Forums
Welcome to Live View – Take the tour to learn more
Start Tour
There is currently 1 person viewing this thread.
punts
09 May 21 08:43
Joined:
Date Joined: 16 Feb 06
| Topic/replies: 4,574 | Blogger: punts's blog
Some big prices about for O'Brien runners today. Indeed a chance to get some value.

I've looked at the races @ Leopardstown and his runners and come up with these picks:

14:45: Joan Of Arc (NAP) 11/2 (Galileo) / R L Moore

15:45: Call Me Sweetheart 15/2 (Australia) / R L Moore

17:15: Lord Of The Manor 4/1 (Galileo) / Heff

I've backed these in multiples (E/W). You don't need to stake much at these prices for a massive return.

For example the Moore double on the above pays 54/1...

Why such big prices? He's been out of form and horses running in and out however still worth persisting with considering his record and the pedigree's on show. 

GL if you fancy anything.
Pause Switch to Standard View Aidan O'Brien Value (Leopardstown)
Show More
Loading...
Report undertaker May 9, 2021 9:14 AM BST
Good morning Punts, and good luck with your selections today. In the 5.15 I have had a speculative dabble on Ruling. By Camelot out of a 100+ mare who won over 1m3f, I think it is fair to say this Derby entry will prefer today's trip/ground to the mile on the Dundalk AW he previously raced over (2/1, 4th, nearest finish).
Report punts May 9, 2021 9:19 AM BST
I'm worried about the draw bias in the 17:15 undertaker  ... both ours are in the parking lot as they say Cry

The Moore E/W double looks incredible value to me
Report driver2 May 9, 2021 9:31 AM BST
I'm really looking forward to the Derrinstown today, Bolshoi Ballet and Mac Swiney both well fancied for the Derby take each other on, but the one that really interests me is Jessie Harrington's lightly raced Taipan. He was slowly away behind Bolshoi Ballet and stuck on the rail until the last furlong. He ran on well to take 3rd and I reckon he'll be more competitive today. I'm not going to have a bet, but we may well see the Derby winner here.
Report punts May 9, 2021 9:35 AM BST
driver: like you will just watch that one...
Report punts May 9, 2021 9:40 AM BST
Because of the draw bias I no longer fancy Lord of the Manor in the 17:15

I'll just pin my hopes on the E/W Moore double. 

I'd be disappointed if he can't get those in the frame although some punters may remember the other weeks debacle where a few of Aidan's were beaten a long way from home.
Report shoodacoodadidnt May 9, 2021 12:13 PM BST
punts - I wouldn't want to be counting on a R Moore/AOB PLACE ANY day of the week - still GL!!
Report punts May 9, 2021 12:22 PM BST
Shoo: I'm not "counting" on anything.

Their stats are good here, far superior to anyone else.

Who are you backing (or counting on) and why?
Report shoodacoodadidnt May 9, 2021 12:37 PM BST
AOB over 10 years at Leopardstown with fillies - place record - level stake loss at BF place prices (usually much better than EW). Add the fact that AOB has 2 in race and his sons have 4 and you're looking at a recipe for disaster (in the long run). Not tosay you won't get a place. Stats? Well, always depends on which stats you choose to look at. You can be sure the family will have a fair idea who is just out for a warm-up and who will be placed. They don't talk to me :) .... so I'll leave well alone.
Report shoodacoodadidnt May 9, 2021 12:39 PM BST
Actually, with Ryan Moore on board, that place record improves, which is ASToUNDING to me! So you might be on to something. :)
Report swiftynifty May 9, 2021 1:27 PM BST
I'll take you on with Harrington/Foley's 8 runners e/w. Her stable is out of form, she has a poor course P/L, so by my stats it all points to a good day.
Report driver2 May 9, 2021 1:39 PM BST
I think Jessie will do well today, 1st race for the olduns though, Eaglefield for me.
Report punts May 9, 2021 1:40 PM BST
shoo: overall their record is pretty good. Most trainers/jockeys do not show a LSP in Ireland. If that was the criteria you would never (or rarely) have a bet..

There is a bit more to it than just raw stats.

