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Jonjo O'Neill's Team

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Replies: 403
By:
sageform
When: 14 Mar 23 09:35
Fair enough, but he is a horse with good back form who has had problems for a year prior to the latest win. He seemed to get on well with Cobden which is a plus. 14/1 seems a fair price to me.
By:
Jinxy1
When: 14 Mar 23 09:54
Monbeg Gebius, given an extra run just to make sure that he got in the race, will do for me.
By:
sageform
When: 14 Mar 23 16:01
Monbeg and Oscar both ran well. Oscar too far back but had a chance at the second lat. Monbeg every chance, not quite good enough. Laid both of them off in running so no damage done.
By:
differentdrum
When: 14 Mar 23 19:32
Very good effort from Monbeg Genius. No excuses, just not good enough on the day. At least he showed he could cope being held up in a big field which opens up big handicap possibilities.

Two runners tomorrow.

Easysland has zero chance on all known evidence since he switched to this yard. He is blinkered first time. Beachcomber stepped up massively to win last time. He needs to do the same again and more.

The first thing to say about today is the ground wasn't anywhere near as soft as people were expecting. Several good ground horses ran well enough. This can be a very long week if you don't back any winners, and having started with two seconds things were not looking good. Step forward Corach Rambler. He travelled so well I was just waiting for something to go wrong, but fortunately, despite idling, it didn't. I took advantage of the £10 offers on Constitution Hill, but in the same race I Like To Move It blew out completely. Biggest disappointment was the Mares' Hurdle being run at a dawdle, and the Henderson yard happy to see the race run at a dawdle. They could easily have forward with Theatre Glory, but she was held up, and effectively played no part in race. It makes me think that they wanted to have this race set up for Epatante. That's how it looked. A crawl was the last thing Marie's Rock wanted, but even so she was very poor. Metamorpheus travelled nicely in Boodles, but didn't come up the hill. Not great to finish sixth when you are on five places at big odds. Mister Coffey getting a lucky place in the last rounded off a very small win day.

Of the other performances I was taken by Marine Nationale in the first. El Fabiolo took the Arkle nicely, but the fight with Jonbon never materialised. Bar the last flight the Champion Hurdle was something of a non event.
By:
sageform
When: 14 Mar 23 20:59
I know it sounds like aftertiming but I could never see Marie's Rock at all. I know she won last year but there were 2 Champion hurdle winners in there this time so she had to improve massively to beat either of those. Love Envoi ran a massive race as I had hoped but could not see off Honeysuckle from the last. Epatante was very disappointing and could also be retired.
By:
differentdrum
When: 14 Mar 23 21:16
Yes, it is nice to hear opinions before races.

You honestly think that was the real Marie's Rock? She has run way below her best, and a huge part in that is down to the farcical pace which suited the speed horses on the front end. That should be obvious to anyone. I raised the concerns about lack of pace beforehand, but thoroughly expected Theatre Glory to go forward. She ended up beating Marie's Rock which just confirms how poorly the favourite has run. The rag wouldn't be in the same league. An on song Marie's Rock didn't have to improve massively to beat two ex-Champion Hurdle winners from a moderate era, both on the downgrade. Likely she didn't have to improve at all. Love Envoi was 147 and Marie's Rock 153, so if she had run to that rating she would very likely have won. I am not buying into Love Envoi suddenly showing massive improvement, she was just well ridden.
By:
sageform
When: 14 Mar 23 21:28
I posted my opinions on what I thought would win, mentioning Love Envoi several times. I would rate the race through Honeysuckle at her OR of 159 which is still well below her rating last year. That would put Love Envoi on 157 which is not unreasonable. She won her previous 2 races in a canter so was open to 10lb improvement.
By:
differentdrum
When: 16 Mar 23 01:06
After a shocker of a punting day didn't feel much like doing this today.

Easysland see previous comments. I have no idea why they are perservering. Just embarrassing. As expected Beachcomber was never at the races.

Two runners tomorrow.

I have backed An Tailliur each-way, but the initial support has dried up, and ground a likely negative. I would have run Coeur Serein in the National Hunt Chase, but if he gets into a rhythm on the front end he could run a decent race.

