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SanFranFan
20 Dec 10 09:21
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Date Joined: 17 Jan 06
| Topic/replies: 120 | Blogger: SanFranFan's blog
In the COLD tonight? What do we think folks? I'm taking the Bears despite the price, the opposite of my "the Steelers are too short" chirping last night. Vikings season heading one way, third-string QB playing, and no motivation even before they were kicked out into the cold which the players are already bleating about (justifiably, perhaps).

http://thetippingpoint-rufus.blogspot.com/2010/12/bears-too-good-for-vikings.html

Comments? Views? Bears too short?

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By:
d13phe
When: 20 Dec 10 10:20
if there was ever a no bet game this is definitely it.

risky to take the bears imo because the vikings defensive line could easily overwhelm the bears front line and when there is pressure on Cutler we know what happens
By:
SanFranFan
When: 20 Dec 10 18:03
Favre upgraded to QUESTIONABLE - throwing 3 hours before the game.

Does this make an impact the way he has been playing? Old guy in the snow better than untested third-stringer? Snow falling as well, not a night for a gunslinger.

Still, should make Bears drift somewhat.
By:
subaru
When: 20 Dec 10 20:39
will be all about the rush, the ball will be like a brick and very difficult to catch in the conditions. Chicago to keep it on the ground and dominate time of posession, a lowe-score win as a result I reckon.
By:
San Quentin
When: 20 Dec 10 21:23
is this game on tv
By:
San Quentin
When: 20 Dec 10 21:27
ok couldnt see it for looking lol drunk again
By:
CJ
When: 20 Dec 10 21:43
The game will be on atdhe.net

Please please god, let the Vikes win!
By:
good value losers
When: 20 Dec 10 22:13
vikes season over, franchise in disarray, players won't care esp in the cold. bears hunting playoffs. it's theirs to lose.
By:
ChampagneSuperNovo
When: 20 Dec 10 22:16
Bears Bears Bears
By:
SanFranFan
When: 20 Dec 10 22:16
Snow falling very hard - run first, NFC North, smashmouth football it seems!
By:
BARNEY15C
When: 20 Dec 10 22:17
Anyone think there are +32 points in this game???
By:
TwoTonTed
When: 20 Dec 10 22:17
think 1.3x is a decent price.  Seldom back short odds but this is attractive, 3rd string QB or not.
By:
horse9
When: 20 Dec 10 23:17
If Favre makes it then the Vikes may have a chance, the 3rd stringer QB was a WR apparently, if he faces that Bears D there's only one outcome.
Snow all day, temp around -10 (under 20 degrees), it's all set up for a Bears win, hope I'm wrong as I'm with the Packers ante post.
As for the points line, I always think once it drops to low 30s unless the weather is god awful then it;s an overs play - always a chance on special teams, fumble inside your own 10, muffed catch, something could lift the points, but I'd want Favre playing than a FA ex receiver !
Good luck if you play
By:
BARNEY15C
When: 20 Dec 10 23:28
Thanks for the analysis horse, i've got £21 on +32 @10/11 with £adbroke$, score line has since nudged up a point to +33 so its possible that overs is looking favourable.
By:
good value losers
When: 20 Dec 10 23:47
interesting take on the total. bad weather usually means low scores no?
By:
theboymoore
When: 20 Dec 10 23:47
Barnsey, this is looking terrible for weather.

http://www.nfl.com/videos/chicago-bears/09000d5d81d104aa/Monday-Night-Football-update?module=HP_cp2
By:
BARNEY15C
When: 20 Dec 10 23:52
Yes shocking weather, if it goes ahead could be fumbles galore flip side is kicking game (field goals) could suffer badly. 50/50 but hopeful 'IF' it goes ahead.
By:
theboymoore
When: 21 Dec 10 00:01
AP is out, and Favre is now probable!!
By:
d13phe
When: 21 Dec 10 00:03
Doesn't look that bad. Conditions were worse in the Leicester ipswch game last week

I'm personally amazed by the love for the bears.

Favre Starts!
By:
ChampagneSuperNovo
When: 21 Dec 10 00:05
Bears will still win Love
By:
d13phe
When: 21 Dec 10 00:05
But ap out.

That's huge news.
By:
baxter152
When: 21 Dec 10 00:17
Favre starts apparently.
By:
KN
When: 21 Dec 10 00:21
over or under 32.5 ????
By:
runandskip
When: 21 Dec 10 00:22
Gerhart a big price now for first TD
By:
BARNEY15C
When: 21 Dec 10 00:38
See Horse9's comments weather not good but been played in worse seems low 30's achievable. Im on +32
By:
Chester J Lampwick
When: 21 Dec 10 00:45
Flowers went 3.75 Vikes up to 2 mins ago. Has created a nice starting postion. Fancy the Bears strongly no Adrian Petersen no chance imho
By:
d13phe
When: 21 Dec 10 00:50
Quite an interesting piece about the effect of the cold now
By:
Chester J Lampwick
When: 21 Dec 10 00:51
They are great on the science of sports
By:
Ross8481
When: 21 Dec 10 00:54
Over 12.5 VIke points please
By:
ManWithNoName
When: 21 Dec 10 01:04
Favre plays. Peterson out. The pitch is described as "unplayable" by some of the Vikes, so I guess this explains the points line. Both defences are stingy when on song.

Even so, it says something for the demise of Favre after all his heroics in the cold at Green Bay that line is set at 33.5.

I guess a couple of turnovers and some botches or big plays on special teams (Hester) could make
By:
ManWithNoName
When: 21 Dec 10 01:05
Favre plays. Peterson out. The pitch is described as "unplayable" by some of the Vikes, so I guess this explains the points line. Both defences are stingy when on song.

Even so, it says something for the demise of Favre after all his heroics in the cold at Green Bay that line is set at 33.5.

I guess a couple of turnovers and some botches or big plays on special teams (Hester) could allow the 'overs' to come in, but it's a bit of a puzzle.
By:
d13phe
When: 21 Dec 10 01:06
Pitch looks fine from what I have seen.

Forecast also improving according to comms.
By:
Still standing
When: 21 Dec 10 01:06
No AP, so Vikes running game is zero.

Favre will have to force it, and we knows what happens when he does that.

My money is already down on Da Bears.  Should be easy.
By:
Dr.Cypionate
When: 21 Dec 10 01:10
somebodies manipulating the overs market here..sid james have it 10/11 each over 34... 1.8 overs here!!
By:
d13phe
When: 21 Dec 10 01:12
Don't forget farve has his best two weapons in rice and Harvin.

Overs and vikes for me
By:
Umbo Mangoman
When: 21 Dec 10 01:25
Vikes at this price
By:
Ross8481
When: 21 Dec 10 01:32
cmon Brett LaughLove
By:
d13phe
When: 21 Dec 10 01:33
Regardless of what happens Brett Favre is one tough basterd
By:
Still standing
When: 21 Dec 10 01:34
I'll risk looking like a complete fool, but this looks like such an easy Bears win, it's a no brainer.

Bears have a great defense, Cutler playing well.

Vikes don't have their best weapon, Favre is hurting, if he goes down, it's the 3rd stringer.  Bears will try to take Favre out.  Favre will force several passes and get picked off, at least two times.

Home field isn't a huge advantage for the Vikes tonight.

Bears O line is suspect, but Cutler can handle the pressure.

Bears by 14.  Get the knives out.
By:
Ross8481
When: 21 Dec 10 01:34
ffs Cutler so bad
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