mastiffs

Two bets yesterday, a 10pt win Max Bet Danvilla winning comfortably enough though very heavily supported from an early 4/1 into 11/8, but at ISP a profit of £117.00 on the day. The initial starting bank of £1000 now stands at £1,984.00. So on to today which includes the third Lay on this system. To recap, in order for a lay the horse must be Fav on bf at time of writing and none of the group must have selected it as their choice of winner.

Bet One: 3.55 Kempton 2pts each way Whitby Jet
Bet Two: 4.30 Kempton 2 pt win Lilli Palmer
Bet Three: 4.30 Kempton 5pt Lay Very Well Red currently 3/1 fav
Bet Four: 7.00 Sedgefield 2pts each way Front Rank

Another Max Bet this evening at Kempton where all of the group have this in the first three and the majority have selected this as the winner.
7.30 Kempton Danvilla 10pt win Max

The other bet on this system also runs this evening at Towcester
8.40 Towcester 1pt each way Monkhair

A slightly dissappointing day yesterday. The Max bet 5pts ew Azzura Du Caprio ran okay in third but never really looked likely to win at any stage. Returned at an sp of 5/1 meant a break even on the race. The only other bet was 2pts ew on Rio's Girl who led going to the final furlong and looked beaten at the time when hampered, therefore a loss of £40.00 was incurred on the day.
The initial starting bank of £1,000 now stands at £1,977.00. A very interesting day lies ahead which includes the 3rd Max Bet on this system and the second lay bet with four races to get involved in.

Bet One: 3.00 Bath 1pt each way Talamhana and 5pt lay of Wooden King.
To recap, in order to qualify as a lay bet the horse must be fav on bf and none of the group must have selected it as their choice of winner. Given the form of Wooden King i was surprised that no one picked this one, but anyway at around 7/2, this gives a liability of around £175-£180.00 at 5pts. Talamahana was an interesting choice with over half of the group having this in the first three. Currently at 25/1 and higher. Layout approx £200.00

Bet Two: 3.40 Wolverhampton Max Bet 5pts each way Ace Master. Every member of the group chose this to finish in the frame, with a fair number of them selecting it to win. Layout £100.00

Bet Three: 7.30 Windsor 2pts each way Admiral Duque
                        1pt each way Urban Space
                        1/2 pt reverse exacta
Two runners stood out here with slight preference for the Ffrench-Davis Horse. Layout £70.00

Bet Four: 7.40 Leicester 1pt each way Understory
                         1pt each way Wiggy Smith
                         1/2 pt reverse exacta
Again two runners stood out in this. Layout £50.00

Total Layout Today approx £420.00

Well another good day yesterday. Tenhoo (2pt Win) absolutely bolted up @9/2 whilst the only other race played at Newbury where Addictive Dream (3pts each way)landed the place money also at 9/2. Approx £64.00 profit on the day and the bank has now broken the £2,000 barrier.

Two races of interest today, both at Ripon and this systems 2nd Max Bet.
Every member of the group has this in the first three.
3.10 Azzura Du Caprio 5pt each way Max bet

The second runner today is in the 5.10
2pts each way Rio's Girl

Total stake today £140.00

Well what can i say. Involved in four races yesterday,collecting on two of them. The strongest bet, 3pts each way Dabbers Ridge finished second @ 33/1 and watching it fly home inside the final furlong, it may well have won had the jockey pulled the horse to the outside a little earlier. The 8.20 at Newcastle was also profitable where the recommendation was 1pt each way on Zomerlust who couldn't quite manage to get into the race, and 1pt each way on Bawaardi who was well supported from an opening show of 14/1 into 9/1 before winning comfortably. The other two bets finished second. A 2pt win on Zaplamation returned 3/1 who missed the break and a 2pt win on Petella who was given a poor ride imo, held up far too long, returned at 13/8.
So £150.00 was staked yesterday with a return of £356.00. The initial starting bank of £1,000 now stands at £1,953.00.

