2020 USA General Election, House, Senate, Governor, States.

Romney, Collins, Murkowski must be certs plus another couple I think will. That brings you to 55, add in Mitch and his mates and it could be a very close call.

There is def stuff about trump's post election antics, not in the public domain yet, that mitch knows.

Will Mitch's vote have less effect because he will become minority leader? I think Sasse will vote yes and Tooomey too.

I just didn't see mitch being a stand alone.




There's an awful lot of folk itching to tell stories and sell books
... Likely safe to do so this time tomorrow

Yep, I am sure of Sasse also.

Agree that his vote is obviously more impactful than say Romney, 17 will be tough, but never say never.

Anyone else pouring themselves a big drink tomorrow to see the back of the orange loon? large G&T for me

Toomey looks at worst a 50/50 shot and I would have Mitch as that also.

Also depends what Biden may offer to him and gops

Other than no more trump

Toomey isn't running again right? makes him a far more likely yes

Biden is another non drinker...


I got some Big Wave Hawaiian beer for Xmas, so
I may make a toast, failing that it will be a bottle
of Thistly Cross Strawberry Cider.

Beer for me. Will toast the departure of Trump and the £3.7k I’m winning on him leaving this year. That will the end of a profitable era of political betting.

I have some delicious Yorkshire Tea that will do for me

Jan 20, 2021 -- 12:28AM, Fatslogger wrote:

Beer for me. Will toast the departure of Trump and the £3.7k I’m winning on him leaving this year. That will the end of a profitable era of political betting.

Yes Fats, it's been a brilliant few months. Looking back, timbuctooth and Insider Trader have to be thanked for providing some valuable pish regarding backing Trump.

3 or 4 years time we will get the film of the great
price manipulation on betfair, as part of the coup
attempt...

Jan 20, 2021 -- 12:35AM, politicspunter wrote:

Jan 20, 2021 -- 12:28AM, Fatslogger wrote:Beer for me. Will toast the departure of Trump and the £3.7k I’m winning on him leaving this year. That will the end of a profitable era of political betting.Yes Fats, it's been a brilliant few months. Looking back, timbuctooth and Insider Trader have to be thanked for providing some valuable pish regarding backing Trump.

There have been some really v amusing contributions. My favourite was tim.

Yeah it's been great, and I am now a fully addicted politics bettor.


well done Fats, and thanks for your diverse info pp. (Shout out to edy for his wit, and German Market insight)


#To the fantasists and groupies, Elvis is about to leave the building, you can start licking the toilet seats from Thursday. Good luck to you.

Could be a Civil War tomorrow ......Trump Bunch may go for it !

Ting tong just texted he said the national guard are going to arrest Biden Hilary the whole cabal are going down!!

Timbre has just Parler'd??! me saying the supreme court is going to sit
in an emergency overnight session and hear Chavez & Fidel who have been subpoenaed to give evidence of 'the steal'.
uri geller has agreed to hold a séance in the supreme court and act as the medium.

This is 100%, back 2025 maga and thank me later.

The text also said,don't forget to tell my fellow nutjobs on the betfair forum,no vaccine take hydrochloroquine and zinc and see them on parler with
our Qanon friend..

The Donald Trump complete insult list

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2021/01/19/upshot/trump-complete-insult-list.html

It's now the ACTUAL DAY that Trump leaves office and still 2025 or later is freely available to lay at 120

Sure is and 90 in another place.

Then again, maybe Insider Trader, timbuctooth, pollybournemouth, convict99, son of a gun, timber, primed, d-man etc etc will tell you that Trump has still won and Betfair are going to pay out today.

What is the Inauguration Day schedule?
An inaugural celebration for young Americans (10 am)
The Presidential Inaugural Committee (PIC) will host a first-ever curated livestream for young Americans.

It will be hosted by actress Keke Palmer, and will feature a special message from Dr Jill Biden.

There will also be commentary from historians Doris Kearns Goodwin and Erica Armstrong Dunbar and a segment on presidential pets produced by Nickelodeon.

https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/13780290/inauguration-day-schedule-president-elect-joe-biden/

The polls are wrong! Fake polls! **** election! Machines fixed by Fidel/Chavez! A ferrari just drew up with 10K Democrat ballots in it....oh how I am going to miss this licence to print money

I got 1.02 matched this morning on exit date 2021! I also had some more 1.02 that was very close to getting matched, but now there's quite a lot on the 1.01 on the lay side so probably won't happen. But I can't complain, the gift of MAGA kept giving until the end

Just lay the 190..

