Rarely is this race won by a runner that has achieved more than one 2nd placing.
Secret Glance comes to the race with three and Kyrenia comes with two.
That leaves Rahmaah with just the one second placing and FTO Tavener.
The Godolphin set up has changed its stance on December AW runners and this has proved well this year for the 2yo's.
Pretend the 3yo comes to this race after a Hcp win in same grade.
Looking back over the years there appears to be one 3yo horse that had won both a B hcp and Bcon races. That was Secrecy and it took a years break to win both.
Pretend comes here within 7 days!
It seems they have taken a while to realise that 6f is the distance for Pretend - or is it? At current odds of 4/7 it might be worth avoiding.
Most of their 3yo's have ran at Listed or Group level before conditions race win.
Two dangers are Woolfall Sovereign that has won all its AW races between Dec & January months. Recent wins have been over the shorter 5f though - but Wolver seems its best track.
Baddalini has a chance on it's form with Secondo (link to Pretend) and won't be far away on the weights. Two of its 3 wins were with first time up jockeys and Chris Catlin has a 40% record for Alan Bailey.
The track also suits him based upon his two runs, a win and close 2nd.
Totally wrong in first two races so trying the last few races
3yo bottom weights with a win LTO do fairly well so going with MOULIN ROUGE
Botti farms these class 2 hcps on AW so going with SOLAR DIETY
Back to the 3yo bottom weights in this but can't decide between
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