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dinglemick
10 Apr 15 22:42
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Date Joined: 30 Oct 06
| Topic/replies: 762 | Blogger: dinglemick's blog
Read some interesting Stats re The Grand National just there from a guy called Ben Aitken ... some of ye may have heard of him through his blog Narrowing The Field .
Anyway here are the main one s with regards tomorrows big one ; Stats from the last 15 Grand Nationals

15/15 Have won a Class 2 or Higher chase
15/15 Have won at 3 miles Plus
15/15 Have ran at least 19 times
14/15 Wore no headgear
14/15 Last run was between 16 and 42 days
13/15 Rated between 136 and 150

Having gone through it 11 of tomorrows field tick all of the above boxes .... Doesn t narrow it down that much but the shortest priced one is 20/1 so plenty of big priced ones in there  ....
The 11 are ;
Godsmejudge 20/1
Al Co 25/1
Moonbeg Dude 50/1
Corrin Wood 80/1
The Rainbow Hunter 80/1
Tanquil Sea 100/1
Oscar Time 40/1
Wyck Hill 40/1
Court by Surprise 40/1
Alvarado 20/1
Royale Knight 33/1

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Replies: 135
By:
dinglemick
When: 10 Apr 15 22:51
Actually lads can narrow it down a bit more as 5 of them don t tick the Last Run between 16 and 42 days box which was the case for 14 of the last 15 winners ...The 5 are The Rainbow Hunter, Oscar Time,Wyck Hill,Court by Surprise and Alvarado .

So its just 6 that tick all boxes which are ;

Godsmejudge 20/1

Al Co 25/1

Moonbeg Dude 50/1

Corrin Wood 80/1

Tanquil Sea 80/1

Royale Knight 33/1
By:
Catch Me ifyoucan
When: 10 Apr 15 22:54
From THOSE the ONLY two are Alvarado 20/1 4th last year and maybe Godsmejudge 22/1. Add The Druids Nephew 14/1.

NAME YOUR 3 for tomoro...
By:
Catch Me ifyoucan
When: 10 Apr 15 22:56
Alvarado is just 52 days since last run so will allow.
By:
Catch Me ifyoucan
When: 10 Apr 15 22:58
That TRANQUIL SEA ex O'G horse is class but 13yo is only neg.
By:
Catch Me ifyoucan
When: 10 Apr 15 22:59
NAME YOUR 3 for tomoro...


NAME YOUR 3 for tomoro...
By:
newapproach
When: 10 Apr 15 23:05
1. Godsmejudge
2. Unioniste
3. Saint Are

Good luck
By:
callitasucit
When: 10 Apr 15 23:48
Rocky Creek
Druids Nephew
First Leutenant.....big plunge there, must be Pricewise(or Ozy inspired). Backed e.w at 33s other day.
By:
Catch Me ifyoucan
When: 11 Apr 15 00:06
ANYONE ON THE 6:45am Cork/Liverpool tomoro ?


NAME YOUR 3 for tomoro...
By:
Catch Me ifyoucan
When: 11 Apr 15 00:10
*8.45am
By:
anfeild
When: 11 Apr 15 00:36
Saint Are
Godsmejudge
Al Co
By:
anfeild
When: 11 Apr 15 01:58
Changed my mind
Saint Are
Al Co
Night in Milan
By:
yummy
When: 11 Apr 15 09:08
Another stat.

Only one of the previous 61 runners to have previously placed in the race have gone on to win. (Amberleigh House)
Obviously Alvorado is in this category, although I have personally gone against the stat and am on!!!
By:
norn iron
When: 11 Apr 15 09:30
1 LORD WINDERMERE 2 FIRST LIEUTENANT 3 ROCKY CREEK

DEFF THINK MANY CLOUDS HENNESEY WINNER FORGOTTEN HOSS
By:
p_r_e_m_i_e_r__f_a_n_t_a_s_y
When: 11 Apr 15 09:33
First Lieutenant @ 33s and 25s

Godsmejudge and Many Clouds will be added today
By:
youresomean
When: 11 Apr 15 09:47
Soll          appx 20s on BF
Chance Du Roy       55
Rubi Light          110

good luck all
By:
TellTheKing
When: 11 Apr 15 09:57
The Druids Nephew, Alvarado, Cause of Causes and Owega Star as a lively outsider. I agree with PF that Many Clouds has a life too, jumps and gallops with touch of class. Can see him coming home best of the top 5 in the weights.

Have backed Rubi Light, Ballycasey, River Choice, Ely Brown and Bob Ford all not to finish.
By:
CheltenhamRoar
When: 11 Apr 15 10:56
Love First Lieutenant,But is he really gonna stay 4 miles plus?On breeding you'd think he has every chance but always looks to be fading out of it in all his previous races over 3 miles.
By:
Santry
When: 11 Apr 15 11:07
My 4 will be-Rocky Creek,First Lieutenant,Cause of Causes and Owega Star. Irish bias maybe but heres hoping.
By:
CheltenhamRoar
When: 11 Apr 15 11:12
Ive gone with Al Co,Rubi Light,portrait king,Many Clouds.
By:
Ozymandius
When: 11 Apr 15 11:18
callitasucit 10 Apr 15 23:48

Rocky Creek
Druids Nephew
First Leutenant....