As for today's punting hard to believe too many would have been on Gerri Colombe and An Epic Song at such big prices and just about as bad as it gets that both would have won in a couple more strides. Never been a believer in the idea that luck evens out. Far more likely it is another dose of the same tomorrow.
By:
sageform
When: 16 Mar 23 09:04
Yesterday was poor for me too. Hermes Allen was particularly disappointing and Benson, Thyme Hill and Edwardstone were too bad to be true. That was my betting day! Good luck with Coeur Seren if you are on. Stage Star and Paisley Park are my 2 anti post bets. The rest will be last minute decisions.
By:
differentdrum
When: 16 Mar 23 19:11
I backed both An Tailiur and The Changing Man. Both jocks - Powell another terrible jock - looked to be caught out by the burn up in the straight. They stayed on as well as anything outside the winner. Unlucky for anyone with five places. Coeur Serein, never at the races, and would surely have been better in the longer, small field, race?

Just Petite Tonnerre in the County tomorrow. His best effort this season was on good ground over the intermediate trip. Unless he has been hiding an awful lot hard to see.

I really need to revise what I wrote yesterday. Today I had Envoi Allen (16/1), Sire Du Berlais (50/1), and Seddon (22/1 & 25/1). It would have been nice to have finished off with Stumptown at 9/1 in the last, but that would just have been greedy. A day likely never to be repeated. A few shots left to fire tomorrow, but if they all lose, it will still be a nice winning week.
By:
MJK
When: 16 Mar 23 19:45
I backed An Tailiur ew myself. Don't think he could've ran it up the back of more horses.
By:
differentdrum
When: 17 Mar 23 19:28
Petite Tonnerre finished as well as anything, but was never realistically at the races. Much too far out of his ground.

On the betting front it was never likely to be a repeat of yesterday. For the most part it was the exact opposite. Blood Destiny was rubbish; Pembroke was arguably the worst performing favourite of the week; Corbetts Cross ran out when holding a slim chance; Ahoy Senor brought down Sounds Russian, and Noble **** only got going when the race was finished; Rocky's Howya desrved a place but didn't get one. Although I did have a small saver on Lossiemouth you couldn't get much more of a tale of woe. Thankfully, Zambella managed an each-way fourth, and the week was rounded off with Iroko winning the last at 20/1. That made six winning bets at 14/1 and above which was key to a very good week. If I learnt one thing it was don't go in early on the shorties. Even if these didn't drift bookmakers had plenty of offers. Biggest disappointment other than those two short head reverses on Tuesday was Banbridge's no show at 22/1. Hard to believe he wouldn't have at least placed in what turned out to be a very ordinary renewal of the Turners.

Looking ahead if he stays right Galopin Des Champs is going to be very difficult to beat. The trip was no issue in a well run race. They might drop Corbetts Cross in trip, but I would be very surprised if Stay Away Fay were beat him again. Lossiemouth won nicely, but I am not sure what she ended up beating. In terms of a Champion Hurdle contender I wouldn't have her close to Marine Nationale.

Four runners at Uttoxeter tomorrow.

Collectors Item skipped the Albert Bartlett and should have every chance with conditions to suit. Flight Deck runs in the same race, but who knows which Flight Deck will turn up? Time To Get Up has almost certainly been targeted at a second Midlands National and from 8lbs lower it's not impossible, but it is a tough renewal. Will come back on the bumper horse as the At The Races site appears to have crashed. Likely it's a stronger bumper than the Kempton one.
By:
isleham
When: 17 Mar 23 23:09
The Gold Cup is a truly gruelling race and 12 months ago APT would have had 2 further runs both Pulled Up so difficult to be too bullish about Galopin
By:
differentdrum
When: 17 Mar 23 23:44
Correction, actually 5 runners tomorrow.

I forgot about Iron Bridge who also skipped Cheltenham for tomorrow. I thought he struggled home when finishing alone at Haydock, and for me his stamina is unproven at this trip on slow ground. I couldn't find any video for Hasthing, but it appears he has won both starts nicely. He beat a now 110 rated animal very easily. Clearly something has gone amiss since then, and the double penalty makes this a tough ask after such an absence.