Someone still trying to BACK for £2,000 @ 290 for 2025 or Later......

Just need to borrow half a million pounds for a couple of hours?

Sloppy Joes pretending he's so important he's had the whole national guard drafted in... no one will even bother trying to waste him ffs

55 minutes left. 230. What on earth will it take to finally take it out to 1000?

A brain transplant?

Money still hiding, trying to force price in, lol

390...

Unfortunately, 100 Million Pounds will not be matched on this market....Or will it?

Harris literally being sworn in. What do the 390 backers think  - that she's going to be Trump's new VP?

Out to 500,lol

The goppers coup has about 6 minutes to save them...

770

780, looks like him being sworn in has made the difference at last

Where is timber and SS when you need them?

There is still "Trump to Leave Before End of 1st Term Market' still open to LAY @ 1000

Amazingly ALL settled....Just in time to LAY more money on Trump 1st Term Market....

Trump technically left 11 minutes early

Will they be paying out?

Lol

Time for a withdrawal!

Everyone should get over to the 2024 market and lay Harris at a crazily short price to win outright.

Is citizen Khan not a better bet?

They all know him

Well yes, but there is no guarantee that election will go ahead because of Covid.

Postal vote might suit just as well, and wind
up the right wing loons a little bit more.

Long civil war that one, probably the quickest one in history? and how much they went over board with it you'd have thought it would never be ended. 2 hours taking selfies in the capitol building followed by 2 weeks of them playing it up as something massive and then... Biden sworn in without a shot fired and they declare "end to uncivil war"... Something needs to change with this society because the utter fooking nonsense going on in it is totally pathetic.

They will be putting this s*ite in their history books as well

But the story in that book will be of something different than we witnessed first hand

Something tells me they've been doing this for 100s of years as well, our history is b0llocks

I haven`t posted on here since election day, and I see many posts pondering my whereabouts, accusing me of running away. Here`s my post from election night 2016;

timbuctooth 09 Nov 16 08:40
Clinton concedes.
Never in doubt.
When it comes to late nights, I don`t think I`ve ever been accused of being a lightweight, GB2, I`ve been here all night! You might know I`m an Indie bookie, with a large part of my life determined by luck. It`s not a big step from `luck` to `superstition`, and if I find something is `working`, I stick with it. As such, when I was posting earlier, I noticed that every time I posted, events turned against me; as soon as I`d stop posting, things improved. So, I didn`t want to bok anything by posting, even ignoring Tom`s enquiries into my whereabouts. Sorry, Tom, but I just couldn`t risk posting.
Well done all winners, but now it`s bedtime. Good night.



So, as you can see, I have form for not posting about any result until it`s actually over. 2020 is now officially over, so I won`t be bokking anything by posting, and it`s time for the truth to be established, once and for all.

In my absence, a number of posters have repeatedly lied about me, with pp being the main culprit. Some of you may recall that, pre-election, on numerous occasions I had asked these posters to stop their lying, to stop asserting that I had lost in the `dem nom` market, and that I offered up a challenge to any of the liars; if I produced PHOTOGRAPHIC EVIDENCE that they were lying, they would leave the forum forever  and, if I couldn`t produce PHOTOGRAPHIC EVIDENCE, I would leave. None of them were brave or confident enough to take me up on it, with pp hiding behind the coward`s cloak of having blocked me, pretending he couldn`t see my challenge, and edy being particularly weaselly about it.
pp even resorted to stalking me on the `Specials` forum, being his usual unpleasant self, but he was sharply hounded off by my fellow posters, who`ve known me long enough to know I was telling the truth, he was lying.

The original lies referred only to the `dem nom` market, but pp has since extended the lies, to include the `POTUS` market as well, which he has bored everyone with, by repeatedly posting his lies.

Here`s the PHOTOGRAPHIC EVIDENCE that, contrary to pp`s lies, I did not lose on both markets, I wasn`t `wiped out` as he has gleefully, maliciously and erroneously, posted frequently, I won. On both.

(I`m not a techie, had assumed the clips would play one after the other, but seems not, you have to go back each time to get the next one. The first four are `POTUS`, the last three `dem nom`)

https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCq1E1UhR29p65vk2bkVmuaQ

As posted at the time, both clients and friends have seen these lies, they have real-life consequences, so it`s imperative that the world knows pp has been lying all the time, while I was telling the truth; as such, not wanting anybody to be left with the wrong impression, wanting to reach every single person who might have read pp`s lies, I shall be posting this on numerous threads.

