Listed races and Group 3s tips

Thank you

Good Luck

Good luck.

Good luck The Wire, good to see someone having a go, why stop at G3 though, what about G1 and G2?

Good luck wire.

First run might find a few out, though still a tall order having to find a stone with six of them.

Crystal Caprice my own bet, for what that is worth.

Stewarts, I probably should put up some in Group 1s and 2s, it's just the slightly lower grades where I've been doing ok the last couple of flat seasons. Thanks all for your messages, I'm hoping doing this will help concentrate the mind further when going through the race.

Hard luck wire, put up a tremendous performance. You deserve a bit more than just the place money.

I won a little bit on the ew bet and laid the win on the exchange at a bit more than evens so another small win.  Three races at Ascot tomorrow but not too enticing at first glance.

Well done, lovely price for place money.

Thankyou, an encouraging start.

Ascot 16.25  Cash  5/1

Around this time last year Cash finished a short head behind Westover over 10f at Sandown. He then had a setback and his connections were talking of aiming at the QE2. He didn't make his comeback until a third of four over 8f at Kempton in November when he was unable to quicken well enough off a slow pace and wasn't given a hard race.  Today he gets his chance over the Ascot mile trip in a Listed contest rather than the Group One they had been contemplating.  5/1 seems a fair enough price to find out if he is as good as connections are hoping.

Time Lock is a short price for the Listed fillies race at Goodwood this afternoon and last season's form looks very solid. The main downside is the stable form, it's a while since they had a winner and five of their last seven runners have been beaten at odds of 3-1 or shorter.

Goodwood 14.05   Thanks Monica  15/2  ew 4 places available

She took a while to find her form last season but ended it in good form with a 14f Listed race at Ascot against the colts just stretching her stamina.  She is likely to make the running so I'm hoping that she's fit enough to run her race first time out for a stable that is in good form. Out in front may be the best place to be as there are a lot in opposition who like to race just off the pace and there may be some trouble in running for some at this track if they stick to the far rail.

Evania 16/1 ew (14/1 4 places) is worth a saver. Another stable in good form, she makes her turf debut but I can't see any reason why that should be a problem. Her dam won a Group 2 over 10f at the Curragh.

I like to find something at double figure odds in fillies Listed races and I may regret ignoring Princess Shabnam today but I think she will find her form again on faster ground.

Queen Olly  14.15 Newmarket  7/1

Queen Olly was tried again over 7f in the Nell Gwyn and was no better at this trip than she was as a 2yo but she did travel pretty well for a long way and wasn't given a hard time once the winner sailed past her. First time tongue tie may help and all her 6f form last year reads well.  The two Dods runners are obvious dangers but maybe the penalties and lack of a recent run will make them beatable today. Queen Olly is one of two 3yo fillies in this race and that age group has won 4 of the last 5 runnings.

Live in the Dream  16.00 Newmarket Group 3, 14/1 ew 4 places available.

Still progressing. I never underestimate Ponte form and he won well there last time.

Four placed out of six so far so going to persevere but going up to a Group 2 today.

Azure Blue 15.00 York  10/1 4 places.

Her recent wins have been at Newmarket and she has been beaten on her only two runs at York. But her defeat here last season was due in large part to being drawn away from the early pace. Being drawn next to Creative Force should help with that today and also suit her running style as she probably prefers to be tucked in early on. I was a big fan of her trainer's Mabs Cross who was first tried at Group 2 level at a similar stage of her development and performed very creditably. I don't think Azure Blue would be running today if Mr. Dods thought she would be out of her depth whatever the ratings may say.

Good luck The Wire, missed your more recent posts as been busy with other things, Azure Blue won well last time and agree has an EW chance today.

Good luck.

Boom wd !

Great stuff The Wire, big improver and a nice priced winner.

Very well done.......nice selection........good tread.......owe u a drink

Thanks all.

york 3-35 soul sister and lambada fillies and small bets and only race for me today

off 3-36 race wasnt off when posted i also was putting in posting gosden had 6 from the last 12 in this race but race was off and didnt press button didnt realize the time, will have the one or 2 races tomorrow my game is these group and listed races, think i will retire posting as it wont get better lol

well done the wire great call !

Excellent, well done.

Wire 

well done know all, soul sister 18/1

thanks wire, dante looks hard obrien usually leaves em for the derby race so ive nowt in that but will enjoy the race, but one race i used to have a edge was 1-50 illusionist 9/1 ew and 2-25 state occasion 10/1 saver on stay 6/1 alert, hard races and with york its like that its either all run well or nothing

One at a bit more speculative price today

Glenlaurel  14.25 York,  33/1 ew or 23/1 4 places available.

Has been kept to 6f so far but the step up to a mile might bring some improvement on breeding. She made a nice debut as a 2yo at Thirsk and then disappointed when turned out quickly at Royal Ascot. She pulled a bit too hard early on there and was not given a hard time once her chance had gone. It was good to firm that day and again today but I'm hoping the quick turnout was the excuse rather than the ground conditions. After a suitable break she then appeared at York in the Lowther, a Group 2, again over 6f where she was keeping on and finished in the pack but close behind such decent fillies as Mawj and Dramatised. Her Listed 4th place on her only run this season was similar but again I would look on it as a good run as I'm sure the winner of that race is a very good all-weather performer. Kevin Ryan has already had some winners at York this week, another plus.

For those who like stats/trends only 2 of the last 17 winners of this race have had 2 runs or less and only 4 of 17 had won last time out. Only back to 2005 shown on ATR website, I'm not just picking 17 to suit my case, but I think it does demonstrate how many fail to build on early promise. 6 of today's opposition won last time out and none of those have had more than 2 outings.

Sorry, slow typist, 28/1 best now I think.

Good luck wire...B365 go 19/1 for the 4 places.
You and Foyleswar have the same ethos...going for the nice prices with good write-ups.
George B of course, not afraid to have a go at a biggie.

Hackman 18.42 Sandown  15/2 4 places available

Has been away smartly both starts and with this jockey. Drawn in 1 which has been a big advantage in this race recently but will need to be away well again. The horse has followed a similar path to the trainer's winner of this race in 2021, Ebro River, who went on to win a Group 1 as a two year old.  Has to turn the tables on Blue Storm from their Newmarket debuts. Hackman was acting green that day in the preliminaries and made the running into a head wind. With the extra experience of the comfortable Chester win I'm hoping Hackman is the one with more improvement to come. Price has shortened a bit overnight and this morning.

Today we have Desert Crown making his reappearance in the Brigadier Gerard at Sandown Park. Stoutey has had this race earmarked for his return for some time now.

Princess Shabnam  15.15 Haydock   14/1 ew available

She had the benefit of stall one last August at Ponte but Princess Shabnam really impressed me when seeing off an in form Gale Force Maya and the useful Chil Chil. Her rating shot up to 107 after that so it wasn't just me who was taken by her speedy performance that day. I never think that these ratings are the be all and end all but only Princess Shabnam and Gale Force Maya have ever achieved that figure, or even within 7lbs of it, of those running this afternoon. This is the first time she has been back on good to firm since but she showed up well for a long way in what was probably a slightly better race at Newmarket last time. In that race she was just a head behind Makarova who was making her seasonal debut but is a much shoreter price today. The favourite Get Ahead has done nearly all her racing at 5f and 9/4 seems a really short price to take on the unproven assumption she improves for the step up in trip.

I'm hoping that the better run last time and the return to faster ground brings back a return to that Pontefract form.

good luck the wire!