New Posts For Thread: US 2012 Presidential Race and Primaries - my betshttps://community.betfair.com/politics/go/thread/view/94150/28904955/us-2012-presidential-race-and-primaries---my-betsI'll use this thread to keep track of my bets in the 2012 US presidential election and GOP primaries. Total budget: £500.Finished betsFlorida +£12.35 Romney Back £90 @ 1.07 6.30 Gingrich Back £4 @ 9.30 - 4.00 Lay £10.05 @ 3.76 1I noticed that, and I am curious as to why - if Santorum were to win Ohio like he won Iowa, there will be a huge outcry about a conspiracy, because this would have certainly given him a lot of momentum, and could have conceivably swung Illinois (wherhttps://community.betfair.com/politics/go/thread/view/94150/28904955/us-2012-presidential-race-and-primaries---my-bets?post_id=517737681#517737681I noticed that, and I am curious as to why - if Santorum were to win Ohio like he won Iowa, there will be a huge outcry about a conspiracy, because this would have certainly given him a lot of momentum, and could have conceivably swung Illinois (wherTue, 20 Mar 2012 13:29:50 -0500ohio still not settledhttps://community.betfair.com/politics/go/thread/view/94150/28904955/us-2012-presidential-race-and-primaries---my-bets?post_id=517620835#517620835ohio still not settledFri, 16 Mar 2012 17:58:38 -0500Oh, and I just made it sound like I knew Romney was going to win all the way - that was not the case, and it could have gone for Santorum, but I thought at £1.25 and above, Romney was good value for money. I would not have bought Romney at £1.10.Rehttps://community.betfair.com/politics/go/thread/view/94150/28904955/us-2012-presidential-race-and-primaries---my-bets?post_id=517272183#517272183Oh, and I just made it sound like I knew Romney was going to win all the way - that was not the case, and it could have gone for Santorum, but I thought at £1.25 and above, Romney was good value for money. I would not have bought Romney at £1.10.ReWed, 07 Mar 2012 14:33:42 -0600I turned to the CNN election map last night, saw the polls coming in, and started buying Romney - unfortunately, I had most of my money locked up in other markets, and was not going to break my vow not to bet more than £500, but it looked pretty obvhttps://community.betfair.com/politics/go/thread/view/94150/28904955/us-2012-presidential-race-and-primaries---my-bets?post_id=517271839#517271839I turned to the CNN election map last night, saw the polls coming in, and started buying Romney - unfortunately, I had most of my money locked up in other markets, and was not going to break my vow not to bet more than £500, but it looked pretty obvWed, 07 Mar 2012 14:26:49 -0600Unlucky, Romney layers. You got the value, but he somehow scraped an ugly win, which has been the pattern of the campaign.What's saving the guy is that Santorum and Gingrich are splitting the conservative vote. Santorum would have hacked up in Ohio ohttps://community.betfair.com/politics/go/thread/view/94150/28904955/us-2012-presidential-race-and-primaries---my-bets?post_id=517262449#517262449Unlucky, Romney layers. You got the value, but he somehow scraped an ugly win, which has been the pattern of the campaign.What's saving the guy is that Santorum and Gingrich are splitting the conservative vote. Santorum would have hacked up in Ohio oWed, 07 Mar 2012 10:09:33 -0600This isn't over just yethttps://community.betfair.com/politics/go/thread/view/94150/28904955/us-2012-presidential-race-and-primaries---my-bets?post_id=517244423#517244423This isn't over just yetTue, 06 Mar 2012 18:58:48 -0600guy with most money going to windemocracy at its finest.https://community.betfair.com/politics/go/thread/view/94150/28904955/us-2012-presidential-race-and-primaries---my-bets?post_id=517243681#517243681guy with most money going to windemocracy at its finest.Tue, 06 Mar 2012 18:31:36 -0600lot of money being dripped in to lay romney now.https://community.betfair.com/politics/go/thread/view/94150/28904955/us-2012-presidential-race-and-primaries---my-bets?post_id=517238701#517238701lot of money being dripped in to lay romney now.Tue, 06 Mar 2012 16:11:27 -0600My error, it looks like someone wants to back Romney - good luck to them.https://community.betfair.com/politics/go/thread/view/94150/28904955/us-2012-presidential-race-and-primaries---my-bets?post_id=517229821#517229821My error, it looks like someone wants to back Romney - good luck to them.Tue, 06 Mar 2012 12:55:34 -0600Like you say, the polls show it's basically neck and neck, although what people say to a pollster and what they do in the voting booth can perhaps be different. You can't argue Romney has the momentum but the undecided religous base could revert to thttps://community.betfair.com/politics/go/thread/view/94150/28904955/us-2012-presidential-race-and-primaries---my-bets?post_id=517229689#517229689Like you say, the polls show it's basically neck and neck, although what people say to a pollster and what they do in the voting booth can perhaps be different. You can't argue Romney has the momentum but the undecided religous base could revert to tTue, 06 Mar 2012 12:52:22 -0600