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leif
26 Dec 23 13:24
Joined:
Date Joined: 26 Jun 08
| Topic/replies: 4,789 | Blogger: leif's blog
great lepper
Pause Switch to Standard View Il est Francais
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Report leif December 26, 2023 1:25 PM GMT
Festival on the cards
Report in hell December 26, 2023 1:26 PM GMT
Hacked up, thats some horse
Report leif December 26, 2023 1:26 PM GMT
King George next xmas?
Report geoff m December 26, 2023 1:27 PM GMT
What a cracking round of jumping.
Report The Sawyer December 26, 2023 1:27 PM GMT
good lord - that looked impressive
Report leif December 26, 2023 1:28 PM GMT
5 seconds below standard apparently.
Report Poppydog. December 26, 2023 1:28 PM GMT
Fast time too. Impeccable performance.

May be a few chequebooks being waved in owners faces.
Report Mat22 December 26, 2023 1:28 PM GMT
Vive La France!! What An Animal! Cool
Report acey deucy December 26, 2023 1:29 PM GMT
The second is average but yes The Winner looked amazing.
Report barstool December 26, 2023 1:29 PM GMT
Wow. Some horse.
Report xmoneyx December 26, 2023 1:30 PM GMT
Cool
Report Poppydog. December 26, 2023 1:31 PM GMT
I wouldn't say the 2nd is average.
Tried to go with it and put up a good time too

He smashed a G1 hurdle this time last year.
Report impossible123 December 26, 2023 1:34 PM GMT
Il Est Francais, what a horse! A repeat in the King George next year.
Report Whippin Piccadilly December 26, 2023 1:35 PM GMT
You never really know until they race in Britain. But how could you not be impressed by that. Although, I'd say the Irish have much better horses than HA.
Report acey deucy December 26, 2023 1:35 PM GMT
The second beat a Sahara Humphrey Trained Nag last time the race stunk ....Keep it real.,,,But the Winner is very very good.
Report EastLower Gooner December 26, 2023 1:35 PM GMT
Always pleasing to see them ping round like that.

Kilbeg king has a big handicap chase in him. Put him away now. Won’t even mind going for a Galway plate with him.
Report blackbarn December 26, 2023 1:35 PM GMT
Buona Notte!!!
Report sageform December 26, 2023 1:36 PM GMT
Can't see an owner like Kelvin Hughes selling one like that. Everyone has a price I suppose but he has had some good horses which never quite won the big ones.
Report Mat22 December 26, 2023 1:43 PM GMT
D!ckhead (acey) Talking cr@p again....This Horse is a Machine...Look at the Times.
Only in second Gear according to James...Guy really does talk Tosh...
Report acey deucy December 26, 2023 1:45 PM GMT
Matt aka rico you couldnay lace ma boots pal.Cool
Report Mat22 December 26, 2023 1:47 PM GMT
Can you afford any Boots? Laugh
Report geoff m December 26, 2023 1:48 PM GMT
Cheltenham not the main goal next year. French Gold Cup  & King George
Report stocks December 26, 2023 1:51 PM GMT
Would win the King George today
Report eric_morris December 26, 2023 2:14 PM GMT
Excellent class horse however he wouldn’t have got around Cheltenham today leaving his back legs through the fence he made the mistake at.
Report strontium December 26, 2023 4:24 PM GMT
Beautiful. Will win  the next3 KGs.
Report EastLower Gooner December 26, 2023 4:49 PM GMT
Young trainer guy still a work in progress…man took the most round about way for saying he’s unlikely for Cheltenham and in the end he didn’t fully say no to it.
Report FELTFAIR December 26, 2023 4:59 PM GMT
Much faster than the King George carrying 3lb less and apparently not really extended.
Report screaming from beneaththewaves December 26, 2023 6:37 PM GMT
Good time, but not great. Using the Racing Post standard times, and assuming that the third horse in the opener (Es Perfecto) ran to its mark, then Il Est Francais gets a speed figure of 157.
Report strontium December 26, 2023 6:54 PM GMT
What does Hewick get?
Report screaming from beneaththewaves December 26, 2023 6:57 PM GMT
Hewick a speed figure of 145. Probably tells the story of the race. The leaders went a bit too fast in the King George. Maybe sectionals will confirm that.
Report strontium December 26, 2023 7:01 PM GMT
Thanks.
Report screaming from beneaththewaves December 26, 2023 7:18 PM GMT
Don't get me wrong, 157 is a very good speed figure for a novice chaser, but it's more or less what you'd expect, with Il Est Francais having beaten a horse rated 151 (Hermes Allen) by 11 lengths. And with a horse rated just 135 three lengths back in third.