I said in the preview i've looked at the races and also the opposition. Notice I've skipped some of the more competitive ones. I'm hoping to have picked the right ones. It's not easy but if it comes off I'll collect a nice pot Cool

GL today
Report punts May 9, 2021 1:48 PM BST
WD driver...
Report shoodacoodadidnt May 9, 2021 1:49 PM BST
GL Punts - just saying - see the 1.45 - AOB/R Moore - not blaming anyone - but still found a way to be just out of the frame - happens a LOT
Report driver2 May 9, 2021 1:53 PM BST
Why is it that we never see the lollipop until they go past it? I thought it was going to get caught!
Report driver2 May 9, 2021 2:32 PM BST
2.45 My generation was absolutely murdered last time when coming to challenge inside the last. I reckon he would have gone very close and can make amends here.
Report shoodacoodadidnt May 9, 2021 2:39 PM BST
I'm going with you Punts - Joan of Arc for a place :)
Report driver2 May 9, 2021 2:44 PM BST
No bet for me, I'm cheering yours on punt.
Report shoodacoodadidnt May 9, 2021 2:48 PM BST
excellent work punts
Report punts May 9, 2021 2:48 PM BST
WOOO

NAP Landed!

WD everyone
Report driver2 May 9, 2021 2:49 PM BST
WD punts, great start
Report FOYLESWAR May 9, 2021 2:49 PM BST
well done punts did it well
Report punts May 9, 2021 2:50 PM BST
13/2 as well > THANK you layers
Report MillionaireMaker May 9, 2021 2:52 PM BST
Absolutely criminal ride on Sense of style
Report punts May 9, 2021 3:08 PM BST
If the bloody Maiden wins i'm looking at the thick end of a grand return. Might lay off some dont know yet.
Report punts May 9, 2021 3:23 PM BST
Can't really lay off at these prices. I imagine place claims only for this one but you never know
Report punts May 9, 2021 3:27 PM BST
Money is coming >>> Bookies trying to cover their liabilities

Doesn't mean much imo
Report punts May 9, 2021 3:32 PM BST
I like my chances here. I think the favourite is vulnrable
Report punts May 9, 2021 3:38 PM BST
Now halved in price

ExcitedShockedShocked
Report shoodacoodadidnt May 9, 2021 3:43 PM BST
I had a wee go at 11 punts - 6.4 now
Report FOYLESWAR May 9, 2021 3:47 PM BST
gl punts
Report shoodacoodadidnt May 9, 2021 3:48 PM BST
good run
Report punts May 9, 2021 3:48 PM BST
Damn

2nd

Oh well!
Report punts May 9, 2021 3:53 PM BST
The pony E/W bet returned £68

plus 100 or so from the single on Joan

Not bad
Report slickster May 9, 2021 3:57 PM BST
Well done punts. You seem to have a good handle on the Irish stuff.
Report shoodacoodadidnt May 9, 2021 3:57 PM BST
nice - Ryan riding like Frankie - controlling the fractions off the front - scary
Report punts May 9, 2021 4:01 PM BST
slick: I really don't. It's a minefield but certain stables i like to follow...

I just got a free £10 bet from 365 so I'm going to play the 17:15 Maiden.
Report punts May 9, 2021 4:13 PM BST
17:15 1m4f Maiden

O'Brien runs various Galileo's and I've backed King of the Castle @ 13/2 (with a free bet from the kind people @ 365).

The draw bias is ridiculous according to the stats for Lord of Manor (0/15 from that gate) though he may over come it if he's decent.

The Mediterranean is Moore's choice and favourite but no value there and Ryan's stats aren't anything special in this kind of race so maybe vulnerable, who knows...

Come on Wayne Lordan! Devil
Report flukes May 9, 2021 4:21 PM BST
plus 100 or so from the single on Joan

I've backed these in multiples (E/W). You don't need to stake much at these prices for a massive return.


No mention of backing them as singles pre-race?
Report greenteethnarrabacktroutmoy May 9, 2021 4:22 PM BST
winning punter and free bet punts..

how did denise get her billions?

wd wiv nap.
Report punts May 9, 2021 4:25 PM BST
I back everything I put up, in singles and sometimes multiples you can be sure of that

I don't BS around, flukes ... unlike some.  Seeth away.

