New Posts For Thread: French Presidential Electionhttps://community.betfair.com/politics/go/thread/view/94150/31716375/french-presidential-electionXavier Bertrand is currently ahead of Le Pen according to the US site PredictIt. Bertrand is trading at 18 whereas the the BF decimal price of 7 has an implied probablity of 13 - a nice fat 5 point arb if you can trade both sites or perhaps a value bwill they mention Marseilleshttps://community.betfair.com/politics/go/thread/view/94150/31716375/french-presidential-election?post_id=561194569#561194569will they mention MarseillesSat, 10 Jul 2021 16:12:28 -0500I spent some time today looking at this market. French politics is at best unpredictable. Macron himself came out of nowhere to win and the French electorate are notoriously fickle and prone to some unexpected swings of mass support. For that reason,https://community.betfair.com/politics/go/thread/view/94150/31716375/french-presidential-election?post_id=561194469#561194469I spent some time today looking at this market. French politics is at best unpredictable. Macron himself came out of nowhere to win and the French electorate are notoriously fickle and prone to some unexpected swings of mass support. For that reason,Sat, 10 Jul 2021 15:47:26 -0500Yes it's impossible unless you are a US resident. But it's interesting to follow the price disparitieshttps://community.betfair.com/politics/go/thread/view/94150/31716375/french-presidential-election?post_id=561193357#561193357Yes it's impossible unless you are a US resident. But it's interesting to follow the price disparitiesSat, 10 Jul 2021 11:47:01 -0500The best market recently was the New York Mayoral election Democratic nominee.https://community.betfair.com/politics/go/thread/view/94150/31716375/french-presidential-election?post_id=561193137#561193137The best market recently was the New York Mayoral election Democratic nominee.Sat, 10 Jul 2021 11:02:29 -0500I am on the Predictit forums. It is a useful site for info but of little use for betting purposes as you have to be based in the USA to place a wager I believe.https://community.betfair.com/politics/go/thread/view/94150/31716375/french-presidential-election?post_id=561193123#561193123I am on the Predictit forums. It is a useful site for info but of little use for betting purposes as you have to be based in the USA to place a wager I believe.Sat, 10 Jul 2021 11:00:41 -0500Xavier Bertrand is currently ahead of Le Pen according to the US site PredictIt. Bertrand is trading at 18 whereas the the BF decimal price of 7 has an implied probablity of 13 - a nice fat 5 point arb if you can trade both sites or perhaps a value bhttps://community.betfair.com/politics/go/thread/view/94150/31716375/french-presidential-election?post_id=561193097#561193097Xavier Bertrand is currently ahead of Le Pen according to the US site PredictIt. Bertrand is trading at 18 whereas the the BF decimal price of 7 has an implied probablity of 13 - a nice fat 5 point arb if you can trade both sites or perhaps a value bSat, 10 Jul 2021 10:54:23 -0500