Long civil war that one, probably the quickest one in history?

Not sure these hillbillies have finished with their hate yet Sontaran. More to come. They are probably bored with politics now that Chump has hung them out to dry so will most likely go to race hate where they feel the most comfortable and don't have to think too much about it. The inbreds are well qualified in that spectre.

President Biden has removed the Diet Coke button. When @ShippersUnbound and I interviewed Donald Trump in 2019, we became fascinated by what the little red button did. Eventually Trump pressed it, and a butler swiftly brought in a Diet Coke on a silver platter. It's gone now.

Twitter

Trump spends first night as a private citizen 'looking for lawyers for his impeachment trial'
One of Trump’s first calls was to Lindsey Graham, telling him he was 'looking for lawyers' for upcoming impeachment trial

By
Josie Ensor,
US CORRESPONDENT
21 January 2021 •

https://www.theguardian.com/business/2021/jan/22/betfair-apologise-after-keeping-punter-100000-pounds-out-of-pocket-for-months

Betfair apologises after keeping punter £100,000 out of pocket for months

Jan 22, 2021 -- 12:44AM, ----you-have-to-laugh--- wrote:

Trump spends first night as a private citizen 'looking for lawyers for his impeachment trial'One of Trump’s first calls was to Lindsey Graham, telling him he was 'looking for lawyers' for upcoming impeachment trialByJosie Ensor, US CORRESPONDENT21 January 2021 •

Is Rudy officially cancelled?

Rudys on a train to nowhere..

Rudy's on a train to nowhere;
Halfway down the line
He don't wanna get there
But he needs time

He ain't sophisticated
Or well-educated
After all the hours he wasted-
Still he needs time

He needs time
He needs time for livin'
He needs time-
For someone just to see him

He ain't had no lovin'
For no reason or rhyme
And the whole world's above him

Well, it's not as though he's fat
Nah, there's more to it than that
See he tried to play it cool;
Wouldn't be nobody's fool

Rudy thought
That all good things
Comes to those that wait
But recently
He could see
That it may come but too late

https://www.theguardian.com/business/2021/jan/22/betfair-apologise-after-keeping-punter-100000-pounds-out-of-pocket-for-months

Betfair apologises after keeping punter £100,000 out of pocket for months

this deserves it's own thread.
sad that it took an investigation and calls from the guardian for betfair to miraculously find it within hours.

Any chance of a market on the Biden impeachment proceedings? American politics is wild. A former President and a President in the job for less than a week both with impeachment articles against them.

Washington DC is a 24/7 sh1t show.

Marjorie is just the chief QAnoner.

Jan 23, 2021 -- 2:38PM, therhino wrote:

Any chance of a market on the Biden impeachment proceedings? American politics is wild. A former President and a President in the job for less than a week both with impeachment articles against them. Washington DC is a 24/7 sh1t show.

Biden impeachment? What for exactly please?

There was a dem rep who used to impeach trump every week*


*exaggeration for dramatic purposed.

https://www.nzherald.co.nz/world/us-republican-congresswomans-astonishing-mo...

https://www.nzherald.co.nz/world/us-republican-congresswomans-astonishing-move-to-impeach-joe-biden/OBU5KVZQBVACVHMUCEQ25G2IKI/
.

Hmm, could she be just a wee bit nutty perhaps?

like most of her crowd she certainly knows how to get the mugs to empty their pockets.

She is most likely a bit nutty.

Betfair apologises after keeping punter £100,000 out of pocket for months




Interesting one, and longstanding customer, I could tell you all a story about
a lost withdrawal, but I might get wrong....

She's a QAnon wack job

re the £100k, they could have reported it as a suspicious transaction and triggered an investigation, which would mean they couldn't allow the customer to use the funds or tell him what was going on.

Yes Dave, that's true. However, the Guardian story suggests that the customer cleared any possible hurdles by contacting Betfair, before depositing.

Link..

https://www.theguardian.com/business/2021/jan/22/betfair-apologise-after-keeping-punter-100000-pounds-out-of-pocket-for-months

that wouldn't matter if compliance guy says no (and as he can be arrested and charged is understandable)

it's a more likely explanation than them losing and suddenly finding the funds.

Betfair apologises after keeping punter £100,000 out of pocket for months
No explanation offered for deposit not being in account
Money returned after Guardian asked for investigation

Betfair has apologised to one of its customers after he was left out of pocket for many weeks when an attempted deposit of nearly £100,000 to place bets on the US election in November was taken from his bank but did not credit to his account.

