Forums
8 people are following this blog
FLAT RACING

AW Weds 25th March

26 Mar 15 00:24
Three meetings today.
Top Scores (y) Next Best (nb)

Y    5    LINGA    Triple Dip 144
.        LINGA   
Y    6    LINGA    Henry Grace 42 b
nb    5+    LINGA    Skidby Mill 21 (WON)
.        LINGA   
Y    5    LINGA    Callac 21
.        LINGA   
nb    4    LINGA    Swift Blade 39 h
Y    5+    LINGA    Thecornishcowboy 11 t
.        LINGA   
nb    5+    LINGA    Dishy Guru 32 b
Y    6    LINGA    Pharoh Jake 21
.        LINGA   
Y    7    LINGA    Beggers Luck 29
nb    5    LINGA    Black Truffle 7 v
.           
Y    5    SOUTH    Tijan 147 h
nb    2+    SOUTH    Legal Art 27
.        SOUTH   
NB    5    SOUTH    Blazeofenchantment 14 v
y    6+    SOUTH    Tartan Trip 20 v
nb    5+    SOUTH    Pearl Nation 18 h (WON)
Y    8    SOUTH    Two Moons 14
.        SOUTH   
Y    6    SOUTH    Lucky Mark 27 p
NB    5    SOUTH    Coiste Bodhar 22 b
.        SOUTH   
Y    8    SOUTH    What Asham 8 (WON)
.        SOUTH   
Y    7    SOUTH    Light The City 5J
.           
co    5    KEMPA    Chevise 35 b
co    5    KEMPA    Baltic Prince 15
coy    5+    KEMPA    Major Muscari 27 p
.        KEMPA   
Y    4    KEMPA    Clampdown 12 (WON)
.        KEMPA   
NB    4    KEMPA    Mrs Warren 153
Y    6    KEMPA    Elusive Ellen 32 t (WON)
.        KEMPA   
NB    2++    KEMPA    Honourable Action 13
Y    4    KEMPA    Ya Hade Ye Delil 182
.        KEMPA   
NB    4+    KEMPA    City Of Angkor Wat 7 p (WON)
Y    5+    KEMPA    Biotic 169
.        KEMPA   
Y    4    KEMPA    Tears Of The Sun 139


Potential Lays
LINGA 4.00    Swift Blade 39 h
LINGA 4.00    Estibdaad 11 t

SOUTH 3.50    Meshardal 301

KEMPA 7.45    Bountybeamadam 182 p
KEMPA 7.45    Ocean Legend 2
KEMPA 8.15    Mambo Rhythm 179 v

Experimental
           
2.50 South; Blazeofenchantment
3.30 Linga: Valentine Mist
4.00 Linga: Comedy House
4.30 Linga: Dishy Guru
5.00 Linga: Teenager (WON)
5.45 Kempa: Chevise
6.15 Kempa: Hold Firm

Experimental 2
2.20 South: Tijan
3.00 Linga: Henry Grace
3.20 South: Two Moors
4.20 South: What Asham
4.50 South: Light The City

Reserves.
3.30 Linga Callal
5.00 Linga Beggars Luck
8.15 Kempa Tears Of The Sun.

My Best Today
2.20 Tijan
2.50 Tartan Trip
3.20 Two Moons
3.30 Callac
4.20 What Asham
4.50 Light The City
5.00 Beggars Luck

UPDATE:
Rubbish today on the scores.
Kempton is usually my worst AW track for winners but was the besttoday.
Two Experiments failed miserably. (They were to do with Daily Mirror tipsters)
All Lays beaten (2 NR's)


With time to go through and compare past results today (Track,grade,distance) it paid dividends.
I have to do the full works and most of it is on the hoof (between races)
Take the maidens - past results of similar races Feb-April months showed high percentage won by FTO runners or Long Break.
Backed all three winners of maidens, which is unusual as rarely bother with those races.








Rate post:
0 (0 Ratings)
Share |
report
No Comments [ 349 views ]

AW Thursday Feb 19th

19 Feb 15 20:25
The system is expanding and can be looked at various ways.

Going through Chelmsford card last night.
comparing the RPR & Top speed best figures in the races - similarly with past results
Two horses came out with strong chances based upon age of race, form, grade and track.

Plaisir and Winter Queen

5.10
Further research with Plaisir presented doubts when looking at Botti's record with maiden fillies that had been placed 2nd.
More doubts when looking at claimer jockeys in such races (Maiden fillies). In her races so far she looks like not having the final burst to win (one paced near finish).

