's endorsement, DeSantis can actually make inroads into Trump's base, Haley has got Christie's to go after which ain't a hell of a lot.

Report BestShot November 29, 2023 9:07 PM GMT
I see one of Vivek's top advisors has gone to Trump's team, I wonder how long Vivek has got left.
Report yak hunt November 29, 2023 9:12 PM GMT
DeSantis support fell markedly around the beginning to middle of August in Iowa opinion polls to around the mid to high teens and he has been sitting there ever since. You would have thought that if anything significant was going to happen to his support, would it not be noticeable by now?
Report yak hunt November 29, 2023 9:13 PM GMT

Nov 29, 2023 -- 3:07PM, BestShot wrote:


I see one of Vivek's top advisors has gone to Trump's team, I wonder how long Vivek has got left.


Very interesting, thank you.

Report BestShot November 29, 2023 9:23 PM GMT
He should be doing better but his favourables have actually gone up, but I agree he should have some distance between himself and Haley like she does in NH. I'm counting on his ground game pulling him through, he's easily got the most endorsements, visited all 99 counties (just 1 left I believe), IMO if he does have a poor showing its not been from the lack of trying or bad organisation. As you say though, he needs to poll better as its almost a catch 22, people see you polling better and then more people have confidence that you can win and vice versa.
Report yak hunt November 29, 2023 9:29 PM GMT
He has been trying hard and throwing plenty of funding at it but he just doesn't appear to be cutting through now with voters. The more they know about him, the less inclined they are to support him.
Report Journeyman November 30, 2023 1:24 PM GMT
It's here! The Newsom DeSantis debate after three months of anticipation tonight.

It's a strange one. The third favourite for the Republican nomination debating the Governor of California who is not (officially) running to be President. This was Newsom's much viewed opinion on DeSantis agreeing to the debate.

'The fact that he took this debate, the fact that he took the bait in relation to this debate shows that he's completely unqualified to be the President of the United States.'

Most of the cold reality is coming in January but we'll get some of it tonight.
Report blank November 30, 2023 1:50 PM GMT
[i]The Calvin Coolidge Project
@TheCalvinCooli1
Report blank November 30, 2023 1:51 PM GMT
A source who is familiar with President Trump’s thinking tells me that
@RealBenCarson
is the leading frontrunner to be his Vice President choice in 2024 at this time


Not sure how informed this is but Dr Carson now down to single figures for VP. He is one of the most likeable figures the GOP have and he is black. Seem to be a different name thrown out every week though.
Report blank November 30, 2023 2:01 PM GMT
Newsom drifting a bit. He will probably rule it out again today but that could be offset with a good performance. Newsom & Biden's prices should be moving somewhat in tandem now, one drifts the other shortens and vice versa.
Report blank November 30, 2023 2:37 PM GMT
Haley 9/1 outright. I think she would be close to that price just to win NH or SC.
Report yak hunt November 30, 2023 3:39 PM GMT
She is 5.25 to win New Hampshire on one American book I looked at.
Report blank November 30, 2023 3:58 PM GMT
I would rather back that then the outright price on here. If she doesn't win her most favourable state she isn't winning, but if she does win that state, she isn't odds on to win the presidency or even the nomination.
Report yak hunt November 30, 2023 4:05 PM GMT
It's difficult to estimate the correct price for anyone in that GOP race because regarding Trump, you can't be certain where you are. He might be there at the end, then again he might not.
Report yak hunt November 30, 2023 4:32 PM GMT

Nov 30, 2023 -- 7:51AM, blank wrote:


A source who is familiar with President Trump’s thinking tells me that @RealBenCarson is the leading frontrunner to be his Vice President choice in 2024 at this timeNot sure how informed this is but Dr Carson now down to single figures for VP. He is one of the most likeable figures the GOP have and he is black. Seem to be a different name thrown out every week though.


A 74 year old black man doesn't appear at first glance to be the Vice President Trump supporters would rally round.

Report yak hunt November 30, 2023 6:03 PM GMT
Ron Filipkowski
@RonFilipkowski
·
30m
BREAKING: The FL State GOP Chair and his wife who co-founded Moms for Liberty are reportedly being investigated for sexual battery after a woman alleging she was in a sexual relationship with the couple filed a complaint.

A pretty bizarre story but DeSantis is really close to these folks.
Report Journeyman November 30, 2023 6:13 PM GMT
I can't see Trump picking a white male for running mate. I think if Ron had focused on helping Trump rather than running against him he'd have almost been assured the running mate positition with a view to inheriting the base.

