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fkqmz
27 Feb 10 07:23
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Date Joined: 16 May 07
| Topic/replies: 3,313 | Blogger: fkqmz's blog
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Replies: 42
By:
Taylor's world
When: 27 Feb 10 07:36
last year was a fluke for button!!!!! Once his defuser was exsposed. Did he even win a race after monco???
One man dosnt make a team. Brawn will struggle this year.
By:
fkqmz
When: 27 Feb 10 07:51
by brawn i take it you mean mercedes, yes the fact schumacher is already saying theyre not ready to win is not a good sign. cant agree with your red bull opinions though. vettel is capable if the car is and although he probably wont win the title as the reliability looks far from bulletproof, who wins out of mclaren or ferrari will be all about who can beat him most consistantly. guaranteed he will spoil someones title challenge.
By:
fkqmz
When: 27 Feb 10 07:52
btw why have you called this thread massa and button and then started talking about something else entirely?
By:
Taylor's world
When: 27 Feb 10 08:26
just highlighting the fact that there just there to make up the numbers. As for vettle i don't recall him making one overtaking move last year? Good from the front but needs to be far more aggressive. Still young but that did'nt stop lewis. Ha Ha agree that brawn and shu will spoil a few days this year hee hee
By:
ocukstinky
When: 27 Feb 10 15:36
Taylor's world 27 Feb 09:36
last year was a fluke for button!!!!! Once his defuser was exsposed. Did he even win a race after monco???

Yeah, Turkey :p

Nothing after that, best was 2nd at Monza iirc
By:
Taylor's world
When: 27 Feb 10 16:03
wow a 2nd. He isn't gunna be anywhere near lewis. 1.01
By:
fkqmz
When: 28 Feb 10 06:19
actually its 1.33 so by your logic its great value. personally i think its the right price. the true odds should be slightly higher but weight of opinion pushes the price in on bets like this.
By:
catfloppo
When: 28 Feb 10 08:40
Surely you shoulod be laying then?
By:
fkqmz
When: 28 Feb 10 08:45
well intheory yes but in practice if hamilton steals the march ove rthe first 3 races the 1.33 will never be seen again. i just think the actual chances of it happening are about 1.45 - 1.5.
button to bt schumacher still available at EVS is still the best ante post bet for me atm
By:
fkqmz
When: 28 Feb 10 08:45
well intheory yes but in practice if hamilton steals the march ove rthe first 3 races the 1.33 will never be seen again. i just think the actual chances of it happening are about 1.45 - 1.5.
button to bt schumacher still available at EVS is still the best ante post bet for me atm
By:
catfloppo
When: 28 Feb 10 09:39
In theory? If you can lay at 1.33 when you think the true odds are 1.45 you should be doing it!

I agree about button/schumacher btw - might have some myself
By:
Taylor's world
When: 28 Feb 10 10:06
Best anti post bet back alonso and lewis singles
By:
fkqmz
When: 28 Feb 10 10:33
im not doing it because although the true odds are higher, the price actually has to reach that level to cash out and theres too much of a chance that it wont happen. have been stung on things like this before eg. under goals markets where the unders are 1.5 when they should be more like 1.65. you lay the unders and theres 2 goals in the first 10 mins. silly risk imo
By:
Taylor's world
When: 28 Feb 10 11:01
you think the odds should be higher than i think 4.1 and 5.2?
By:
fkqmz
When: 28 Feb 10 11:19
sorry bud was talking more about the laying hamilton v button situation. as for your bet. tbh chances are you are correct but at circa 6/4 dutching the 2 its no value whatsoever and imo its asking for heartbreak
By:
Taylor's world
When: 28 Feb 10 16:14
just read your williams theory. Youv gone wright down in my estimations mate.
By:
fkqmz
When: 01 Mar 10 05:56
oh boo hoo!!!!!!!!!! please save my breaking heart.