Plaisir Lay bet

5.40
Winter Queen has already won two races. So far this year I make it 20 horses (14 Races) that have won two successive races in 3yo hcps - and only 3 have won. All three won at Kempton.
Charlie Appleby put a 3lb claimer on Winter Queen, when 2nd LTO, and today puts up 7lb claimer.
The  record with claimers relating to the 20 horses is one win from five rides (Alistair Rawlinson 5lb).
That win was on Godolphin runner (Suroor).
This race is the fourth race this year where there was a runner with two successive wins AND WHEN top RPR matches with Top speed - two won and Coursing was beaten yesterday (2nd).

Winter Queen No bet

6.1O
Third Strike looking to achieve a third win on the trot.
He would be the first this year in his AGE group (4yo) and grade.
It appears on past results in such circumstances that a Course win is essential (Difficult with this new track)

lay bet

6.40
The versatile Putin catches the eye in this race.
Surely the up in grade (F to E) and distance (8f to 6f) will test this today.
Eight 7yo's this year have failed to repeat a win with a penalty (and neither has Putin won with the penalty)

Lay bet

7.10
4yo's with penalty appear have great difficulty to win above E grade in hcps so this D grade race might be against Vosne Romanee
Also not much going for dual winner Stonecutter.

UPDATE
OK there's usually one to spoil the party (Third Strike) but all the horses mentioned were either Top Score or next best (Vosne Romnanee).
GLEIGHS normally has at least one Top Score winner and was hoping it would be in last two races (Miniskirt or Joints Youm Jamil/ Ever Yours

Rate post:
0 (0 Ratings)
Share |
report
No Comments [ 545 views ]

AW Tuesday February 3rd

03 Feb 15 11:33
Top Scores: Highest scores *
KEMPA
top    Horse                days    Age
2.10:nb    City Of Angkor Wat   4 p     5
2.10:y    Habeshia            13 p     5

2.45:y    Vale Of Iron         12     3
3.15:Y    Novel Dancer      20 e/s     7
3.50:Y    Packed House      25 v1     3
4.25:Y*    The Dapper Tapper  10 v     3

4.55:Y*    Rigolleto            16     7
4.55:nb    Jolly Red Jeanz    16 b     4

SOUTH
1.55:y    Amazing Blue Sky     12     9
2.30:Y    Here For Good        38     4
3.00:Y    Longside            18 t     3

3.35:nb    Barbs Princess      7 6x     5
3.35:Y    Oriental Relation   21 b     4

4.05:Y    Red Unico          14 v1     3
4.40:y*    Robin Hill           33     3

No break runners today and highest age runs in Amateur race
HABESHIA, one from notebook on last run. Was w'drawn other day when claimer booked to ride and Spencer on today.
It looks the bet, but my Trainer d/base says otherwise and that is enough to back just for place.

Rate post:
0 (0 Ratings)
Share |
report
1 Comments [ 633 views ]

AW Monday Feb 2nd

02 Feb 15 12:51
LINGA Tops     Days      Age
1.45:y    Ze King      15     6 (of interest)
2.15:co    Hi Note     72J     7 (five of field had a break)
2.15:co    Coup De Grace 59J     6
2.15:co    Gimme Five 109 p     4
2.50:Y    Silent Thunder 21     3 (Maiden)
3.20:Y*    Semaral    56 p     4 (of interest)
3.50:y*    Temple Road 26 tp     7 (of interest)
4.20:Jt    Munsarim   42 p     8
4.20:Jt    Top Set    24 p     5

WOLVER Top Scores
2.40:y    Delagoa Bay   72     7 (Apprentice race)
3.10:Y*    Don´t Be     24     5
3.40:Y    Very Good Day 10 p     8 (of interest)
4.10:Y    Fair Loch   70J t     7  (Maiden)
4.40:Y*    Hardy Black 15 v1     4 (Seller)
5.10:Y*    Solar Deity 17 p     6  (of interest)
5.40:Y    Rat Catcher 21 b     5  (slight interest)


Ze King; Well backed latest but over wrong distance imo. Today might suit?

Semeral; Ticks the boxes today (possible double for Chris Wall)

Temple Road; Drop in dist suited LTO and trainer good with Top Wt/WLTO combo

Very Good Day; Stats pick in big race for Channon 2 yrs ago but never seen.
Fahey might have got it back to best.

Solar Diety; Might be at right distance today (8.5f was it's last win). Been tried  over 9.5 lately and running well. Regular rider (Harley)at meeting but Luke Morris up today. Also has been Top Weight in previous races and lacks a penalty today.

