COURSE: TPC Scottsdale (Par 71)
LOCATION: Scottsdale, Arizona
FIELD SIZE: 132
A stadium course with huge, boisterous crowds, a strong field and the return of a certain Tiger Woods all add up to what should be a fascinating and gripping event this week in the Arizona desert.
There are plenty of value prices to be had. Solid ball-strikers form the backbone of my selections.
[b]Selections (all prices from Betfair unless stated):[/b]
Nick WATNEY 2.5pts @ 85
Classy ball striker who is returning to form and has been bullish about his game recently. Easier greens here should help his cause too
Hunter MAHAN 4pts @ 40
Superb tee to green and gone well here last two years
Zach JOHNSON 1.5pts @ 95
Simply too big a price for a solid, class act who has won 11 times on the PGA...
COURSES: Palmer Private, La Quinta, Nicklaus Private(All Par 72)
LOCATION: La Quinta, California
FIELD SIZE: 156
The three easiest Par 72 courses on the PGA circuit play host to this week's event which is in Pro-Am format.
The pros and amateurs play each course in turn for the first three rounds before the cut, after which the final round is played by the pros only on the host Palmer Private course.
The event has thrown up a mixed bag of winners in recent years in terms of profile but I'm leaning towards steadier types who are very good putters:
[b]Selections (all prices from Betfair unless stated):[/b]
Jonas BLIXT 2pts @ 100
Outstanding putter. Went very close in last year's Masters and conditions here should suit
Harris ENGLISH 3.5pts @ 38
Hugely talented youngster...
COURSE: Waialae Country Club (Par 70)
LOCATION: Honolulu, Hawaii
FIELD SIZE: 144
A disappointing end to last week after things had looked so promising for three rounds. My top pick (Russell Henley @ 44) eventually finished tied for 3rd and Brendon Todd finished in a tie for 8th.
The PGA Tour stays in Hawaii this week for the Sony Open and what looks a wide open event.
Steady play tee to green and excellent putting will be required. I'm also looking for players who can go very low on their day:
[b]Selections (all prices from Betfair unless stated):[/b]
Matt EVERY 1.25pts @ 130
Excellent putter and two Top 10s in last three starts here
Francesco MOLINARI 1.5pts @ 120
Solid driver in decent form at back end of 2014
Geoff OGILVY 1pt @ 190
High class and won twice ...
COURSE: Plantation Course at Kapalua (Par 73)
LOCATION: Maui, Hawaii
FIELD SIZE: 34
The PGA Tour finally returns after a break of almost 8 weeks with the traditional opener to the calendar year, the Hyundai Tournament of Champions from Hawaii.
This tournament has previously thrown up all kinds of winners from a profile point of view but I'm focusing on confident types who putt well and are a decent price.
Very best of luck for the golfing and punting year ahead. Enjoy!
[b]Selections (all prices from Betfair unless stated):[/b]
Russell HENLEY 4pts @ 44
Streaky type and a good putter who has won in Hawaii before and has experience of this event
Brendon TODD 3.5pts @ 50
Excellent putter who comes off the back of a very solid year on the PGA Tour
Ben CRANE 1.5pts ...
SEASON 2013-14 P/L: -267.5pts ROI: -63.69%
(SEASON 2013 FINAL P/L: +85.23pts ROI: +20.79%)
[b]Selections (all prices from Betfair unless stated):[/b]
Justin HICKS 2.5pts @ 60
- 9th in Ball Striking on the PGA Tour
- A 2nd and a 3rd placed finish in the last two weeks
- Dual winner on the web.com Tour
Chad CAMPBELL 2pts @ 90
- Leads PGA Tour in GIR
Hudson SWAFFORD 1pt @ 260
- T5 in Ball Striking on the PGA Tour
Andrew SVOBODA 1pt @ 170
- 19th in Ball Striking on the PGA Tour
- Another dual web.com winner
Retief GOOSEN 1.5pts @ 120
- Classy veteran in decent form of late
Ryo ISHIKAWA 1pt @ 180
- Big price for a talented, almost certain future winner on Tour
- T26 here last season
John MERRICK 1pt @ 410
- Solid ball striker who has won on Tour
- T10 here...
SEASON 2013-14 P/L: -247.5pts ROI: -61.88%
(SEASON 2013 FINAL P/L: +85.23pts ROI: +20.79%)
It's Louisville, Kentucky this week and the fourth and final Major of the season, the 96th US PGA Championship.
There's not a great deal of course form to go off but this Par 71 Jack Nicklaus-designed track looks set to demand accurate and creative iron play as well as a deft touch on and around the greens. Recent form has also been a key component of champions of this event for several years now.
My value selections are below. Apart from the obvious, in-form candidates such as Rory McIlroy, Adam Scott and Sergio Garcia, I also think Justin Rose will go really well here but I decided he was just a bit too short at around the 19 mark on Betfair. The others to be cut from my shortlist at ...
SEASON 2013-14 P/L: -237.5pts ROI: -60.9%
(SEASON 2013 FINAL P/L: +85.23pts ROI: +20.79%)
The PGA Tour stops off at Akron, Ohio this week C Bridgestone Invitational before heading to Kentucky next Thursday for the fourth and final major of the season, the pGA Championship.
The South Course at Firestone Country Club is a long, tough Par 70 track demanding accuracy off the tee and on the approach to the well guarded greens.
[b]Selections (all prices from Betfair unless stated):[/b]
Henrik STENSON 4pts @ 26
- T2 here last year. Classy. Accurate off tee and on approach to greens and is due a win
Zach JOHNSON 3.5pts @ 60
- Accurate ball striker at his best when the scoring is low. T4 here last year and T6 in 2011
Harris ENGLISH 1.25pts @ 140
- Top class youngster who T14...
SEASON 2013-14 P/L: -207.5pts ROI: -57.64%
(SEASON 2013 FINAL P/L: +85.23pts ROI: +20.79%)
T3 (Jhonattan Vegas @ 260) was the best of my finishers last week in the John Deere Classic.
It's the 143rd Open Championship this week from Royal Liverpool, Hoylake and what promises to be a dramatic, enthralling affair with question marks against most of the market leaders meaning it's wide open from a betting point of view.
Ball striking and positional play will be key as well as the ability to get up and down when missing the well protected greens. Players will also need to take full advantage of the four Par 5s if they are to go low enough to contend (Tiger Woods posted -18 when winning here in 2006).
My value selections are below (as ever it's double stakes for a Major). Others...