By:
I think you've chosen a good race to look elsewhere. It's always dangerous to extrapolate from SFs gained on debut, but none of the runners with form have yet run to a SF of 62 that would be sufficient to win a 7f Novice here. In fact, they nearly all fall well short: Vespasian (49), Jade County (49), Applaud Now (57), Hold The Press (43) and Connie's Rose (40).
I've only had a brief look, but From a small sample size (9) Joseph Parr hasn't had a decent debutant on the AW since September 2020. However of the 4 debutants on, or prior to, this date 3 would probably win this comfortably. Could be random chance, change of philosophy or nothing at all. There could be an argument that one should effectively treat Yukon Star as a debutant - given he had one run, was gelded and Godolphin persist with him. Good luck. |
By:
Applaud now is better than it has shown so far tbf.
|
By:
Vespasian by sire Acclamation,good sire a/w
Yukon Dream by sire Oasis Dream,good sire A/w,but been gelded ? Applaud Now by sire Acclamation,colt,most prob winner Difficult to beat these top three in betting |
By:
Good luck foyles, as I've said before don't really bother much with novices but combined with Davros SFs could well be a race for an outsider.
|
By:
I see where you're coming from Foyles and have followed you in on the 4,5 and 6 places on bet365
The horse looked a big type on its debut and hope the run, although 100 days ago, has brought it on.It didn't get the clearest of runs into the straight when the others quickened Trouble is Kellys on board so it could be there for the run I not a big fan of Kempton form at the other aw tracks so have had a bit on Applaud Now at the top of the market Davros, we need to catch up, missed you! |
By:
yeah kelly was my concern tbh , hopefull of a place in the 6 will do .
|
By:
Let em have it 12/1
First run but has been well supported. |
By:
ah well !
|
By:
Let em have it 3rd 18/1
|
By:
disappointing finishing effort, coming into the straight I thought we'd be ok
Still we had a go! |
By:
well done mondeo
|