New Posts For Thread: Is this a +ev move?https://community.betfair.com/poker/go/thread/view/94146/23655766/is-this-a-ev-move20k gtd rebuy35 leftblinds 500/1000Me - 11,000 *****(in trouble!) BBSB - 16,000CO - 14,000table has been pretty active, CO is abcish player and SB is over agg player (e.g reraises allin to steal out of the blinds on level 1 with k6 sooted and seems tThats presuming both call 100% of the time, so the slim chance that the 4xer has had a labotomy and folds x% of times adds futher equty.https://community.betfair.com/poker/go/thread/view/94146/23655766/is-this-a-ev-move?post_id=423955086#423955086Thats presuming both call 100% of the time, so the slim chance that the 4xer has had a labotomy and folds x% of times adds futher equty.Thu, 21 Jan 2010 16:41:17 -0600Its obv the ranges we feel they have make an ev prediction,this is obv chip ev and not $ev.From the ranges i felt were reasonble it came in at 36%,giving a small positive edge.But when we add the 2k they have put in to match your 1k which u lose ifhttps://community.betfair.com/poker/go/thread/view/94146/23655766/is-this-a-ev-move?post_id=423955082#423955082Its obv the ranges we feel they have make an ev prediction,this is obv chip ev and not $ev.From the ranges i felt were reasonble it came in at 36%,giving a small positive edge.But when we add the 2k they have put in to match your 1k which u lose ifThu, 21 Jan 2010 16:34:53 -0600'If you wanna flip, then flip' - course i wanna flip i have 11 big blinds!https://community.betfair.com/poker/go/thread/view/94146/23655766/is-this-a-ev-move?post_id=423955078#423955078'If you wanna flip, then flip' - course i wanna flip i have 11 big blinds!Thu, 21 Jan 2010 16:20:49 -0600*fairly EV neutral/ or marginally positive callhttps://community.betfair.com/poker/go/thread/view/94146/23655766/is-this-a-ev-move?post_id=423955006#423955006*fairly EV neutral/ or marginally positive callThu, 21 Jan 2010 08:44:01 -0600The key is "... and you likely have the best hand...."After a raise and a shove, On average your statement is unlikely to be true by any meaningful EV percentage.A fairly large percent of the time you will be 3 way flipping with a mainly polarised EVhttps://community.betfair.com/poker/go/thread/view/94146/23655766/is-this-a-ev-move?post_id=423955002#423955002The key is "... and you likely have the best hand...."After a raise and a shove, On average your statement is unlikely to be true by any meaningful EV percentage.A fairly large percent of the time you will be 3 way flipping with a mainly polarised EVThu, 21 Jan 2010 08:41:30 -0600come on ffs, this is a total no brainer; only someone who hasnt won an mtt in a year would post this question.https://community.betfair.com/poker/go/thread/view/94146/23655766/is-this-a-ev-move?post_id=423954990#423954990come on ffs, this is a total no brainer; only someone who hasnt won an mtt in a year would post this question.Thu, 21 Jan 2010 07:42:13 -0600The 4x open dont think he can fold much, the sb you say is a nutter so iam not sure he has to have a big hand, but you in trouble stck wise i think i call original raiser if he sees monsters under the bed might fold but i wouldnt expect that but evenhttps://community.betfair.com/poker/go/thread/view/94146/23655766/is-this-a-ev-move?post_id=423954966#423954966The 4x open dont think he can fold much, the sb you say is a nutter so iam not sure he has to have a big hand, but you in trouble stck wise i think i call original raiser if he sees monsters under the bed might fold but i wouldnt expect that but evenWed, 20 Jan 2010 11:59:19 -0600payout isn't too flat - first place takes aroun 5.5k based on 20k payout, 2nd 3k, 3rd 2k, 4th 1.6kbubble wont be due for another 3-4 levels, blinds have just gone up and are 10 minshttps://community.betfair.com/poker/go/thread/view/94146/23655766/is-this-a-ev-move?post_id=423954962#423954962payout isn't too flat - first place takes aroun 5.5k based on 20k payout, 2nd 3k, 3rd 2k, 4th 1.6kbubble wont be due for another 3-4 levels, blinds have just gone up and are 10 minsWed, 20 Jan 2010 11:58:59 -0600Or all in which is what i act meant ;)https://community.betfair.com/poker/go/thread/view/94146/23655766/is-this-a-ev-move?post_id=423954954#423954954Or all in which is what i act meant ;)Wed, 20 Jan 2010 11:54:05 -0600Call for mehttps://community.betfair.com/poker/go/thread/view/94146/23655766/is-this-a-ev-move?post_id=423954950#423954950Call for meWed, 20 Jan 2010 11:52:39 -0600