no p kealy.
4.15 Curragh - He Knows No Fear
Seeing its a very slow Saturday, here ya go
Lies About Milan
Dec Odds: 8.4 (BetFair Exchange)
Sat 17th Apr 2021
Lies About Milan has not done too badly since switching back to hurdles after being a little disappointing over fences to which he'll probably return in the future. He faces potentially an uphill battle against big-money buy Interconnected but that horse has flopped a couple of times, so we live in hope. Place more likely.
Dec Odds: 22 (BetFair Exchange)
Sat 17th Apr 2021
American Legacy has schooled very well at home. The longer trip should suit him and he can be seen to very good use today.
12:55 Bangor-on-Dee - Proactive Personnel Novices' Handicap Chase (EA)
Current market leader for this novices’ handicap is Counteract who arrives at Bangor bidding to maintain his unbeaten record over fences for Suzy Smith. The six-year-old has taken very well to the bigger obstacles since sent chasing last month, winning both of his races in fine style. He had not shown much form over hurdles but has looked a different proposition in his two chase starts so far, comfortably gaining his first career victory with a nine-length success at Wincanton at the end of March. That performance came over two and a half miles on his first try on good ground and he had similar conditions at Plumpton six days ago when he had little trouble with following up. Counteract was a comfortable seven-length winner at Plumpton last week and with the race being a conditional jockeys’ handicap he avoids a penalty for that success. Therefore, looks to be well-handicapped ahead of Saturday’s contest, but he is now up to three miles for the first time and does have a quick turnaround to overcome. Also, last time out he came from the rear of the field and similar tactics may not be ideal at Bangor, as it is a track which can often suit more prominent types especially on better ground.
There are two other last time out winners in the line-up, including Catlin who built on her first three starts over fences to get of the mark at the fourth attempt. Trained by Nick Kent, the mare was winless in her ten starts over hurdles but has been much more competitive this season over fences. She was placed in her first three races over the bigger obstacles, finishing runner-up in runner-up over an extended two miles and six furlongs on her chase debut at Leicester in November. That effort in the novices’ handicap came on good ground, but she handled softer conditions on her next two starts with third-place finishes at Market Rasen upped to three miles and then back at Leicester. The six-year-old was not beaten far on either occasion and Catlin got off the mark next time in a Newcastle handicap over an extended two miles and seven furlongs on good-to-soft ground. She can give her all again at Bangor this weekend, but she has been raised 9lb for her latest performance so will need to find further improvement to follow up her Newcastle win.
Sartene’s Son has a similar sort of profile to Catlin in that he won for the first time on his latest start but is now up in the weights. He has been a regular at Bangor in recent times for Robert Bevis, having four of his last five races at the North Wales track. This has included three runs over fences where he his form figures read 4-3-4, but when last seen he was actually over hurdles as he gained his first career victory in January. He was a decisive ten-length winner of a handicap hurdle on heavy ground four months ago, so Sartene’s Son will face much different conditions for his return to chasing this weekend. He is now also off an 8lb higher mark and that may just leave him vulnerable, even if his course experience should stand him in good stead.
Preference is for BIRD ON THE WIRE who remains lightly-raced and could have more to offer in handicaps for Donald McCain and Brian Hughes. The trainer and jockey combination have to be respected when they team up at Bangor and BIRD ON THE WIRE could prove to be ahead of his current mark on Saturday having his third start in a handicap. A winner of both of his point-to-points on good ground (the second of those coming over three miles), the six-year-old has only had the six starts to date under Rules, showing improvement on his handicap debut when runner-up over hurdles at Catterick in March. He was then upped to two miles and five furlongs for his chase debut at Carlisle at the beginning of the month, where he has was a well-backed favourite and shaped with promise even if he could only finish sixth. It looked like a longer trip would suit BIRD ON THE WIRE that day and he could build on his Carlisle effort now upped to three miles to gain a first win under Rules on Saturday.
BIRD ON THE WIRE 1pt E/W @ 10/1 (William Hill - 5 places)
Today's TQ View Each
Dec Odds: 11.5 (BetFair Exchange)
Sat 17th Apr 2021
Moot Court did well in his Irish point-to-points and is a nice horse we hope will run a big race on debut. He's ready and will love the ground. Certainly each-way chances.
Dec Odds: 20 (BetFair Exchange)
Sat 17th Apr 2021
We were anticipating a much better performance than Parisencore put in on debut at Ayr. The ground was very testing and the hope is that he'll redeem himself on the faster surface today.
1:25 Bangor-on-Dee - Darlands Novices' Handicap Chase (JH)
Despite this not looking the deepest of races, the battle to become the champion jockey continues and both Brian Hughes and Harry Skelton head to Bangor on Saturday, where they both have excellent chances in this six-runner field over the 2m 4f trip.
After a 125-day break, Black Bubble was pulled up last time out after refusing to race and never got involved within the action. Although he is yet to get off the mark this season for Tony Carroll, last time he came to this track he put in one of his better efforts over hurdles to finish second over 2m 7f and he has previously won at Bangor too. However, he is now 0-4 over fences with work to do and others make more appeal.
The ten-year-old top-weight is William H Bonney, trained by Alan King. Alexander Thorne takes off a handy 5lb and he is a further 2lb lower than his latest effort where he finished fourth, 14 and a half lengths behind the leader. He hasn’t shown an awful lot over fences and is now 0-3 so is another with work to do. He’s A Goer will need to show vast improvement on his hurdling form in the yellow silks with green stars. He makes his chasing bow here so could feasibly improve for the switch, but is 1-16 under rules and will more than likely struggle once again.
The top three in the market look quite closely matched on their form and that is why we may see all three seven-year-olds exchanging blows in the market. Despite already having the three wins over fences and by far the most experience over these larger obstacles, Armattiekan still has quite a bit too prove from a 5lb higher mark. His victory at Market Rasen last time out didn’t look the deepest of races by any means and albeit winning readily, he wasn’t the most convincing on the day. Brian Hughes will need to work his magic once again if this horse is to come out on top.
Tribesmans Glory is an Irish point winner who got off the mark at the first time of asking over course and distance in October, winning readily by nine lengths. Since then, he has been pulled up twice in the mud at both Lingfield and Catterick before going close in a four-runner field at Plumpton last month. He should go well once again with the conditions to suit but will need to run at least as well as he did on his chasing debut and that’s certainly not guaranteed.
Dan and Harry Skelton continue to be a jockey and trainer to follow and it could be worth siding with them once again. DOG OF WAR makes a quick reappearance after winning nicely at Exeter just 11 days ago on his chasing bow. Despite not being able to land a blow over hurdles, he looks much better suited to chasing and should have a lot more to offer now he has a run and a bit of experience in his locker. A mark of 112 may not last very long so it looks like we should cash in while we can.
DOG OF WAR 1pt WIN @ 7/4 (William Hill)
Today's TQ View
Dec Odds: 5.6 (BetFair Exchange)
Sat 17th Apr 2021
We were very hopeful about Corbulo before his seasonal return at Bath and he duly came through despite not being totally comfortable there. Nottingham should suit him much better and as he's very well I'm optimistic he can defy the 7lb rise. Good chance.
This Ones For Fred
Dec Odds: 24 (BetFair Exchange)
Sat 17th Apr 2021
Gelded before his latest race, the hope is that This Ones For Fred will appreciate the chance to run on the turf again.