I will try and keep this going until Punchestown. It's been a help to me, and not really a chore. No point in doing a Flat equivalent because I don't know enough to add any value. I can assess bumpers, but loads of unraced Flat horses is not for me. Too much guesswork. Will probably start back with a different trainer in October. I was thinking maybe Henry Daly off the back of a not too bad season. His Rapper reportedly bled from the nose. It did look too bad to be true.
By:
differentdrum
When: 18 Mar 23 11:59
Not sure where they got that 8/1 Collectors Item on today's morning show? A clear mistake. He very much needs to brush up his jumping technique. Flight Deck has drifted to big price if he decides to put in a shift. Like to see him in a rhythm on the front end. Been the odd nibble for the bumper horse, but you wouldn't have thought he wanted an absolute slog returning from such an absence. Minella Double looked an out and out galloper when a fortunate Point winner. He has also attracted attention, and you would have thought that Bowen shouldn't have any thought on his mind other than making this a severe test of stamina.
By:
sageform
When: 18 Mar 23 14:50
Iron Bridge is my only interest from the yard. After missing 2 engagements at Cheltenham, they must fancy it fort this.
By:
differentdrum
When: 18 Mar 23 19:21
Another winnerless, disappointing day.

Given that the ground had heavy in the description it was a strange watch as horses were never walking home as for instance they do on a regular basis at Sandown.

Collectors Item did jump better, but looked as if four miles might be too short. A disappointing performance. Flight Deck was beaten before he started. Given the horse appears to easily lose interest why would you line him up wide, and so far back? Idiotic tactics. He should have been on the front end. He was driven along, but the jock eventually gave up with half a mile left to run. Time To Get Up 33/1-10/1 never travelled a yard, and it was no surprise when he was pulled up. Given that conditions should have suited this was a shocking effort. Hasthing raced quite freely, and ended up too far back - sadly, a recurring theme - otherwise he should probably have won. Despite the market support Minella Double was beaten as soon as he was held up. Anyone who watched his Point could have seen that he was just a galloper.   

Another five runners tomorrow.

Nitwit was absolutely clueless on his bumper debut. On that evidence you wouldn't expect too much on his hurdling debut. Likely this is just experience for next year. Favourite looks a penalty kick. Wideeyedandlegless was disappointing returning from an absence. The longer trip should be a plus. Hopefully, in combination with a more positive ride. Again the favourite should be hard to beat. Dollar Bae is finally upped in trip, but the ground is a big question mark. Isocrate with three fourths would have an unusual profile for a bumper winner. His latest form is relatively untested, and in a few more strides he would only have finished fifth. 10/1 Looks pretty short, and I would be more interested in Gidleigh Park if he copes with the ground. Maypole Cross goes to Carlisle. He appears to have gone backwards after showing promise at the start of the season.
By:
differentdrum
When: 18 Mar 23 19:24
Again I forgot Iron Bridge. He seemed to see it out well enough, and although he did travel like a winner, this is perhaps his level. It will be interesting to see if they now stay at this trip.
By:
differentdrum
When: 19 Mar 23 18:59
A day of what might have been.

Nitwit travelled a little more kindly, but quickly dropped away. On this evidence it will be quite a time before we find out whether he actually has any ability. Wideeyedandlegless raced prominently, but looked as if he might want four miles when left behind by the winner. After continually suggesting that Dollar Bae should be upped in trip that was quite galling to watch. She coped with the ground, and produced her best performance. A big market drifter, Isocrate has done well to finish fifth, in what was likely an above average bumper. Gidleigh Park was another who had no problems with the ground. Commiserations to those associated with Maypole Cross. I flagged him up earlier in the season, but that promise hadn't been fulfilled. Amazing how you go from such a poor performance to looking a steering job.

Three at Southwell tomorrow.

File Illico has had a very poor season, and was readily brushed aside in a three-horse race last time. Needs a revival even at this basement level. Hey Day Baby made all to win her point, looking a strong stayer, but despite a similar rating I would be surprised if she turned over the other Point winner, Sanda Rena. Valentine Getaway makes her handicap debut stepped up in trip. On pedigree that should suit, and she wouldn't need to show much improvement to be competitive in this race. It would be disappointing if she wasn't.

