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ItsMeSwaddle
04 Oct 21 10:44
Joined:
Date Joined: 19 Oct 15
| Topic/replies: 9,226 | Blogger: ItsMeSwaddle's blog
Know there is a few on here that follow the darts.

Horrible tournament for punting on at the moment (double in double out format)

Cant let this one slip by however.

Given it the famous StewB monkey treatment. Hope it doesnt get spunked.

GABRIEL CLEMENS TO BEAT VINCENT VAN DER VOORT TONIGHT 4/5 OR TECHNICALLY 1.79.


I always prefer recent form with the darts. But as this is the only time they play double in double out last year is worth a check. (Both players recent form is pretty average)

CLEMENS double in: 40%
VVVD double in: NA (didnt play)

A subjective call, and you may prefer the opposite, but with double in formats I much prefer a player that doesnt machine gun their darts at the board to try and hit the opening double. If someone offered me Clemens double in 40% of the time id take it, that is likely to be enough imo.

Anyone with an opinion? I quite like Darius Labanaukus at 9/5 to beat Brendan Dolan tonight also (I make that closer to a coin flip) but its not quite juicy enough to have a go.
Pause Switch to Standard View 4/5 POKE > SHOULD BE 1/2 TONIGHT (IMO)
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Report ItsMeSwaddle October 4, 2021 10:45 AM BST
Gabriel Clemens
1.79
£98.11
£77.51
Ref: 246319051691 Matched: 10:33 04-Oct-21
Gabriel Clemens
1.79
£100.00
£79.00
Ref: 246319060905 Matched: 10:33 04-Oct-21
Gabriel Clemens
1.79
£100.00
£79.00
Ref: 246319065409 Matched: 10:33 04-Oct-21
Gabriel Clemens
1.79
£100.00
£79.00
Ref: 246319069062 Matched: 10:33 04-Oct-21
Gabriel Clemens
1.79
£100.00
£79.00
Ref: 246319072678 Matched: 10:33 04-Oct-21
Gabriel Clemens
1.8
£1.89
£1.51
Ref: 246319051691 Matched: 10:33 04-Oct-21
Report Rico-Dangleflaps October 4, 2021 1:59 PM BST
is jocky wilson playing?
Report Fashion Fever October 4, 2021 2:47 PM BST
v John Lowe
Report Rico-Dangleflaps October 4, 2021 2:52 PM BST
dexys midnite runners sang bout him..remember?
Report sludge October 4, 2021 4:35 PM BST
You make a game close to a coin flip , and u can get nearly 2/1 for it . U then state its not juicy enough to have a go .....a quite bizarre statement surely ??
Report Rico-Dangleflaps October 4, 2021 5:04 PM BST
Anyone with an opinion? I quite like Darius Labanaukus at 9/5 to beat Brendan Dolan tonight also (I make that closer to a coin flip)
Report s.kenbo October 4, 2021 5:08 PM BST
But no bet.
Report ItsMeSwaddle October 4, 2021 5:19 PM BST
Sorry its not overly clear, tried to keep the opinions as short as possible so they are actually worth a read.

Labanaukus blows hot and cold and is without the expereince of Dolan, who seemingly without seeing any stats has done well over the years in this tournament. He also has a home crowd, which is hard to measure because will they actually get behind him in this game, probably not.

If I personally made a book it would be Labanaukus 5/4 v Dolan 4/6 trying to take as little money poss on Laban. IS pricing them up in my head before I looked at the market at 2.3 v 1.74 closer to a coin flip, yes, should I use the term coin flip maybe not.

If I had a book I would make Clemens as short as 4/9 tonight, he will be winning. Ok so taking 7/4 about a 5/4 shot you will make money, but taking 4/5 about something you make 1/2 is near enough the same ROI give or take, and like all losing/break even punters, we just want to back the winner Wink, and the shorter price ofc gives you more chance when you make a big wager (which it is for me)
Report s.kenbo October 4, 2021 5:31 PM BST
Clemens often looks like he’s got a decent tournament win in him, only to play poor in the next one he plays in.

I didn’t even know the Grand Prix started last night. Looks like I missed some good games. At least there’s some good ones tonight.

This is the tournament where BD got his ‘History Maker’ nickname. The first (possibly only?) player to hit a nine darter with the double in and out format.
Report ItsMeSwaddle October 4, 2021 6:12 PM BST
He also has a home crowd, which is hard to measure because will they actually get behind him in this game, probably not.

Scratch that it aint in Dublin for the first time in a decade.
Report s.kenbo October 4, 2021 6:50 PM BST
I hope you had a little dabble there, Swad.
Report ItsMeSwaddle October 4, 2021 7:09 PM BST
Didnt have a bean Tongue Out.

Easy to say after the event but there is a few short format coin flip style events where it is bizzare that someone can have one of the teams/players so far North of EVENS to make them value.

Round 1 of darts games are one.
Report Rico-Dangleflaps October 4, 2021 7:33 PM BST
ive had £500 @4/5 and a £1 sfc with alun evans.
Report HallGreenSpy October 4, 2021 7:41 PM BST
Just seen this swad. 'threw' a tenner at 10/3 at 0-1
Report HallGreenSpy October 4, 2021 7:49 PM BST
Fair play Vincent. No excuses.
Report ItsMeSwaddle October 4, 2021 7:51 PM BST
Ffs poor bet.
Report Rico-Dangleflaps October 4, 2021 7:53 PM BST
Scared
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