Rat Catcher; Noticed trainer in decent form - e/w bet
Rate post:
0 (0 Ratings)
Share |
report
1 Comments [ 485 views ]

AW Sunday Feb 1st

01 Feb 15 11:29
Top Scores - GLEIGH
top    Horse         days    Age
y    Exentricity  11     3
y    Logorrheic   66     3
y    Tsarglas   14 tv     4
co    Dynamo Walt 10 v     4 (Gets the vote with Top Wgt & wlto)
y    Kodafine      6     4  (Too high wght,no wins last 2 months over 9-13)
y    Taaresh    59 p     10 (Age?)
y*    Sea Soldier  25 p     7  (The highest score of day, BUT apprentice race)

Low scores today but only to be expected with absence of track winners.
The highest price winner in hcps at track so far was 6/1
Rate post:
0 (0 Ratings)
Share |
report
1 Comments [ 406 views ]

AW January Results

01 Feb 15 10:58
HANDICAPS (Top Score only)
WOLVER 16 wins from 50 races
SOUTHW  9 wins from 38
LINGA  13 wins from 39
KEMPA   2 wins from 22
GLEIGH  4 wins from 14

Breakdown by grade
BHc 3 wins from 6
CHc 3 wins from 9
DHc 8 wins from 26
EHc 9 wins from 37
FHc 19 wins from 72
GHc 2 wins from 8
SellHc 0 from 2

MAIDENS
WOLVER 6 from 11
SOUTHW 3 from 8
LINGA  7 from 18
KEMPA  0 from 4
GLEIGH 2 from 3

The recent introduction of including the second rating from newspaper spot ratings is being used to overcome the problem of Joint & Co Top Scores.

Rate post:
0 (0 Ratings)
Share |
report
No Comments [ 316 views ]

AW Saturday January 31st

31 Jan 15 14:59
Top Scores LINGFIELD
top    Horse           days    Age
Y**    Inexorable Tide 21     3
Y**    Middle England 45     3
Y*    Gabrial´s Wawa 7     5
Y**    Mindurownbusiness 114     4
Y*    Noble Gift    15     5
Y    Bertie Blu Boy 10 b     7

The maiden races at this time of year are best avoided.
Most Top Score (or rated) start odds on and there is little value.

Generally the Top Scores in hcps are favourites and the price limit of 4/1 is the set price for betting to win.

On that basis today Gabrials Wawa and Noble Gift are my probable bets
Mindurownbusiness is another and is interesting to see if Roger Varian can improve this from leaving David Simcock.

Bertie Blu Boy is an apprentice race and not my favourite type.
Trainer is in good form though.
Rate post:
0 (0 Ratings)
Share |
report
No Comments [ 409 views ]

AW Friday January 30th

30 Jan 15 23:16
Busy elsewhere and late today
Top Scores
LINGA
Tarooq 12
Offshore 22 p
Le Rouquin 9 6x    WON
Waterloo Dock 4 6xv
Singular Quest 27
Uganda Glory 22 v

WOLVER
Stanlow 7 p
Hanalei Bay 15 b
Mia´s Boy 22
Reggie Bond 46 b WON
Pensax Lad 16    WON
Sunbird         WON

Rate post:
0 (0 Ratings)
Share |
report
1 Comments [ 305 views ]

AW Thursday Jan 29th

29 Jan 15 15:47
SOUTHWELL Top Scores
* High Score ** Maximum Score

top    Horse                days    Age
2.00:Y**Very First Blade      9 eb     6
2.30:Y*    Risk ´N´ Reward       2 v     4
3.00:Y*    Jacobs Son           42     7
3.30:nb    Lean On Pete         17     6
3.30:Y    Sellingallthetime    133     4 (non runner)
4.00:Y*    Stradater             2     6 (non runner)
4.30:Y**Poppy Bond            7     5

WOLVER

5.35:Y    Ballyfarsoon       33 p     4
6.10:Y    Woofie             19 p     3
6.40:NB    Aye Aye Skipper    15 p     5
6.40:Y*    Lutine Charlie       11     8
7.10:nb    Light Of The World   12     3
7.10:Y    Anniversarie         24     3
7.40:Y*    Rich Again          20 p     6
7.40:NB    Time And Place       38     5
8.10:Y    Gracefilly         7 6x     4
Rate post:
0 (0 Ratings)
Share |
report
1 Comments [ 301 views ]

AW Weds Jan 28th

28 Jan 15 14:36
Todays Top Scores IN Race tIME Order
* Means High score

top    Horse       Days
y    Twin Turbo 18
nb    El Che 12

nb    Jack Of Diamonds 25
y*    Ruban 4 t

Y    Flighty Clarets 13

Y*    Pretend 33 h

Y    Stonecutter 46

y    Brave Decision 12

Y*    Russian Ice 10 6xb

nb    Softly She Treads 37 v
Y*    Golly Miss Molly 7 b

y    Hurricane Alert 67

Y*    Drive On 14 p

J    Greatest Journey 33
J    Showtime Blues 41

Y    Optimystic 18 ht1
Rate post:
0 (0 Ratings)
Share |
report
1 Comments [ 423 views ]

Page 2 of 14  •  Previous | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | ... | 14 | Next
www.betfair.com