Interesting bumper to round off the card at Taunton with three winning ex-pointers. Rock House was a relatively cheap purchase, but the horse who came down when chasing him has subsequently given that form a boost. Pa King the key to Hammer Dan and Saladins Son. He got into a right horlicks at the last on Hammer Dan and that one to my eyes looked the pacier of the two, an asset you need round Taunton. In fact it is a surprise to see these type of horses even running at Taunton.
By:
differentdrum
When: 20 Mar 23 18:26
Back to the usual dismal day.

File Illico jumped increasingly right (Racing Post analysis says left?) and dropped away tamely. Hey Day Baby attracted some market support, but having shown herself a stayer in her Point win, was stupidly dropped out, and given no chance. Isn't the idea of tactics to give horses the best chance to win? Valentine Getaway was very disappointing, and seems of very limited ability on this evidence.

Two at Wetherby tomorrow.

Given a couple of recent dire results from the Evan Williams stable, it looks as if Springwell Bay should provide another rare winner. At the moment he looks the most promising novice in the yard, and he should be able to concede the weight, and possibly go on to Aintree. Trapista goes up in trip, but having continually suggested that she is one paced and should make the running, I have given up.

Centara doesn't have the greatest pedigree, but ran away with today's Taunton bumper. It run at a decent clip, and he barely came off the bridle. He might be another heading to Aintree. The second gave a boost to Secret Squirrel who might heading in a similar direction. Poor effort from the Pipe horse today, stopping to nothing having seemingly travelled well. Perhaps this came too quick after his Point run?

It was only few years ago that Nicholls hardly ever trained a bumper winner. Clearly he has realised that if you get your horse fit, and actually try to win the race, it can be easy pickings. From the way many other trainers approach these races you would think winning a bumper somehow destroys a horse. Just lazy training and wasting owner's money.
By:
differentdrum
When: 21 Mar 23 10:57
Just to confirm the stable made a couple of big money purchases at the recent Cheltenham Sales - will the owners ever learn? They are certainly not getting the results so it is baffling to think what experience he is providing.

Mt Fugi Park (290,000) is a good looking 5yo by Walk In The Park, from the family of Royal Athlete. He stayed on nicely to win on debut, and the first two drew clear. Those behind haven't done anything for the form.

Bill Joyce (225,000) is a 4yo by Mahler from the same family as the stable's currently disappointing, Betty's Banjo. He looked a nippier sort, but far less imposing than the older horse. The form is so far completely untested.
By:
Trident
When: 21 Mar 23 11:12
Unless the stables horses are backed Very late, I have no interest in their runners. For the price they pay, it's almost like most horses are out for a Fun day out.... Not a stable to have your hard earned on IMO
By:
differentdrum
When: 21 Mar 23 19:10
Springwell Bay duly won comfortably, but probably learnt next to nothing in doing so. He could still do with brushing up his jumping, but that's probably in part down to the jock. Amazingly, he is to be targeted at an Aintree handicap. I can't fathom that out, unless the trainer wants to turn everything into a handicapper. I wouldn't have thought beating up very small fields was the ideal preparation. I would have aimed him at the staying novice. Trapista was ridden as before with exactly the same result. Still one paced, but hey ho, let's carry on riding it for a change of pace.

Three runners tomorrow.

Uptown Lady didn't give much cause for encouragement on chase debut, but that was after a long absence and upped in trip the ground should be much more suitable tomorrow. Copper Cove was very disappointing after an absence, and didn't shape as if crying out for a longer trip. Fame And Concrete goes to Warwick, and has been put in favourite for a very weak race. Even at this level I wouldn't trust him to deliver.

Another very impressive bumper winner today in the shape of Indeevar Bleu. Almost certainly a weaker event than yesterday, but he couldn't have been more impressive. It's about time Murphy started turning this type of horse into Graded winners.

Forgot to mention Senior Chief yesterday. He was value for more than his winning margin, and looks a nice staying chase prospect.
By:
differentdrum
When: 22 Mar 23 18:58
Uptown Lady out ran her odds as might have been expected. Unfortunately, she faded away in the straight so we are left wondering if that was a reflection of her true ability, or a poor preparation. Fame And Concrete is a terrible advert for the trainer. He was a poor jumper to start with, and he is still a poor jumper. The first time cheek pieces made no difference. Copper Cove travelled well enough but didn't stay. Another one who is already looking disappointing.