Funnily enough these are my three selections #greatminds

Have them in hefty ew doubles with a young boy from Texas called Jordan Spieth.

#itwillneverhappen
By:
callitasucit
When: 11 Apr 15 11:22
Best of luck with that Oz. I do hope the young boy form Texas has a poor round today though!! He is ruining my weekend excitement as it stands.
By:
pa lapsy
When: 11 Apr 15 11:23
^ Sickening aftertiming once again, they were fun ew doubles on the golf thread with no mention of Speith,now they are "hefty",what an article.
By:
Ozymandius
When: 11 Apr 15 11:39
Lighten up , Pa, you are far too easily upset by other people success. #bittterauldb@stard




Her name was Lola, she was a showgirl
With yellow feathers in her hair and a dress cut down to there
She would merengue and do the cha-cha
And while she tried to be a star, Tony always tended bar
Across a crowded floor, they worked from 8 till 4
They were young and they had each other
Who could ask for more?

At the Copa (CO!), Copacabana (Copacabana)
The hottest spot north of Havana (here)
At the Copa (CO!), Copacabana
Music and passion were always the fashion
At the Copa....they fell in love

(Copa Copacabana)

His name was Rico, he wore a diamond
He was escorted to his chair, he saw Lola dancin' there
And when she finished, he called her over
But Rico went a bit too far, Tony sailed across the bar
And then the punches flew and chairs were smashed in two
There was blood and a single gun shot
But just who shot who?

At the Copa (CO!), Copacabana (Copacabana)
The hottest spot north of Havana (here)
At the Copa (CO!), Copacabana
Music and passion were always the fashion
At the Copa....she lost her love

(Copa. . Copacabana)
(Copa Copacabana) (Copacabana, ahh ahh ahh ahh)
(Ahh ahh ahh ahh Copa Copacabana)
(Talking Havana have a banana)
(Music and passion...always the fash--shun)



Her name is Lola, she was a showgirl
But that was 30 years ago, when they used to have a show
Now it's a disco, but not for Lola
Still in the dress she used to wear, faded feathers in her hair
She sits there so refined, and drinks herself half-blind
She lost her youth and she lost her Tony
Now she's lost her mind!

At the Copa (CO!), Copacabana (Copacabana)
The hottest spot north of Havana (here)
At the Copa (CO!), Copacabana
Music and passion were always the fashion
At the Copa....don't fall in love

(Copa) don't fall in love
Copacabana
Copacabana
By:
Ozymandius
When: 11 Apr 15 11:41
^ Have a sing of that and cheer up (for once!) Cool
By:
pa lapsy
When: 11 Apr 15 11:46
I am right though,be straight for once in your life.
By:
Ozymandius
When: 11 Apr 15 11:50
Relax Pa, it 'll never happen, its the National, even if two of the finest minds on here spookily picked the same three horses...they still won't come in.

And even if they do, I know you will be magnanimous and be the first to come on and congratulate me. Will probably be en route to Rio, but still, would be nice to hear from you.

At the Copa...Copacabanna...
By:
workrider
When: 11 Apr 15 13:03
Pa to Norma , be STRAIGHT for once in your life , now Pa you are asking the IMPOSSIBLE  .......Laugh
By:
DeargDubh
When: 11 Apr 15 13:47
Rubi Light
Royale Night
Corrin Wood
By:
Monte Christo
When: 11 Apr 15 14:35
1. Rocky Creek
2. Godsmejudge
3. Across The Bay
4. Al Co
5. Royale Knight

Gl everyone.
By:
Goretski
When: 11 Apr 15 15:14
1. Rocky Creek
2. Royale Knight
3. Saint Are
4. Monbeg Dude
5. Oscar Time

GL
By:
callitasucit
When: 11 Apr 15 15:23
Spring Heeled very big now at 42.
By:
p_r_e_m_i_e_r__f_a_n_t_a_s_y
When: 11 Apr 15 15:33
Sad unfortunately STD is about as useful as one - however i did know that pre race so my fault

(you can put that one down wildman about em slagging a jockey)
By:
p_r_e_m_i_e_r__f_a_n_t_a_s_y
When: 11 Apr 15 15:33
wrong fred Blush
By:
world wide web
When: 11 Apr 15 16:02
Gone for:
Rocky Creek
Godsmejudge
Al Co
Good luck
By:
callitasucit
When: 11 Apr 15 16:16
Amazing the drift on STFD. Has to be backed at 14.
By:
p_r_e_m_i_e_r__f_a_n_t_a_s_y
When: 11 Apr 15 16:18
bookmakers being sc*m as per usual on National day Laugh chopping everything
By:
callitasucit
When: 11 Apr 15 16:20
They do it because they are let do it. How many years can this continue before there is some sort of limit put on the SP%??

I know casual punters have fu ck all idea of overrounds, but these are the people that racing are supposedly trying to attract. Yet on the biggest they of all they are being subjected to daylight robbery. Quite ironic. But plain wrong.
By:
p_r_e_m_i_e_r__f_a_n_t_a_s_y
When: 11 Apr 15 16:31
GTFI ya little beauty, first time i have every backed the winner Laugh
By:
Kelly
When: 11 Apr 15 16:34
Betfair SP for Shutthefrontdoor was 28 , and place odds 10 .  yet it was returned 6/1 Sp with the bookies .

Anyone know waht was going on ?
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