New Posts For Thread: NFL COnsensus Picks Week 14https://community.betfair.com/north_american/go/thread/view/94138/23637802/nfl-consensus-picks-week-14As we all know the general public no nothing about gambling. The 'Vegas Pro' rule is that anytime 70% or more of the money is going with one side, you should look at the other team with a view to betting them.The last four weeks has seen this theoryin 3 cases the dog was favoured by 70% to beat the spread, and they did each time Bingo!https://community.betfair.com/north_american/go/thread/view/94138/23637802/nfl-consensus-picks-week-14?post_id=423520586#423520586in 3 cases the dog was favoured by 70% to beat the spread, and they did each time Bingo!Wed, 16 Dec 2009 12:06:37 -0600Did a bit of work on the NBA season today in the ATS marketIn all cases I have assumed that odds of 10/11 are the best availableTo date there has been 106 matches where the favourite had been picked to beat the spread by 65% of puntersBacking the dohttps://community.betfair.com/north_american/go/thread/view/94138/23637802/nfl-consensus-picks-week-14?post_id=423520574#423520574Did a bit of work on the NBA season today in the ATS marketIn all cases I have assumed that odds of 10/11 are the best availableTo date there has been 106 matches where the favourite had been picked to beat the spread by 65% of puntersBacking the doWed, 16 Dec 2009 10:45:30 -0600^good pointSat night it is then :-)https://community.betfair.com/north_american/go/thread/view/94138/23637802/nfl-consensus-picks-week-14?post_id=423520554#423520554^good pointSat night it is then :-)Tue, 15 Dec 2009 10:39:43 -0600I would say Saturday night is the best time for the cut-offPresumably the better punters will wait for late team news/weather before making their picks so best to get the selection when it's mostly the mugs who have done the pickingI do all my bettinhttps://community.betfair.com/north_american/go/thread/view/94138/23637802/nfl-consensus-picks-week-14?post_id=423520550#423520550I would say Saturday night is the best time for the cut-offPresumably the better punters will wait for late team news/weather before making their picks so best to get the selection when it's mostly the mugs who have done the pickingI do all my bettinTue, 15 Dec 2009 10:26:38 -0600bad week, 11-4 now ATS over 5 weekshttps://community.betfair.com/north_american/go/thread/view/94138/23637802/nfl-consensus-picks-week-14?post_id=423520490#423520490bad week, 11-4 now ATS over 5 weeksSun, 13 Dec 2009 23:13:38 -0600just done it redrich, i should make a certain time per week really. not sure how they change much day to day, by the way, trialling this myself on the NBA and so far am 4-2 ATS on plus 70% and 2-1 ATS on plus 65%.If this theory carries over to MLB ahttps://community.betfair.com/north_american/go/thread/view/94138/23637802/nfl-consensus-picks-week-14?post_id=423520486#423520486just done it redrich, i should make a certain time per week really. not sure how they change much day to day, by the way, trialling this myself on the NBA and so far am 4-2 ATS on plus 70% and 2-1 ATS on plus 65%.If this theory carries over to MLB aSun, 13 Dec 2009 09:59:51 -0600its a brave man who goes against this given the 11-3 ATS in the last four weeks!Green Bay 70.1%Not good news for Packer fans this!https://community.betfair.com/north_american/go/thread/view/94138/23637802/nfl-consensus-picks-week-14?post_id=423520482#423520482its a brave man who goes against this given the 11-3 ATS in the last four weeks!Green Bay 70.1%Not good news for Packer fans this!Sun, 13 Dec 2009 09:57:45 -0600when is your weekly cut off Jimmy?https://community.betfair.com/north_american/go/thread/view/94138/23637802/nfl-consensus-picks-week-14?post_id=423520478#423520478when is your weekly cut off Jimmy?Sat, 12 Dec 2009 05:56:03 -0600Just got:Green Bay 73.1%https://community.betfair.com/north_american/go/thread/view/94138/23637802/nfl-consensus-picks-week-14?post_id=423520474#423520474Just got:Green Bay 73.1%Sat, 12 Dec 2009 03:35:39 -0600They are still attracting 70% of ATS picks though which means that the Cowboys less the points are the shroooood choice for this match!https://community.betfair.com/north_american/go/thread/view/94138/23637802/nfl-consensus-picks-week-14?post_id=423520470#423520470They are still attracting 70% of ATS picks though which means that the Cowboys less the points are the shroooood choice for this match!Wed, 09 Dec 2009 05:12:01 -0600