Three at Chepstow tomorrow.

Merveillo makes his handicap debut having shown next to nothing in four runs over hurdles. He receives just 6lbs from a progressive horse who has won four in a row. Very hard to see on all known evidence. Walk In My Shoes jumped well on her chase, but O'Neill still managed to conjure a fall out of her next time. Assuming O'Neill doesn't mess up again she has an each-way chance on ground that should suit. Bethka ran well on debut, but absolutely bombed at Ascot. Again if she can reproduce the Ludlow run she would have every chance in a weak race.

Very ordinary racing today, But David Bass seemingly remembered what he does best.

Looking ahead to Aintree I see Marie's Rock is being stepped up in trip. She got beat at Cheltenham because the stable made a pig's ear of tactics, not because of the trip. The race ended up being a total farce. I won't be in any hurry to back her this time. Not overly excited by the National entry. Far easier to rule them out than rule them in. I have backed Le Milos and Corach Rambler, mainly because they have produced two nice ante-post results this season. The worry for Le Milos is the trip. These days it isn't easy to nurse a horse into the race from off the pace. I think the jumping is the main issue for Corach Rambler. He gets very high at his fences so is going to be coming down steep. He almost lost his legs on landing at Cheltenham. He is another who is going to be patiently ridden, although in his case stamina should be fine.
By:
differentdrum
When: 23 Mar 23 18:58
Another hat trick of disasters.

Merveillo continues to show nothing. What's the point? Walk In My Shoes doubled in price, lost ground at the start then three lengths over the first two fences and it was effectively game over. A bit of promise with Brace on board, useless in two outings with O'Neill in the saddle. Bethka continues on a downward spiral. Trouble beforehand, and ridden out the back, never looked likely to land the odds. I can't remember O'Neill winning a race this season when a horse has come off the bridle in the early stages. Just bounces up and down in the saddle, and most of time the horse pulls up.

Just Yes Indeed upped in trip at Newbury tomorrow. Like so many in the yard hasn't shown any form for ages.
By:
differentdrum
When: 24 Mar 23 19:01
Very glad that Yes Indeed didn't take advantage of the winner's wayward tendencies. Who wrote the Racing Post comment that it 'had every chance'? They must use a crystal ball rather than a form book. 

Two runners tomorrow in the money events.

Walk Of No Shame heads to Kelso, and can't be seriously fancied off the back of a pathetic effort last time. Jaxonne runs in the Sales Bumper at Newbury. It's very much a mystery pedigree with Dunne taking a rare ride for the stable. I like the look of the Twiston-Davies second string on pedigree, but who knows on desperate ground.

It was desperate ground at Chepstow yesterday, and just as bad at Newbury today. Nicky Henderson suddenly became a soft ground trainer. Tread with complete caution. It's not worth throwing money away.
By:
differentdrum
When: 25 Mar 23 20:26
Two more abysmal runs to add to the collection.

Nothing tomorrow.

Save for a couple at Chepstow, betting either side of the Cheltenham Festival has been a washout. This ground, and races with inexperienced horses are not a great match. The horse has to handle the ground, and be sent out fit enough to do themselves justice in the conditions. You can rarely guarantee the two. Tommie Gun might be worth keeping an eye on for the future (18/1-9/1), but the moment you could see Nailor taking a scenic route it was game over. If you are going to do that it is pointless even running, and it was clear he was the one of the Twiston-Davies runners making up the numbers. Contrast that to the ground saving trip of Equinis for the same stable in the first.
By:
differentdrum
When: 27 Mar 23 15:42
Apologies, forgot about today's, but fortunately nothing too much missed.

New Beginnings seemed to run better, but was miles behind so hard to know what he actually achieved. It looked a very promising effort by the second. Lock's Corner appears to have gone to pot. Once he gets behind there is zero response, the opposite of a horse in love with the game. How did he win those races earlier in the season?

Nothing until Thursday.
By:
differentdrum
When: 27 Mar 23 15:42
Apologies, forgot about today's, but fortunately nothing too much missed.