Joan Of Arc
*7.27    20.00    Back   
09-May-21 11:56
125.40
*Average odds:  On  Off                   
Back subtotal:    125.40
Lay subtotal:    0.00
Market subtotal:    125.40
Commission @ 2.00%:    2.51
Net Market Total:    122.89
Report flukes May 9, 2021 4:29 PM BST
Shame you didn't mention it pre-race. 356 only give free bets to mug punters who are helping to add to Denise's billions, fact.
Report punts May 9, 2021 4:32 PM BST
Well I logged in and just claimed it and my account Win/Loss is +1k

Figure that one out
Report greenteethnarrabacktroutmoy May 9, 2021 4:33 PM BST
winning punter wiv 365 and free bets..

winner on bf and no PC

toyah springs to mind..

ew multiples pre race..singles if they win.

wd wiv nap punts.
Report greenteethnarrabacktroutmoy May 9, 2021 4:34 PM BST
Report punts May 9, 2021 4:35 PM BST
So you think i'm not telling the truth ... Laugh

I'm gutted that the richest man in Newcastle thinks I'm a liar
Report flukes May 9, 2021 4:36 PM BST
Perhaps you can post the evidence of having a 356 lifetime profit of +1k then there will be no need to figure it out.
Report greenteethnarrabacktroutmoy May 9, 2021 4:36 PM BST
winning punter wiv 365 and free bets..

winner on bf and no PC

liar 1.0001.
Report punts May 9, 2021 4:38 PM BST
I'd rather not post figures and such on a public forum  but you don't want to believe me then that's up to you.

She gives me free bets every month it seems .
Report greenteethnarrabacktroutmoy May 9, 2021 4:38 PM BST
amazing that punts can post evidence when it suits..
Report greenteethnarrabacktroutmoy May 9, 2021 4:39 PM BST
punts 09 May 21 15:38 
I'd rather not post figures and such on a public forum

its not tax evasion.
Report punts May 9, 2021 4:39 PM BST
I dont want the account tracked if they're looking which they could do if I posted a screenshot
Report greenteethnarrabacktroutmoy May 9, 2021 4:41 PM BST
last 3mths on bf will suffice.
Report punts May 9, 2021 4:42 PM BST
Why should I? it's in profit and that is all you need to know
Report flukes May 9, 2021 4:44 PM BST
You were happy enough to post evidence of your winning bet earlier, the one you failed to mention pre-race, but you are shy about posting evidence that you are outwitting Denise. Anybody with half a brain cell can see that you are a classic mug punter with a massive ego to boot.
Report punts May 9, 2021 4:46 PM BST
err OK flukes.

I'll be sure to check out your winning threads sometime (oh wait, there are none... loser)
Report flukes May 9, 2021 4:50 PM BST
Punts, latest to join the Premier League of forum liars and fantasists; you are certainly in some exalted company.
Report greenteethnarrabacktroutmoy May 9, 2021 4:51 PM BST
shud av done a canadian punts..

would have bin nee mare free bets and PC.
Report punts May 9, 2021 4:53 PM BST
Calling me a liar does you no favours.

You call me a mug punter. i've been here 16 years and still going.

I'm not wealthy nor do I claim to be the richest man in the North West so cannot pull money out of my backside like your boyfriend

When you post winners get back to me..,,
Report flukes May 9, 2021 4:56 PM BST
When you post evidence of your 1K profit with Denise get back to us. It will be a long wait for sure.........
Report greenteethnarrabacktroutmoy May 9, 2021 4:57 PM BST
punts i know dozens and dozens who have been on ere since 2002...all still going..98% got nowt though..non pay or ever paid PC.
Report punts May 9, 2021 4:57 PM BST
I'm not posting a screenshot in case of prying eyes. THAT is the only reason.

I'd rather not lose the account and I want to brag or show off unlike your boyfriend with his edited bets
Report punts May 9, 2021 4:58 PM BST
dont want to*
Report greenteethnarrabacktroutmoy May 9, 2021 5:03 PM BST
greenteethnarrabacktroutmoy 09 May 21 15:41 
last 3mths on bf will suffice.
Report punts May 9, 2021 5:05 PM BST
greenie: who do you know? name them. You know bugger all... as much as flukes and his winners Laugh
Report greenteethnarrabacktroutmoy May 9, 2021 5:08 PM BST
john,billy,tom,davy,sam,robbie blah blah
Report greenteethnarrabacktroutmoy May 9, 2021 5:08 PM BST
punts as i said on numerous..if you're happy believing you're a long term winner then thats fine by me.