i made a call about williams after the first week of testing which was based on what happened and what was said at that test. with the hinsight of another 3 tests its easy for you to turn round and point out that theyre looking in a better position now. still dont think theyll trouble the big 4.
By:
f1 fan
When: 01 Mar 10 17:01
just cant wait to see what schumi can do without the clear performance advantage he had at ferrari, imo he wont beat lewis or alonso unless the merc is something special and they've been sandbaggin.
By:
f1 fan
When: 01 Mar 10 17:01
just cant wait to see what schumi can do without the clear performance advantage he had at ferrari, imo he wont beat lewis or alonso unless the merc is something special and they've been sandbaggin.
By:
Leuy Fan
When: 01 Mar 10 21:06
i completely agree!
By:
Leuy Fan
When: 01 Mar 10 21:06
i completely agree!
By:
fkqmz
When: 02 Mar 10 05:50
schu was saying several weeks ago that ferrari were the championship favourites and then on friday he re-iterated that mercedes were not ready to win in the first few races. whether you should take these comments on face value or whether its a schu mind game is for you to deside but it sounds ominous.
By:
Taylor's world
When: 02 Mar 10 18:53
When i watched the champions races. Button Vettle. But shu was still the Daddy. In the same karts.
By:
fkqmz
When: 03 Mar 10 05:30
didnt kovalainen once beat schumacher in the race of champions?
By:
Leuy Fan
When: 03 Mar 10 16:19
we know that big 4 (big 4 since last year) are gonna be hot, ferrari and mclaren especially, even more so as they have leuy and hothead alonso....red bull will be quick, but webber can't cut it, vettel will upset a few peoples races but i can't see him winning the title.....i feel the biggest surprise-worry is gonna be similar to last year...the diffuser that ross brawn's kept under wraps and will only be revealed in Bahrain
By:
fkqmz
When: 04 Mar 10 06:50
from what i was reading after testing last week, the teams seem to think the advantage that could be gained from a diffuser had been saturated. from what i understand the new mercedes diffuser will be an upgrade rather than a major developement. i think the biggest significant unknown is tyre wear on heavy fuel loads. the drivers have all been saying that how they look after their tyres in the early stages of a race will be crucial.
By:
Leuy Fan
When: 04 Mar 10 18:31
i just can't wait to see how each teams gonna play their strategy's....just over a week to go now!!!!
By:
fkqmz
When: 13 Mar 10 10:09
Forget about red bull they don't have the pedagree

:^0 :^0 :^0 :^0 :^0
By:
Taylor's world
When: 13 Mar 10 13:13
Red bull wont win the championship. Your laughing on the basis of one quail. Lets see who as the last laugh.
By:
fkqmz
When: 13 Mar 10 13:21
so your telling me that taking the first pole of the year shows a lack of pedigree for winning the championship. look at the results of the opening GP compared to the eventual champion in each year. it doesnt mean nothing, its significant, and even though vettel maynot win the title, you were stupid to discount him without a second thought.
By:
Taylor's world
When: 13 Mar 10 13:40
Your getting really carried away with yourself. Yes he won qualy but this will not effect my bet. The REAL quailty will shine through mark my words and im gunna be right on ya when i prove my point.
By:
Taylor's world
When: 13 Mar 10 13:47
anthor thing is all your comments are picking on others or sitting on the fence. why don't you come out with a bold comment istead of been impartial all the time.
By:
fkqmz
When: 13 Mar 10 13:48
youve avoided the question though havnt you. do you still think that red bull dont have the pedigree to win the title? did you think hakkinen didnt have the pedigree in98? did you think alonso didnt have the pedigree in 05? come on, just admit you under rated them, its no shame, so did everyone else, including me!
By:
fkqmz
When: 13 Mar 10 13:49
no, i dont have a scooby whos going to win the title, and neither do you. youve not picked between hamilton and alonso have you?
By:
Taylor's world
When: 13 Mar 10 14:04
i still don't think redbull have the pedagree and as the season goes on this will come to light. If i had to pick between the two it would hav to be alonso. Sport is all about haveing opions. I havnt head one from you jet. Come on lets hear a bold comment....
By:
Taylor's world
When: 13 Mar 10 14:07
Wasnt it you that disputed the brawn comment. Don't hear you piping up on that one. Do we.
By:
fkqmz
When: 13 Mar 10 14:27
dont think so, i will explain anything ive said if you quote it though. look i have very strong opinions on f1 but the good people of this particular forum made it crystal clear last season that they dont want to hear them. im genuinely sitting on the fence at the moment because it really could go any way, including vettel's and its more a case of the split being about alonso 40% hamilton 35% vettel 25% (im bold enough to say no one else has a prayer) rather than saying well i think this guy will eventually win. i hope vettel wins as i dont like the other 2 but its an outside chance. will that do?
By:
Taylor's world
When: 13 Mar 10 14:44
ha ha mybe not a bold comment but at least a opinion.
By:
fkqmz
When: 13 Mar 10 14:45
ill give you a bold comment when you least expect it :)
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