New Beginnings seemed to run better, but was miles behind so hard to know what he actually achieved. It looked a very promising effort by the second. Lock's Corner appears to have gone to pot. Once he gets behind there is zero response, the opposite of a horse in love with the game. How did he win those races earlier in the season?

Nothing until Thursday.
By:
differentdrum
When: 29 Mar 23 17:47
Just the one runner at Taunton, but it is one of the most interesting runners of the season.

Had Johnnywho been running straight after he was purchased he would be 1/2, not 4/1. He couldn't have been more impressive in bolting up in his only Point. He showed a rare change of pace to pull clear of the opposition which included Hermes Allen 19 lengths back in third. He is a half brother to Doing Fine, and the family goes back to Daring Run. That's all the positives. The obvious negative is why is he only making his rules debut nearly 18 months later. We may never know, and it might be yet another case of the trainer turning a potential champion into nothing. A sharp track like Taunton looks a very strange place to start back for a horse who isn't going to want for stamina. If they are serious about winning the sensible option would surely be to go forward. Watching him ride I don't think the jock knows what sensible option means.
By:
paulo47
When: 30 Mar 23 13:36
My mate took the 4s , but like you neither of us can understand the horse running at Taunton , couldnt have a more different track to Rathcannon . Plus it was his only entry for the meeting and they are at Wetherby tomorrow , which adds to the mystery . Unlikely to be a pre Aintree given the long abscence and time frame . Total puzzle .
By:
differentdrum
When: 30 Mar 23 17:40
I got a boosted 4's. Most impressive winner they have sent out all season. Absolute steering job. To think O'Neill had him declared to run in a novice hurdle before Cheltenham. Thankfully, that meeting was called off. Do they give him a novice hurdle season 6/7 or go straight fences? If he was in a top yard you would think he could be Graded material.

Four runners at Wetherby tomorrow.

All The Glory was the best of these on bumper form, but has been off for more than five months after disappointing twice over hurdles. Also changed ownership. Montmartin was a relatively expensive purchase, but is another to have shown very little in two starts. If anything this is an even weaker race. Front View made a promising reappearance, but subsequently bombed up in trip on quicker ground. He drops back in trip on slower ground tomorrow. Unsinkable Molly B was a 45,000 3yo from a family associated with Geoff Hubbard. She has her chance in a race where nothing jumps off the page. I noticed she is owned by Dan Walker - is that the tv guy?
By:
sageform
When: 31 Mar 23 13:03
Taunton has often attracted good bumpers for some reason. I had a share in a horse called Lucky Bay who ran in one in 2000. He were sixth just behind Marble Arch who was second in a Champion Hurdle, Thyne Will Tell was second and reached a rating of 141, we got to 136 and Royal Emperor who was behind us was second in an RSA chase! So as we were subsequently sixth in the NH chase, 3 of the runners that day won prize money at the Festival. Perhaps Johnnywho will even win there.
By:
differentdrum
When: 31 Mar 23 17:40
Montmartin (nibbled each-way) showed a bit more, benefitting from a prominent ride. How much more is difficult to tell as outside the winner it was a very weak race. Conversely, Front View was never well positioned, and looked to be struggling when losing his jock at the first in the straight. Again the star of the show was in the bumper. Unsinkable Molly B looks a lovely, big, scopey mare, and was backed accordingly. She was unlucky to come up against one who was probably just a bit more geared up on debut. The mare who disputed the lead dropped well behind so credit to the second for keeping on so well. What's going on? Two nice prospects on successive days.

Just two runners on a generally mediocre day tomorrow.

Stable rogue Half The Freedom goes to Uttoxeter with a new jock on board. Ideally he wants a strong pace with everything stopping in front of him. That might be unlikely in such a small field. Joly Maker returns after a seven month absence at Stratford. He has won over course and distance, but I have no idea why Max Kendrick is riding. Needless to say it isn't a positive.