wd wiv nap.
Report greenteethnarrabacktroutmoy May 9, 2021 5:09 PM BST
greenteethnarrabacktroutmoy 09 May 21 15:41
last 3mths on bf will suffice.
Report punts May 9, 2021 5:09 PM BST
You don't know anyone you sad man
Report BULLET TOOTH TONY May 9, 2021 5:09 PM BST
Who cares
Report BULLET TOOTH TONY May 9, 2021 5:09 PM BST
Only person he is kidding if himself
Report swiftynifty May 9, 2021 5:11 PM BST
Donald Rumsfeld was right. There are known knowns. These are things we know that we know. There are known unknowns. That is to say, there are things that we know we don't know. But there are also unknown unknowns. There are things we don't know we don't know.
Report punts May 9, 2021 5:24 PM BST
What a day for Ryan Moore

4 timer
Report 11kv May 9, 2021 5:25 PM BST
Ryan took the winning halo with him today I see...
Report 11kv May 9, 2021 5:26 PM BST
100/30 Ind   9.17 BSP   Laugh
Report punts May 9, 2021 5:27 PM BST
All the money was for the other ones Blush
Report scaredmoney May 9, 2021 5:28 PM BST
fkin ell....is that sp a sick joke?

rancid cnts
Report Big Boss May 9, 2021 5:29 PM BST
100/30 and 9.17 bfsp

at least Dick Turpin wore a mask
Report swiftynifty May 9, 2021 5:29 PM BST
That is cartel price fixing. I'm going to get on to my lawyer.
Report Big Boss May 9, 2021 5:44 PM BST
add 5.30 Killarney, 9/4 and 6.60 bfsp
Report flukes May 9, 2021 5:51 PM BST
punts
punts 09 May 21 16:24 Joined: 16 Feb 06 | Topic/replies: 4,143 | Blogger: punts's blog
What a day for Ryan Moore

4 timer



At least you managed to find 1 of them even if it was aftertimed
Report punts May 9, 2021 5:53 PM BST
It wasn't aftertime you numpty

You think i'd NAP something and not back it? I back everything i put up win, lose or draw


Where are your winners flukes because I suspect you're the true loser here
Report flukes May 9, 2021 6:02 PM BST

flukes 29 Apr 21 14:15 Joined: 16 Jul 10 | Topic/replies: 3,592 | Blogger: flukes's blog
Punts, Have no intention of posting my own methods on here but what's your opinion on the current price  of ethereum?


Punts, try answering that question you were asked a couple weeks ago then tell me how much of loser I am.
Report flukes May 9, 2021 6:09 PM BST
Meanwhile here's the calibre of punter you are......

twitter info....

punts
Date Joined: 16 Feb 06
Add contact | Send message
28 Apr 21 23:16 Joined: 16 Feb 06 | Topic/replies: 4,144 | Blogger: punts's blog
Don't ask but a decent source passed this on..

14:00 Lingfield: Ivynator

Fellowes in good form & Invynator went close over CD as a 2yo and runs here again.


I'm told it wins.

Damn 4th place!
Report punts May 9, 2021 6:20 PM BST
No one wins all the time, loser

Ivew had enough of you now.  Blocked.
Report flukes May 9, 2021 6:21 PM BST
Excellent news
Report glentoby May 9, 2021 7:46 PM BST
Did you smash any woman in the face to get your bets on punts..........or to get your prices?

Missed your thread tbh but ditto have missed most or taken no notice..........amazing your troll thinks he can walk out without retribution..................who likes a woman beater iyo?
Report flukes May 9, 2021 8:28 PM BST
Oh look it's the ex-special forces superhero with a brother who is Chief Inspector of Police in Scotland and a lawyer who charges £1800 per hour. Strange how he only surfaces in the evening...........
Report glentoby May 9, 2021 8:36 PM BST
Strange how he supports real threads IYO Flukes?
Report chavman May 9, 2021 8:38 PM BST
i won 900 from 30 quid on the moore rides today in 2 small multis Happy
Report flukes May 9, 2021 8:39 PM BST
6pm each day, meds kick in and straight jacket unlocked tobymug?
Report Rico-Dangleflaps May 9, 2021 8:47 PM BST
glentoby 07 May 21 21:42 
Onenightstandards @ 5/2 will be another click and collect.........£800 win.Santa Anita.....Wink
glentoby 07 May 21 21:45 
Hope you laid it!!

Like shelling peas.............buona notte idioti

punts & tobyjugmugs

little n large. (at fabrications).
Report glentoby May 9, 2021 9:14 PM BST
Amazing how the huge profits amass on a thread before the races?
Report Rico-Dangleflaps May 9, 2021 11:02 PM BST
aloof.
Post Your Reply
<CTRL+Enter> to submit
Please login to post a reply.

Wonder

Instance ID: 13539
www.betfair.com