New Posts For Thread: 2015 election - next government - "any other" value?https://community.betfair.com/politics/go/thread/view/94150/30436163/2015-election---next-government---any-other-valueI am just wondering what i'm missing here. Given the recent polls predicting 50+ seats for the SNP - eg http://goo.gl/aIAArX - isn't 5.4 for "any other coalition" an absolute bargain?SNP have one goal and one goal only, Scottish independence , and anything they do is with that in mindhttps://community.betfair.com/politics/go/thread/view/94150/30436163/2015-election---next-government---any-other-value?post_id=543522139#543522139SNP have one goal and one goal only, Scottish independence , and anything they do is with that in mindThu, 12 Feb 2015 04:46:53 -0600My understanding is that the SNP may support Labour on a vote by vote basis but will not enter into a formal coalition.https://community.betfair.com/politics/go/thread/view/94150/30436163/2015-election---next-government---any-other-value?post_id=543521917#543521917My understanding is that the SNP may support Labour on a vote by vote basis but will not enter into a formal coalition.Thu, 12 Feb 2015 03:33:57 -0600In that case a coalition would be out in favour of propping up a min Lab Gov? Would be a big difference in betting terms.https://community.betfair.com/politics/go/thread/view/94150/30436163/2015-election---next-government---any-other-value?post_id=543514845#543514845In that case a coalition would be out in favour of propping up a min Lab Gov? Would be a big difference in betting terms.Wed, 11 Feb 2015 12:53:55 -0600CJ, I am fairly certain SNP wish to contribute to the Westminster parliament but do not wish to actively disrupt it for political means.https://community.betfair.com/politics/go/thread/view/94150/30436163/2015-election---next-government---any-other-value?post_id=543514743#543514743CJ, I am fairly certain SNP wish to contribute to the Westminster parliament but do not wish to actively disrupt it for political means.Wed, 11 Feb 2015 12:48:00 -0600How are you defining joining with Labour? If it's a Martin Bell situation where he was basically a Lab MP in all but name being whipped you'd be fine in betting terms. Also if Green MP's defected to Labour in order to form a Gov you'd be fine.If it'shttps://community.betfair.com/politics/go/thread/view/94150/30436163/2015-election---next-government---any-other-value?post_id=543514603#543514603How are you defining joining with Labour? If it's a Martin Bell situation where he was basically a Lab MP in all but name being whipped you'd be fine in betting terms. Also if Green MP's defected to Labour in order to form a Gov you'd be fine.If it'sWed, 11 Feb 2015 12:36:52 -0600thanks cheese and happily i do understand why the most likely outcome is still unlikely! I still think that (now) 5.6 looks very long given that we agree it's the most likely outcome as things currently stand. i have put my money where my mouth is, ihttps://community.betfair.com/politics/go/thread/view/94150/30436163/2015-election---next-government---any-other-value?post_id=543501883#543501883thanks cheese and happily i do understand why the most likely outcome is still unlikely! I still think that (now) 5.6 looks very long given that we agree it's the most likely outcome as things currently stand. i have put my money where my mouth is, iTue, 10 Feb 2015 13:08:30 -0600I posted this before. Yes, a snp-labour alliance is probably the most likely possible outcome at the moment,but it is still significantly more likely not to happen than happen (and if you don't understand why these thingsare notcontradictory give uphttps://community.betfair.com/politics/go/thread/view/94150/30436163/2015-election---next-government---any-other-value?post_id=543496551#543496551I posted this before. Yes, a snp-labour alliance is probably the most likely possible outcome at the moment,but it is still significantly more likely not to happen than happen (and if you don't understand why these thingsare notcontradictory give upTue, 10 Feb 2015 06:25:46 -0600I agree with OP may be a touch of value in it. Don't discount a minority gvment thoughhttps://community.betfair.com/politics/go/thread/view/94150/30436163/2015-election---next-government---any-other-value?post_id=543491735#543491735I agree with OP may be a touch of value in it. Don't discount a minority gvment thoughMon, 09 Feb 2015 15:43:16 -0600Not really, because the SNP result directly effects the Labour result making a Con Gov more likely. If you are looking at Lab/SNP I'd back that directly with the books at 8/9'shttps://community.betfair.com/politics/go/thread/view/94150/30436163/2015-election---next-government---any-other-value?post_id=543491327#543491327Not really, because the SNP result directly effects the Labour result making a Con Gov more likely. If you are looking at Lab/SNP I'd back that directly with the books at 8/9'sMon, 09 Feb 2015 15:20:25 -0600I am just wondering what i'm missing here. Given the recent polls predicting 50+ seats for the SNP - eg http://goo.gl/aIAArX - isn't 5.4 for "any other coalition" an absolute bargain?https://community.betfair.com/politics/go/thread/view/94150/30436163/2015-election---next-government---any-other-value?post_id=543487025#543487025I am just wondering what i'm missing here. Given the recent polls predicting 50+ seats for the SNP - eg http://goo.gl/aIAArX - isn't 5.4 for "any other coalition" an absolute bargain?Mon, 09 Feb 2015 10:26:36 -0600