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pa lapsy
15 Apr 16 10:28
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Date Joined: 06 Apr 09
| Topic/replies: 12,635 | Blogger: pa lapsy's blog
Cause Of Causes.
The stats say a lower weighted horse for this and this fies in the fac of that with top weight and a 13lb penalty for such an impressive victory at Cheltenham,i was very taken by that.
I'm not so sure he is up against a lot in the English horses,Golden Chiefain,Vyta du Roc(looks held) and Seeyouatmidnight(disappointed last run) look the more classier ones. Of the Irish obviously Measureofmydreams and Heathfield(BG presume had choice?) should run well along with Fine Rightly.
A race i wasn't going to bother with but think the current 10/1 (12.5 exch)is too bigl win or lose,i wouldn't be stunned either if he went off half that on what happenened at Cheltenham.
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Report keen leader April 15, 2016 12:10 PM BST
I make him a maximum place lay........zero chance under topweight in a Scottish national....I would happily bet 2/1 with anyone offering that he does not finish, most likely a pulled up job.
Report pa lapsy April 15, 2016 12:42 PM BST
I didn't want hear that from you anyway KL Grin,i know the stats are terrible with the top weights and an amateurs at a totally different type track isn't particulary a plus either but the manner was spectacular,if it runs like that tomorrow i'd still be hopeful.
Can see your logic as well, even going well he was on the verge of being out of touch at a point and rarely backs up a good run with another.
We'll see,good luck if you bet.
Report roadrunner46 April 15, 2016 1:15 PM BST
concur about cause of causes and think it has no chance at the weights, measureofmydreams could come on for its last run and go well or
something from the midlands national could go well milans bar.
Report workrider April 15, 2016 3:23 PM BST
Pa won't see this on my way to UK for a weeks racing , but if I was having a punt I'd be on Folsum Blue , its last couple of runs have been very good ,and with a nice weight and young Rings claim plus Mouse's stats for the last couple of Nationals, its surely worth a few quid of anyones money .Might stop of at one of those Costas and have a look , hope you have a bit of luck . Take care...
Report norn iron April 15, 2016 4:18 PM BST
MY 123  EWAY    FINE  RIGHTLY  LOVE GROUND ALWAYS THOUGHT WIN  ONE OF THE NATIONALS

MASTERS HILL   AGAIN LIKE GROUND DECENT JUMPER  NICE WEIGHT  TRAINOR AS HOT AS PAGE3GIRLS


GOODTOKNOW  WHO JUST BEAT MASTERS HILL

GL PUNTERS
Report CheltenhamRoar April 15, 2016 6:07 PM BST
Be some feat if mouse wins the Scottish one tomorrow, fairytale stuff,
Wasn't it ruby who nearly rode all 4 winners of the 4 nationals in the same season a few years back? (Welsh, Irish,English,Scottish)
Can't for the life of me remember the year but nearly sure he almost done the clean sweep in one season recently enough.
Report wildmanfromborneo April 15, 2016 6:52 PM BST
Hedgehunter,Numbersixvalverde and Silver Birch could be a good sequence.
Not alone are they Ruby's three National winners in the one season but they also are three Aintree Grand National winners in a row.
Report walllace007 April 15, 2016 10:54 PM BST
Surely Alvarado has a decent chance? Carrying a light weight, rated 5lbs lower than when 4th in the National last year. Same type of prep for the race again this year except didnt get in. The drying ground also should suit. Will be ridden patiently, just hope Moloney doesnt leave him too much to do, 25/1 looks value.
I would be looking towards bottom of the weights too.
Report The Gotchee April 16, 2016 10:09 AM BST
Tour des Champs is nicely weighted. I  hope the jockey is able to lead or get into a prominent position. If he does you will get a good run for your money. 33/1 e/w
Report Goretski April 16, 2016 10:27 AM BST
Pineau De Re

Not getting any younger i know but has ran some decent races over both hurdles and fences this season so clearly still enjoying himself. Well handicapped now again (6lbs lower than his national win). Stable in red hot form.. 4 winners and a 2nd from it last 7 runners. Surely has to be there or thereabouts @ 33/1 e/w
Report Dan Chipowski April 16, 2016 11:19 AM BST
Covering Heathfield but main bet is Milansbar e/w at 33-1+.

He got a very average ride in the Midlands national and should go well at the price.
Report norn iron April 16, 2016 2:02 PM BST
FINE RIGHTLY OUT SO STUCK FEW£ A GOOD SKIN

BATTALION 210/GABRIELS KAKA 4PM /BESHARAH  240/TASHLEET 315   CHELMSFORD YANKEE

AYR  EWAY L15

SOME PLAN 3PM
GREY GOLD 335
MASTERS HILL 410
BABY BACH 445

GL
Report newapproach April 16, 2016 3:15 PM BST
heathfield and millborough both e/w
Report Catch Me ifyoucan April 16, 2016 4:22 PM BST
maximum place lay...good call
Report pa lapsy April 16, 2016 4:32 PM BST
Hard lines Wallace.
yeah shocking run from COC,beat after a few fences,wd with the place lay KL.
Report Arklearkle April 16, 2016 5:42 PM BST
Perhaps Barry was trying too hard and it confused the horse.
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