New Posts For Thread: Consenus Picks Week 11https://community.betfair.com/north_american/go/thread/view/94138/23629046/consenus-picks-week-11As we all know the general public no nothing about gambling. The 'Vegas Pro' rule is that anytime 70% or more of the money is going with one side, you should look at the other team with a view to betting them.Already this week we have quite a few ove6/3 ats using this system over the last two weeks. it is not pure science but just gives a general idea.https://community.betfair.com/north_american/go/thread/view/94138/23629046/consenus-picks-week-11?post_id=423260062#4232600626/3 ats using this system over the last two weeks. it is not pure science but just gives a general idea.Mon, 23 Nov 2009 06:42:54 -0600find ats very hard :( i'll stick to su i think. 12/14 favs won yesterday. 1pt level steak showed approx 2.66pt profit)https://community.betfair.com/north_american/go/thread/view/94138/23629046/consenus-picks-week-11?post_id=423260054#423260054find ats very hard :( i'll stick to su i think. 12/14 favs won yesterday. 1pt level steak showed approx 2.66pt profit)Mon, 23 Nov 2009 05:53:13 -06003/2 and my initial thoughts look great calls now with both Cincy and Pits losing outright.https://community.betfair.com/north_american/go/thread/view/94138/23629046/consenus-picks-week-11?post_id=423260046#4232600463/2 and my initial thoughts look great calls now with both Cincy and Pits losing outright.Mon, 23 Nov 2009 03:01:35 -0600This is all Jimmy's work.The consensus picks are taken from Covers (I think), the other probabilities are taken from my own software and a site called Footy Forecaster. I took the aggregate of the latter two, compared them to the consensus percentagehttps://community.betfair.com/north_american/go/thread/view/94138/23629046/consenus-picks-week-11?post_id=423257342#423257342This is all Jimmy's work.The consensus picks are taken from Covers (I think), the other probabilities are taken from my own software and a site called Footy Forecaster. I took the aggregate of the latter two, compared them to the consensus percentageSun, 22 Nov 2009 18:29:53 -0600so these are doing very nicely at the moment!can u explain further how you arrived to these selections tho??Howd u work out the aggregate and %win Accuscore FFL??thanks :)https://community.betfair.com/north_american/go/thread/view/94138/23629046/consenus-picks-week-11?post_id=423257306#423257306so these are doing very nicely at the moment!can u explain further how you arrived to these selections tho??Howd u work out the aggregate and %win Accuscore FFL??thanks :)Sun, 22 Nov 2009 18:24:07 -0600Pittsburgh 78.65%Philly 75.7%Cincy 74.5%Indy 73.9%Detroit 72.7%AggregatesPit 77.22Phil 55.57Cin 75.73Ind 51.2Det 61.93Difference +/-Pit -1.43Phil -20.13Cin +1.23Ind -22.7Det -10.77So, the bets would be:1. Bal +12. Chi +33. Cle +3.54. KC +105. Oak +9.https://community.betfair.com/north_american/go/thread/view/94138/23629046/consenus-picks-week-11?post_id=423257138#423257138Pittsburgh 78.65%Philly 75.7%Cincy 74.5%Indy 73.9%Detroit 72.7%AggregatesPit 77.22Phil 55.57Cin 75.73Ind 51.2Det 61.93Difference +/-Pit -1.43Phil -20.13Cin +1.23Ind -22.7Det -10.77So, the bets would be:1. Bal +12. Chi +33. Cle +3.54. KC +105. Oak +9.Sat, 21 Nov 2009 04:06:09 -0600Pittsburgh 78.65%Philly 75.7%Cincy 74.5%Indy 73.9%Detroit 72.7%Uncle O Puter %ge Win (SU)Pit 79.2Phil 51.2Cin 72.7Ind 51.9Det 72.2AccuscorePit 84.6Phil 57.2Cin 75.7Ind 60Det 49.2FFLPit 68.4Phil 58.3Cin 78.8Ind 41.7Det 64.4Make of that what you will (https://community.betfair.com/north_american/go/thread/view/94138/23629046/consenus-picks-week-11?post_id=423257134#423257134Pittsburgh 78.65%Philly 75.7%Cincy 74.5%Indy 73.9%Detroit 72.7%Uncle O Puter %ge Win (SU)Pit 79.2Phil 51.2Cin 72.7Ind 51.9Det 72.2AccuscorePit 84.6Phil 57.2Cin 75.7Ind 60Det 49.2FFLPit 68.4Phil 58.3Cin 78.8Ind 41.7Det 64.4Make of that what you will (Sat, 21 Nov 2009 03:49:35 -0600Pittsburgh 78.65%Philly 75.7%Cincy 74.5%Indy 73.9%Detroit 72.7%https://community.betfair.com/north_american/go/thread/view/94138/23629046/consenus-picks-week-11?post_id=423257130#423257130Pittsburgh 78.65%Philly 75.7%Cincy 74.5%Indy 73.9%Detroit 72.7%Sat, 21 Nov 2009 02:55:44 -0600cunnythis is the wagerline consensus, as some have previously stated this figure may not be entirely accurate as some people just blindly select the favourite.https://community.betfair.com/north_american/go/thread/view/94138/23629046/consenus-picks-week-11?post_id=423257126#423257126cunnythis is the wagerline consensus, as some have previously stated this figure may not be entirely accurate as some people just blindly select the favourite.Fri, 20 Nov 2009 07:08:42 -0600How does a pickem (Ind@Bal) end up with 70%+ of the money on one team?The line must've got absolutely hammeredhttps://community.betfair.com/north_american/go/thread/view/94138/23629046/consenus-picks-week-11?post_id=423257122#423257122How does a pickem (Ind@Bal) end up with 70%+ of the money on one team?The line must've got absolutely hammeredThu, 19 Nov 2009 15:42:31 -0600