New Posts For Thread: Marerfield by-election Markethttps://community.betfair.com/politics/go/thread/view/94150/31902081/marerfield-by-election-marketRestore are pumping money into this, costing them about £1-2,000 a day.You can back Labour & Reform for a guaranteed 3.5% profit... Free Money UK - By-Elections -- Makerfield by-election 6 Runners £201,455 MatchedBy elections are often tactical, and pollingcan be +/- 6%, so 12% error in effective 2 horse race.Some pollster was saying the raw data was more accuratethan the moderated content.. Lol.https://community.betfair.com/politics/go/thread/view/94150/31902081/marerfield-by-election-market?post_id=565450375#565450375By elections are often tactical, and pollingcan be +/- 6%, so 12% error in effective 2 horse race.Some pollster was saying the raw data was more accuratethan the moderated content.. Lol.Thu, 25 Jun 2026 06:30:26 -0500I think it just signals the extent of tactical voting, with Makerfield being an A+ example where people wanted both Burnham and not Farage, so you even had some tories lending their vote over to get the right result.https://community.betfair.com/politics/go/thread/view/94150/31902081/marerfield-by-election-market?post_id=565450223#565450223I think it just signals the extent of tactical voting, with Makerfield being an A+ example where people wanted both Burnham and not Farage, so you even had some tories lending their vote over to get the right result.Thu, 25 Jun 2026 04:22:40 -0500Just back from Rhodes. Polls wise, fairly reasonable. Restore spot on, Reform fairly close, Labour underestimated. I think that the last poll which had Labour at 49% had detected the start of a late surge in support for Burnham.https://community.betfair.com/politics/go/thread/view/94150/31902081/marerfield-by-election-market?post_id=565450161#565450161Just back from Rhodes. Polls wise, fairly reasonable. Restore spot on, Reform fairly close, Labour underestimated. I think that the last poll which had Labour at 49% had detected the start of a late surge in support for Burnham.Thu, 25 Jun 2026 03:56:05 -0500A pleasing meerkat.A 1/6 shot winning like it should despite market manipulation.Now refuk loses to Labour no reason for the more nutty refukersto not restore racism.https://community.betfair.com/politics/go/thread/view/94150/31902081/marerfield-by-election-market?post_id=565448657#565448657A pleasing meerkat.A 1/6 shot winning like it should despite market manipulation.Now refuk loses to Labour no reason for the more nutty refukersto not restore racism.Wed, 24 Jun 2026 06:22:46 -0500Restore matched bets £450,000 approx. Reform matched bets £350,000 approx.Restore backed at 44 on Thurs morning, still being backed @ 100 at midnight last night. Restore never polled over 10%. Was this betting influenced by Polymarket? A mad bot-lehttps://community.betfair.com/politics/go/thread/view/94150/31902081/marerfield-by-election-market?post_id=565439053#565439053Restore matched bets £450,000 approx. Reform matched bets £350,000 approx.Restore backed at 44 on Thurs morning, still being backed @ 100 at midnight last night. Restore never polled over 10%. Was this betting influenced by Polymarket? A mad bot-leFri, 19 Jun 2026 12:08:33 -0500I didnt expect (or bet) Burnham to take so many votes off reform but it stacks up in hindsight.Restore was a bit of an underwhelming momentum killer. They may have just reached their full potential very quickly and replaced UKIP/ brexit party etc ashttps://community.betfair.com/politics/go/thread/view/94150/31902081/marerfield-by-election-market?post_id=565438235#565438235I didnt expect (or bet) Burnham to take so many votes off reform but it stacks up in hindsight.Restore was a bit of an underwhelming momentum killer. They may have just reached their full potential very quickly and replaced UKIP/ brexit party etc asFri, 19 Jun 2026 09:01:31 -0500The process may start by then, but it will be very difficult to finalise. More likely we have a new PM announced at the Labour conference in September. Also, it is the least disruptive to both Labour and country.https://community.betfair.com/politics/go/thread/view/94150/31902081/marerfield-by-election-market?post_id=565438163#565438163The process may start by then, but it will be very difficult to finalise. More likely we have a new PM announced at the Labour conference in September. Also, it is the least disruptive to both Labour and country.Fri, 19 Jun 2026 08:33:35 -0500a lot of very delicious salty tears on here todayhttps://community.betfair.com/politics/go/thread/view/94150/31902081/marerfield-by-election-market?post_id=565438159#565438159a lot of very delicious salty tears on here todayFri, 19 Jun 2026 08:31:15 -0500Andy Burnham will be PM by the time Parliament shuts up shop next month. In the meantime the steward up the British Legion is predicting a heatwave with temperatures up to 100C will begin this weekend. He reckons it'll last until Eclipse Day at Sandohttps://community.betfair.com/politics/go/thread/view/94150/31902081/marerfield-by-election-market?post_id=565438135#565438135Andy Burnham will be PM by the time Parliament shuts up shop next month. In the meantime the steward up the British Legion is predicting a heatwave with temperatures up to 100C will begin this weekend. He reckons it'll last until Eclipse Day at SandoFri, 19 Jun 2026 08:24:46 -0500Funniest thing is the labour loony tune lefties and the left media thickos thinking reform losing this local by election, is a such a big win for them.Where the reality is that Labour winning this is probably the most undesired outcome for the labourhttps://community.betfair.com/politics/go/thread/view/94150/31902081/marerfield-by-election-market?post_id=565438075#565438075Funniest thing is the labour loony tune lefties and the left media thickos thinking reform losing this local by election, is a such a big win for them.Where the reality is that Labour winning this is probably the most undesired outcome for the labourFri, 19 Jun 2026 07:58:25 -0500