Trump likes Tim Scott (and Scott ticks a lot of boxes and is a good age) but something seems to have happened there.
Report yak hunt November 30, 2023 6:17 PM GMT
You have to consider who the last black GOP Presidential or Vice Presidential candidate was.
Report yak hunt November 30, 2023 6:18 PM GMT
Scott is allegedly gay. I don't think he would be picked.
Report Journeyman November 30, 2023 6:22 PM GMT
The way Scott pulled out of the race without even telling his campaign team was very abrupt. Before that I had him down as an almost shoe-in to be the running mate.

I get what you're saying about Obama but I can't see how the base would be turned away from Trump by the VP pick and it would wreck the DNC friendly media's narrative that Trump is racist.
Report yak hunt November 30, 2023 6:26 PM GMT

Nov 30, 2023 -- 12:22PM, Journeyman wrote:


The way Scott pulled out of the race without even telling his campaign team was very abrupt. Before that I had him down as an almost shoe-in to be the running mate.I get what you're saying about Obama but I can't see how the base would be turned away from Trump by the VP pick and it would wreck the DNC friendly media's narrative that Trump is racist.


Possibly you have picked me up wrong? Obama?

Report Journeyman November 30, 2023 6:30 PM GMT
Woops. I missed the all important word 'GOP' in your post.
Report yak hunt November 30, 2023 6:31 PM GMT
No probs.
Report Journeyman November 30, 2023 7:00 PM GMT
Good article in today's Telegraph about the Newson vs Ron debate.

Why the rise of Gavin Newsom should worry the White House
www.telegraph.co.uk/us/politics/2023/11/30/newsom-desantis-debate-presidential-2024-fox-sean-hannity/

Biden campaign source confirming Newsom gave them a heads up and made sure Biden's team was ok with this debate going ahead.
Report yak hunt November 30, 2023 7:03 PM GMT
What can DeSantis hope to achieve in this debate? He hasn't been particularly impressive so far in the GOP candidate ones, although he has done ok. There must be a massive downside threat here for him surely?
Report Journeyman November 30, 2023 7:13 PM GMT
Exactly. The upside is capped and the downside is unlimited. It makes little sense.

I think he's doing it for two reasons. Firstly he gets a chance to be seen properly going after an opponent 9which he can't do running against Trump because he's trying not to alienate Trump's base). Secondly he's thinking his record as Florida governor matches up well against Newsom's record as california governor (which it obviously does) but he's underestimating Newsom's political skills.
Report Journeyman November 30, 2023 7:15 PM GMT
When Ron gets interviewed by DNC friendly media it usually follows the same format.

He'll make some quite good points on an issue, then the interviewer tries to get him to take a shot at Trump (eg do you think Trump is too old to be in the race) and then Ron refuses to bite and the interview dies. It must be very frustrating.

In this debate he can show the real pugilist Ron (or so he thinks).
Report yak hunt November 30, 2023 7:48 PM GMT

Nov 30, 2023 -- 12:03PM, yak hunt wrote:


Ron Filipkowski@RonFilipkowski·30mBREAKING: The FL State GOP Chair and his wife who co-founded Moms for Liberty are reportedly being investigated for sexual battery after a woman alleging she was in a sexual relationship with the couple filed a complaint.A pretty bizarre story but DeSantis is really close to these folks.


Oh dear! Apparently, there are illegally made sex tapes of these gatherings. Mrs Moms for Liberty is Casey DeSantis best pal.

Report BestShot November 30, 2023 8:45 PM GMT
https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2023/11/29/chris-christie-should-drop-out-00129145