Couple of dart throws in the Lincoln, the John Quinn pair, Empirestateofmind and Safe Voyage. Hopefully, they are straight enough first time.
By:
differentdrum
When: 01 Apr 23 18:43
Half The Freedom looked very hard work before staying on when the race was over. Jock didn't look up to much. Hard to believe why punters still haven't got the message that this horse is just unreliable, and that's being kind. Joly Maker jumped and travelled like the best horse in the race. Even Kendrick looked relatively tidy. The shocker was the massive drift around 8/1 to a starting price of 25/1.

Empirestateofmind's form suggests he doesn't win first time, and he confirmed that idea, weakening away in the final furlong. Not great if you were on six places. Safe Voyage may as well have stayed in his box. He probably wants a small field, and a positive ride, in fact the exact opposite of what he got today.

Not a great betting day would be an understatement. I stood for Connolly again in the closing Stratford bumper. I doubt any horse turned in a worse performance all day. He drifted from 9/1-28/1 in the last few minutes. You would love to know what sparked that off. The stable is in terrible shape with Paisley Park on the way out, and not a single promising youngster produced in the last two seasons. As the trainer can't sack herself it is hard to see how the link with Bellamy can continue. It hasn't ever looked like working.

Just Prince Escalus at Ascot tomorrow. Up 5lb for a first win left-handed he ideally wants better ground, and a smaller field. Even if he copes with those negatives two or three of these also like to go forward so making all is not going to be easy.
By:
differentdrum
When: 02 Apr 23 17:58
Prince Escalus couldn't get to the front (with an inside berth perhaps the jock didn't try hard enough), steadily dropped away, and eventually sulked his way into last place. He has ability, but needs things to go his way.

Just Judicial Law at Ludlow tomorrow. Dropped a generous 3lbs returning after a near six-month absence, and a course and distance winner, at around 7/1 he looks to have an obvious each-way chance.

Nice to have the flat back with a complete boilover in the Ballysax. That after O'Brien had already mopped up the other two trials. Too much guesswork.
By:
11kv
When: 02 Apr 23 18:28
Good thread imo
By:
isleham
When: 02 Apr 23 19:08
ditto
By:
The Chicken
When: 03 Apr 23 12:15
Rocco Royal at Ludlow on 22/2

Towards rear of midfield, pushed along and still plenty to do before 3 out, headway 2 out, kept on and went third run-in, eyecatcher (jockey said, regarding running and riding, that his instructions were to sit mid-division, get gelding jumping and to finish as strongly as possible; he explained that he was slightly short of room both jumping and just after second flight which left him further back in the field than ideal and amidst green horses which were running around and in turn unbalancing his own horse; he added that rounding final bend he was pleased with way the gelding was travelling but met with further traffic in home straight and although gelding jumped well, he had to bide his time and it wasn't until after the last that he had found clear space; he was pleased with gelding's finishing effort, maintaining that he had achieved his best possible placing; he added that he would be recommending that gelding should stick to 2 miles but that he might benefit from a more galloping track where he could get into a better rhythm; trainer's rep confirmed instructions and that ride accorded with instructions given)

Steps up to 2m3f on the galloping track at...er...Fontwell tomorrow. Go figure.
By:
differentdrum
When: 03 Apr 23 12:15
Thanks both.

I enjoy writing and I enjoy racing so it is definitely isn't a chore. You are never going to please everyone all of the time, but I like to think I offer an honest comment from a punter's perspective. In my opinion so many professionals will just bury the honesty because they live in fear of upsetting people. It seems everyone has to be a cheerleader. That might be healthy for the individual, but it's not healthy for the sport.

As I said before I am going to skip the Flat (if forced would probably have done Beckett) because I don't follow that code closely enough to add any extra input. Unfortunately, the Flat lends itself far more to inside knowledge, and I am not privy to any of that. The idea is to resume, probably with Daly in the autumn. Other possibles are Fry, and Honeyball, who haven't had the best of seasons.

Unfortuntely, having halved in price, Judicial Law taken out with a bruised foot.

Just Rocco Royale at Fontwell tomorrow. It looks a very good opportunity in what looks a weak race, but given that he was never seriously involved in his previous race I would be wary of taking a very short price. The notes of the last run state that the jock thought the horse should remain at the minimum trip on a stiffer track. Of the opposition, Double Click, from the family of Best Mate, is of some interest. He hasn't been seeing his races out, and you might expect him to go forward over this shorter trip.
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