The customer, a long-standing account holder with the betting exchange who lives in Ireland and bets mainly on horse racing and sport, arranged the transfer of €110,000 (£98,000) a week before the election on 3 November, having confirmed with Betfair’s customer service department that there were no limits on the amount he could deposit and that the deposit would be accepted. He also fulfilled all of the firm’s “KYC” – Know Your Customer – requirements.


Football Index clients' money could be trapped after fall in players' share prices
Read more
When the credit failed to appear on his account statement, he became increasingly concerned that his money had effectively vanished, but despite numerous daily contacts with Betfair’s customer service department, no one could tell him where it had gone.

His frustration increased as the election came and went with the money still missing from his exchange account. He then asked Betfair to return the money to the same bank account from which it had been transferred but again, despite “multiple requests and inquiries” to Betfair’s customer relations and escalations departments, the money remained somewhere in the exchange’s coffers.
Betfair’s market on the US election was the biggest in the exchange’s history, with around £500m matched on the outcome. Several weeks after it was finally settled, however, and more than 10 weeks after the customer attempted to make his deposit, his £100,000 was still missing. The money was finally returned to his account on Thursday, a few hours after the Guardian asked Betfair to investigate its whereabouts and the delay in returning it.

In an email to inform him of the transfer, a Betfair representative apologised for the “inconvenience brought about the delay”. The company declined to offer any further comment when contacted on Friday about the case.

I've read the article and my comment stands.

mainly because the refusal to explain where the money was is exactly the behaviour you would expect in those circumstances.

I agree with you Dave that your explanation seems the most likely.

You'd think the people he spoke to would explain to him.


I got no explanation despite contacting them 3 times, then
instead of receiving the money it was put back into my account
over 2 weeks later...

yhtl - they can't say that they have reported - it's an offence

Dunno dave, maybe newspaper involvement was coincidence,
I still never got an explanation.

I might add I have withdrawn money dozens of times since
and never a problem

Sometimes the withdrawal hits my bank account the day before before the deposit
Is taken from my bank if I deposit for a bet and withdraw same same day.

does anyone remember Intrade after the 2008 election?

took ages paying out, about two weeks IIRC

Nate Silver
@NateSilver538
·
29m
In a week that partly took place during the Trump administration, we've already met Biden's target of 1m vaccine doses/day. We need a higher target.

https://twitter.com/WhiteHouse

Heard Trump is getting inaugurated as the 19th President of the USA on March 4th now because what's currently known as the USA is just a corporation owned by the jews or something and not legit.

Why 19th ?

I'm actually not entirely sure. I think it has something to do with the fourteenth amendment. That basically the USA became a corporation when there was some incorporation and every president since then has not been legitimate.

Look how happy and excited this lady gets when she reads out that the military will lift Trump into a dictatorship.

https://twitter.com/travis_view/status/1353441192395075584

Frightening tweet by someone who presents as being quite sane and rational and then spouts such astonishing drivel she is clearly either brainwashed and/or certifiable.

The text of the tweet is by one of the people who runs the QAnon Anonymous podcast,

rudi don't take your lies to town

Dominion Voting Systems filed a defamation lawsuit against Rudy Giuliani on Monday seeking $1.3 billion in damages for his "demonstrably false” allegations about the company's voting machines, the New York Times reports.

"Champ is enjoying his new dog bed by the fireplace, and Major loved running around on the South Lawn," First Lady Jill Biden's press secretary Michael LaRosa says.

US Senator Rob Portmand (R-Ohio) has announced he will NOT seek re-election in 2022. Joins fellow incumbents Pat Toomey (R-PA) and Richard Burr (R-NC) in deciding to retire in two years at end of current term.

Hmm, three Republican senators, three battleground states.

https://www.nytimes.com/2021/01/25/us/politics/patrick-leahy-trump-impeachment.html

Senator Patrick Leahy, the longest-serving Democrat, will preside over Trump’s impeachment trial.

Facebook has deleted a post by Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and suspended a chatbot linked to his account for violating the company's privacy policy



Oh dear!

Donald Trump’s personal lawyer Rudy Giuliani has described a $1.3bn (£1.15bn) defamation lawsuit filed against him by Dominion Voting Systems as “intimidation by the hate-filled left-wing”.

https://uk.finance.yahoo.com/news/giuliani-slams-hate-filled-left-180023754.html