More people need to say it, why are you still in the race if your objective is to stop Trump, if he still lines up in Iowa which means he's lining up in NH then all the credibility he did have left will be gone.
Report askjack December 1, 2023 12:44 AM GMT
Bestshot. I wondered why Christie is not in the Betfair Iowa market charts? You'll have to let me know if he does declare. It'll be interesting to see how quickly the 1.01 bets start to roll in... tick, tick
Report askjack December 1, 2023 1:07 AM GMT
Of course, I'd back him (with the benefit of your advanced tip-off) and then be the second punter to back £1 at 1000.1 and then both of us could start "scalping" the latecomers. What could possibly go wrong?
Report timbuctooth December 1, 2023 3:46 AM GMT
RDS 1, Brylcreamed teeth, 0
Report yak hunt December 1, 2023 4:30 AM GMT
I have been watching clips of the debate. Newsom is impressive, very impressive.
Report Jack Bauer "24" December 1, 2023 4:46 AM GMT
Newsom wanted to continue for another half hour and they all agreed to it and then went to an ad break and when they came back they were both gone. Hannity then said they both had other commitments. Looks like Ron didn't fancy it and did a runner.
Report lfc1971 December 1, 2023 9:38 AM GMT
New poll , Trump 68 , De Santos 9 , Haley 7
Ramaswamy , 4 ,
Report lfc1971 December 1, 2023 9:40 AM GMT
Watched first half hr or so of debate
Nothing we haven’t heard before or unexpected
Report blank December 1, 2023 2:04 PM GMT
Biden the only name on Florida primary ballot so he takes all the delegates.
.https://www.politico.com/news/2023/11/30/florida-democrats-dean-phillips-election-00129403

California deadline in 2 weeks I think, so there's not going to be any late challenger, all about whether he decides to drop out.
Report BestShot December 1, 2023 5:21 PM GMT

Nov 30, 2023 -- 10:46PM, Jack Bauer "24" wrote:


Newsom wanted to continue for another half hour and they all agreed to it and then went to an ad break and when they came back they were both gone. Hannity then said they both had other commitments. Looks like Ron didn't fancy it and did a runner.


Newsom won if you're on the left and DeSantis won if you're on the right. Think DeSantis overall had the better night but was bound too with Hannity in the chair.

NBC and Politico confirm that Newsom's wife called it off.

Report BestShot December 1, 2023 5:25 PM GMT
2.5 weeks since an Iowa poll, only 4 polls in November and 2 of them were from Fabrizio/Trafalgar. Why are there not many polls? Polling is big business these days isn't it...
Report yak hunt December 1, 2023 5:31 PM GMT
You feel there should be quite a few primary polls on the way. We are into December and companies will want to get polling done and published well before Christmas holidays.
Report yak hunt December 1, 2023 5:33 PM GMT
Strictly, they could be waiting till after the fourth debate.
Report BestShot December 1, 2023 5:36 PM GMT
Possibly but even before now we're far behind 16 but maybe some pollsters have given up as they think its over?

Odds of Trafalgar getting Chistie 6% in a national poll on the 4th December...
Report Life-Lucky December 1, 2023 6:53 PM GMT
Bro lived in Des Moines til he went to meet his maker last year - RIP - he used to say he was surrounded by Democrats but anyways, this morning on but365 Gavin Newsom was 6/1, on here he was 14/1. It could happen, put a tenner on but praying I don't win
Report Journeyman December 1, 2023 9:20 PM GMT
Trump's reaction to Newson versus Desantis 'They both worked hard and they both did well.'
Source Fox Digital

Ever since Haley got the endorsement of the Koch-linked AFP Superpac (the one that Trump calls 'Americans for China Prosperity') there have just been signs that he's maybe shifting his focus to Haley a bit.
Report BestShot December 1, 2023 9:41 PM GMT
If you saw Trump's press release yesterday then I don't think you'd be saying that Surprised He's quite lucky he's not on Twitter anymore as he can basically say whatever he wants on TS.

But yes I agree, he has attacked Haley now too, his ego is so big and fragile that he can't stand to have someone think they can compete with him.
Report askjack December 2, 2023 1:03 AM GMT
Polls are like Roman roads. Well maintained with a solid foundation in truth, they can be straight and truly lead you in the right direction. However, polls that buy data from The Epoch Times must be regarded as a twisted road to hell. Anyway, polls will not change the odds on Betfair.
Report blank December 2, 2023 5:11 PM GMT
Christie fails to get the 2,000 signatures needed to get on Maine ballot. Burgum & Binkley managed it.

.https://www.cbsnews.com/amp/news/chris-christie-may-not-appear-on-republican-primary-ballot-in-maine/
Report yak hunt December 2, 2023 5:15 PM GMT

Dec 1, 2023 -- 7:03PM, askjack wrote:


Polls are like Roman roads. Well maintained with a solid foundation in truth, they can be straight and truly lead you in the right direction. However, polls that buy data from The Epoch Times must be regarded as a twisted road to hell. Anyway, polls will not change the odds on Betfair.


Yep, that's why following non biased polls means consistent profit.

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