On to today and there are just two races that stand out from the data collected. In the 2.35 Newbury there was almost a Max Bet where the group are clearly very keen on Addicitive Dream. Unfortunately a couple of the group have left this one out of their first three and my rules that i apply are that all members must have chosen it to make the frame. But still a strong bet nonetheless at 3pts each way.

The second race is the 6.00 at Doncaster where two horses stand out. Tenhoo who is the likely favourite and an outsider in Golden Future. The recommendation here is 2pt win Tenhoo, 1pt each way Golden Future and a 1/2 pt reverse exacta.

Recap: 2.35 Newbury 3pts each way Addicitve Dream
       6.00 Doncaster 2pt win Tenhoo
                      1pt each way Golden Future
                      1/2 pt reverse exacta
Total Stake today £110.00

Three bets yesterday, collecting on two of them. Collect Art a very strong bet and nearly a max hacked up at an sp of 11/8 having been heavily backed. I must admit i did get bigger odds personally but for this experiment i am settling at sp. With Archie Rice a non runner Rosco Flyer was left as the sole bet in the last at Newmarket. There was quite a plunge on this one too. I managed to get small amounts on at 14/1 and after opening on course at 10/1, this was was backed into 6/1. The horse got going far too late and stayed on into 3rd place landing the each-way money. The third bet was Secret Millionaire in the 1.30 York. He ran very well finishing 5th and but for being stopped in his tracks twice, would surely have made the frame at odds of 25/1. On the day, £80 was staked with a return of £117.00 for a profit of £37.00.

Todays data has produced some interesting bets all of which run this evening.

Bet One: 7.15 Newcastle 2pt win Zaplamation
Bet Two: 7.50 Newcastle 2pt win Petella
Bet Three: 8.00 Hamilton 3pts each way Dabbers Ridge
Bet Four: 8.20 Newcastle 1pt each way Zomerlust
                         1pt each way Bawaardi
                         1/2 pt reverse exacta
Total Stake @ £10 per point £150.00

3 races of interest today, the first of which is the 1.30 York where just enough members of the group have chosen Secret Millionaire to make it of small interest

1.30 York 1pt ew Secret Millionaire

Well just one bet yesterday. Ubi Ace each way 2nd @ 20/1. Watching the race i actually found myself sitting on the edge of my seat as the horse took up the running 3f out. Unfortunately he couldn't hold off the challenge of Line Of Duty but ran a cracker nonetheless. Bank now stands at £1,560.00. I will be back later with the results of todays data

Well the crowd were certainly wise with the first Maximum Bet yesterday, Beau Fighter absolutely hacked up at an sp of 7/2. As mentioned, every member of the group selected this to be in the first three and the vast majority of them did select it as their choice of winner. So well done to them if they are reading.

So yesterday saw 4 bets with two winners, returning a profit of £240.00 on the day.

The initial starting bank of £1,000 now stands at £1,480.00 after 5 days. In total there have been 16 bets with 8 winning which are as follows.

Qadar each way 3rd 11/1 sp
Arriva La Diva each way 3rd 50/1 sp
West Ham v Blackburn over 1.5 goals @ 1/3
Wolves v West Brom over 1.5 goals @1/3
Celtic Dane Lay @ 7/2
Overton Lad each way 2nd 5/1 sp
Make My Dream win 1st 5/1 sp
Beau Fighter Max Bet each way 1st 7/2 sp

So a decent strike rate and i have a feeling that if i could adjust my staking in some way, profits could be increased so i will have to look into that at some point.

Hi everyone, today i am going to start a new venture with a system based on the theory, the wisdom of crowds. I will explain this more in due course but for now i will put up todays bets. Starting with a bank of £1000 and betting at £10 per point. Results will be recorded at sp.

3.50 Lingfield 3pt ew Qadar
5.00 Lingfield 3pt win Chief Exec

There is also a third bet this evening at Hamilton

6.00 3 pt ew Arriva La Diva