I'm just saying that rating the form through a time comparison with the King George alone might be a bit suspect. The big story from that comparison is really that the King George form might be iffy.
Report sageform December 27, 2023 8:16 AM GMT
The King George was probably a bit below an average standard for the race but the last fence fall of Shishkin made it hard to read. If they had all stood up, Shishkin might well have held on from Bravemansgame with Hewick third or fourth. BMG lost at least 3 lengths from interference so would have beaten Allaho by that much with a clear run. Allaho was not impeded so might well have finished behind Hewick anyway.
Report CagliariG December 27, 2023 12:32 PM GMT
Did Shishkin fall twice sagey?Wink
Report CagliariG December 27, 2023 12:44 PM GMT
Btw sagey did you actually watch the race or a replay? He did not fall, unseated after the second last.
Report sageform December 27, 2023 1:16 PM GMT
Either way he failed to finish and impeded BMG which is the only thing that matters. I watched it live and several times since.
Report duffy December 27, 2023 5:09 PM GMT
screaming from beneaththewaves 26 Dec 23 18:57 
Hewick a speed figure of 145. Probably tells the story of the race. The leaders went a bit too fast in the King George. Maybe sectionals will confirm that.


Not sure about that, run the twp races side by side and for much of the race Il Est Francais was a long way ahead of the KG field despite looking like he was doing a half speed, it reduced a bit toward the end but that was only because the KG horses were racing and the French horse was only really asked to do anything approaching the last...if the KG field was going too quick then he really must be a monster.
Report screaming from beneaththewaves December 27, 2023 7:14 PM GMT
Thanks for that, duffy. This is why I've never got involved with sectionals - half the time you seem to end up with something like this, which doesn't make sense to me,

I'll just leave it that Il Est Francais is clearly a tip-top novice chaser, but no more than that at this stage - he did only beat a 135-rated horse by 11 lengths.

The opening novices' handicap chase won by Blow Your Wad is very solid form on the clock.

And the clock also confirms that the form of the King George is full of holes, and its not a race that's going to work out at the highest level.

Thanks again for passing on the info from running the two races side-by-side.
Report CagliariG December 27, 2023 7:26 PM GMT
Sectional are a complete waste of time unless comparisons on the day are calculated from the actual start in NH racing, where is when the clock starts? Stand to be corrected but viewing the starts some are on the tape others are 100 metres + behind.

That aside even averages are irrelevant given the differing way the races are run, imo the winner will never grace the hill at Cheltenham in a Gold Cup, maybe in a Champion Chase if he even got over the 3rd last the way he jumps?
Report strontium December 27, 2023 7:29 PM GMT
His co-owner is desperate to win a Cheltenham Gold Cup. The horse will be there in 2025 all bring well. And as for his jumping, you don't get over some of the fences at Auteil if you're a sloppy jumper.
Report CagliariG December 27, 2023 7:41 PM GMT
They don't jump them stront they can jump through the tops which is what they do, maybe 2025 you could be right but running like he did from the front, not a chance at Cheltenham in the GC. Would imo be like One Man approaching the 3rd last and then emptying before 2 out.

That though is just based on what I saw in France and yesterday so you and others may be right.
Report strontium December 27, 2023 7:57 PM GMT
The fences at Cheltenham are no longer what they used to be.
Report duffy December 28, 2023 5:03 AM GMT
CagliariG 27 Dec 23 19:26 
Sectional are a complete waste of time unless comparisons on the day are calculated from the actual start in NH racing, where is when the clock starts? Stand to be corrected but viewing the starts some are on the tape others are 100 metres + behind.

