Nov 3, 2024 -- 8:10AM, edy wrote:
Results to only be accepted in the form of an essay. Due date Tuesday.
3 PM St. Petersburg time on Tuesday for the essay.
Nov 3, 2024 -- 8:24AM, edy wrote:
As I said, we will get to that after you turned in your essay.
Preferrably as a PDF built with TeX please.
Nov 3, 2024 -- 10:32AM, unitedbiscuits wrote:
Polymarket rules:READ THE RULES: This Presidential Market resolves when the Associated Press, Fox and NBC all call the election for the same candidate. In the unlikely event that doesn’t happen, the market will remain open until inauguration and resolve to whoever gets inaugurated.
Good news if you are a Kamala backer on Poly and we have a repeat of 2020.
You can then collect your winnings on election night with Poly, then deposit those into Betfair, back Kamala again and win again.
Nov 3, 2024 -- 9:44AM, TheManFromUtopia wrote:
Hi Yak, just been looking at WV again. On the face of it that looks even better than KS on EV data so far. A smaller (13%) gap between Rep & Dem, vs 17% gap for KS. I'm wondering if you think the Iowa findings could also apply, re the older females 2-1 bias and Dems' share of the Rep & Indie votes? What do you reckon? I just laid 5K for 50 for now. Maybe I'm overlooking something?
I don't fancy her chances in West Virginia at all.
Nov 3, 2024 -- 8:41AM, Jack Bauer "24" wrote:
The market is still wrong. Harris is the real favourite.
That may be but I doubt Freddi's Fiscal Power will run out in the next 48hours ..
Nov 3, 2024 -- 11:37AM, TheManFromUtopia wrote:
"I don't fancy her chances in West Virginia at all."Any particular reason?
Yes, Trump won the state in 2020 by 39%.
Nov 3, 2024 -- 11:48AM, yak hunt wrote:
Nov 3, 2024 -- 5:37PM, TheManFromUtopia wrote:"I don't fancy her chances in West Virginia at all."Any particular reason?Yes, Trump won the state in 2020 by 39%.
Hmmm, seems a good reason then. I was wondering how come the EVs so far aren't looking any better for KS than WV, slightly worse in fact. Probably comparing apples with pears though. Funny old game innit?
Nov 3, 2024 -- 12:10PM, blank wrote:
Selzer is on Halperin's show now discussing the poll..https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZtFjJXftf2I&ab_channel=2WAY
Listening to this now and just read her wiki page.
She has an excellent track record, but there's still the chance of it being a bad poll even though she's using the same methodology as before.
In most fields you would take what the best person thinks over the consensus of those without the same record.
No no, This is where you're going wrong, First you must consider what Trump's opinion might be.
Nov 3, 2024 -- 2:59AM, GeorgeBrush wrote:
Go all in kam toby, you know you want to
No way George. Trump is a sound favourite. I'm expecting MAGA turnout on Tuesday to be immense.
Nov 3, 2024 -- 4:38PM, tobermory wrote:
Nov 3, 2024 -- 8:59AM, GeorgeBrush wrote:Go all in kam toby, you know you want toNo way George. Trump is a sound favourite. I'm expecting MAGA turnout on Tuesday to be immense.
Good luck with half of your bets toby. It's been a good arm wrestle with you
Nov 3, 2024 -- 4:47PM, edy wrote:
Trump, he said, was almost “functionally illiterate” but did read the Page Six gossip column in the New York Post. He was “incapable” of reading a balance sheet, and any “act of kindness” would have been an accident, Epstein saidhttps://www.thedailybeast.com/listen-to-the-jeffrey-epstein-tapes-i-was-... my doubts about the validity, but that seems like a very legit account.
Sounds like arry redknapp. And just as popular