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Doyler1987
31 Jul 10 11:16
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Date Joined: 07 Mar 09
| Topic/replies: 5,375 | Blogger: Doyler1987's blog
Its hard to access Down because theyve not been on the TV since getting beaten by Tyrone, I remember though they gave Tyrone a good go and it went down to the last 2mins with Down trying to get a goal. Before that they played Donegal, and were very annoying giving the ball away and missing chances before drawing, Donegal traded odds on for the whole game nearly. In the Qualifiers they scraped past Longford by 4 and then offaly by 2, before trashing Sligo but sure we all know what happens to losing provincials. That makes it fairly difficult to know exactly what your getting from them - they could be good or they could be flattered by Sligo and be gash.

On the other side you know what you'll get from Kerry, classy, relaxed, calm football, with a bit of laziness throw in until the last 10mins. Theres a interesting stat, Kerry were 4pts down to Cork at HT twice before doing their stuff in the last 10, then they were also behind to Limerick at HT too. IMO they can win when they want so stroll around looking cool for most of the game until they need to score near the business end. Down/Kerry HT/FT is 6/1 - I had this bet in mind all week but was thinking maybe I'd get 7 or 8 with everyone thinking Kerry are certainties, 6/1 probably near enough to the true odds but Kerry certainly have the stats to back it up. I dont think its worth much, but surely worth a small bet. Down could easily get blown away but Kerry may take the laid back approach, Kerry to win either way IMO, although I'm not backing 30/100.

Like Kerry you know exactly what you'll get from Tyrone, hard work, defense, try keep the game down to as few scores as possible and score when you have the ball, keep the ball, tackle hard. 4/9 appeals because Dublin are gash, but their biggest problem seems to be wides and if they suddenly start getting the ball on target we could see a proper game. I still think Tyrone will have enough power even if that does happen, but for some reason I think we'll see bigger than 4/9 in running, there'll always be bias in the market when Dublin are playing.

I havent researched this myself but on TV last week the comms said that Dublin have won every single throw in at the start bar one game, first scoring play Dublin are 9/4 from play and 5/1 for a placed ball. The bleedin' obvious thing against that though is they'll put it wide being donkeys, €20 on 9/4, €5 cover on 5/1, dont think its worth any more than €25, if but they continue winning the ball well then theyre surely a little shorter to score the first point. Tyrone to win though, although theres a weird feeling in my head that Dublin have been winning while looking absolutely terrible, that they could do it again by some sort of fluke, just hope Tyrone play as well as they can then it should be lights out for the Dubs.

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Replies: 176
By:
mad paddy
When: 31 Jul 10 12:59
Good points, have to fancy keery and tyrone too. But wouldnt be backin kerry at that price. Will try to back them in running as i have a feeling down might get off to a quick start.Cant see the dub forwards gettin enough space they need to rack the scores up against this tyrone defence, hope i'm wrong though.
By:
SamuelMorse
When: 31 Jul 10 13:13
food for thought as ever doyler . tyrone on the handicap for me and small bets on no goalscorer both games .
By:
BJG
When: 31 Jul 10 13:28
Think Tyrone wil win comfortably, very tough to play against and really dont rate Dublin this year personally

Tyrone @ 4/9 PP

Down played some crackin stuff last weekend and if in the same form here wil really rattle Kerry who wil miss O Se and Galvin imo

Down +4 1/1 Lads
By:
daradasi
When: 31 Jul 10 13:33
Can't see Kerry taking a laid back approach from the start today. Despite what managers say, tradition between teams still plays a big part in GAA and despite being irrevelent to todays teams, the fact that Down have a 100% championship record against Kerry should see Kerry eager not too concede any ground to Down in the early stages. Though even starting on full trottle I actually can't see today's Kerry team blowing Down away too easy. Down a back for me as I feel they'll surely trade shorter at some stage.
By:
Doyler1987
When: 31 Jul 10 13:42
Raining in Croker, might have an impact on covering handicaps.
By:
Doyler1987
When: 31 Jul 10 14:01
GOOOOAAAL Down!
By:
mad paddy
When: 31 Jul 10 14:01
Down quick start, told ya[;)][;)]
By:
Steveirll
When: 31 Jul 10 14:02
lol gwan DOWN :)
By:
BJG
When: 31 Jul 10 14:02
Grin gtfi
By:
Doyler1987
When: 31 Jul 10 14:03
1-1 0-0
Cool
By:
Steveirll
When: 31 Jul 10 14:03
lol betting is mad 2.84 Down !!
By:
mightymoyes
When: 31 Jul 10 14:03
they started like this vs tyrone. hope they can keep it up this time.
By:
BJG
When: 31 Jul 10 14:04
SillySilly

I want 1-20 to 0-2 at ht plz
By:
Doyler1987
When: 31 Jul 10 14:05
1-2 0-0

Dont get too far it front lads Mischief
By:
Steveirll
When: 31 Jul 10 14:05
lol
By:
Allez
When: 31 Jul 10 14:08
Took the 4/5 Kerry there.
By:
Doyler1987
When: 31 Jul 10 14:09
Laid Down a little at 2.6ish, want them to be ahead at HT though Mischief
By:
Mordin.
When: 31 Jul 10 14:10
Very enjoyable so far
By:
2smiggy
When: 31 Jul 10 14:10
' the gouch and the star ' , commentary would make you vomit
By:
Doyler1987
When: 31 Jul 10 14:10
What a point

1-3 0-0
By:
BJG
When: 31 Jul 10 14:10
Crackin point
By:
Doyler1987
When: 31 Jul 10 14:11
*New Market*

Will Kerry score a point?

Silly
By:
Steveirll
When: 31 Jul 10 14:11
down still 2.38 ROFL get on
By:
BJG
When: 31 Jul 10 14:13
I'l lay u 1.5 No Doyler Grin

Another bad wide
By:
tobywong.
When: 31 Jul 10 14:13
big test for kerry now , no leaders without dara , galvin and tomas , down have a huge chance now
By:
Mordin.
When: 31 Jul 10 14:13
Surely a throw ball there by Cooper????????
By:
mad paddy
When: 31 Jul 10 14:15
Plenty of leaders toby, just look at their medal count[;)][;)]
By:
Doyler1987
When: 31 Jul 10 14:15
Kerry a second half side IMO, matters still in hand. Hoping Down keep this up til HT though, Kerry starting to get into the game now.
By:
mad paddy
When: 31 Jul 10 14:16
Down started like this against tyrone too, some people on here gettin carried away a bit early.
By:
tobywong.
When: 31 Jul 10 14:18
of course paddy but they are needed today.
By:
mad paddy
When: 31 Jul 10 14:19
I agree totally toby, but there is enough class out there to win this still.
By:
Doyler1987
When: 31 Jul 10 14:19
1-3 0-3
By:
tobywong.
When: 31 Jul 10 14:19
fighting their way back alright , gooch as ever showing his class
By:
Mordin.
When: 31 Jul 10 14:20
Referee very poor another bad decision
By:
Doyler1987
When: 31 Jul 10 14:20
Down need a score Plain
By:
BJG
When: 31 Jul 10 14:21
So many frees Plain
By:
Doyler1987
When: 31 Jul 10 14:21
1-3 0-4

Worried about HT/FT here now Plain
By:
mad paddy
When: 31 Jul 10 14:22
U on down h/t, kerry f/t doyler??
By:
BJG
When: 31 Jul 10 14:23
Foul pass ShockedShockedShocked
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