That aside even averages are irrelevant given the differing way the races are run, imo the winner will never grace the hill at Cheltenham in a Gold Cup, maybe in a Champion Chase if he even got over the 3rd last the way he jumps?


I compared the two races side by side starting from the point both fields reach the first fence which takes out any inconsistencies involving the start.

It was quite stark, particularly through the first half of the race, the KG field were jumping one fence and the French horse was halfway along to the next one.
Report brandyontherocks December 28, 2023 10:47 AM GMT
From the first fence to the final fence fence, first time round, Il Est Francais led the King George field by 4.39 seconds. (22L)
By the time they jumped 4 out, the King George field had reduced that deficit to 3.41 seconds (17L)
At the winning line Il Est Francais was 5.43 seconds ahead of Hewick. (27L)
Report Andrew.in.Sweden December 28, 2023 11:07 AM GMT
I've been a fan of II Est Francais for some time as mentioned on my own thread, without doubt the best 20f/24f novice chaser around at the moment.

I didn't think it was a particularly strong G1 field, but the way he did it, i doubt anything trained in GB would have beaten him. Now rated 160 by Timeform, the French Gold cup is a gimme and he will take some beating at Kempton next year. If he does get beaten, it will be by an Irish entry, but it's not a race they target so much these days.
Report leif January 15, 2024 9:26 PM GMT
Il Est Francais, described as another Kauto Star after his stunning win at Kempton on Boxing Day, will be a surprise name among the entries for the Turners Novices' Chase at the Cheltenham Festival set to be revealed on Tuesday.

Oi Oi!
7/4 with HIlls nrnb
Report leif January 15, 2024 9:50 PM GMT
PP, Betway -ladbrokes all 12/1 may be that price elsewhere.
Report leif January 15, 2024 9:51 PM GMT
not priced up on the machine yet
Report leif January 15, 2024 9:53 PM GMT
12/1 sportsbook
Report strontium January 15, 2024 10:12 PM GMT
Him vs Gaelic Warrior would be a sight to see.
Report leif January 15, 2024 10:21 PM GMT
The owner had all but ruled out the festival this year having cited the french gold cup in May to be his main target before a tilt at the KG next xmas.
Interesting
Report leif January 15, 2024 10:27 PM GMT
he's around 9/4 for the KG with Gaelic warrior around 7.1

yet it is 5/4 and 12/1 t'other way about for the Turner's Excited
Report layingisthewayforward January 15, 2024 11:07 PM GMT
Where did the above quote re the Turners come from Leif ?
Report leif January 15, 2024 11:24 PM GMT
RP fella
https://www.racingpost.com/news/festivals/cheltenham-festival/il-est-francais-ready-to-attack-the-spring-and-given-cheltenham-festival-novice-chase-entry-add8D6x6DhAk/

I don't have access to the full story though.
Report ashleigh September 28, 2024 4:09 PM BST
a good winning return, The King George next.
Report Mat22 September 28, 2024 4:11 PM BST
Not even cherry ripe n was very impressive.
Will carry my money again wherever he runs next Cool
Report leif September 28, 2024 6:30 PM BST
No finer sight than watching a front runner rattling around Kempton on Boxing Day at a fair old clip, lepping from fence to fence with the agility of an imperious stag.
Hope he turns up.

.
Report doorman99 September 28, 2024 6:59 PM BST
9/2
Report leif December 20, 2024 10:09 PM GMT
doorman99 28 Sep 24 18:59Joined: 05 Sep 01 | Topic/replies: 4,046 | Blogger: doorman99's blog
9/2


Good shout Doorman- 9/2 with Billy's and one or two others.

Acey bin layin' 12/1 for a while, convinced the hoss is a dudMischief
Report acey deucy December 20, 2024 10:52 PM GMT
Phantom gamble to lure in all the complete Mugs.....Cant Win shot to pieces ffs.Cool
Report acey deucy December 20, 2024 10:53 PM GMT
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